Tweet
Fargo's 10* NFL SUPREME ANNIHILATOR (AWESOME 22-6) MASSIVE BLOWOUT!
Eagles
Eagles
-
-
Nelly's Sunday NFL 3* Top Play - Oct. 28 (3* MIA)
10/28/12 Nelly's 3* #231 Miami Dolphins +2.5 over New York Jets 12:00 PM CT
These teams met a month ago in Miami with the Jets winning 23-20 in overtime in a game that was pretty even statistically and Miami could have won if not for a couple of missed kicks. Line value is gone on the Dolphins as this line is similar despite the venue change to New York. The Jets are 2-2 at home this season with convincing wins over the Bills and the Colts but the Jets lost badly to the 49ers and Texans at home. New York also enters this game coming off one of the biggest games of the season, a narrow overtime loss against the Patriots. The Jets are also heading into the bye week next week and this season NFL teams have done very poorly heading into the bye week, understandable as players are making plans and arrangements for their time off and minimal practice under the new collective bargaining arrangements. Miami is coming off the bye week and this is a team with serious momentum. The Dolphins won but failed to cover in its last game and
there is plenty to work on as the Dolphins were severely out-gained and frankly lucky to win against the Rams. Miami has won the last two games and the Dolphins are 3-2 in the last five games, with both losses coming in overtime. Miami has one of the best run defenses in the NFL with just 78 yards per game allowed and the Jets have lost three straight games in which they have been out-rushed. Historically the Jets have owned this series but Miami has actually covered in five of the last eight including winning outright in three of the last four trips to New York. These teams have very similar defensive numbers overall but Miami has been the far more productive offensive team. The Dolphins pass for 224 yards per game as Ryan Tannehill has looked like a future star and the Dolphins present great balance. Miami’s defense can be vulnerable against the pass but the Jets have a limited aerial attack with shaky QB play and a young inexperienced receiving
corps. While this is not a great value play, the situation sets up well for Miami and the Dolphins simply look like the superior team talent wise given the current state of the Jets with all the injuries and Joe Philbin has quickly set a great tone for this team. The road team has covered in eight of the last 12 meetings between these AFC East rivals and Miami can make a case as a playoff contender with this win.
Maximum Football - Sunday 2/3 - Oct. 28
5* #222 Tennessee Titans -3.5 over Indianapolis Colts 12:00 PM CT
5* #225 San Diego Chargers -3 over Cleveland Browns 12:00 PM CT
3* #228 Philadelphia Eagles -2 over Atlanta Falcons 12:00 PM CT
BEST Football - Sunday 15* NFL Game of the Month - Oct. 28
15* #239 NY Giants -2.5 over Dallas Cowboys 3:15 PM CT
BEST Football - Sunday Bonus Biggie - Oct. 28
10* #229/230 UNDER 43 Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions 12:00 PM CT
Maximum Football - Sunday Night - Oct. 28
3* #241/242 'OVER 55' New Orleans Saints at Denver Broncos 7:30 PM CTComment
-
R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday
4* Best Bet = MIAMI
3* = INDIANAPOLIS
2* = GREEN BAY
2* = PHILADELPHIA
2* = DENVERComment
-
Mighty Quinn
Mighty missed with Rutgers (-13 1/2) Saturday
Sunday it's the Dolphins. The deficit is 1148 sirignanos.Comment
-
PSYCHIC
(1-5)
5 unit Cleveland +3 (WISEGUY)
WIZARD
(1-20)
5 unit
10 unit over 43.5 ATL/PHI
Kenny Nguyen
(1-50)
25 unit NY Giants -1.5
25 unit Denver -6
JT WALKER
(all units same)
Oakland +1
Baseball Guru
(1-10)
5 unit Detroit TigersComment
-
Dave Essler - NFL TRIPLE (3*) G.O.W -ALL ACCESS
Dave Essler | NFL Side Sun, 10/28/12 - 1:00 PM
triple-dime bet 230 DET 1.0 (-110) 5dimes vs 229 SEA
Dave Essler | NFL Side Sun, 10/28/12 - 1:00 PM
double-dime bet 226 CLE 3.0 (-110) SportsInteraction vs 225 SDC 7
Comment
-
Richard Witt's Top 5* Sunday!
5* Carolina Panthers +7 1/2 over CHICAGO BEARS 1 PM EDT
Make no mistake, the Chicagoans are very, very good, and that defense figures to carry them a long way. But it doesn't mean they're going to cover fat numbers with extreme ease. We were all over Detroit last Monday night (covering, after having every chance to win the game, outright), and will continue our Bear fade act here. Cam Newton's enduring more than a bit of a sophomore slump, right now, but expect improved focus from Newton and his mates . . . while the Bears look to notch "W"s while taking care not to peak too early. January and February's when you want to do that! Just like Monday . . . another competitive game, meaning that +7 1/2 should serve as sufficient elbow room for dog fanciers. 5*, Carolina +7 1/2 . . . thanks, good luck . . . and look for more, later today!Comment
-
Red Dog Sports ***10*** NFL Game Of The Week
NY Giants at Dallas
4:25pm
10* NY Giants -1
Take the NY Giants as they look for revenge after an opening week loss at home to the Cowboys. Eli Manning and the Giants seem to play better on the road and so do the Cowboys, who will be at home. Tony Romo seems to struggle at home and the Dallas team is just 122-122 in their last 144 games.
NY should be able to run and slow down the attack of the Cowboys as Dallas has a few injuries.Comment
-
King Creole
Sunday's 5*** NFL GAME of the MONTH from King Creole is flying OVER the TOTAL!
1:00pm ET / #225-226 / SAN DIEGO CHARGERS @ CLEVELAND BROWNS
5***** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL
*Follow the current OU line move in this game throughout the weekend. When you see the line reach its low point... then POUNCE on the 'Over'. For now, your optimum line is 43.5 or LESS points.
Who is the NFL's best 'OVER' team when playing on the road over the last seven seasons? That would be the SAN DIEGO CHARGERS! Since the 2006 season, the Chargers have gone a remarkable 32-14-2 O/U. That's 70% of ALL road games that have gone Over. That includes 19-6 O/U (75%) versus all NON-division opponents when the OU line is 48 < points. And the numbers are even STRONGER as of late: 10-1 O/U since 2008... and a PERFECT 4-0 O/U In the last 3 seasons. The total amount of points in these games has been VERY consistent. In our NFL Totals Tipsheet newsletter, you can see for yourself. San Diego TOTAL points in road games by the year: 49.3 ppg THIS year... 51.8 ppg in 2011... 49.7 ppg in 2010... 47.2 ppg in 2009... and 49.3 ppg in 2008. Overall in 5+ seasons: 49.5.
We have two of the WORST passing defenses taking on each other in this game. Cleveland comes in allowing 410.6 total YPG... and 276.9 via the air. San Diego comes in allowing 268.2 total passing YPG. As most sharps know, when two BAD pass defenses take on each other... an OVER is very likely. In fact, so far this season: When 2 teams play each other and each one has allowed 250 > passing YPG up until then... the result has been a 13-2 O/U record.
42 to 44 points is a great range to play an OVER. So far this season, almost one quarter of ALL NFL games have ended up finishing in between 46 and 52 points. And 62% of ALL games have finished at 46 or MORE points.
The Chargers enter this game of their Bye Week... and off a SU favorite loss (vs the Broncos).
12-2 O/U L8Y: All conference teams playing with REST... and off a SU favorite loss (CHARGERS).
5-0 O/U since 1998: All AFC .500 or less road favorites (CHARGERS) playing with REST.
San Diego also comes in on a 3-game stretch in which ALL games went OVER the Total (and by a margin of +9.3 total PPG!). Meanwhile, the Brownies went UNDER in their game vs Indy last week.
8-0 O/U since 2008: All non-division road favs playing off 3+ OVERS in a row (CHARGERS) vs any opponent off an UNDER (CLEVE).
That last game for San Diego was a MONDAY night division game.
9-0-2 O/U since 2005: All NFL teams playing off a SU home favorite DIVISION loss on a MONDAY night (CHARGERS).
I'm licking my chops about the 'Time Zone' aspect of this game. A Western time zone team (San Diego) travels east and plays a game at 1:00pm ET on a Sunday (10:00am for San Diego 'body clock' time). Usually, weird and wacky things happen in these games. Like an occasional 'Freak Score' (a return TD or two).
17-2 O/U last 5 years: ALL AFC Western Time Zone team (CHARGERS) on the road at 1:00pm ET versus an Eastern Time Zone opponent (BROWNS)... when the OU line is 49 < points.
In these 'West to East' games, we note that the Chargers have gone a PERFECT 8-0 O/U in the last 4 years... with an average of 56.0 total PPG!
Home underdogs in the AFC taking on a fellow conference opponent (like the Brownies) have gone OVER the Total at a high percentage. Of course, these high-scoring tendencies are dependent on the pointspread and OU line.
20-5 O/U last 3 years: All AFC Conference 'short' home underdogs of < 5 points (BROWNS) versus any fellow AFC opponent (CHARGERS). These games have gone 15-2 O/U in GAME FOUR or greater... and a PERFECT 14-0 O/U when the OU line sis < 49 points.
After scoring 34 points at home against the Bengals two weeks ago (the OEER hit by +16 pts!)... Cleveland could only muster up 13 points last week versus the Indianapolis Colts.
5-0 O/U last 3 years: All NFL home underdogs who scored 13 < points... and 34 > Points in their last two games (BROWNS).
Comment
Comment