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Texans -3½ at Lions (49½): The parlay cards go out early this week so you can go to your favorite sports book Wednesday and make your plays just in case you will be basting that Turkey on Thursday morning. The Lions really had the game won on Sunday and I still don’t believe they lost. That defeat could have a lasting effect. The main trend in this game is the Lions have gone 0-8 ATS in their last eight Thursday games. TEXANS.
Redskins +3½ at Cowboys (47½): A real toss up but the Cowboys are just not that good. The Skins are healthy again and will come to give their best so take the points. REDSKINS.
Patriots -7½ at Jets (50½): The Turkey and wine will be kicking in about now. This is a must watch for at least the first half as the Jets look to avenge a 29-26 loss at New England back on Oct. 21 when getting +10½ points. New York is coming off a good win this past Sunday at St. Louis. A win here with the rest of their schedule not that tough puts the Jets back in the playoff picture. JETS.
NCAA college football
TCU +8½ at Texas: When the total comes out just run to the window! I searched for a play and found some good trends on both sides. The most telling is that the Longhorns have gone 11-0 ATS when coming off a SU win and facing a team that is .500 or better off a straight up loss. OVER.
Texans -3 at Lions: Matt Stafford was picked off twice by the Packers in a game the Lions should have won. The Lions continue to make costly errors and two straight losses to divisional rivals have left me skeptical of their chances. Houston was lucky to overcome a fourth quarter double digit deficit. The Texans can take heart they have a QB who can air it out when their backs are against the wall. Matt Schaub threw for 500 and 5 TDs last week! TEXANS.
Skins -3½ at Cowboys: Dallas hasn’t covered a point spread at home this season! I would have to be crazy to tell you they’re going to accomplish this feat on Turkey Day. But I am a wild and crazy kind of guy. The Skins have lost three of four games. Washington broke lucky pulling the Eagles to end a three-game losing streak. Cowboys should cover their first home game this season after surviving a scare from the Brownies. COWBOYS.
Patriots -6½ at Jets: The old Jets finally emerged last Sunday. Sanchez didn’t throw a ton of passes. The Jets ran the ball well and didn’t rely solely on Sanchez’s arm. When the Jets need to rely on his arm they’re in trouble and I think they’ll be up to their elbows in hot turkey dressing. I know the Pats only edged the Jets 29-26 a few weeks ago. However, the Pats have scored 141 points in the last three games. PATRIOTS.
Texans -3 at Lions (49): Perhaps Houston was caught looking ahead to this game when, as more than a two touchdown favorite, the Texans needed overtime to get by Jacksonville. Detroit blew a late lead on this field and again lost to division rival Green Bay.
Turkey day has not been kind to the Lions lately as they are 0-8 both SU and ATS since 2004. But they were underdogs in all eight games. They are dogs again here and are facing a team that has itself had difficulty closing out games. LIONS.
Redskins +3½ at Cowboys (47): The latest renewal in one of the NFL’s best rivalries finds 5-5 Dallas a game ahead of Washington and on the periphery of the Wild Card race. The Redskins continue to show progress under the leadership of rookie QB Robert Griffin III. Dallas continues to underperform at home with 0-4 ATS home mark this season.
Overall the Cowboys have won 3 straight and 6 of 7 against the ‘Skins but are just 2-5 ATS in those games including 3 straight ATS losses in games decided by 3, 2 and 3 points. REDSKINS.
Patriots -6 at Jets (49½): The Jets surprised many with their strong effort last week, winning 27-13 at the Rams. A month ago the Jets lost at New England in overtime. The 7-3 Patriots are 4 points away from being unbeaten. Four of the 7 wins have been by at least 21 points. Coach Bill Belichick has always had a disdain for the Jets.
The Pats have now won 4 straight regular season meetings and 8 of 13. The Jets will finally have some confidence following the win over the Rams but have lost both times they hosted elite teams this season. PATRIOTS.
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