11-22-12

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LA Syndicate
Top - Cowboys, CBB Over Davidson, Gonzaga
Reg - Over Jets, CFB Over TCU, CBB Georgia Tech

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Chicago Syndicate
Top - Lions, CBB Duke, Louisville
Reg - Over Jets, CFB Texas CBB Missouri

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Wunderdog

West Virginia/Marist Under 137 1/2

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Ocal:
Hou over
new England

Marc Lawrence:
Lean on Nyj (no actual play)
Lean on tcu (no actual play)
3* Davidson (cbb)

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10* totals
dal/wash over

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Kelso

25 Units


Texans (-3½) over Lions


Prediction: Texans by 9-10


Comments: When I think of Thanksgiving Day football, I always think of the Detroit Lions who will be playing their 73rd turkey day game, sometimes forgetting the Lions have lost eight straight Thanksgiving Day games and stand 1-11 in their last 12. That said, there is no doubt Detroit has the talent to win this game but the Lions specialize in finding ways to lose, and they are meeting a Houston team that finds ways to win. From the get-go in the handicapping process that factor carries a tremendous amount of weight. Detroit has lost its last two games after winning four straight and locker room B.S, bickering and back-stabbing has had as much to do with those losses as has anything else. The situation forced Coach Jim Swartz to suspended wide-receiver Titus Young for this game and in the process has added more chaos. Houston is everything Detroit is not—a talented team that is well-coached, focused and obviously gives winning its highest priority.

25 Units
Redskins (+3) over Cowboys


Prediction: Redskins by 6-7

Comments: Dallas stands 6-0 against the Washington Redskins on Thanksgiving Day and is 21-3 in its last 24 games played in November. That is history and that and a $5 bill will get you a cup of coffee at Starbucks. The 2012-13 edition of the Dallas Cowboys is simply average, if that. It speaks volumes when you have to go to overtime at home to beat a bad Cleveland team, 23-20. Washington is no world-beater but it has a daring rookie quarterback in Robert Griffin III who is a game-breaker and right now is at the top of his game. Last week, against Philadelphia, he hit 93.3% of his passes and had four touchdowns. It also is of note the Dallas offensive line is a real miss, quite limited in its ability to stop the pass rush and comes into this game having given up seven sacks and 11 quarterback hits last week against the Browns. Other than playing at home, I cannot find a single edge Dallas has in this game.25 Units

Ny Jets (+7) over Patriots


Prediction: Jets by 3


Comments: The Jets have had an up-and-down season but got it all together last week in a 27-13 win at St. Louis and now seems primed to play its best game of the season. The first time these teams met this season, October 21 in Foxborough, the Patriots were 10 ½-point favorites and had to go to overtime to win, 29-26. Things will not be any easier in New Jersey today. As successful as New England has been again this season, it and has shown signs all season it can be had, mainly because it has an inadequate defense that is ranked 28th in the NFL—30th against the pass. The Jets are no defensive giants but the weak New England defense gives them a chance to fire up and do a lot of damage.
25 Units

3-Team Triple Crown Parlay


Texans (-3½) over Lions

Ny Jets (+7) over Patriots
Redskins (+3) over Cowboys
10 Units

Texas (-7½) over TCU


Prediction: Texas by 12-13

Comments: There was a temptation to take TCU plus the 7 ½ in this one but I just could not do it because of the youth of the Horned Frogs. They have played more true freshmen (16) than scholarship seniors (11) this season and are tied with North Carolina for the national lead with the most combined true freshmen and redshirt freshmen (28) this season. Texas has also played 16 freshmen this season but its depth chart is loaded with upperclassmen, including 17 seniors who will be honored today. This will be a battle of the Texas offense, which are ranked 30th nationally in total offense (457.9 yards per game) and 13th in scoring (39.6 points per game). TCU is ranked 16th in total defensive (giving up 326.3 yards per game. The edges Texas has—a much better quarterback in sophomore David Ash (ranked 8th in the NCAA standings with an efficiency rating of 161.68), superior skill players, more game-breakers, superior special teams and the home field translate into a Longhorns win and cover.

Mostly clear. Winds blowing from the South at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Near 70.


Kelso Basketball

25 Units


Gonzaga (-12) over Clemson


Prediction: Gonzaga by 18-19


Comments: This game opened with Gonzaga -9 and in a few hours that number was bet out to the current 12 ½. That move offers a bit of insight into the respect the Zags get from the wiseguys and sharps. There is not any question that Gonzaga is a killer basketball team again this season. It is averaging 94.3 points per game while giving up just 57.7—an average winning margin of 36.6 points. Included in those figures is a 34-point 84-50 home win over a stunned West Virginia team. It also is of note Gonzaga has hit 55.3%, 52.0% and 54.8% from the field in its three wins while holding the opposition to 33.9%, 27.3% (West Virginia) and 49.1%. Clemson is in a rebuilding mode, with a roster than incudes 11 freshmen and sophomores and does not appear to have what it takes to handle the talent, experience and depth of the Zags.


15 Units

St MarysCA (-7½) over Drexel


Prediction: Saint Mary’s by 12-13


Comments: For openers, Drexel comes into this game severely handicapping with its best player and leading scorer, senior guard Chris Fouch, out for the season with a broken ankle. Even when he was playing Drexel was playing nothing like the Dragons team that returned four starters from last year’s 29-7 NIT team. These things would seem to make Drexel a sitting duck for a Saint Mary’s team that returns four starters from last year’s 27-6 team that won beat out Gonzaga for the conference championship. Leading the Gaels’ is one of the best players in the country—a certain All-America candidate—senior guard Matthew Dellavedova, who also was a member of the Australia Olympic team. He picked right up where he left off last season and comes into this game averaging 16.7 points, 5.3 assists and 3.3 rebounds per game. His supporting cast includes three other starters who are averaging in double digits. Everything says Saint Mary’s will let come to play and show a national TV audience Gonzaga is not the only team in the northwest that can play basketball.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Neri

3* Houston -3.5

3* New England -6.5

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RAS

MOST RECENT RELEASE
Rotation 705 Texas-El Paso (+4) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 11/22/12 04:00pm PST Released at: 11/22 7:38am PST


PREVIOUS RELEASES
Rotation 725 Oral Roberts (-2.5) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 11/22/12 06:00pm PST Released at: 11/22 7:35am PST

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Wayne Root
Millionaire Texans
Billionaire Jets

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Lee Earnest - Redskins +3.5

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JACK JONES

25* NFC East GAME OF THE YEAR on Dallas Cowboys -3 The Cowboys are back into the NFC East race after their win over the Cleveland Browns last week. They now trail the New York Giants by just one game for the top spot in this division. When you look at the numbers, you could argue that Dallas is one of the top teams in the league, rather than one that is .500. Dallas ranks 11th in the league in total offense at 367.4 yards per game and 7th in total defense at 318.0 yards per game. It is outgaining opponents by 49.4 yards per game, which is one of the better margins in the NFL. It is a sign that this team is better than its 5-5 record would indicate. While Washington does have a good offense, it hasn’t been able to stop teams this season, which is the biggest reason why it is 4-6. The Redskins are giving up 25.4 points per game overall, including 27.8 per game on the road. They rank 26th in the league in total defense (383.8 yards/game), including 29th against the pass (289.2 yards/game). Tony Romo should have a huge game through the air against this soft Washington pass defense. The Cowboys rank 7th in the league in passing offense at 284.3 yards per game. This play falls into a system that is 41-15 (73.2%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. It tells us to bet on road underdogs or pick (WASHINGTON) - after scoring 30 points or more last game against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game. Dallas is 33-18 ATS in its last 51 November home games. Mike Shanahan is 9-21 ATS after allowing 4 or less yards/play in the previous game in all games he has coached. Shanahan is 5-18 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 64% or better in all games he has coached. Bet the Cowboys Thursday. BOL

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Indian Cowboy
5-Unit Play. #704. Take Davidson -8 over Vanderbilt (Thursday @ 2pm est).

Davidson has plenty of revenge coming into this game. They lost to Vanderbilt last year by four points and this year the team gets to exact some revenge. Granted, they play them in Kissimmee, Florida. Vandy had a very talented team last year with the likes of Jenkins, Taylor and Ezeli who are all in the NBA now. This team played Nichols State without those stars and beat them by 15 at home who is a team outside the top 300. The they played Oregon on the road who is a top 100 team and lost to them by 26 points on the road. This Davidson team played a very talented New Mexico team on the road who is a top 40 team and fell short by 5 points on the road and most recently fell to Wisconsin Milwaukee at home on the road and lost by 5 points. Its also a rarity to see 65% of the public on an Underdog such as Vanderbilt here as well. Davidson is a senior laden team and they are top 20 when it comes to turnovers as well and Vanderbilt is still a young team who is top 150 in turnovers. With revenge, more seniority with 4 more important returning players, I can see Davidson getting up for this game as these seniors remember last year's close loss and that was with the 3 NBA talent type players that Vandy has. Now, with those individuals gone, I like Davidson to step up here on neutral footing and likely win this game by double-digits. The Wildcats are of Davidson are 7-3 ATS coming off a straight up loss and the Commodores are 2-5 ATS against the Southern Conference in their last 7 games.

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70% computer play
over TCU

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Sports bank
400 tcu

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Millionaires
lock dallas - washington over