11-25-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE GOLD SHEET late phone picks
No Top play today.
Regs on CINCY and TB

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Mike Lineback NFL
Denver OVER
Rams/Cards UNDER
Browns
Colts

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Benton

Sunday's Action

75 Dime winner going out for Sunday on the Indianapolis Colts as the home favyrite agazinst the Buffalo Bills. At the time I release this seleceion at 10:00 pm eastern on Saturday night, the Colts are -3 points both here in Vegas and offshore. I am instructing all clients to buy the half point down on Indy if your price is -3 or -3 1/2 points.

ANALYSIS

I know I got burned with Indy last Sunday as a big releyse, but I am coming right back this Sunday with a play on the Colts to cover this number against the Bills. For one thing, the Colts are NOT playing Tom Brady and the Patriots this weekend, and for another, they are at home for this one where they sport a 4-1 record both straight up and against the spread.


Buffalo is just 2-4 straight up on the road this season, and while they are off that Thursday night home win over Miami, I would tend to believe that they will have a hard time if they are just going to rely on the running of CJ Spiller. You have to belzieve that the Colts defense will be eager to shut down the run and make Ryan Fitzpatrick (who will never be confused for Tom Brady) beat them through the air.


Indy stands at 6-4 and they are in the hunt for a playoff spot. They still have a pair of games left to play agaenst division leader Houston, so it is important they take care of the 4-6 Bills, especially in their own back yard. Andrew Luck struggled last week against the tricky looks New England gave him, I do not think he is going to struggle in his own stadium in this spot.


Siding with the Colts as the small home favorite to get the win and cover as they improve to 7-4 on the season.





Trace Adams

Sunday's Selection ...

For Sunday, 1500♦ Raise the Bar Winner #8 of 12 is the visityng San Francisco 49ers as the small favzorite over the New Orleans Saints. As of 10:00 pm eastern on Saturday night when I releease my selection, the 49ers are listed as the -1 point fave in Vegas and offshore.


Big rematch from last year's wild - and I do mean wild, 4 TD's, 4 lead changes in the final 4 minutes - 36-32 San Francisco playoff win over New Orleans. Only human nature to think that the Saints will get revenge in this spot at home, but that is what everyone thought would happen when the Niners hosted the Giants earlier this season seekyng revenge for that NFC Championship loss last January, and what happened there? That's right, the Giants blasted the 49ers, 26-3.


I am not saying San Fran is going to blast New Orleans today, but I do like them to keep the Saints at bay once again. Looks like it will be Colin Kaepernick under center once again on Sunday after wowing everyone in a 32-7 destrucztion of the Chicago Bears last Monday night. The Niners made the rugged Bears defense look very bad, and even with the Saints defense playing better of late, the New Orleans defense is still very bad. Don't let a few turnovers created fool you, as long as Kaepernick takes care of the pigskin, the Niners will move the ball the way they moved it on Chicago.


No doubt New Orleans has righted their ship after starting at 0-4, as the Saints have marched to the win in 3 in a row, and 5 of 6 since that crippleng start. A win here would push them over .500 at set them up for a Thursday game in Atlanta in great shape. It's all there for Drew Brees and company, but after watching the 49ers defense push the Bears all over the field on Monday, it is hard to make a case against this San Francisco team for today's game other than the fact they are playing on the road.


This SF team could very well be the NFC rep in the Super Bowl, and today they show why. Take the Niners as they stymie the Saints quest for revenge.




Matt Rivers

Sunday's Selection ...

Your Sunday winner is: 400,000♦ Divisyon Rivalry Game of the Year is the Atlanta Falcons as the small road favzorite ageinst the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. As of 10:00 pm eastern time on Saturday night when I release this selection, the Falcons are the -1 to -1 1/2 point favorites both in Vegas and the offshore books.


I think that last week's scare at home agaynst Arizona was to be expected from the Falcons, as they were coming off their first loss of the season at New Orleans, and they were looking ahead to this division game against the surging Bucs, with a Thursday night home game versus the Saints also visible on the horizon.


Matt Ryan threw five picks, the Falcons turned it over six times in all, and yet they still won the game by a 23-19 count! That sloppiness must be eliminated today, as Tampa has won their last four and five of six overall since their bye. I am not read%k2&ing too much into this updraft that Greg Schiano's team has enjoyed, as wins against Kansas City, Oakland, and San Diego is hardly "murderer's row", but of course you do have to play the games that are on your schedule. Still, just one win of their six this season by the Bucs comes against teams with a winning record, so it is my belief they linemakers are giving the host a little too much credit.


The Falcons have been able to win six of the last seven series meetings, and they have won three of their last four visits to South Florida. I know Atlanta played a sloppy game versus the Cardinals, but they still won and they have won four of their five road games this season both straight up and against the spread.


Matty Ice will roll with the other "Matty Ice" and his mates to keep the upstart Bucs at heel.




Anthony Redd

Sunday's Play

60 Dime selyction on the Atlanta Falcons against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. As I rezlease this play at 8:15am Pacific Saturday night here in Vegas, the line on Atlanta is -1 in Vegas and offshere.


NOTE FROM A REDD


As I said yesterday about Rivalry Week, there was one team I knew would have no problem taking care of business; and Georgia proved me right as they destroyed GA Tech 42-10.


As sure as I was about Georgia yesterday, I am just as confident about today's divisional matchup between Atlanta and Tampa Bay.


My team may not win by 32 points, but it will be a wire to wire cover.


Like I said in my video, you have to assume the oddsmakers know what they're doing when setting the lines. However, that doesn't mean that they don't make their fair share of mistakes. One of which I will expose today with my 60 Dime Winner #2 in a Row.


When I'm winning, you're winning because I am a Professional Gambler who spends his every waking moment here in the Vegas sportsbooks. Just ask the IRS; it's been my listed occupation on my tax returns for 15+ years.








Craig Davis

Sunday's Action...

100 Dime Play for Sunday is a 2 team, 7 point teaser on the Pittsburgh Steelers-Cleveland Browns game to go Over the total in their game played today at 1:00 pm eastzern time. I am closing off this teaser with a seleceion on the St. Louis-Arizona game at 4:25 pm eastern to also go Over the total. At 7:40 am eastern time, the totals on the games are Pittsburgh-Cleveland 34 1/2 points, and St. Louis-Arizona 37 points, so using the 7 points you will have to pay a little extra for the juice, but we are getting the extra value in our favor, thus you will take the Steelers-Browns down to 27 1/2 points and the Rams-Cardinals down to 30 points in this 100 Dime, 2 team, 7 point teaser and play BOTH games Over the total.


Analysis


100 DIME - 2 TEAM, 7 POINT TEASER - PITTSBURGH-CLEVELAND OVER, & ST. LOUIS-ARIZONA OVER --- I'm either a complete moron and a glutton for punishment or these are easily the two easiest totals I've ever seen.


I'm teasing two game totals that are seri%K1%usly too low to begin with, but now I'm taking a full touchdown off both games and I already liked them both to go over the total.


The reason I'm teasing them is because I don't feel comfortable releasing two games and I feel the same about both of them. Yesterday I loved six games... and it was impossi%K2%ble to pick the right game... so instead of releasing Northwestern or Purdue or Oklahoma State or UConn or Alabama AND Clemson (major losers!!!), I chose the one I "felt" I liked the most.


Big mistake.


So today I'm not making that same mistake... I'm teasing the two games I like the most and I feel like I'm going to easily bank this afternoon.


First, the Steelers and Browns. I'm not overly impr%K3%ssed with Pittsburgh's defense in the first place, and I know they sold out to beat the Ravens and still didn't get the job done. This week will be a major defensive letdown and they will take the Browns for granted a little.


And you have to be impressed with how Brandon Weeden has been playing lately. Yes, he's a "rookie" but he's pushing 30 years old and he's already had plenty of experience. And even though Pittsburgh's run defense has been very good all year (and year after year), Trent Richardson is running just good enough to keep the Pittsburgh defense honest, and as long as I can get 10-13 points from Cleveland today, I should have no problem getting this game to go over the total.


Pittsburgh's offense might not have Big Ben under center, but I like the way Charlie Batch practiced this week despite his ripe ole' age of 38. He's very familiar with these receivers and this line and I like his chances of moving the football down the field a lot better than when Byron Leftwich is under center.


This game could be over the total by the start of the 4th quarter.


As for the Rams and Cardinals, I'm taking a bit more of a risk here because the Rams have been so bad on the road, but I saw something in this team in San Francisco that I hadn't seen in a while... grit.


Jeff Fisher has brought a sense of toughness to St. Louis and I honestly believe they might get a defensive score against the Cards today. The QB carousel in Arizona hasn't brough much consistency and they're bound to turn the ball over at least once in their own territory.


Sam Bradford and Steven Jackson are more than capable of turning some of those turnovers into points on their side of the scoreboard. Not only that, but their FG kicker can hit them consistently from 50+... I like that too.


As for Arizona, they get Beanie Wells back from injury, LaRod Stephens-Howling is running better than he ever has, and it's just a matter of time before Larry Fitzgerald has one of those "breakout" games no matter who the QB is.


We all know the Cardinals play better at home anyhow, and it's not like the Rams defense is striking fear in anyone these days.


In fact, the only time they haven't allowed double digits this year was an earlier meeting with these Cardinals... a 17-3 win. And because that game went WAY under the total, Vegas is expecting a lot of bets to come in UNDER again. Big mistake.


I see both teams pressing 20 points which pushes us way over the total.


100-dime NFL winner teaser on the Steelers/Browns OVER and the Rams/Cardinals OVER.





Al DeMarco - GM

Sunday's Play

5 Dime play on Indianapolis as the favorite today at Lucas Oil Stadium against Buffalo. The hosts are -3 points over the visiting Bills - who I backed in their last game at home versus Miami - but today find themselves on the road once more where they've allowed 30.2 points on average this season. With this line being on the magical -3, go ahead and buy the 1/2 point on Indy if your price is -3, -3 1/2 or -4.


The Colts got annihilated 59-24 at New England last Sunday and now they're laying just a field goal at home to Buffalo.

Had the Bills in their last game against Miami, but that was at home. The road has been a nightmare for them. Ironically, they lost 37-31 in Foxboro in their last road outing. And FYI....they got annihilated at home by the Patriots in late September 52-28.

Buffalo is allowing 30.2 points on the road this season. They gave up 48 and lost by 20 at New York against the Jets. They got creamed 45-3 at San Francisco, too. Sure, they played tough at Houston, before falling 21-9, and upset the Cardinals in Arizona and beat the Browns in Cleveland, but a 30.2 point-per-game yield on the road is just that and you don't win many games on the highway with that type of "non"-stop unit.

The Colts had won four straight and five of six prior to the New England massacre. Their last home game came against Buffalo's last opponent: Miami. Indy rallied to beat the Dolphins thanks to a 516-yard offensive output. When the Bills beat Miami two Thursdays ago, they managed just 281 yards against the same Dolphin defense.

Indianapolis is 4-1 SU and ATs at home this year, upsetting the Vikings and Packers along the way. Andrew Luck has eight TD passes versus two interceptions in those contests.

One of the keys to Indy's turnaround this season has been the development of a ground game by a team that couldn't run the ball a lick last season. Donald Brown (378 yards, 4.1 ypc) opened the year as the primary ball carrier, but he's been supplanted by rookie Vic Ballard (386 yards, 3.7 ypc), who has averaged 16.8 touches the past five weeks. They'll be facing a Buffalo rushing defense ranked 31st in the league with a per game yield of 153 yards (5.2 ypc).






Today's Note


Always nice to be up 7-0 after your team has run two plays, and 14-0 after two possessions, and 21-0 after one quarter when you're laying -16 1/2 points as I was yesterday with the Biggest Play of my Career in college football, a 30 Dimer on Fresno State, who went on to crush Air Force 48-15.


Now 2-0 with 30 dime college releases this season and my teams, Fresno yesterday and Arkansas State back on November 8 versus U.L. Monroe, won by a combined 93-38 and covered by 32 points.


Fresno's rout completed a strong college weekend as I previously scored on Friday night with my 15 Dime Total of the Year play on Arizona-Arizona State to go Over.


But you know, I don't celebrate the wins or lament the losses. Today is another day and it's back to the NFL where I've got a 5 Dime Best Bet.






Steve Budin - CEO

Sunday's Pick

The Baltimore Crew has a 50 Dime play on Atlanta as the road favorite against Tampa Bay. As I post this selection here on the site as of 1:35 AM Eastern on Sunday morning, the Falcons are anywhere from pick-em to -1 1/2 in Vegas and offshore.
Note From Stevo


Congratulations to the Greek Syndicate for hitting their 50 Dime Winner #2 in a Row - and just their third college play of the season - with Texas A&M in a 30-point win over Missouri Saturday night.



Today I'm turning to the Baltimore Crew, who has been No. 1 in pro football the past five years, going 44-24-1 overall (you can find their complete record on my homepage) with a net profit of 763 dimes, all of which I've brought you.



Today they've got their 50 Dime Winner # 17 out of 24, their NFC South Game of the Year on the Falcons-Bucs showdown. They are 26-11-1 Lifetime with 50 Dime NFL releases - including 8 of 12 since the playoffs a year ago.


50 Dime Winner #17 of 24


Falcons-Bucs


And again, I've brought you ALL of their action the past five seasons.






As I made clear on my homepage, I am NOT a handicapper. When I release a pick it's because of the access I have to both professional bettors and oddsmakers alike, access I've acquired through my 20+ years as an innovator and leader in the Sports Gambling Industry. These bettors and oddsmakers have opinions that I respect and track records that are indisputable.








Chuck O'Brien

Sunday Winner...

60 Dime NFL Football Wynner today is on the Indianapolis Colts at home against the Buffalo Bills at Lucas Oil Stadium in downtown Indianapolis, Indiana. As I relzease this game at 5:15 a.m. (pst), the line I see on this game is Indianapolis -3, across the board at every sports book offshere and in Las Vegas. I'm also going to go ahead and buy the half point off this line and take it down to -2.5, as I want to avoid any issues and quite possibly a potential backdoor push if this goes down to the end or into overtime.

TONIGHT'S BREAKDOWN

If these guys aren't the feel-good story of the NFL season, I'm not sure who else would be.


Save for a moment the whole Peyton Manning-to-Denver, draft Andrew Luck saga. What about coach Chuck Pagano's battle with leukemia, and the fact his team is despyrately trying to get into the postseason for its beloved coach?


The Colts are off to a 6-4 start, and even though they come into this one after being humiliated by the New England Patriots last week, 59-24, I'm not giving up on the fact these Colts are as good as any other wild card contender at this point.


I always say a team should play in the moment, and not look ahead; but the Colts would be smart to glance forwzard for a moment, and apply some things to this game. After all, Indianapolis has to play Detroit on Dec. 2 and AFC-leading Houston twice still. Let's just say, worse-case the Colts were to lose all three. That would put them at 6-7, and the best they could be is 9-7. Still a possibility for the playoffs, but nothing is certain.


Fact is, however, they can't afford a hiccup in this game, against the struggling Bills. To be frank, a loss would be costly. Yes, this game is critical for the Bills as well, as they're sitting two games back of the Colts and the Pittsburgh Steelers for AFC wild card spots.


But I don't trust Buffalo, not one bit. And esecially not in Indy, which has been a model of consestency at home this season. The Colts are 4-1 at Lucas Oil Stadium, and haven't had back-to-back losses all season.


Lay the chalk with Indianapolis and don't forget about buying that half point.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

10* Oddsmaker’s Error Game of the Month is on the SD Chargers at 4:05 ET.

10* PERFECT STORM is on the NO Saints at 4:25 ET.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sixth Sense:

SEATTLE –3
CINCINNATI –8
TENNESSEE –4
TAMPA BAY +1
OAKLAND/CINCINNATI OVER 50.5
ATLANTA/TAMPA BAY OVER 51.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Charlie Sports 11/25


500* NFL. Kansas City+10'.
500* NFL. Seattle @ Miami under 38 points .
500* NFL. Green Bay @ Giants under 52 points .



NFL. Buffalo+3

NFL. Arizona-1

NFL. San Diego+2 Free Play

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Dr Ed Meyer
3* Titans

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Harry Bondi

4* NY Giants
3* Tennessee
3* San Diego

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3G/Karpinski

10 star is Buffalo

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wright side
san diego

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Dave Essler Triple Dime is Tampa Bay

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Marco D'Angelo

PLAY: NY GIANTS
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY

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Ray Falco

Falcons
Bills

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Steve Fezzik

add 234 TB +1 1 weight
Add 238 SD +1 1 weight
ADD 223 Pit-1. 2 weight.
ADD 291 Calgary -1.5 2 weight.
ADD 231 Minny +7-120 2 weight.
1q 233 ATL -110 (it's good up to -130) 3 weight
3q Tbaby +.5 -165 3 weight
1q 244 Giants -140 2 weight
221 Oak/Cin OVER 48.5 2 weight
229 Ten/JAX OVER 43.5 2 weight
242 STl/AZ UNDER 37.5 2 weight
243 Giants/NYG OVER 49.5 2 weight
233 ATl/TB OVER 48.5 3 weight

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Best Weekend wagers with Weekend Warrior November 25, 2012 8:45 AM by GT Staff

NFL Football

Pittsburgh Steelers -1½

New York Giants -2½

Miami Dolphins +3

Arizona Cardinals -1½

Cincinnati Bengals -8