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Accuscore
Oakland
Jacksonville
Balt/SD under
Green Bay
ATS LOCK
Denver
Cincinatti
Jacksonville
ASA
Denver -10
San Diego +1
Giants -2.5
BEN BURNS
(10*)KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
(10*)KANSAS CITY CHIEFS UNDER
(10*)MIAMI DOLPHINS
(10*)SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
(10*)NEW YORK GIANTS UNDER
(9*)TENNESSEE TITANS UNDER
(9*)ATLANTA FALCONS UNDER
(9*)NEW YORK GIANTS
Docs ENTERPRISES
(7*)NEW YORK GIANTS
(4*)NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
DR BOB
(3*)PITTSBURGH STEELERS
(3*)BUFFALO BILLS
(2*)SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
GAME DAY
(2*)BUFFALO BILLS
(2*)MIAMI DOLPHINS
(2*)NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
HARRY BONDI
(4*)NEW YORK GIANTS
(3*)TENNESSEE TITANS
(3*)SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
GOLD SHEET
(2*)INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
(1*)PITTSBURGH STEELERS
(1*)TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
(1*)TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS OVER
NORTHCOAST
(3*)SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
(3*)SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
(3*)ATLANTA FALCONS
Larry Ness' 10* NFL Week 12 Goin' Over Total (31-19 s/2010)
My 10* NFL Week 12 Goin’ Over Total is on Pit/Cle Over at 1:00 ET. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won 22 of 24 against the Browns and outscored them 96-31 during a four-game winning streak in the series, with Cleveland managing two TDs in those contests. The Steelers have also taken two straight and 13 of their last 15 in Cleveland. Of course, the Steelers have no Big Ben and with Leftwich injured, will go with their third QB, Charlie Batch. I’m here to say that Batch is an upgrade over Leftwich. The 37-year-old is 5-2 while starting in place of Roethlisberger over the last decade and in his last start, in Week 16 at St Louis in 2011, he completed 15 of 22 for 208 yards (no TDs / 1 INT) in a 27-0 win over the Rams. Batch was 13 of 19 for 150 yards and ran for a score in his only previous start vs Cleveland, a 34-21 Pittsburgh home win Nov 13, 2005. The Steelers D did its part last Sunday night, holding the Ravens without an offensive TD but after going up 7-0 less than a minute into the game, the Steelers were able to muster only a single FG the rest of the game. Baltimore made a 63-yard punt return TD plus two FGs stand up for a 13-10 win. That leaves the 6-4 Steelers two full games behind the Ravens in the AFC North with a trip to Baltimore coming up next week. The good news is that the Steelers and Colts are both 6-4, currently holding down the two wild card spots. However, if the Steelers stumble here and then at Baltimore, those wild card chances become tenuous. The Browns are going nowhere again, entering this game at 2-8. Rookie QB Weeden has had his moments (he needs just 150 passing yards to surpass Tim Couch’s 2,447 for the most by a rookie in club history) but overall, numbers never lie. He’s completing a low percentage (55.3%) with 11 TDs and 12 INTs, giving him a QB rating of 70.3, which ranks 31st in the league. RB Trent Richardson has fought through injuries to gain 670 rushing yards. He fell only five yards short of collecting his third consecutive 100-yard rushing performance at Dallas last Sunday, a game in which the Browns blew a 13-point lead. Here’s why I expect this game to go over this very low total. The Steelers' rushing carousel of Rashard Mendenhall, Jonathan Dwyer and Isaac Redman should have one of their better days vs a Cleveland rush D which ranks 24th in the NFL (125.3 YPG on 4.2 YPC). That ought to make things easier for Batch, who I believe will surprise many with a very efficient game. Now the Browns will have no easy time vs the Pittsburgh defense, which ranks No. 1 in yards allowed (259.1 YPG) and 4th in points allowed (19.0 per). However, this is a division game and let me point out that the Browns have already finished their season series with AFC North rivals Cincinnati and Baltimore. The two games vs the Bengals were surprisingly high-scoring with Cleveland losing 34-27 at Cincy but winning 34-24 at home. The Browns lost 23-16 at Baltimore and then again 25-15 at home to the Ravens. Note that all FOUR of those game scores come in above (the Cincy games WAY above) the opening total of 36 on this game. Giving us an even greater margin of error, the total on the game continues to be bet down. Go OVER!
4-Unit Play. #557. Take Portland State +20.5 over Oklahoma State (Sunday @ 2pm est).
Portland State just lost to rival Portland in a fairly ugly game 81-60. They were probably looking ahead to playing a top 25 team in Oklahoma State away from home. Portland State is a squad that faced an Oregon team on the road who I have as a top 20 team in the power rankings and fell short to them by 11 points on the road. As they come off a difficult loss to Portland, I suspect they will be motivated to do well this game. Oklahoma State sports a top 20 defense coming into this game and as they come off such a huge victory over NC State by 20 points on neutral footing, I can see them having a bit of a let down today. Portland State also features the top free throw shooting team in the nation as well. And, with 4 individuals that can provide decent scoring, I look for them to do well here as a decent public fade against a top 25 squad in Oklahoma State who recently took the ranking and that itself is bit of a fade.
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