12-17-12

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358433

    #16
    CBB

    -- Coach Boeheim goes for win #900 against Detroit team that lost by 3 at St John's, by 13 at Pitt. 9-0 Syracuse hasn't won home game by less than 20 points; six of their nine opponents are ranked lower than #132 Titans. Horizon League road underdogs are 14-12 against the spread. Big East home favorites of 17+ points are 11-7 against spread.
    -- Northwestern star Crawford just had shoulder surgery, is out for year; Wildcats lost last three home games, scoring 55.3 ppg; this is their first game in nine days. Texas State plays #2 pace in country, quite contrast to patient Northwestern; State lost six of last eight games, but just lost by only 12 at Texas. WAC double digit road underdogs are 7-5.
    -- Florida State lost three of last four games, is just 5-4, with losses to #150/193 teams; they're 2-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 8-32 points. UL-Monroe is 1-5, with three losses by 25+ points; 15% of its shots get blocked. ACC double digit home favorites are 12-8 vs spread; Sun Belt double digit road underdogs are 4-12.
    -- Home side won last five Louisiana Tech-Little Rock games; Bulldogs lost last three visits here, by 9-9-14 points.Tech allowed 68 or less in its eight wins, 71+ in its three losses. UALR turns ball over 23% of time but is 6-0 at home. Sun Belt home underdogs are 5-1; WAC teams are 16-11 in games where spread is 5 or less points-- road favorites are 5-0.

    -- UNLV is 8-1, winning road games at Portland by 8, Cal by 1, but they aren't as good without injured star Moser; Rebels beat UTEP at home by 11 LY. UTEP is 3-4, but three of losses are to teams in top 80- Miners losing by 21-7-21 points. MWC single digit road favorites are 5-3-1 vs spread. C-USA underdogs are 11-22 vs spread, 0-3 at home.
    -- Cornell lost both its road games, by 11 at Arizona State, Wisconsin by 33; Big Red is 0-4 vs teams in top 200, losing by 4-33-11-23; they have a huge loss ahead of them Wednesday at Duke. Vanderbilt is 4-4- three of their four losses are vs top 100 teams. Ivy League road underdogs are 8-16 vs spread. SEC single digit home favorites are 7-10 vs spread.
    -- Santa Clara is 8-2 after losing its last 18 games LY; Broncos' senior G Foster is playing well after being suspended most of LY. Santa Clara is 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 8-15-21 points. Cal Poly won at UCLA but lost its other three road games, by 7-13-18 points- they're 2-4 vs D-I teams. Big West road underdogs are 22-18 against spread.
    -- Valparaiso/Oakland split pair of high scoring games last two years, as road team won both, 82-80/103-102; Crusaders are 7-3 this year, 6-1 vs teams not in top 100, with wins at Kent State/Missouri State. Oakland lost seven of last eight games vs D-I teams, allowing 77 ppg in last three. Horizon League road favorites are 8-10 against the spread.
    -- Fort Wayne is 3-6 vs D-I teams, 1-5 on road, losing by 5-11-10; they shoot 29.4% from arc, 59.5% from line. This is second of 4 games/7 nights stretch for Notre Dame, before they get two weeks off; Irish had good win over Purdue Saturday. Summit League double digit road faves are 8-15 vs spread; Big East home favorites of 20+ points are 8-2.

    -- Georgia Southern won SU as 14-point dogs at Virginia Tech Saturday, just its second win in seven D-I games; Eagles were held to 54 points or less in all five losses- they scored 62+ in four wins. Bradley is 6-2 after ending LY on 2-21 skid; Braves have only one win vs team ranked higher than #285. MVC double digit home favorites are 9-7 against spread.
    -- Montana State won 74-72 at Northern Arizona LY, after losing here in previous nine visits, by average of 16 points. Bobcats are 1-5 this season vs D-I teams, with only win by 19 over Portland- they're 0-3 away from home, losing by 15-14-13 points. Lumberjacks are 3-1 vs teams not in top 200; Montana State is lowest-rated team they've played this year.
    -- North Dakota is 0-6 vs D-I teams, with three losses by 5 points or less; they've beaten couple of non-D-I teams- they're 0-5 on road, with three losses by 20+ points. Southern Utah is also 0-6 vs D-I teams, with oair of other wins-- this is their first game in 13 days. Thunderbirds are turning ball over 29% of time, shooting 25.8% behind arc. Not good.
    -- Eastern Washington is 2-6; five of its last six games were decided by 5 or less points, or in OT; Eagles beat Cal-Davis by 20 LY at home. UCD is 1-6, losing only home game to Sacramento State; Davis turns ball over 23% of time. Big Sky single digit road underdogs are 7-9 vs spread. Big West home favorites are 8-6 against the spread.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358433

      #17
      Football Crusher
      Tennessee Titans -125 over NY Jets
      (System Record: 41-3, lost last 2 games)
      Overall Record: 41-44-4

      Basketball Crusher
      UC Davis -4.5 over Eastern Washington
      (System Record: 27-2, won last game)
      Overall Record: 27-20-0



      Soccer Crusher
      Reading + Arsenal UNDER 3
      This match is happening in England
      (System Record: 329-14, won last game and a push)
      Overall Record: 329-289-39
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358433

        #18
        NFL

        Jets (6-7) @ Titans (5-8)—As bad as the Jets have been, as awful as their QB play has been, they close with Titans-Chargers-Bills; its not impossible they could still make playoffs. Go figure. Gang Green won three of last four games, allowing 13 or less points in all three wins; they’re 3-3 on road, losing at Pitt-Foxboro-Seattle. Tennessee lost four of last six games, as young QB Locker gets experience; he’s kind of a right-handed Tebow, athletic as hell, not an accurate passer. Titans are 2-4 at home, with both wins by a FG (Lions/Steelers). Jets ran ball for 177-166 yards last two games, as they try to take pressure off Sanchez, who has horrible set of WRs; expect more of same here. Jets won five of last six series games, winning three of four here, but last of those was in ’08. AFC East road underdogs are 5-7 vs spread; AFC South home favorites are 5-1. Did you know before the Jets were the Jets, they were the New York Titans?
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358433

          #19
          DCI Pro Basketball
          The Daniel Curry Index

          12/17/12 Predictions

          Season
          Straight Up: 226-111 (.671)
          ATS: 170-172 (.497)
          ATS Vary Units: 568-511 (.526)
          Over/Under: 181-162 (.528)
          Over/Under Vary Units: 329-270 (.549)

          ORLANDO 97, Minnesota 94
          NEW YORK 108, Houston 98
          L.A. Clippers 99, DETROIT 92
          MEMPHIS 92, Chicago 86
          OKLAHOMA CITY 107, San Antonio 104
          PHOENIX 108, Sacramento 100
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358433

            #20
            Today's NFL Picks

            NY Jets at Tennessee

            The Jets look to take advantage of a Tennessee team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 December games. New York is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+2). Here are all of this week's picks.
            MONDAY, DECEMBER 17
            Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (12/12)
            Game 331-332: NY Jets at Tennessee (8:30 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 127.362; Tennessee 127.415
            Dunkel Line: Even; 45
            Vegas Line: Tennessee by 2; 41 1/2
            Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+2); Over
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358433

              #21
              Today's NBA Picks

              Chicago at Memphis

              The Grizzlies look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is coming off an 83-82 win over Brooklyn and is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU victory. Memphis is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-6). Here are all of today's picks.
              MONDAY, DECEMBER 17
              Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
              Game 701-702: Minnesota at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 119.426; Orlando 114.832
              Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 191
              Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 3; 185
              Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Over
              Game 703-704: LA Clippers at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 125.147; Detroit 116.671
              Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 188
              Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6 1/2; 193 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-6 1/2); Under
              Game 705-706: Houston at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Houston 116.663; New York 127.892
              Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 11; 202
              Vegas Line & Total: New York by 9; 210
              Dunkel Pick: New York (-9); Under
              Game 707-708: Chicago at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 118.618; Memphis 128.272
              Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 9 1/2; 184
              Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 6; 179
              Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-6); Over
              Game 709-710: San Antonio at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 124.719; Oklahoma City 125.851
              Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 212
              Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City 5; 207
              Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+5); Over
              Game 711-712: Sacramento at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 110.032; Phoenix 120.324
              Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 10 1/2; 193
              Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 6; 198
              Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-6); Under
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358433

                #22
                NCAA Basketball Picks

                Texas State at Northwestern

                The Bobcats look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Texas State is the pick (+13) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by only 11. Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+13). Here are all of today's games.
                MONDAY, DECEMBER 17
                Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
                Game 713-714: Detroit at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 58.275; Syracuse 81.958
                Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 23 1/2; 146
                Vegas Line: Syracuse by 19; 151 1/2
                Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-19); Under
                Game 715-716: Texas State at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 49.020; Northwestern 60.106
                Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 11; 145
                Vegas Line: Northwestern by 13; 141 1/2
                Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+13); Over
                Game 717-718: UL-Monroe at Florida State (7:00 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 40.031; Florida State 67.451
                Dunkel Line: Florida State by 27 1/2
                Vegas Line: Florida State by 25 1/2
                Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-25 1/2)
                Game 719-720: Louisiana Tech at AR-Little Rock (8:00 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 60.195; AR-Little Rock 55.635
                Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 4 1/2
                Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 2
                Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-2)
                Game 721-722: UNLV at UTEP (8:00 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 65.413; UTEP 60.576
                Dunkel Line: UNLV by 5; 137
                Vegas Line: UNLV by 7 1/2; 131
                Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+7 1/2); Over
                Game 723-724: Cornell at Vanderbilt (9:00 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 47.147; Vanderbilt 63.126
                Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 16; 123
                Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 9 1/2; 126
                Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-9 1/2); Under
                Game 725-726: Cal Poly at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 52.558; Santa Clara 61.143
                Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 8 1/2
                Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 11 1/2
                Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+11 1/2)
                Game 727-728: Valparaiso at Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 57.260; Oakland 50.400
                Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 7
                Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 3 1/2
                Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-3 1/2)
                Game 729-730: IPFW at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 45.010; Notre Dame 72.140
                Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 27
                Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 23
                Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-23)
                Game 731-732: Georgia Southern at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 50.336; Bradley 58.520
                Dunkel Line: Bradley by 8
                Vegas Line: Bradley by 10
                Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+10)
                Game 733-734: Montana State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 43.375; Northern Arizona 52.808
                Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 9 1/2
                Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 7
                Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (-7)
                Game 735-736: North Dakota at Southern Utah (9:30 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 45.780; Southern Utah 43.120
                Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 2 1/2
                Vegas Line: Southern Utah by 1
                Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+1)
                Game 737-738: Eastern Washington at UC Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
                Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 45.584; UC Davis 51.070
                Dunkel Line: UC Davis by 5 1/2
                Vegas Line: UC Davis by 4 1/2
                Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (-4 1/2)
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358433

                  #23
                  Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

                  Our Free Plays are 952-707 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

                  Free Mon Memphis -6 NBA
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358433

                    #24
                    JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

                    North Dakota +2 over Southern Utah
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358433

                      #25
                      Spurs at Thunder: What Bettors Need to Know

                      San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder (-4.5, 207)

                      The Oklahoma City Thunder have been rolling along, having won 10 in a row to seize the best record in the NBA. The Thunder will face a familiar opponent on Monday when they host the San Antonio Spurs, the team which they defeated during last season's Western Conference finals. The Spurs exacted a small measure of revenge with an 86-84 triumph when the teams met on Nov. 1.

                      The Thunder, who posted a 113-103 win over Sacramento on Friday, enters the contest with a league-best 105.7 scoring average and 9.3 point differential. San Antonio can also score some points, as it showed when it surpassed 130 on two occasions recently. The Spurs didn't reach that total, but secured a comfortable 103-88 victory over Boston on Saturday.

                      TV: 8 p.m. ET, Fox Sports Southwest (San Antonio), Fox Sports Oklahoma

                      ABOUT THE SPURS (19-6, 16-8-1 ATS): Tony Parker drained the game-winning 21-footer as time expired when the teams met last month. Tim Duncan had 20 points and eight rebounds, but veteran guard Manu Ginobili missed that contest. As it turns out, Ginobili is doubtful to play on Monday as well. Ginobili suffered a bruised left quad in Saturday's win, prompting coach Gregg Popovich to say on Sunday that "it's hard to believe he'd be ready (for Monday), but I'm not sure."

                      ABOUT THE THUNDER (19-4, 14-8-1 ATS): Kevin Durant, who scored 31 points on Friday, had a game-high 23 points when Oklahoma City last played San Antonio. The three-time NBA scoring champion is having another brilliant season - with his 27.5 points per game already ahead of his career average. Oklahoma City owns a sparkling 13-2 mark at home, bested only by New York's 10-0 record at Madison Square Garden.

                      TRENDS:

                      * Over is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings in Oklahoma City.
                      * Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
                      * Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
                      * Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
                      * Spurs are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Oklahoma City.
                      * Spurs are 0-4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

                      BUZZER BEATERS:

                      1. Oklahoma City will look to match its longest winning streak since November 1996, when the franchise won 11 in a row as the Seattle SuperSonics.

                      2. San Antonio F Stephen Jackson will miss his 15th consecutive game with a finger injury.

                      3. Thunder G Russell Westbrook has struggled with his shot over the last two games. Westbrook, who is just 8-for-27, started the month by going 36-for-78
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358433

                        #26
                        StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

                        NFL NY JETS at TENNESSEE

                        Play Over - Home teams against the total in conference games, off 2 straight losses against division rivals.
                        38-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.7% 21.5 units )
                        2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

                        NFL NY JETS at TENNESSEE

                        Play On - Underdogs vs. the money line (NY JETS) in a game involving two average offensive teams (18-23 PPG) after 8 or more games, after allowing 14 points or less last game.
                        95-94 since 1997. ( 50.3% 0.0 units )
                        0-1 this year. ( 0.0% 0.0 units )

                        NFL NY JETS at TENNESSEE

                        Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is between 18 and 21 after 1 or more consecutive wins, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
                        49-20 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.0% 27.0 units )
                        1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358433

                          #27
                          StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

                          CBB IUPU-FT WAYNE at NOTRE DAME

                          Play Against - Favorites of 10 or more points (NOTRE DAME) hot shooting team - 4 straight games making >=47% of their shots.
                          122-67 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.6% 48.3 units )
                          4-2 this year. ( 66.7% 1.8 units )

                          CBB MONTANA ST at N ARIZONA

                          Play On - A road team vs. the money line (MONTANA ST) off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season.
                          32-33 over the last 5 seasons. ( 49.2% 32.6 units )
                          1-1 this year. ( 50.0% 0.5 units )

                          CBB CORNELL at VANDERBILT

                          Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 55.5 to 60.5 in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG differential.), after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games.
                          175-102 since 1997. ( 63.2% 62.8 units )
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358433

                            #28
                            StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

                            NBA LA CLIPPERS at DETROIT

                            Play On - Road favorites (LA CLIPPERS) an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more.
                            44-17 since 1997. ( 72.1% 25.3 units )
                            2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

                            NBA CHICAGO at MEMPHIS

                            Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in December games.
                            122-63 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.9% 48.7 units )
                            12-10 this year. ( 54.5% 4.9 units )

                            NBA SAN ANTONIO at OKLAHOMA CITY

                            Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half.
                            49-20 since 1997. ( 71.0% 27.0 units )
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358433

                              #29
                              Handicapping Kings

                              JIMMY

                              7:00PM Valparaiso vs Oakland
                              [727] Valparaiso -3.5 -110

                              GOODFELLAS

                              7:00PM Detroit U vs Syracuse
                              [714] Syracuse -19.5 -110

                              9:00PM Cornell vs Vanderbilt
                              [724] Vanderbilt -9.5 -110

                              MARC

                              8:05PM Chicago Bulls vs Memphis Grizzlies
                              [707] OVER 179.5 -110

                              8:40PM New York Jets vs Tennessee Titans
                              [331](LIGHTS OUT- 2 UNIT PLAY) UNDER 42 -105

                              PERRY

                              SPAIN - LA LIGA

                              BETIS SEVILLA/ RC CELTA DE VIGO OVER 2.5 -105 (330PM)
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358433

                                #30
                                5Lines

                                Total Line for 12/17/2012
                                (Won last game)
                                Today's Winning Team is:
                                NBA - Los Angeles Clippers : o193
                                Cost: -110



                                Run Line for 12/17/2012
                                (Won last 7 games)
                                Today's Winning Team is:
                                NBA - Memphis Grizzlies : -6.5
                                Cost: -110
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