
12-18-12
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NCAAB Top 4: Mid-major moneymakers
The Creighton Bluejays were tabbed as this year’s mid-major monster and haven’t disappointed in the first two months of the season.
The small Omaha-based school out of the Missouri Valley Conference is ranked 13th in the country, sitting at 10-1 SU. More importantly to college hoops bettors, the Bluejays have posted an 8-1 ATS record in that span.
Creighton isn’t the only mid-major program making big bucks to start the schedule. Here are four other lesser-known schools proving to be solid bets in non-conference play:
Wyoming Cowboys (10-0 SU, 6-1 ATS)
The Cowboys are contending in the Mountain West Conference and are one of just seven programs with perfect records so far. Among the other unblemished schools are powerhouses like Duke, Syracuse, Michigan and Arizona. Nice company. Wyoming has been working on improving its depth during a 10-day delay during finals. The Cowboys will look to their bench more when they face Denver Tuesday.
Charlotte 49ers (10-1 SU, 6-2 ATS)
The Atlantic 10 may be considered better than a mid-major conference among NCAAB heads but the 49ers aren't counted among the A-10’s elite. Charlotte is off and running with just one loss – to Miami – and has managed to cover in six of those games. Defense has been the focus for Alan Major’s troops. The 49ers are limiting foes to 37.3 percent shooting and give up only 60.8 points per game. It’s no wonder they’re also 0-4 over/under on the year.
Illinois-Chicago Flames (9-1 SU, 8-1 ATS)
The Flames weren’t expected to contend in the Horizon League, even with Butler jumping ship. But, UIC has ample experience and a deadly back court punch in Gary Talton and Daniel Barnes, who combine to average 26 points and almost eight assists per game. The Flames already have some resume wins over Northwestern, Mercer and Iona and nearly knocked off No. 20 New Mexico. Five of UIC’s covers have come as an underdog.
North Dakota State Bison (9-3 SU, 8-2 ATS)
The Bison are tuning up for what should be an exciting race in the Summit League. North Dakota State has great offensive balance with three players averaging double figures and another putting up 9.8 points a game. Saul Phillips has tested his team early with matchups versus Indiana and Minnesota and has scheduled the majority of the opening games away from fargo. -
The Goldsheet
★ ★ ★ ★KEY RELEASES ★ ★ ★ ★
Youngstown State (+7) by 3 over South Florida
Under (189) Pacers at Bucks
★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★★ ★ ★ ★★ ★ ★ ★★ ★ ★ ★
Youngstown State 71 - SOUTH FLORIDA 68—Regional sources
report 5-3 USF has had some trouble fully assimilating HC Stan Heath’s new
motion offense, as well as finding someone to consistently do the “dirty work”
down low that was supplied LY by graduated 6-8 F Ron Anderson, Jr.
Meanwhile, improving YSU adhering to HC Jerry Slocum’s mantra, “EP”—every
play, every possession. You can count on emotionally-charged performances
from the Penguins’ dynamic backcourt of 6-0 G Kendrick Perry (hails from
Ocoee, FL; 16.3 pg, 4.5 apg) & 6-1 sr. G Blake Allen (Tampa native; 12.3 ppg),
both of whom are excited for this rare homecoming trip. Note that the Bulls
already endured home upset losses vs. UCF & Western Michigan in November.Comment
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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
12/18/12 Predictions
Season
Straight Up: 1151-348 (.768)
ATS: 450-479 (.484)
ATS Vary Units: 1672-1892 (.469)
Over/Under: 134-119 (.530)
Over/Under Vary Units: 185-187 (.497)
Non-Conference
AKRON 78, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 55
ARIZONA 76, Oral Roberts 59
AUBURN 66, Tennessee Tech 61
AUSTIN PEAY 76, Lipscomb 75
CALIFORNIA 75, UC Santa Barbara 65
COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON 69, Old Dominion 61
EAST CAROLINA 70, Gardner-Webb 60
EAST TENNESSEE STATE 72, Charleston Southern 68
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 80, Stetson 71
GEORGIA 56, Mercer 54
HAMPTON 58, American 56
IONA 85, Liberty 64
KANSAS 80, Richmond 57
KANSAS STATE 77, Texas Southern 54
Lsu 72, UC IRVINE 67
Miami (Fla.) 69, UCF 64
Michigan State 66, BOWLING GREEN 53
MIDDLE TENNESSEE 72, Tennessee State 59
Missouri State 65, ALABAMA A&M 57
NC STATE 74, Stanford 66
NEBRASKA 61, Jacksonville State 54
NORTHEASTERN 71, UNC Asheville 69
OHIO STATE 82, Winthrop 46
OKLAHOMA 62, Stephen F. Austin 54
PROVIDENCE 79, Colgate 58
PURDUE 71, Ball State 56
Robert Morris 72, UL LAFAYETTE 65
SAN FRANCISCO 72, Holy Cross 59
SOUTH FLORIDA 67, Youngstown State 53
Southern Miss 64, GEORGIA STATE 60
Stony Brook 71, SACRED HEART 62
TCU 63, Southern 53
TENNESSEE 76, Presbyterian 47
TEXAS A&M 73, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 50
UCLA 74, Long Beach State 65
Uic vs. WESTERN ILLINOIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
UTAH 58, Smu 55
VCU 74, Western Kentucky 58
WAKE FOREST 72, Furman 59
Wofford 65, JACKSONVILLE 63
WYOMING 62, Denver 52Comment
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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
12/18/12 Predictions
Season
Straight Up: 231-112 (.673)
ATS: 173-175 (.497)
ATS Vary Units: 578-516 (.528)
Over/Under: 184-165 (.527)
Over/Under Vary Units: 332-277 (.545)
Atlanta 96, WASHINGTON 91
CLEVELAND 97, Toronto 95
Utah vs. BROOKLYN: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
MIAMI 105, Minnesota 92
CHICAGO 90, Boston 86
MILWAUKEE 95, Indiana 94
DALLAS 97, Philadelphia 92
San Antonio 107, DENVER 105
L.A. LAKERS 108, Charlotte 91
GOLDEN STATE 102, New Orleans 92Comment
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Mighty Quinn
Mighty hit with the Titans (-1 1/2) Monday.
Tuesday it’s Virginia Commonwealth. The deficit is 1378 sirignanos.Comment
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JOE WIZ FREE PLAY
Tuesday ... In College Hoops take Jacksonville St. +6 over NebraskaComment
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
Our Free Plays are 953 - 707 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !
Free TUES Calif -14Comment
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Gamblers Data
Free Play Tuesday
Pacers +3Comment
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Soccer Crusher
Brighton + Millwall UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 329-14, lost last game)
Overall Record: 329-290-39Comment
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Today's NBA Picks
Indiana at Milwaukee
The Bucks look to take advantage of an Indiana team that is coming off an 88-77 win over Detroit and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games following a SU victory of more than 10 points. Milwaukee is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bucks favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 18
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. ESTGame 501-502: Atlanta at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.564; Washington 115.004
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6 1/2); OverGame 503-504: Toronto at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 106.904; Cleveland 116.671
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 10; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 4 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-4 1/2); UnderGame 505-506: Utah at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.151; Brooklyn 122.810
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-4 1/2); UnderGame 507-508: Minnesota at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 117.998; Miami 126.096
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8; 203
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 9; 198
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+9); OverGame 509-510: Boston at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 116.435; Chicago 123.256
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 181 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-1 1/2); OverGame 511-512: Indiana at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 117.057; Milwaukee 121.247
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 4; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 2 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-2 1/2); UnderGame 513-514: Philadelphia at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 112.264; Dallas 118.157
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 6; 188
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/AGame 515-516: San Antonio at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 123.433; Denver 124.659
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 1; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 2 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+2 1/2); OverGame 517-518: New Orleans at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 112.878; Golden State 125.278
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 12 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 7 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-7 1/2); UnderGame 519-520: Charlotte at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 108.500; LA Lakers 118.421
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 10; 211
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 12; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+12); OverComment
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NCAA Basketball Picks
Stanford at NC State
The Wolfpack look to follow up their 84-62 win over Norfolk State and build on their 11-2 ATS record in their last 13 games following a SU victory. NC State is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wolfpack favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NC State (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 18
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. ESTGame 521-522: Ball State at Purdue (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 49.364; Purdue 62.478
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 13
Vegas Line: Purdue by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+15 1/2)Game 523-524: Michigan State at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 68.092; Bowling Green 54.593
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 13 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 11; 122
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-11); UnderGame 525-526: Southern Mississippi at Georgia State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 59.158; Georgia State 53.124
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 6
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-3 1/2)Game 527-528: Youngstown State at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 53.962; South Florida 59.247
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 7
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+7)Game 529-530: Richmond at Kansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 62.539; Kansas 75.731
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 13; 142
Vegas Line: Kansas by 15 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (+15 1/2); OverGame 531-532: Miami (FL) at Central Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 67.412; Central Florida 59.727
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 7 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 4 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-4 1/2); UnderGame 533-534: Western Kentucky at VCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 57.939; VCU 72.469
Dunkel Line: VCU by 14 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: VCU by 16 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+16 1/2); OverGame 535-536: Stanford at NC State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 63.190; NC State 71.662
Dunkel Line: NC State by 9 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: NC State by 6 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: NC State (-6 1/2); UnderGame 537-538: SMU at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 54.218; Utah 61.998
Dunkel Line: Utah by 8
Vegas Line: Utah by 7
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-7)Game 539-540: Denver at Wyoming (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 61.754; Wyoming 66.004
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 8
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+8)Game 541-542: LSU at UC-Irvine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 57.004; UC-Irvine 57.250
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: LSU by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+1 1/2)Game 543-544: Long Beach State at UCLA (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 53.766; UCLA 68.731
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 15
Vegas Line: UCLA by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-12 1/2);Game 545-546: UC-Santa Barbara at California (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 53.325; California 64.678
Dunkel Line: California by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: California by 14
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (+14)Game 547-548: Furman at Wake Forest (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 42.540; Wake Forest 56.116
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-12 1/2)Game 549-550: Old Dominion at College of Charleston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 49.874; College of Charleston 56.218
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+8 1/2)Game 551-552: Illinois-Chicago at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 61.422; Western Illinois 56.484
Dunkel Line: Illinois-Chicago by 5
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (-1 1/2)Game 553-554: Tennessee State at Middle Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 52.248; Middle Tennessee State 63.993
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+14)Game 555-556: Tennessee Tech at Auburn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 47.275; Auburn 60.140
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 13
Vegas Line: Auburn by 9
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-9)Game 557-558: Jacksonville State at Nebraska (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 48.868; Nebraska 59.326
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 6
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-6)Game 561-562: Winthrop at Ohio State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winthrop 47.154; Ohio State 75.357
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 28; 137
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 30; 130
Dunkel Pick: Winthrop (+30); OverComment
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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets
CBB MICHIGAN ST at BOWLING GREEN
Play Against - A home team (BOWLING GREEN) terrible shooting team (<=40.5%) against an excellent defensive team (<=40.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )
CBB TENNESSEE TECH at AUBURN
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (TENNESSEE TECH) average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games.
311-206 since 1997. ( 60.2% 90.0 units )
6-2 this year. ( 75.0% 7.5 units )
CBB WINTHROP at OHIO ST.
Play On - Favorites of 11 or more points vs. the first half line (OHIO ST) off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, on Tuesday nights.
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )Comment
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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets
NBA INDIANA at MILWAUKEE
Play Over - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a good defensive team (88-92 PPG), after a blowout loss by 20 points or more.
70-33 since 1997. ( 68.0% 33.7 units )
NBA ATLANTA at WASHINGTON
Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) revenging a loss vs opponent, off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival.
39-20 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.1% 25.5 units )
NBA BOSTON at CHICAGO
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%)
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )Comment
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NBA TOTALS
12/18 Free Play - 523 Michigan St -11
12/18 Free Play - 518 Warriors -7.5Comment
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