12-18-12

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Extreme sports picks
Nuggets
nets
cal
byu bowl game (Thursday)

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Hawks won 11 of their last 14 games (3-0 as AF).
-- Heat won three of last four games (3-4 as single digit HF). Minnesota won six of last eight games (4-0 as AU of 6+ points).
-- Bulls won five of their last seven games (1-9 as HF).
-- Milwaukee won four of last five games (3-3-1 as HF). Pacers won three in row, nine of last 13 games (3-6 as AU).
-- Nuggets won four of last six games (5-2 as HF).
-- Warriors won nine of last 11 games (4-2 as HF).
-- Lakers won last two games, by 6-13 points (6-5 as HF).


Cold Teams
-- Wizards lost five of their last six games (3-3-2 as HU).
-- Cleveland lost eight of last nine games (1-1 as HF). Raptors lost six of last seven games (3-8-1 as AU of 5+ points).
-- Brooklyn lost six of its last eight games (3-4-2 as HF). Jazz lost its last two games, scoring 84-86 points (0-7-1 as AU).
-- Celtics are 4-5 in last nine games, covered one of their last five (1-3-2 as AU).
-- 76ers lost last three games, by 7-10-13 points (3-3 as AU). Dallas lost its last three games, with two of three in OT (4-4 as HF).
-- Spurs lost three of their last four games (1-1 as AU).
-- New Orleans lost its last seven games (7-3 as AU).
-- Bobcats lost their last 11 games, covered one of last six (1-4 as AU of 7+ points).

Totals
-- Seven of nine Atlanta road games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- 13 of last 17 Brooklyn games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Minnesota games went over the total.
-- 10 of last 12 Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last 12 Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Dallas games went over the total.
-- Spurs' last four games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten New Orleans games stayed under total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Charlotte games.

Back-to-backs
-- Minnesota is 1-3 vs spread playing second night in row on road.
-- Bulls are 2-3 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Spurs are 4-1-1 vs spread if they played the night before.

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CBB

-- Michigan State beat Bowling Green last two years by 35-14 points; Spartans lost 67-59 at Miami, in its only true road game this year- they are 6-0 vs teams not in top 100, with five of six wins by 12+ points. Falcons are 4-1 at home, beating #103 Detroit by 5, best team they've played this year. MAC home underdogs are 4-6 vs spread.
-- Southern Mississippi lost its last three road games, by 8-8-10 points; they're 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 18-12-48. USM turns ball over 26% of time, not good. Georgia State is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Duke/BYU by 19-18 points. C-USA road favorites are 6-8 vs spread; CAA home underdogs are 1-3 against the spread.
-- Richmond is 9-2, 2-2 on road, losing only two games outside Virginia at Minnesota by 15, Ohio by 25, also only two games Spiders played vs teams ranked in top 180. Kansas hammered Colorado/Belmont by 29-36 points in its last two games; Jayhawks are blocking 24% of opponents' shots. Atlantic 16 double digit road underdogs are 7-4 vs spread.
-- 6-1 Miami split its two road games, losing at Florida Gulf Coast by 12, winning by 13 at UMass; Hurricanes are 2-0 vs top 100 teams, with home wins over Michigan State/Charlotte. Central Florida beat Miami 84-78 two years ago, in last series meeting; Knights lost by 14-13 points in its games vs top 50 teams. Miami better not look ahead to its Hawai'i trip - they play Warriors Saturday.


-- First true road game for 7-3 Stanford team that is 0-3 vs top 50 teams, losing by 8-8-3 points; Cardinal won its last three games, allowing 55.7 ppg, but they were all at home. NC State is 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Oklahoma State/Michigan, beating UConn by 4. Pac-12 road dogs are 10-11 against the spread. ACC single digit home favorites are 8-6.
-- Utah (+7) lost 62-55 at SMU Nov 28, outscored 18-2 on the foul line. SMU got hammered by 22 at Rhode Island Saturday, in its first game in two weeks; Mustangs won their other road game at Hofstra. SMU is #5 in country, making 41.2% behind arc. Utah hasn't played in 10 days since losing to rival BYU by 3- they beat Boise by 21 for its best win.
-- Denver lost last four visits to Wyoming by 8-13-32-6 points; they're 0-3 on road, losing by 7-11-13. Pioneers are 0-4 vs top 100 teams so far this year, scoring just 55.5 ppg. First game in 10 days for Cowboys, not a good thing usually but in this case, gives them time to prepare for the Princeton offense. Wyoming is 2-0 vs top 100 teams winning by 7-14.
-- 6-1 LSU lost by 19 at Boise State last game, in its first away game of season; Tigers turn ball over 24.6% of time. Cal-Irvine lost five of its last six games, beat Nevada by 14 in its only home game vs D-I team; they lost 66-59 at LSU LY. Big West teams are 11-10 vs spread in games that have spread of 5 or less. SEC teams are 10-18 in such games.
-- Long Beach State overscheduled, as usual; they're already playing 5th game vs top 25 team, losing first four by 15-22-31-34 points. 49ers are young this year, losing six of last eight D-I games. UCLA is 6-1 vs teams not in top 100, with four of six wins by 26+ points. Big West double digit road dogs are 12-8 vs spread. Pac-12 home favorites are 23-17.

-- UCSB lost by 20 at California LY; Gauchos are 1-4 on road, winning in OT at Santa Clara, but losing by 14-28-14-16 points- they're 0-4 vs top 100 teams, with all four losses by 14+. UCSB turns ball over 24.6% of time. Cal Bears lost last three games, allowing 77 ppg- two of the Ls were at home. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 15-11.
-- 9-1 Ill-Chicago won last eight games, including win at Northwesterm; they beat Western Illinois by point at home LY. Flames get 37% of its scoring from outside arc (36.1%)- they allowed 47.6 ppg in last five tilts vs D-I teams. Leathernecks are 7-3, with only one win vs team ranked higher than #262- they lost by 5 at #120 Evansville, best foe to date.
-- Tennessee Tech is 6-4 against #269 schedule; they're 2-3 on road, with losses by 3-16-20 points- they turn ball over 22.6% of time. Auburn is 4-5 vs #324 schedule, another dismal start; they're 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 11-50-14 points- they're 3-2 at home, losing to URI and DePaul. OVC single digit road underdogs are 8-8 against spread.
-- Jacksonville State is 8-2 vs #331 schedule in country; they lost by 19 at UNLV, 22 at Oregon in only two games vs teams ranked above #269. Nebraska is 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 16-13-11; they lost last two games by 22 points each (Creighton/Oregon). OVC road dogs are 19-18 vs spread. Big Dozen home favorites are 24-18 vs spread.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bruce Marshall

Cavaliers -4.5

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Seabass Report for Tuesday:
All 50's:
Virginia Commonwealth
California
OVER Nets

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Sin City Sports....

4* Indy under 187
2* Celtics +2
2* Philly +6
2* Love over 13 rbs, -110
1* Tor under 190

5* NC State -7
4* Irvine +2
3* Miami Fl -4
2* So Fl -5
2* Ill Chic +2
1* Mich St under 123

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Dr Bob

3 Kansas
3 Wyoming

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Never Win Sports
12-3 Last 4 days
70% in Hoop this year

10* NBA Cleveland -4.5
10* CBB Tennessee Tech +9.5
10* CBB UCLA -13

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KB Hoops $ Won Strongest NBA play of the year on Clippers last night

NBA
5 units Golden State -7 **POD**
5 units Atlanta -7
4 units Dallas -6
4 units Cleveland -4.5
4 units Charlotte +12.5

College
5 units Bowling Green +12

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Rocky's Winners Circle

DECEMBER 18
FREE PLAY (152-74-1)

HEAT - TIMBERWOLVES OVER 199

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Ray Falco

CBB

Over Kansas-Richmond

NBA

Cavs

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Basketball Crusher
Minnesota Timberwolves + Miami Heat OVER 198
(System Record: 28-2, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 28-20-0

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Sports bank
400 jacksonville state

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SPORTS UNLIMITED
4 sixers

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total pleasure
under mavs