12-20-12

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Mark Mayer (Editor) @ Gaming Today

BYU -2½ vs. San Diego St.: The Aztecs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven, including a win at Boise State.
Wrong team is favored. SAN DIEGO ST.

Richard Saber @ Gaming Today

Thursday

Poinsettia (at San Diego)

BYU -3 vs. San Diego St. (49):
The Aztecs ended the season with seven straight wins and six covers plus the advantage of playing their home games at Qualcomm.
The wins over Nevada and Boise stick out. SAN DIEGO ST.

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CFB

Poinsettia Bowl (San Diego)
Home game for San Diego State, which won this game 35-14 in '10, then lost New Orleans Bowl LY; Aztecs won last seven games after 2-3 start, winning SU as underdogs at Nevada/Boise St. State is 3-1 as an underdog this year. BYU lost four of six road games this year, with only wins vs Ga Tech/New Mexico State; they won their last four games with former MWC rival Aztecs by average score of 38-22. Cougars are 6-0 if they score 30+ points, 1-5 if they don't; they're 3-4 as favorites this season. Aztecs held five of last seven foes under 20 points. BYU won last three bowls, scoring 40 ppg. MWC underdogs are 16-5 vs spread this season, 3-0 at home. BYU coach Mendenhall is 5-2 in bowls, San Diego State's Long 2-4. Underdogs covered four of last five Poinsettia Bowls, with Aztecs only one of the five favorites to cover. San Diego State is only team to beat Boise/Nevada in same season, since they've been I-A teams.

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NCAA Football Game Picks

BYU vs. San Diego State

The Aztecs look to take advantage of a BYU team that is coming off a 50-14 win over New Mexico State and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU victory. San Diego State is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Aztecs favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+3). Here are all of this year's bowl games.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20 Time Posted: 9:00 p.m. EST (12/12)

Game 205-206: BYU vs. San Diego State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: BYU 92.020; San Diego State 92.764 Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 1; 52 Vegas Line: BYU by 3; 48 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+3); Over

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DCI College Football
The Daniel Curry Index

Week 17 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1043-344 (.752)
ATS: 416-391 (.515)
ATS Vary Units: 2442-2278 (.517)
Over/Under: 373-358 (.510)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1228-877 (.583)

Thursday, December 20, 2012
SDCCU Poinsettia Bowl
at Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA
SAN DIEGO STATE 28, Byu 23

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BYU Cougars vs. San Diego State Aztecs
Point Spread - Pick

BYU Cougars (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) vs. San Diego State Aztecs (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS)
Poinsettia Bowl
Date/Time: December 20, 2012. 8:00 p.m. EST.
Where: Qualcomm Stadium
TV: ESPN
by Wilson, Football Handicapper

Point Spread: Brigham Young University -2.5/SD ST +2.5
Over/Under Total: 49

The BYU Cougars finished their regular season by demolishing the New Mexico State Aggies 50-14. It was a career day for two BYU offensive players: WR Cody Hoffman and QB James Lark. All Coffman did was pull in 12 catches for 182 yards and he 5 of the 12 grabs were touchdown receptions. Coffman's regular season numbers were impressive as he had 1,134 yards receiving and 11 touchdowns. Senior Cougar QB James Lark got his first career start and made one heck of a go of it-he threw for 384 yards, completed 34 of 50 passing, and tossed 6 TDs. Granted, the Aggies finished their season with a 1-10 record, but even so, the Cougars offense looked very smooth and executed the offense well.

The San Diego State Aztecs racked up 9 wins this season to finish out the regular season with an overall 9-3 record and 7-1 in conference play. The Aztecs are heading into the Poinsettia Bowl on a 7-game winning streak. They've outscored their last two opponents 70-37 and hope to bring that type of fire power to their home turf against the Cougars of BYU. The Aztecs football program has had some success throughout the years as they boast 19 conference championships including this season as they earned a share of the Mountain West Conference championship. One of their signature wins was at Boise State 21-19 which all but clinched their piece of the conference title-their first since 1998.

Offensively, the Aztecs average 35.1 points per game while their opponents averaged 24.5 per contest. San Diego St. has a slightly better output as a running team as they averaged 229 yards per game with 178.6 in passing yardage. However, the Aztecs gave up a fair amount of passing yards to the opposition-235 yards per game. But they held their opponents to 140 yards on the ground. Either way, the Aztecs outscored their opponents by 127 points over the course of the season thus the 9 wins. RB Adam Muema rushed for 255 yards and 4 TDs in the Aztecs last regular season game and sophomore QB Adam Dingwell tossed 2 TDs in the 42-28 route at Wyoming.

BYU's defense will definitely have their hands full in this bowl game with the Aztecs averaging 35 points per game the Cougars will need all 11 defenders to slow down San Diego State's offense. The Cougar's defense has been solid all year especially since they've had to offset a wishy-washy offense at times. The Cougars defense has a stellar core on the line as well as the linebacker positions and secondary. Notable games for BYU this season are the 47-0 shutout of Hawaii which isn't really saying a lot considering Hawaii was terrible but the Cougars lost close battles on the road with now No.1 Notre Dame 17-14 and No. 19 Boise State 7-6. This BYU team is capable of playing with the best teams in the country which will serve them well against a tough Aztecs team who have home field advantage.

The Cougars have the edge in yards gained, 409 per game, yards allowed, 266 per game, and penalties at 6.4 per game for an average of 40 yards lost per contest. San Diego State puts more points on the board per game with 35.1 and they are more effective in the red zone as well as the kicking game.

BYU QB Riley Nelson was injured on November 17 in a loss to San Jose State but he is expected to return in time for the bowl game. If Riley doesn't start the Poinsettia Bowl he will likely enter the game at some point assuming he is healthy enough to play. The Aztecs might be better off if Nelson stays on the sidelines as he will certainly look to have the game of his life as an outgoing senior. Before Nelson was suffered the rib injury he tallied up 13 TDs and threw for 2011 yards and 12 INTs.

The Cougar's defense will hold steady and slowdown the Aztecs but it won't be enough.

Wilson's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Take San Diego St. to upset BYU in the Poinsettia Bowl 31-21. Luck to ya.

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DR BOB

Opinion
SAN DIEGO ST. (+3.5) 22 BYU 21

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty was waiting on Cincinnati (-8) Wednesday.

Thursday it’s BYU. The deficit is 1328 sirignanos.

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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/20/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1231-365 (.771)
ATS: 481-501 (.490)
ATS Vary Units: 1770-1959 (.475)
Over/Under: 144-125 (.535)
Over/Under Vary Units: 192-191 (.501)

Tulane Classic
Final Round at New Orleans, LA
Alabama State 64, Texas-Pan American 63
TULANE 63, Pepperdine 58

World Vision Challenge
Round Robin at Logan, UT
Southern Illinois 73, UC Davis 64
UTAH STATE 81, Nicholls State 60

Big Sky Conference
PORTLAND STATE 76, Idaho State 64
Weber State 81, EASTERN WASHINGTON 75

Non-Conference
ARKANSAS 74, Robert Morris 72
Boise State 75, Idaho 65
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 73, Texas State 68
DUKE 89, Elon 57
HAMPTON 70, Northern Kentucky 58
KENT STATE 78, Saint Francis (Pa.) 57
LA SALLE 82, Iona 75
Lehigh 76, NORTH TEXAS 68
MEMPHIS 85, Lipscomb 64
MICHIGAN 69, Eastern Michigan 41
PRINCETON 67, Rider 60
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 74, Grambling State 39
UAB 77, Ulm 58
USC 64, UC Irvine 57
VALPARAISO 76, Iupui 58
WASHINGTON 77, Cal Poly 61
WICHITA STATE 83, Charleston Southern 62

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/20/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 248-115 (.683)
ATS: 185-184 (.501)
ATS Vary Units: 617-536 (.535)
Over/Under: 196-174 (.530)
Over/Under Vary Units: 350-287 (.549)

Oklahoma City 106, MINNESOTA 99
Miami 101, DALLAS 97
Denver 105, PORTLAND 101

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 953 - 708 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner Thurs Texas St + 4

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Thursday

Texas State +4

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Iona at LaSalle

The Gaels look to build on their 6-4 ATS record in their last 10 games as an underdog. Iona is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has LaSalle favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Iona (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 507-508: Texas State at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 48.020; Central Michigan 54.133 Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 6 Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 4 Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-4)

Game 509-510: UL-Monroe at UAB (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 41.022; UAB 58.892 Dunkel Line: UAB by 18 Vegas Line: UAB by 20 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+20 1/2)

Game 511-512: Pepperdine at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 50.314; Tulane 59.154 Dunkel Line: Tulane by 9 Vegas Line: Tulane by 7 Dunkel Pick: Tulane (-7)

Game 513-514: Eastern Michigan at Michigan (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 48.075; Michigan 75.806 Dunkel Line: Michigan by 27 1/2; 111 Vegas Line: Michigan by 24 1/2; 115 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-24 1/2); Under

Game 515-516: Cal Poly at Washington (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 52.217; Washington 63.993 Dunkel Line: Washington by 12 Vegas Line: Washington by 10 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-10)

Game 517-518: Idaho at Boise State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 53.101; Boise State 67.589 Dunkel Line: Boise State by 14 1/2 Vegas Line: Boise State by 12 Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-12)

Game 519-520: UC-Irvine at USC (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 51.250; USC 62.393 Dunkel Line: USC by 11 Vegas Line: USC by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: USC (-8 1/2)

Game 521-522: UC Davis vs. Southern Illinois (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 45.715; Southern Illinois 54.539 Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 9 Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (-6 1/2)

Game 523-524: Nicholls State at Utah State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nicholls State 42.506; Utah State 58.846 Dunkel Line: Utah State by 16 1/2 Vegas Line: Utah State by 18 Dunkel Pick: Nicholls State (+18)

Game 525-526: Elon at Duke (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Elon 52.839; Duke 83.262 Dunkel Line: Duke by 30 1/2 Vegas Line: Duke by 23 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Duke (-23 1/2)

Game 527-528: Iona at LaSalle (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Iona 56.842; LaSalle 59.575 Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: LaSalle by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Iona (+5 1/2)

Game 529-530: Rider at Princeton (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rider 52.842; Princeton 56.621 Dunkel Line: Princeton by 4 Vegas Line: Princeton by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Rider (+6 1/2)

Game 531-532: IUPUI at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 42.727; Valparaiso 57.994 Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 15 1/2 Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 18 Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+18)

Game 533-534: Weber State at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 56.001; Eastern Washington 52.939 Dunkel Line: Weber State by 3 Vegas Line: Weber State by 7 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+7)

Game 535-536: Idaho State at Portland State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 40.759; Portland State 51.769 Dunkel Line: Portland State by 11 Vegas Line: Portland State by 8 Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-8)

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Today's NBA Picks

Miami at Dallas

The Heat look to build on their 7-2-1 ATS record in their last 10 games in Dallas. Miami is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-5). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Oklahoma City at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 126.965; Minnesota 121.408 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5 1/2; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3 1/2; 198 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-3 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Miami at Dallas (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 122.467; Dallas 114.667 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8; 198 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 5; 202 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-5); Under

Game 505-506: Denver at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.829; Portland 114.685 Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 7; 192 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

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Totals 4 You Regular Service Selections for Thursday, December 20th

2012 Poinsettia Bowl Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Brigham Young/San Diego State under 48

You Win or we'll email you Friday's Report 100% Free of Charge!!!

NBA Best Bets
Oklahoma City/Minnesota under 198
Miami/Dallas over 203
Denver/Portland under 202

Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!