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Totals 4 You Regular Service Selections for Thursday, December 20th
2012 Poinsettia Bowl Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Brigham Young/San Diego State under 48
You Win or we'll email you Friday's Report 100% Free of Charge!!!
NBA Best Bets
Oklahoma City/Minnesota under 198
Miami/Dallas over 203
Denver/Portland under 200Comment
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From Platinum Plays.
500K Bowl Shocker
the San Diego St Aztecs +3½ over
the BYU Cougars
Best Bets
the Miami Heat -5 over
the Dallas Mavericks
the Denver Nuggets -1½ over
the Portland Trailblazers
the USC Trojans -8½ over
the UC-Irvine Anteaters
the LaSalle Explorers -5½ over
the Iona Gaels
PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the BYU/San Diego St UNDER
the Total Of 48 PointsComment
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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Thursday Bowl
2* = BYUComment
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Scott Ferrall
San Diego State +3
Sd State/BYU Over 48.5
San Diego State +120Comment
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Total pleasure
Over michiganComment
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SMOOTH 44 ADDED GAMES
uc DAVIes plus 7
BYU-3
Under 48
all 5 units playComment
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Goodfella
3* SD st. +3.5Comment
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Ryan’s Bowl 25* Poinsettia Bowl Titan; 69% last 82
BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM
25* graded play on the BYU COugars as they take on the San Diego State Aztecs in the San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl set to start 8:00 PM ET. This game will be on ESPN and ESPN3D for your viewing enjoyment. The simulator shows a high probability that BYU will win this game by six or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-13 ATS record for 76% winners since 2002. Play against all dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off two straight wins facing conference rivals and now facing an opponent off a double digit road win. 50% of all the games played based on the criteria of this system covered the spread by seven or more points and underscores my strong belief that this will be a 10+ point BYU win. For money line players, here is a system that has gone 92-36 for 72% winners since 2006. Play on a road team using the money line that is a quick starting offensive team scoring 16+ PPG in the first half and after a win by 35 or more points. I am expecting BYU to get off to a fast start and then their significant size and physicality advantages on both sides of the ball will steadily wear down the Aztecs. The Aztec defense plays well, but are undersized against the BYU OL. They must take leveraged angles and maintain gap discipline, both of which they are vastly inconsistent at executing. Moreover, the Aztec third level are for the most part poor tacklers and will be vulnerable to the many different screen passes that BYU runs. BYU has a luxury in two solid QB in their stable only discovered by the injury of Senior starter Riley Nelson that gave fellow Senior James Lark at shot at starting for the first time in his career. Lark delivered in that first start throwing for 6 TD. Lark is excellent at getting the ball out quickly and has the WR corp that get enough separation for Lark to easily complete underneath passes. he also leads them well for after the catch yardage. Riley has a much more accurate arm in middle and long distance throws, but also can execute underneath routes nearly as equal. Since they are both Seniors playing in their last game, it only stands to reason that the coaching staff will elect to use both of them in this bowl game and in my opinion, it makes the Cougars that much more dangerous and even more difficult for the Aztecs to prepare for. BYU ranks fourth best in the FBS allowing just 14.8 PPG and second in both opponent yards per rush at 2.7 and opponents rushes per game at 30 attempts. Aztecs are a run dominated offensive team and their inability to establish the run is going to make it extremely difficult for them to compete for four quarters with the Cougars. Take BYU.
Prediction: BYU
Burns' *10* POINSETTIA BOWL BEST BET! *WON L2 YRS!
st. diego
Hollywood Sports 25* THURSDAY BOWL SPECIAL FEATURE
BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM
At 8:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Brigham Young Cougars (205) minus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (206) in the Poinsettia Bowl. BYU (7-5) brings in a veteran team with 29 seniors into their bowl game to conclude their season on a high note after a disappointing 7-5 campaign that includes three net close losses of eight points or less which included a frustrating 3-point loss at Notre Dame, a 2-point loss at in-state rival Utah and a 1-point loss at Boise State. In all, the Cougars played six bowl teams this season who they outgained by +29.7 PPG (28th best of all bowl teams). This team was also a little snakebit with the bouncing ball as they suffered a -0.42 net turnover margin per game (85th in the FBS). BYU enters this game coming off their 50-14 win at New Mexico State as a 28-point favorite -- and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread victory. Head coach Bronco Mendenhall still does not know who his starting quarterback will be given the rib injury to senior Riley Nelson. But fellow senior James Lark proved himself capable against the Aggies by completing 34 of 50 passes for 384 yards and six touchdown passes. With the extra time to prepare for this bowl game, we are comfortable with either senior. Mendenhall has an advantage in this one since he coached with the Aztecs' Rocky Long when they both were on the coaching staff at New Mexico -- so he will be very aware of the intricacies of San Diego State's 3-3-5 defensive scheme. What makes the Cougars click is their defense that was 3rd in the nation in total defense (266.3 total YPG) and 5th in the nation in points allowed (14.7 PPG). And with redshirt freshman Jamaal Williams at running back who gained 744 yards while averaging almost 5.0 YPC since taking over at midseason, they retain a dangerous offense that scored 29.2 PPG while gaining over 400 YPG. BYU has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, they have covered the spread in 4 straight games played on a neutral field. And they have now covered the spread in 4 straight games played in the month of December. Furthermore, the Cougars have covered 5 of their last 7 bowl appearances -- including three straight bowl contests under Mendenhall.
San Diego State (9-3) closed out the season winning their last seven games after their 42-28 win at Wyoming as a 7-point favorite. But the Aztecs have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last contest. And while they gained a whopping 400 yards on the ground in that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Led by running back Adam Muema, San Diego State has a strong rushing attack that averages 229.2 rushing YPG (16th in the FBS). But a weakness for this team is their passing attack behind sophomore QB Adam Dingwell who has won all four of his games since taking after Ryan Katz was injured. Dingwell is mostly a game-manager -- and the Aztecs average only 178.6 passing YPG this season (102nd in the FBS) which is a dangerous sign when facing such a stout defense. San Diego State may enjoy the home field advantage in this one -- but there are few reasons to suspect that they are not quite as good as their record indicates. The Aztecs faced six bowl teams as well -- but they were outgained by -77.2 net YPG in these games (59th in the FBS). Additionally, San Diego State benefited from two net close wins of eight points or less while also enjoying a +0.25 net turnover margin per game (48th in the FBS). The Aztecs have lost nine of their last ten games against BYU -- while being a mere 7-27-1 in program history against the Cougars. Furthermore, San Diego State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games outside the Mountain West Conference. Together, these team trends produce our specific 49-13 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, the Aztecs fall into an empirical letdown angle that has been 76% effective over the last ten seasons. Underdogs in the 3.5-10 point range who have won at least two straight games against conference opponents now facing a team coming off a double-digit win on the road have then failed to cover the point spread in 40 of the last 53 situations where these conditions applied. 25* CFB Poinsettia Bowl Special Feature with the Brigham Young Cougars (205) minus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (206). Best of luck for us -- Frank.
Prediction: BYU
Bet Type: SPREAD
Marc's 10-0 ATS Perfect Angle Poinsettia Bowl Play
BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM
Play On: San Diego State (Game 206) Note: Yes, the Aztecs are very familiar with tonight’s setting as they play their home games in Qualcomm Stadium. And bowl home dogs off a SU win are a solid 8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS. In fact, the only time that the Aztecs played in the Poinsettia Bowl (2010 against Navy), they walked away with a 35-14 win as three-point favorites. And speaking of familiar, this clash is a renewal of former MWC foes. Certainly, the Cougars have held the upper hand dating back to 1980 (23-5-1 SU, 17-9 ATS) but Independent bowlers are 1-9 ATS versus a foe off a SU win of seven or more points. Granted, it’s no surprise to find Bronco’s boys holding a big stat edge in games against fellow bowlers this season (BYU is +30 net YPG while San Diego State is -77 net YPG) as the Aztecs are 2-10 ‘ITS’ versus bowlers the past two seasons. However, SDSU is 3-1 SU and ATS versus winning opposition this season while BYU is just 1-3 SU and ATS and the Aztecs arrive off a third straight eight-plus win season – the first time they‘ve accomplished that since 1977. The clincher comes from our powerful database as it tells us to: 'Play On' and bowl home dog or favorite of less than 7 points off a win who allows less than 24 PPG on the season versus and opponent with a 3.5 or less Yards Per Rush average on the season. That's because these home teams are 9-1 SU and 10-0 ATS in this role since 1980. We recommend a 3-unit play on San Diego State. Thank you and good luck as always. Don't make a move on Saturday night's NFL showdown between the Falcons and Lions until you learn of an amazing winning angle inside the the game that has bagged the cash 100% of the time in all games since 1980. Best of all its yours - if you act now!
Prediction: San Diego St.
Bet Type: SPREAD
Fargo's 10* POINSETTIA BOWL SIDE (PERFECT 8-0 RUN)
BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM
San Diego St. claimed a share of the MWC title thanks to a seven-game winning streak to end the season and it caught a very good break in its bowl game as it is playing very close to home. This means great fan support and limited distractions even though the players are not staying in their normal digs as they are shacking up in a hotel similar to BYU. Playing on their home field is more good than bad but the Aztecs have some disadvantages that go beyond that. BYU enters this game with a 7.5 record but it easily could have been better. Losses to Utah, Boise St. and Notre Dame were by a combined seven points and all of those came on the road so the Cougars are arguably a lot better than their record shows. They win with defense as BYU brings in the nation's third best defense, allowing only 266.3 ypg. The Aztecs have scored a lot but the total offense is ranked only 57th in the nation so they could have some issues against the Cougars stop unit. The big mystery here is the quarterback situation for BYU. Head coach Bronco Mendenhall said there's no change to the status of senior quarterback Riley Nelson, who has been the Cougars starter this season, but who's also nursing a rib injury. With Nelson still questionable for Thursday's game, backup James Lark has gotten more reps in practice. Lark started in Nelson's place in the Cougar's final game against New Mexico, and threw for 384 yards and six touchdowns in the win. While we may not know who is starting just yet, the Aztecs are getting as well which makes their preparation a little more difficult. Mendenhall said he will make a decision on his starter on game day so San Diego St. has to prepare for two different quarterbacks who are pretty different in their quarterbacking styles. The Aztecs defense has been spotty all season as they are 43rd overall and 44th in scoring and BYU caught fire near the end of the season, scoring 41, 52 and 50 points in three of its last four games. BYU has a great situation on its side as we play on teams away from home in the second half of the season where the line is +3 to -3 that are averaging between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc going up against teams allowing between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1992. Additionally, BYU is 8-0 ATS against teams allowing 58 percent completions or more while the Aztecs are 9-21 ATS against teams allowing 3.25 or less ypc. 10* (205) BYU Cougars
Prediction: BYU
Bet Type: SPREAD
Larry's Weekly Wipeout Winner (7-2 CFB s/Nov 30)
BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM
My 9* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on San Diego St at 8:00 ET.
BYU and San Diego St are hardly strangers, as they faced each other for 13 consecutive seasons when both were members of the MWC. The Cougars dominated the Aztecs winning 11 of 13 (9-4 ATS). However, the programs were in a much different state back then, as in that span BYU went bowling in 10 of those years, while the Aztecs made it into postseason play just twice. They'll meet for the first time since the Cougars won 24-21 in 2010, improving to 27-7-1 in the all-time series. BYU is now an Independent and comes in 7-5 while San Diego St finished 9-3 and in a three-way tie with Boise St and Fresno St (7-1) for the MWC title. There was a time when the Cougars were known for their explosive passing attack but the 2012 edition was led by the team’s defense. BYU enters this game allowing just 266.3 YPG (3rd) and 14.7 PPG (5th). BYU was only NOT in one game this year, a 42-24 home loss to Oregon St. Its other four loses all came on the road and by just three points at Utah, one point at Boise St, three points at Notre Dame and six points at San Jose St. San Diego State opened 2-3 but ended the regular season on a seven-game winning streak. The Aztecs couldn’t have been happy when Brady Hoke left, after just two seasons. He struggled to a 4-8 first year at SDSU but in 2010, led the Aztecs to a 9-4 record, which included a dominating 35-14 win over Navy in this very bowl game. Hoke took the Michigan job shortly after that and the Aztecs were thrilled to get Rocky Long, who spent 10 seasons as New Mexico’s head coach. He led the Lobos to FIVE bowl appearances, all coming in his final seven seasons at Albuquerque. He’s now 2-for-2 in leading the Aztecs to bowl games, as last year’s team finished 8-5 after a 32-30 New Orleans Bowl loss to UL-Lafayette and of course, he has a chance here, to lead SDSU to its first eight-game winnings streak since 1975. Former Oregon St QB Ryan Katz opened the season at QB for the Aztecs but he was lost for the year (ankle) during a 39-38 OT win at Nevada back on Oct 20. Sophomore Adam Dingwell came off the bench to spark that win at Nevada (three TD passes) and then led the Aztecs to victories in all four of his starts, including a 21-19 upset at then-No. 19 Boise State on Nov 3. No one expected that the Aztecs were going to be able to replace RB Hillman but another sophomore, Adam Muema, has rushed for 1,355 yards on 6.4 YPC with 16 TDs. He has six, 100-yard games this season, including efforts of 202 and 255 yards (four TDs), in the Aztecs' most recent game, a 42-28 win at Wyoming on Nov 24. BYU’s In fact, SDSU ranks 15h in the nation in rushing yards (229.2 YPG on 5.1 YPC with 30 TDs), having already broken the school record for rushing yards in a season (Hillman, who?). The QB of choice for BYU would be Riley Nelson but he’s been hurt on-and-off all season. Nelson sat out BYU’s season-ender at New Mexico St, with senior James Lark completing 34 of 50 passes for 384 yards and six touchdowns in his first-ever collegiate start. Nelson’s ribs continue to keep his status in doubt for this one but Lark's performance against the Aggies has potentially created a tough decision for coach Bronco Mendenhall. However, whichever QB gets the call, he’ll be tested by a San Diego St pass D allowing an average of just 164.0 passing YPG in its last four games. I believe the gap which existed between these schools when both played in the MWC, no longer exists. This is a HOME game for the Aztecs and it makes little sense for BYU to be road favorite. the pointspread says “close game” but I’m saying “W-I-P-E-O-U-T!”
Good luck...Larry
Prediction: San Diego St.
Bet Type: SPREAD
SCOTT SPREITZER'S POINSETTIA PUNISHER! *25-2 ATS!
BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM
I'm laying the points with BYU on Thursday night. These teams are familiar with each other after being a part of the Mountain West conference before BYU became independent. The coaching staffs are also familiar with each other having worked together in the past. And that's part of the reason I like BYU in this spot. SDSU and coach Rocky Long employ a 3-3-5 defense that does take time to get used to when you don't see or face it all season. BYU has not only had extra time to prepare for it, but HC Bronco Mendenhall knows it inside and out. SDSU has won seven straight games heading into the bowl game, but I'm not sold on the offense. They want to run the football first and foremost. QB Adam Dingwell took over for Ryan Katz after the starting QB was lost for the season due to an ankle injury. But Dingwell is a game manager - he's not normally going to win games for his team. Facing a defense like BYU's means the QB is going to have to make plays from time-to-time throughout the game. BYU is 2nd in the nation allowing just 84 yards rushing per game. And San Diego State is on a 2-10 ATS slide against teams that allow no more than 90 yards rushing per game, losing by an average score of 33-12. BYU, by the way, is on a 7-0 ATS run with Mendenhall as coach, when they're on the road against teams that rush for at least 4.75 yards per carry. The problem for Dingwell is that they're also "nasty" defending the pass, holding opponents to 182.1 yards passing per game (13th in NCAA). The Cougars are 3rd in the nation in total yards allowed per game, and have held thir opponents to less than 15 ppg. There's been some question as to which QB is going to start and play for BYU. Riley Nelson is probable (ribs), but it looks like James Lark is going to start. It doesn't matter to me. In fact, I won't be surprised to see both signal callers. Lark has played well since Nelson's injury. Lark has an 8-0 TD-INT mark and he's completed over 67% of his passes. And the BYU offense, while not putting up huge numbers, can run or pass effectively, something SDSU's simply has not done this season. While this is a bowl game, it is being played on San Diego State's home field. And BYU is on an 8-0 ATS run on the road against teams that allow a completion rate of at least 58%. BYU's 8-0 and 7-0 spread spots combine with the 10-2 ATS play-against SDSU spot, for 25-2 combined situations. I'm laying the points with BYU on Thursday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Prediction: BYU
Bet Type: SPREAD
IRON HORSE 10* POINSETTIA BOWL ***TOTAL***
BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM
BYU (7-5) earned their Bowl bid behind a stingy defense that allowed just 14.7 points per game this season while holding 7 of their 12 opponents to 17 points or less despite playing a tough schedule that included #1 ranked Notre Dame, offensive powerhouse Boise State and a bunch of PAC 12 squads like Oregon State. The BYU defense dominates the line of scrimmage, holding foes to just 84 rushing yards per game on 2.7 yards per rush, forcing teams to pass the football- A strategy that held 7 of their 12 opponents to 65 rushing yards or less this year. That's especially bad news for San Diego State (9-3), as they averaged MORE rushing yards (229 yards per game) than passing yards (179 yards per game) per game this season. BYU has gone "Under" in 20 of 25 games against opponents averaging 4.75 yards per rush or more. We're looking "Under" on Thursday knowing that BYU's defensive strategy almost upset #1 ranked Notre Dame's undefeated season, losing just 14-17 to the Irish.
10* Play On UNDER (BYU/San Diego State)
Prediction: under
Bet Type: TOTAL
Rickenbach TOP *10* CFB *DOMINATOR*! 4-0 RUN!
BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB *10* (TOP Play) BYU over San Diego State @ 8 ET - The BYU Cougars meet up with the San Diego State Aztecs on Thursday night in the Poinsettia Bowl. BYU is 7-5 SU overall this year while San Diego State comes in with a 9-3 SU overall record this season. BYU has a very good defense as they are allowing only 266.3 total yards per game overall this year. BYU is allowing only 14.7 points per game overall this year and 16.5 points per game on the road this season. BYU is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS last 3 years when playing with two weeks or more rest. BYU is 14-3 SU last 17 games overall vs San Diego State. BYU is 7-0 ATS last 7 games against the Mountain West conference. BYU is 13-6 ATS last 19 games overall. San Diego State is 1-5 ATS last 6 games after scoring 40 or more points. BYU is 10-4 ATS last 14 meetings overall. San Diego State quarterback Ryan Katz is out for this game. BYU gets it done here tonight. Play BYU over San Diego State as a *10* TOP Play selection Thursday.
Prediction: BYU
Bet Type: SPREADComment
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Marco D'Angelo | CFB Side - Thursday, Dec 20 2012 8:00PM
205 BYU -3.0(-110) Hilton vs 206 San Diego St. double-dime bet
Analysis:
PLAY: BYU
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY
When you look at San Diego St you see a team that has won 7 in a row and is playing at home so why not jump on them. Well outside of the big upset of Boise St on the road who has San Diego St beaten? BYU had to finish the season by playing 4 of their last 5 games on the road. It must also be noted that BYU really didn't have any incentive in the final 2 games because they had already accepted this bowl bid. Look at the 3 games they played before accepting this Bowl Bid. They went to Notre Dame and took undefeated Notre Dame to the limit as they lost 17-14 as a 12 point underdog. The following week they went to Georgia ¦ Tech and won 41-17. Came home for their Home Finale and steamrolled Idaho 52-13. BYU has held 8 of their last 9 opponents to 20 points or less. I know San Diego St has home field advantage but how excited can you be for a Bowl game when you don't get to leave home. BYU wanted this bowl as they accepted it with 2 games left. I'm backing BYU as my numbers have them winning 27-20.
TAKE BYU as MARCO'S THURSDAY BOWL BIG BETComment
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Seabass Report for Thursday:
100 Cal Irvine
100 TWolvesComment
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SCOTT SPREITZER'S TNT TOTAL BEATDOWN GOM! 18-7 Run
Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves Dec 20 2012 7:05PM
I'm playing the Over between the Thunder & T-Wolves on Thursday night. The opening total for this matchup was 198 marking the first time in a long time that a Thunder - Timberwolves clash came with a total under 201. In fact, the average total in their last 10 meetings was 209.4, all 10 totals opened 201 or higher, and the teams finished Over the posted total seven times. Durant and Westbrook, averaging a combined 48.8 ppg on the season, have averaged 38 ppg and 36 ppg, repectively, in their last three games against Minnesota. This season's OKC Thunder are tops in the league, averaging 105.6 ppg, and they're 2nd in the NBA in both FG percentage and 3-point accuracy. Minnesota has played to the Over in four of their last five games, allowing 103.6 ppg. They're on a 13-2 Over run against division foes, averaging a combined 217.2 ppg! And finally, the Thunder are on a 32-19 Over run against teams than "can" at least six 3-pointers per contest...Minnesota fits the bill. I'm playing the Over between the Thunder & T-Wolves on Thursday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Prediction: over
Bet Type: TOTAL
TOMS 10* NBA "THREE PACK" THURSDAY (#1 NBA CAPPER)
Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers Dec 20 2012 10:05PM
Tom Freese plays are rated 10 UNIT, 15 UNIT, and 20 UNITS (#505) DENVER NUGGETS @ (#506) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS 10:05 PM EST The 11-12 Trailblazers are at Home in Portland to battle the 14-12 Nuggets from Denver on THURSDAY. Portland has a scoring average of 97.1 Points per game while allowing an average of 99.9 Points per game to their opponents. On the other side of the Hardwood, Denver has a scoring average of 102.0 points per game while giving up an average of 100.8 Points per game to their opponents. The Trailblazers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games. Portland COVERS Easily Tonight! PLAY ON THE (#506) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS (+) PTS FOR 10 UNITS TONIGHT!
Prediction: Portland Trail Blazers
Burns 10* TNT BLUE CHIP! ~ OFF 3-0 SWEEP, 9-2 L11!
Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks Dec 20 2012 9:35PM
I'm playing on Miami and Dallas to finish OVER the total. The Heat are off four consecutive games which fell below the total. However, I expect that streak to come to an end tonight. The Heat have still scored more than 100 points in each of their last two games and four of their last five. Their recent games have come against teams that were either offensively-challenged and/or strong defensively. Tonight's opponent doesn't really fall into either of those categories. When possible, this year's Mavericks like to get out and run. Five of their last six games have topped the total and ALL five of those finished with greater than 205 points. In fact, they had combined scores of 207, 220, 232, 215 and 225. For the season, the Mavs are averaging a healthy 105 ppg here at Dallas. They should be able to score points against a Miami team which allows 100 per game on the road. The Mavs have seen the OVER go 8-3 this season at home, 2-0 when the O/U line ranged from 200 to 204.5. The OVER is now 10-4-1 the L15 times that they played a home game with an O/U line in the 200 to 204.5 range. During that stretch, they've also seen the OVER go 4-0 the last four times that they were listed as home underdogs in the 3.5 to 6 range. Both las season's meetings finished above the total. I feel this one has an excellent shot at doing the same. *10 Blue Chip
Prediction: over
Bet Type: TOTAL
Fargo's 10* NBA STAR ATTRACTION (PERFECT 2-0 RUN)
Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves Dec 20 2012 7:05PM
Oklahoma City won again last night, defeating Atlanta by eight points to make it 12 straight victories for the Thunder. They own the best record in the NBA and while winning like this is very impressive, they have had a very easy schedule along the way. Currently, Oklahoma City has played the easiest slate in the NBA and part of that is due to having 16 of their first 25 games taking place at home. The win over the Hawks last night was their first road game in over two weeks and just their third road game over their last 11 games. Of the seven road wins, two came against New Orleans which is 5-20 while the other five came by an average of 5.8 ppg including one in overtime. The Thunder dominate opponents at home but not on the road. Minnesota had won four straight games before getting swept in its two-game Florida trip but it is back home where it has won four straight and is 7-3 on the season. The Timberwolves have Ricky Rubio back in the mix as he saw action in his first two games before taking the game against Miami off so he is more rested for this one. Defense could play a role in this as Minnesota has concentrated more in that area as it has allowed opponents 94.4 ppg this season, tied for seventh in the NBA. While the Thunder have won 12 straight overall, they have also won 12 straight meetings against Minnesota so we have two contrarian angles we are going after. However, the games have been close as the last six meetings have been decided by single digits. Minnesota is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games against teams outscoring opponents by three or more ppg and it steps up once again here. 10* (502) Minnesota Timberwolves
Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves
Bet Type: SPREAD
Burns 10* TNT BEST BET! *36-20 L12 Days, 9-2 L11!*
Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves Dec 20 2012 7:05PM
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. I like how this one sets up for the home team. The T-Wolves had last night off while the Thunder played a fairly hard fought game at Atlanta. Granted, the athletic Thunder aren't usually too bothered by playing the second of back to games. However, on an extended winning streak and playing the final game before Christmas, I feel that they could get potentially caught looking ahead to the break a little here. While they're off back to back road losses, the T-Wolves have been playing very well here at Minnesota. In fact, they're a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS here this month. For the season, the T-Wolves are 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS here. They allow just 91.4 points per game on this floor, while scoring 96.5 themselves. It should be noted that the T-Wolves fought hard against the Heat and that losing (103-92) on the road against the defending champs is nothing to be ashamed of. In fact, they outrebounded the Heat by 28 in that game. Coach Rick Adelman noted: "I like the way our guys battled. We just have to respond.' Adelman has been been excellent at getting his team to "respond" from a double-digit loss, as the T-Wolves are already a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS in that situation this season. Off a double-digit loss at Toronto on 11/4, the T-Wolves won by double-digits (as 7.5 point underdogs) at Brooklyn the next night. Off a double-digit loss at Golden State, they won outright at Sacramento in their next game. Most recently, off a 10-point loss at Boston, the T-Wolves returned home and won by 18. The T-Wolves have covered three straight home meetings in this series and five of the last six. I expect AT LEAST another cover here. *10 Best Bet
Prediction: Minnesota TimberwolvesComment
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Prediction machine NBA 12/20
Minnesota +4
Portland +5.5
Dallas +5.5Comment
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Rainman
byu & underComment
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charlie sports
500* sd st +3
500* BYU / SD ST under 48
500* heat over 201Comment
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