12-20-12

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Andy Iskoe

San Diego St.

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Indian Cowboy
3-Unit Play. #510. Take UAB -20 over Louisiana Monroe (Thursday @ @ 8pm est).

3-Unit Play. #515. Cal Poly Slo +10.5 over Washington (Thursday @ 9pm est).

3-Unit Play. #519. UC Irvine +9.5 over Southern Cal (Thursday @ 11pm est).

UAB comes off a tough road contest against Rutgers. They played well against the top 100 team losing by 8 points on the road. Remember, this is a team that beat South Alabama at home by 14 points who is a top 200 team which goes to show you their ability to score as they put up 92 points in that game. Jerod Haase is s team that likes to get out and run and the first year coach is led by two seniors and three juniors as this used to be Mike Davis' team (the same coach that took Indiana to the NCAA Championship many years ago). Louisiana Monroe played above their heads against FSU who was without their key wingman due to disciplinary issues. This wasn't announced by Leonard Hamilton until gametime which is part of the reason why Louisiana Monroe had a better showing. UAB will be focused today coming off that loss and I can see them winning this contest by 25+ today as they have a great deal of offense which Louisiana Monroe's top 350 offense will likely struggle against. Cal Poly just comes off an 8 point loss to Santa Clara who is a top 120 team and they have played sound basketball all year. Joe Callero's team is 5th in the country in turnover percentage which is one of the reasons why they lost to Nevada by 7 on the road and beat a short handed UCLA team. THis is one of the later games on the board and the public is on the more well known school in Washington here. Cal Poly is led by two juniors and a senior and I see them hanging within single digits today given the level of competition they have faced. UC Irvine will be up for this game. They come off a tough loss to LSU at home and this is a team that beat Fresno State on the road and lost to UCLA in overtime on the road as well. USC comes off a monumental win over UC Riverside holding them to 26 points winning 70-26. They will likely be in for a let down here against a much better Irvine team than the one they faced against Riverside. USC had come off 5 straight losses so they took their anger out on a team outside the top 300 and in what is a relatively low scoring game, I can see Irvine hanging within single digits here.

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HM SPORTS HANDICAPPING

Event Date: 12/20/2012
Event Time: 08:00 PM EST
Poinsettia Bowl @ San Diego
This is a home game for SD State. They have turned it on after a 2-3 start this season winning on the road at Nevada and Boise St as underdogs. They are 3-1 ATS as a dog this year. BYU is 2-4 on the road this season and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 after a SU win. Dogs have covered 4 of last 5 Poinsettia bowls (only fav to cover was home team SD state). The wrong team is favored in this game
7.5* SD State +3.5
Result: Pending

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EXPERT PICKS
THURSDAY

• Play San Diego State +3.5 over BYU (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:00 PM EST

BYU has lost 25 of the last 31 games against the spread coming off a
two game road trip and they have also lost 6 consecutive games against
the spread coming off a win. BYU has lost 4 of the last 5 games
against the spread when playing as a road favorite of seven points or
less and they have also lost 5 consecutive games against the spread
coming off a win by 17 points or more in their last game.

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Robert Ferringo CBB

3 * Southern Illinois -6
1 * Louisiana Monroe +20.5
1 * Tulane -7.5

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Scott Delaney

25 Dime Oklahoma City -4

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Northcoast Marquee
un 47.5 BYU

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Bookie Buster Daily Pick
December 20, 2012

NBA -- Oklahoma City / Minnesota
-- Oklahoma City -3

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Thunder won its last 12 games (6-2 as AF).
-- Miami won four of its last five games (2-5 as AF).
-- Portland won its last three games, allowing 86 ppg (3-1 as HU). Nuggets won four of last five games (4-4 as AF, 3-1 in last four).

Cold Teams
-- Minnesota lost last two games, by 10-11 points; favorites are 8-1-1 vs spread in its home games (0-2 as home dog).
-- Mavericks lost three of last four games (two losses in OT; they're 8-3 SU at home, 1-1 as home dogs).

Totals
-- Six of last eight Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Last four Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Portland games stayed under total; three of last four Denver games went over.

Back-to-backs
-- Thunder is 3-2 vs spread if they played night before.

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CBB

-- Central Michigan is 4-4 vs D-I teams, winning its two games against teams not in top 200 by 2-3 points. Texas State lost seven of last nine games, with wins over teams ranked #341/329; Bobcats play at #3 pace in country- three of their last four games went over total. WAC single digit road dogs are 11-10. MAC single digit home favorites are 9-7.
-- Pepperdine won seven of last nine games; they're 2-1 vs teams in top 150, but lost three games to teams ranked lower- they turn ball over 24% of time, not good. Tulane has played 3rd-easiest schedule in country but they've also won seven of last nine games. WCC single digit road dogs are 1-6 vs spread; C-USA single digit home favorites are 7-5.
-- 11-0 Michigan just beat West Virginia in NYC; they're 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 37-32-28 points; Wolverines shoot 57.5% inside arc. Eastern Michigan upset Purdue at home, lost at Syracuse by 36 in its two games vs top 100 teams- they're shooting 39% inside arc. MAC road underdogs of 18+ points are 2-6 against the spread.
-- Cal Poly is 2-5 vs D-I teams but won at UCLA, its only win in five road games, with losses by 7-18-13-8 points; Mustangs play #343 pace in country (5th-slowest). Washington is just 4-3 at home, with losses to Albany/Nevada, so they're not reliable favorite. Big West road dogs are 24-20 vs spread. Pac-12 home favorites are 30-18 vs spread.


-- Boise State won four of last five games vs Idaho, winning last two by three points each; Broncos are much improved team at 7-2- they're the #9 3-point shooting team in country. Idaho is 1-3 on road, losing by 15-9-4 points, winning in OT at Eastern Washington. MWC double digit home favorites are 11-7 vs spread; WAC double digit dogs are 8-6.
-- Cal-Irvine lost six of last seven games vs D-I teams; they've lost four games by 4 or less points- they shoot 29.7% behind arc. USC lost five of last six games, but they're 3-1 vs teams not in top 100, winning by 14-18-44 points. Pac-12 single digit home favorites are 13-6 vs spread. Big West single digit road dogs are 11-10 vs spread.
-- Southern Illinois is 5-2 vs D-I teams despite turning ball over 23% of time; Salukis are 2nd-shortest team in country. Cal-Davis lost six of first eight games, with only wins vs teams ranked #245/282; they're 0-4 vs teams in top 200, losing by 1-7-8-23 points. MVC favorites are 5-7-1 vs spread away from home. Big West single digit underdogs are 12-12.
-- Duke hammered Cornell by 41 last night, has another ESPNU thriller here vs Elon squad that is 5-4 vs D-I teams, losing by 15 at Butler, by 5 in OT at UMass, its two games vs top 100 teams. Duke is 4-0 vs teams not in top 100, winning by 19-21-38-41 points. SoCon road underdogs of 16+ points are 15-4 against the spread so far this season.
-- Erratic Iona lost by hoop at St Peter's, won at Georgia by 3 in OT in its two road games; 5-4 Gaels play #18 pace in country- they lost by 8 to Rutgers, beat Denver by 7 in their games vs top 100 teams. LaSalle had 5-game win streak snapped at #45 Bucknell Saturday; they lost to Central Connecticut, beat Villanova, tough team to figure.

-- First game in 11 days for Rider squad that lost in OT to Princeton at home (72-71) LY; Broncs are 2-3 vs teams in top 150, with losses by 8-11-13 points. Princeton lot six of last eight games, losing two of three vs teams not in top 200. Tigers are turning ball over 22% of time. MAAC single digit road underdogs are 4-16. Ivy home favorites are 1-8.
-- Valparaiso is 7-4 after losing at Oakland of Summit League by a hoop Monday; Crusaders are turning ball over 25.2% of time. IUPUI lost its last eight games vs D-I teams (two non-D-I wins) with last five losses all by 14+ points; Jaguars beat Valpo by 9 LY. Horizon double digit home favorites are 3-4; Summit League double digit road dogs are 9-15.
-- Weber State won eight of last nine games vs Eastern Washington, with four straight wins here, by 7-12-28-8 points. Wildcats won by point at #69 Dayton, after losing at San Jose State/Utah State, their only games on road this year. EWU is 2-8, 1-2 at home, losing to Seattle by 6, by a hoop in OT to Idaho. Teams shoot just 23.5% behind arc vs Weber.
-- Idaho State is 0-7 vs D-I teams, turning ball over 23.5% of time; they are making 27.2% behind arc; Bengals lost five of last their six visits to Portland, with losses by 12-35-27--23-7 points. Portland State is 0-5 vs D-I teams, turning ball over 23.0% of time, making 28.6% behind arc. Favorites covered three of first four Big Sky conference games.

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XpertPicks


THURSDAY


• Play San Diego State +3.5 over BYU (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:00 PM EST


BYU has lost 25 of the last 31 games against the spread coming off a
two game road trip and they have also lost 6 consecutive games against
the spread coming off a win. BYU has lost 4 of the last 5 games
against the spread when playing as a road favorite of seven points or
less and they have also lost 5 consecutive games against the spread
coming off a win by 17 points or more in their last game.


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FRIDAY


• Play Ball State +7 over Central Florida (NCAA BOWL GAME OF
YEAR)---60% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 7:30 PM EST


Ball State has covered the spread in 9 of the last 12 games and they
have also covered the spread in 7 consecutive games coming off a
conference win by seven points or less. Ball State has covered the
spread in 4 of the last 5 games as an underdog and they are averaging
over 39 points a game on offense over the last three games.


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SATURDAY


• Play Lafayette -4.5 over East Carolina (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL
PLAY)---30% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 12:00 PM EST


Lafayette has won and covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games and
they have also covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 games coming
off two or more conference games. Lafayette has covered the spread in
8 of the last 10 games after allowing an average of 6.75 or more yards
a play in their last game and they are averaging over 39 points a game
on offense over the last three games.




• Play Boise State -5 over Washington (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY)---30%
OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 3:30 PM EST


Boise State has won 10 of the last 11 games and they have also covered
the spread in 8 of the last 9 games when playing on a neutral field.
Boise State has covered the spread in 12 of the last 14 games coming
off a conference win by seven points or less and they are only
allowing an average of 14 points a game on defense this season.




• Play Atlanta -4 over Detroit (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:30 PM EST


Detroit has lost 12 of the last 15 games against the spread when the
total posted is greater than 49.5 points and they have also lost 7 of
the last 8 games against the spread coming off a loss against the
spread in their last game. Detroit has lost 11 of the last 14 games
against the spread when playing in the 2nd half of the season and they
are allowing an average of 27 points a game on defense this season.


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SUNDAY


• Play Cincinnati +4 over Pittsburgh (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 1:00 PM EST


Cincinnati has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games and they
have also covered the spread in 6 consecutive games after scoring 30
points or more in their last game. Cincinnati has covered the spread
in 7 consecutive games coming off a win against the spread in their
last game and they are averaging over 26 points a game on offense in
road games this season.




• Play New Orleans +3 over Dallas (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 1:00 PM EST


New Orleans has covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 games after
allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game and they have
also covered the spread in 10 of the last 12 games coming off a home
win. New Orleans has covered the spread in 12 of the last 15 games
when playing in the 2nd half of the season and they are averaging over
27 points a game on offense this season.




• Play Baltimore +2.5 over New York Giants (TOP NFL FOOTBALL
PLAY)---30% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 4:30 PM EST


Baltimore has won 21 of the last 24 home games and they have also won
18 of the last 25 games coming off an OVER the total. Baltimore has
won 8 of the last 10 games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards in
their last game and they have also won 4 consecutive games when
playing in the last two weeks of the regular season.




• Play Seattle +1 over San Francisco (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:30 PM EST


Seattle has covered the spread in 7 consecutive games when playing in
the month of December and they have also covered the spread in 15 of
the last 20 games as an underdog. Seattle has covered the spread in 6
consecutive home games and they are only allowing an average of 11
points a game on defense at home this season.


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MONDAY


• Play Fresno State -13 over SMU (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY)---40% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:00 PM EST


Fresno State has covered the spread in 11 of the last 12 games and
they have also covered the spread in 9 consecutive games when playing
as a favorite. Fresno State has covered the spread in 6 consecutive
games when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points and they are
averaging over 40 points a game on offense this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

50 Dimes Idaho St

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ATS Insider:
3* OKC
3* BYU over 48

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WePickTheWinner - Thunder

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Rocky's Winners Circle

DECEMBER 20 FREE PLAY (152-76-1)

IONA +6 over La Salle