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Robert Ferringo
7-Unit Play. Take #259 Louisville (+14) over Florida (8:30 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 2)
Note: This is my College Bowl Game of the Year. -
Vegas Sports Informer
5 Unit Play. #259 Take Louisville +14 over Florida (8:30p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 2 ESPN Sugar Bowl)Comment
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Indian Cowboy
3 Unit Play Take #259 Louisville +13.5 over Florida (8:30pm est):
No team was more disrespected throughout this college football season than Louisville. It seems whatever the Cardinals did it wasn't good enough for those who followed college football. Now a win here in this game and Louisville can walk away with the final word here on their season and quiet all the doubters as well. Louisville has wins over North Carolina, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati and Rutgers this season and keep in mind that they were still undefeated all the way up until November 10th. 3rd year head coach Charlie Strong has done a phenomenal job with this program and despite all of they have accomplished so far, his team comes into this game nearly two touchdown underdogs for this game.
It seems Florida became the fashionable team among CFB followers late in the season as the Gators pulled off a big upset over Florida State. If not for their forcing of five turnovers in that game, the Gators would have struggled to pull off that upset. The thing most seem to forget was just how poorly this team played in their games against Bowling Green, Missouri and ULL this year. They avoided having to play Alabama, caught Texas A&M early in their new coaches 1st season, lost to Georgia and missed out on the two SEC up and coming teams with Mississippi and MississippiState this year. Lastly keep in that for a team that went 11-1 on the season, only 4 of those 11 wins came by more than 14 points.
Louisville wants a strong showing here in this game. The Cardinals know that they still have something to prove as most folks just don't believe in them. Of all the bowl games out there this may be the one where a team is getting the least amount of respect when you look at what they have done so far this season. Louisville keeps this thing close. Take Louisville and the points here.Comment
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Strike Point Sports
3-Unit Play. Take #259 Louisville (+13.5) over Florida (8:30 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 2)-Sugar Bowl
This Louisville squad isn't getting enough credit. Teddy Bridgewater is the real deal and he should keep the Florida defense on their toes. If this was a money line bet I would absolutely take the Gators as they are definitely the better team and their defense is one of the best in the country, but Louisville will keep this game closer than people think. Bridgewater will be the best player on the field, and when the best player on the field is getting nearly two touchdowns, I'll take it. Bridgewater will be playing with a broken wrist on his non-throwing hand, but he was doing so versus Rutgers and they came back to win this game. He has had plenty of time to rest and figure out what needs to be done to find success with the injury and he should be fine in handling it versus the Gators defense.
Again, I don't think Louisville wins this game outright, but the final score will be much close to a touchdown than to two touchdowns. The Cardinals pass defense is one of the better units in the country and they will force Florida into a one-dimensional offense. This is alright with the Gators as they do boast a solid rushing attack, but they won't be able to blow this game wide open by just running the ball. This is a much "bigger" game for Louisville than it is for Florida. The Gators had a chance to play in the National Championship game and now they are playing in a smaller BCS Bowl Game that they are a huge favorite in.
Louisville is 7-2 ATS In their last nine games versus a team with a winning record and 35-17 ATS in their last 52 non-conference games. Florida is just 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games versus a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.Comment
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Sugar Bowl: What bettors need to know
Louisville Cardinals vs. Florida Gators (-14, 45.5)
WHEN: 8:30 PM ET, Wednesday, January 2, 2013
WHERE: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
ALLSTATE SUGAR BOWL GAME STORYLINES
1. No. 4 Florida looks to cap a near-perfect season with its fifth consecutive bowl victory as it faces No. 18 Louisville in the Sugar Bowl. This will be the seventh time the Gators have played in a BCS bowl - the highest number of BCS appearances among SEC teams and tied for third-best in the nation. With a win, Florida's all-time BCS bowl win total would increase to five, giving it the highest total in the history of the BCS.
2. The Cardinals edged out Rutgers in the Big East title game on a late field goal by freshman John Wallace to secure their first appearance in the Sugar Bowl and the second BCS appearance in school history. With an upset over Florida, Louisville will reach 11 wins for the first time since 2006 and will move to 2-0 all-time in BCS bowls.
3. Louisville quarterback Teddy Bridgewater and Florida running back Mike Gillislee figure to be focal points in a matchup that features a stifling Gator defense on one side and its Cardinal counterpart that struggled against the run. Bridgewater led the Big East with a 161.6 passer rating that ranked seventh in the nation, tossing for 3,452 yards and 25 touchdowns. Florida ranked fifth in the nation in total defense and limited opponents to an average of just over 186 yards per game through the air. Gillislee averaged 92 yards on the ground and had 10 touchdowns for Florida, which ranked third in the SEC in rushing offense, while only Temple (199.4 yards per game) allowed a higher rushing average than Louisville (151.1) among Big East schools.
TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.
LINE: Florida opened at -15 and was bet up to -15.5 before coming down as low as -13.5. The total has stayed steady at 45.5.
CONSENSUS: 63 percent of Covers Consensus picks are on Florida while 63 percent are on the over.
TRENDS:
* Cardinals are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 non-conference games.
* Gators are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 non-conference games.
* Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last five bowl games.
* Over is 5-2 in Gators last seven bowl games.
ABOUT LOUISVILLE (10-2, 5-2 Big East, 5-7 ATS): The Cardinals were 10-game winners for the fifth time in school history and on each of the previous four occasions, they have gone on to win their bowl game. They stand a chance against the Gators, if for no other reason than the fact that Florida had legitimate scares against the likes of Bowling Green, Missouri and Louisiana-Lafayette this season. The Cardinals led the Big East, averaging 31 points per game but obviously face a stiff test against the Gators' defense. Running back Jeremy Wright, who took over when Senorise Perry was lost for the season, managed only 89 yards in Louisville's final three games. The Cardinals will hope for a turnaround, and establishing a semblance of a run game would go along way toward opening things up for Bridgewater under center.
ABOUT FLORIDA (11-1, 7-1 SEC, 7-5 ATS): The Gators played six games this season decided by one score and prevailed in all but one. In their win over Florida State, the defense was the difference, forcing a season-high five turnovers in a 37-26 final. Florida led the SEC in turnover margin, tied with Mississippi State at plus-17, ranking fifth in the nation. If the Gators force trouble for Louisville, the odds are decidedly in their favor. Florida, which committed only 12 turnovers this season, was plus-20 in 11 wins and minus-3 in a 17-9 loss to Georgia. In a tight game, the Gators have a big weapon in kicker Caleb Sturgis, whose 23 field goals ranked fourth among FBS kickers.Comment
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Where the action is: Sharps take UL early in Sugar Bowl
Louisville Cardinals vs. Florida Gators (-13, 45.5)
After a busy holiday season, filled with multiple bowl matchups each day, bettors get a standalone BCS bowl game on Jan. 2 – the AllState Sugar Bowl between the Louisville Cardinals and the Florida Gators.
Oddsmakers opened the Gators as 15-point favorites at some books but sharps quickly jumped on the Big East’s representative in the BCS.
“The only sharp money seen on this side came in at Louisville +14,” an oddsmaker at BetDSI.com told Covers. "The rest of the betting action on the spread has been the public backing Florida at -13.”
According to BetDSI.com, the action on the Gators is at more than a 3-to-1 ticket count and a 2-to-1 ratio in terms of total handle.
As for the total, books opened with the number at 45.5 and it has remained steady for the most part. Some online markets have moved to 46 and the LVH Superbook in Las Vegas was dealing 46 before being bet back down to 45.5.Comment
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Florida Gators vs. Louisville Cardinals
Point Spread - Pick
No. 3 Florida Gators (11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS) vs. No. 18 Louisville Cardinals (10-2 SU, 5-7 ATS)
Sugar Bowl Preview
Date/Time: Wednesday January 2nd, 2013. 8:30PM Eastern
Where: Superdome New Orleans, L.A.
TV: ESPN
by Jay, Football Handicapper.
Point Spread: Fla -13.5/Lou +13.5
Over/Under Total: 45.5
The AllState Sugar Bowl will feature two Cinderella teams on Wednesday January 2nd when the no. 3 Florida Gators meet the no.18 Louisville Cardinals inside the Superdome. The 11-1 Gators came out of virtually nowhere this season to regain their supremacy in the SEC. Coach Will Muschamp put together a measly 7-6 record in his first year in Gainesville last season. However, Muschamp helped lead the Gators back to the top echelon of the SEC in just his 2nd season which was highlighted by a strong running game and outstanding defense. The Gators now return to the Superdome and the venue of their 2009 Sugar Bowl victory with a chance to cap off the season with another Sugar Bowl trophy.
Louisville on the other hand will make their first BCS Bowl appearance since the 2006 Orange Bowl. Head coach Charlie Strong has helped build Louisville into a national power in a short time just like Muschamp. In just his 3rd season, Strong has the Cardinals knocking on the door of national prominence. Louisville ended the season with a 20-17 victory over Rutgers to help seal a share of the Big East Championship and earn the trip to New Orleans with a chance to capture their first Sugar Bowl trophy. Remember Strong was on the sidelines with Florida in 2009 as the defensive coordinator when the Gators won the Sugar Bowl. Therefore it would be memorable upset if the Cardinals could take down his former team as rather large underdogs on January 2nd.
Ironically Louisville has found their success this season in similar ways as Florida with defense as the backbone of the team. The Cardinals defense has given up just 344 yards (25th in FBS) per game this season. Strong has always been a defensive oriented coach and has the Cardinals defense playing gritty like his former Florida guys. However, the talent gap is quite different from the Big East and the SEC which is indicated by the fact that the Gators are favored by nearly two touchdowns.
For the Cardinals to overcome that talent gap, they will have to find a way to move the football against an extremely tough Gators defense that is ranked 5th in the FBS giving up just 283 yards per game. Louisville QB Teddy Bridgewater gives the Cardinals the best chance to overcome that Florida defense. Bridgewater is performing at a high level this season completing 69% passing for 3,452 yards with 25 touchdowns and just 7 picks. Bridgewater has averaged just less than 300 yards per game this season and it will be his arm that is important in the Sugar Bowl. Teams have struggled tremendously running the football against Florida but the Louisville passing game could be the x factor.
Florida does not have a very flashy or quick striking offense that will blow teams off the field. In fact, the Gators average just 338 yards per game (102nd in FBS) and even worse in the passing game averaging just 143 yards through the air per game (114th in FBS). However, the Gators are very physical up front and have a solid running attack that has posted just less than 200 yards per game this season. Running back Mike Gillislee has been tremendous in Florida's biggest games this year and has compiled 1,104 yards with 10 touchdowns on the season. The Gators will try to run the football early and often to control the tempo against the Cardinals. Louisville's bid for an upset will be largely determined by how well Florida is able to run the football.
Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I believe both teams style of play resemble each other and honestly I am not sure why Florida is laying nearly two touchdowns. The Gators may have trouble against the Louisville defense. Additionally if the Gators don't come up with a big turnover or make some big plays on offense, Louisville is capable of the upset. I just think this spread is too big for the wrong reasons. The Gators are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and I think the number is inflated again.
Take Louisville +13.5Comment
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Larry is 21-19 last 40 in CBB.
Larry Ness' MVC Showdown (19-6-1 s/Dec 14)
Creighton at Illinois State Jan 2 2013 8:00PM
My 9* MVC Showdown is on Illinois St at 8:00 ET.
Illinois St had a nice 21-14 season last year, making it to the title game of what the MVC calls "Arch Madness." However, head coach Tim Jankovich decided to leave Normal and sit next to Larry Brown down at SMU, as head coach in-waiting. He took PG Nic Moore (10.0-3.9 APG) with him but the Redbirds have seven players averaging 16-plus MPG. The 6-9 Carmichael (17.8-8.5) leads the way, although senior guard Tyler Brown (16.8) isn't far behind. PG Hill (6.1-3.5-4,0) is solid, as are the 6-7 Ekey (9.5-4.7) and the 6-6 Allen (9.4). Creighton went 29-6 last year, including a 58-57 victory over Alabama in the NCAAs. The Blue Jays were the MVC's preseason choice as champs and enter this game 12-1, ranked 16th in the AP (have been ranked 17th or higher in all nine polls this season). The Jays are led by preseason All-American, Doug McDermott (coach's son), who is averaging 23.5-7.0. The 6-9 Echenique (11.0-7.9 is Creighton’s only other significant big man and starts along with McDermott plus a trio of guards. They are Chatman (8.1), Gibbs (6-5-5.8 APG) and Manigat (5.5). The 6-7 Wragge (8.3) has been invaluable off the bench. Creighton averages 79.5 PPG on 50.8% shooting (8th), including 42.5% on threes (2nd-best). Creighton is 4-0 away from home, including road wins at California and Nebraska plus neutral-court wins over Wisconsin and Arizona State in the Continental Tire Las Vegas Invitational. However, Illinois St is 6-1 at home, losing only to unbeaten 12-0 Wyoming, 81-67. The Redbirds have outscored opponents 85.7-to-63.9 PPG at home this season and after losing all three times to Creighton last year, including a tough OT loss in "Arch Madness," are primed to get a win in this one.
Good luck...Larry
Prediction: Illinois State
Larry's Weekly Wipeout Winner (19-6 CBB s/Dec 14)
Illinois at Purdue Jan 2 2013 8:30PM
My 9* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on Illinois at 8:30 ET.
John Groce, who worked some ‘magic’ at Ohio U the last two years, has made a difference at Illinois, very quickly. Groce starts three guards, Paul (18.7-5.1-3.6), Abrams (12.1-3.8-3.2) and Richardson (10.9-4.4). All can rebound plus the 6-11 Egwu (6.2-4.1) and the 6-9 Griffey (9.2-3.4) complete the starting roster. The 6-6 Bertrand (8.8-4.3) and 6-8 McLaurin (4.3-3.9) add solid depth. The Illini, just 17-15 (6-12 in the Big 10) last season, opened 12-0 before losing to Missouri 82-73 on Dec 23. Matt Painter's Boilermakers have put together six straight 20-win (or more) seasons but this year began with nine underclassman, including four heralded freshman. Two freshman have made an immediate impact, the 7-0 Hammons (10.0-5.8) and guard Ronnie Johnson (8.9-3.9-3.3). The team's leading scorer is junior guard Terone Johnson (12.5-4.5-3.2) with the 6-5 Byrd (9.3-4.1) and the 6-8 Lawson (3.6-3.9) also contributing. Illinois will be trying to snap a seven-game losing streak to Purdue as the 14th-ranked Fighting Illini launch their Big Ten Conference schedule on the road against the Boilermakers on Wednesday. Purdue hardly looks like a 20-win team this season, coming in just 6-6. How good is Illinois in Groce's first season? NOT good enough to best Missouri (currently ranked No. 12) but the Illini did win 85-74 at current No. 10 Gonzaga back on Dec 8. This contest begins a brutal three-game stretch, which includes dates at No. 18 Michigan State on Saturday and against No. 8 Ohio State on Tuesday. So, it's likely a three-game losing streak awaits if Illinois can't beat Purdue. I'm betting the Illini do beat the Boilermakers.
Good luck...Larry
Prediction: IllinoisComment
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Hollywood Sports is 20-7 last 27 in CFB
Hollywood Sports' 25* BCS BOWL TOTAL OF THE MONTH
Louisville at Florida Jan 2 2013 8:30PM
At 8:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Louisville Cardinals and the Florida Gators in the Sugar Bowl. Strong technical play here. Louisville (10-2) has a strong defense that ranks 25th in the nation by holding teams to just 344.8 total YPG. They enter this BCS bowl after winning the Big East conference after being the highest ranked team in a three-way tie for first place after their 20-17 win versus Rutgers as a 3-point underdog. The Cardinals only rushed for 42 yards in that game -- and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. Louisville also surrendered 284 passing yards in that contest -- and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing 280 or more passing yards in their last contest. Furthermore, the Cardinals have played 4 straight games Under the Total played on turf. Additionally, the Under is supported by a technical angle that has been 74% effective since 1992. After seven games into the season in contests between two non-conference opponents from major 1-A conferences, when both teams outgain their opponents by 0.6-1.2 yards per play (Louisville: +0.6 net yards per play; Florida: +1.0 net yards per play), this game finished Under the Total in 72 of the last 98 situations where these conditions applied.
Florida (11-1) enters this game after their 37-26 win at Florida State to close the season. The Gators possess one of the best defenses in the country as they hold teams to 12.9 PPG (3rd in the FBS) and limit opponents to only 283.4 total YPG (5th in the FBS). Florida has now played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games outside the SEC, the Gators have played 6 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 27-5-1 combined angle for this situation. Lastly, because Florida has not allowed more than 112 rushing yards in their last three games, the Under is supported by an empirical angle that has been 77% effective over the last five seasons. In games with the Total set in the 42.5-49 point range, when an opponent has not allowed more than 125 rushing yards in their last three games now faces an opponent that rushed for less than 100 yards in their last game, these games finished Under the Total in 30 of the last 39 situations where these conditions applied. 25* CFB BCS Bowl Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Louisville Cardinals and the Florida Gators in the Sugar Bowl. Best of luck for us -- Frank.
Prediction: under
Bet Type: TOTALComment
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NBA
Hot Teams
-- Pacers won eight of last ten games (7-4 as HF).
-- Portland won eight of last ten games (4-8 as AU). Toronto won seven of its last eight games (3-2 as HF).
-- Miami won seven of last nine games (10-6 as HF, 4-2 if laying 10+).
-- Milwaukee won three of last four home games, covered five of last seven games overall (1-4 as HU). Spurs won last six games, covered four of last five (10-5 as AF).
-- Thunder won last three games, by 6-30-18 points (8-6-1 HF of 8+).
-- Rockets won six of last eight games (8-2 last ten as HF).
-- Warriors won 14 of last 18 games (8-2 as HF).
Cold Teams
-- Cleveland lost eight of last ten games (1-2 as HF). Kings lost their last six road games, but covered five of last seven overall (6-8 as AU).
-- Wizards lost 10 of last 11 games (7-5-1 as AU).
-- Bulls lost three of last four games (4-1 as AF). Orlando lost last ix games, covered one of last five (3-5 as HU).
-- Mavericks lost six of last seven games (6-4 as AU of 6+ points).
-- Memphis lost three of last four games (3-2-1 as AF). Celtics are 2-7 in their last nine games (9-5 SU at home, 1-1 as HU).
-- Nets lost six of last nine games (4-6 as AU).
-- Hornets lost 13 of last 15 games (10-4 as AU).
-- 76ers lost eight of last eleven games (6-7 as AU). Suns lost last six games, but covered eight of last ten (3-6 as HF).
-- Minnesota lost four of last five road games (4-4 as AU). Utah lost seven of last nine games (1-5 last six as HF).
-- Clippers' 18-game win streak ended last night (4-5 as AF).
Totals
-- Last five Sacramento games went over the total.
-- Last five Washington road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Toronto home games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten Chicago road games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten Miami home games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten Memphis games stayed under the total.
-- Four of Spurs' last five road games stayed under the total.
-- 12 of 13 Brooklyn road games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last 12 Houston home games went over the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last 13 Clipper games stayed under the total.
Back-to-backs
-- Kings are 0-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Wizards are 4-1 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Pistons are 4-4 vs spread if they played nite before, 2-3 on road.
-- Dallas is 3-4 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Hornets are 3-5 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- 76ers are 2-6 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Clippers are 2-4 vs spread if they played the night before.Comment
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CBB
-- Providence hammered Louisville 90-59 LY, just their second win in last nine series games; they lost last three visits here by 15-18-27, also lost last two games, to BC/Brown, by total of 4 points. Best team the Friars played so far is #114 UMass (L77-75). Louisville beat Kentucky Saturday, huge game for them; they force turnovers 30% of the time.
-- Air Force/Richmond both run Princeton offense, so not of mysteries here. Falcons are 8-3, but best team they beat is #209 Army- their losses to top 100 teams are by 15-3-17 points. Spiders lost last three games, last two by total of nine points; they force turnovers 24.4% of time. Air Force's road wins are at #341 Citadel, #342 Riverside.
-- Creighton won last five games vs Illinois State, beating ISU in OT in MVC title game LY, after beating them by 28 at home; they won last two visits here, by 11-9 points. ISU is 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with three of last four losses by three points or less. Bluejays are 2-0 on road, winning by 22 at Nebraska, 10 at Cal; their eFG% is 59%, #1 in country.
-- Hone side won eight of last nine Wichita-Drake games; Shockers lost four of last five visits here, losing by 10-15-14-7, with LY's loss here in triple OT. 12-1 Wichita is 2-1 on road, losing at Tennessee; its two wins are by total of five points. 5-6 Drake's best win is over #164 Nevada; they're 0-4 vs top 100 teams, losing by 3-4-15-9 points.
-- Indiana State won three of last four games vs Northern Iowa, winning by 15-2-5 points; Sycamores upset Illinois State in MVC opener- three of their last four games were decided by a hoop- other was respectable 72-65 loss to San Diego State. Panthers lost three of last four games, losing by 7-14-25- they're 2-6 vs top 100 teams (Ls by 5-16-5-7-14-25)
-- 12-0 Wyoming has road wins by 9-28-14 points, with Illinois State win best of three. Cowboys are shooting 57.7% inside arc; they allowed 51.6 ppg in seven wins vs teams not in top 100. 10-4 SMU improved a lot under Brown, but best team they played was #161 Utah. Mustangs turn ball over 23.3% of time, shoot just 44.1% inside the arc.
-- Texas-Arlington is playing third game in five days after dismal 50-35 home loss to Denver Monday; UTA is turning ball over 28.6% of time. 10-2 Boise State has only one senior in rotation; they're 2-2 on road, with 13-point at Creighton- their losses are at Utah/Michigan St. Boise is making 39.6% of 3's- their last six D-I wins are by 10+ points.
-- Home side won last three Florida State-Auburn games; State won by 29 LY, after losing 65-60 here year before- this is first true away game for Seminole squad that won last four games. Auburn lost six of its last nine games, losing by hoop to Illinois last game; four of Tigers' 5 wins are against teams ranked #256 or lower (beat #119 Charleston).
-- St John's hasn't played in 12 days since horrible loss to NC-Asheville at home; they're 0-2 vs top 100 teams, giving up 84.5 ppg. Villanova is 7-1 in last eight series games; road team won last three. Red Storm lost four of last five visits here, losing by 11-13-18-19 points. Villanova won last five games after 4-4 start, including a win over St Joe's.
-- Purdue won last seven games vs Illinois, winning last three played in Mackey Arena by 6-11-5 points; Boilermakers are 1-4 vs top 100 clubs, losing by 5-8-6-13 points, with win at Clemson. Purdue makes 27.1% of its 3's; they're 5-2 at home, losing to Bucknell/Xavier. Illini is 2-0 on the road, winning by a point at Hawa'i, by 11 at Gonzaga.
-- Seton Hall won five of last six games vs DePaul, but lost by 28 here LY; Pirates are 1-1 on road, losing by 5 at LSU (blew 16-point lead) won by 4 at Wake Forest. Hall is 1-2 vs teams in top 125, with only win by 1 over Stony Brook. DePaul had 7-game win streak ended by Loyola last game. Both teams have played one of ten easiest schedules in nation.
-- 9-2 LaSalle has four road wins; they're 2-1 vs top 100 teams, winning by 3 at Villanova, 14 at Iona, losing by 8 at Bucknell. Explorers make 38.6% of their 3's, 50% of 2's. Miami hasn't played in nine days since losing last two games in Hawai'i, scoring 52.5%. Hurricanes are 1-2 vs top 100 teams, upsetting Michigan State before two losses in Hawai'i.
-- January 2 and Duke still hasn't played true road game; they're 4-0 on "neutral" courts, winning by 18-9-5-23 points, all vs pretty good teams- their schedule rank is #9, just no road games.. Blue Devils make 41.5% behind arc. Davidson lost by 13 at Duke LY; they're 0-2 vs teams in top 50, losing to New Mexico by 5, to Gonzaga by 14.Comment
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CFB
Sugar Bowl (New Orleans)
Louisville covered seven of last eight games as an underdog; overall, they are 9-5 vs spread as dogs under Strong. Florida won/covered its last four bowls, all as favorites; they won 51-24 over Cincinnati (-12.5) in Sugar game three years ago. After a great September, Gators struggled later in year, before winning 37-26 (+7) at Florida State; they're 3-4 vs spread as a favorite this year, but also covered 16 of last 22 as road faves. Cards' best wins this year were Cincy/Rutgers, both by FG- they lost in OT to UConn and lost 45-26 at Syracuse. Since 2003, SEC teams are 5-3 in this game, 3-3 when favored; favorites covered Louisville's last four bowls; Cardinals are 3-2 in last five, 0-2 vs spread as an underdog. Average total in last seven Sugar Bowls is 57.4; domed stadium, no weather worries. Underdogs are 3-0 in Big East bowl games this season; SEC clubs are 3-2 in bowls so far. Under is 17-12 in bowls this season, favorites are 13-15 against the spread.Comment
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DCI College Football
The Daniel Curry Index
Week 19 Predictions
Week
Straight Up: 6-0 (1.000)
ATS: 4-2 (.667)
ATS Vary Units: 20-14 (.588)
Over/Under: 2-4 (.333)
Over/Under Vary Units: 7-5 (.583)
Season
Straight Up: 1062-352 (.751)
ATS: 434-400 (.520)
ATS Vary Units: 2516-2316 (.521)
Over/Under: 384-373 (.507)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1251-912 (.578)
Wednesday, January 2, 2013
Allstate Sugar Bowl
at Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Florida 29, Louisville 12Comment
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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
01/02/13 Predictions
Season
Straight Up: 1520-439 (.776)
ATS: 607-626 (.492)
ATS Vary Units: 2180-2348 (.481)
Over/Under: 169-168 (.501)
Over/Under Vary Units: 217-244 (.471)
America East Conference
ALBANY 78, Umbc 57
Boston U. 69, MAINE 63
HARTFORD 68, Binghamton 49
Vermont 60, NEW HAMPSHIRE 55
Atlantic Sun Conference
JACKSONVILLE 74, Lipscomb 73
MERCER 68, Florida Gulf Coast 60
NORTH FLORIDA 74, Northern Kentucky 57
Stetson 75, KENNESAW STATE 69
Big East Conference
LOUISVILLE 77, Providence 54
Seton Hall vs. DePAUL: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SYRACUSE 79, Rutgers 61
VILLANOVA 74, St. John's 64
Big Ten Conference
OHIO STATE 76, Nebraska 50
PURDUE 68, Illinois 67
Colonial Athletic Association
Drexel 62, GEORGIA STATE 59
OLD DOMINION 69, James Madison 65
UNC WILMINGTON 64, Towson 55
Horizon League
UIC 65, Youngstown State 61
VALPARAISO 63, Loyola (Chicago) 54
Missouri Valley Conference
Bradley 63, SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 61
Creighton 78, ILLINOIS STATE 75
EVANSVILLE 72, Missouri State 58
NORTHERN IOWA 65, Indiana State 62
Wichita State 72, DRAKE 62
Pacific-10 Conference
ARIZONA STATE 65, Utah 59
Southwestern Athletic Conference
ALABAMA A&M 71, Grambling State 55
ALABAMA STATE 64, Jackson State 61
ALCORN STATE 67, Prairie View A&M 62
Mississippi Valley State 62, ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF 61
SOUTHERN 64, Texas Southern 57
West Coast Conference
SANTA CLARA 76, San Francisco 74
Non-Conference
AKRON 83, Coppin State 62
AMERICAN 68, Umes 54
BALL STATE 68, Norfolk State 65
Boise State 68, UT ARLINGTON 66
Bucknell 70, CORNELL 58
BUTLER 75, Penn 51
CHARLOTTE 75, UNC Asheville 69
CLEVELAND STATE 71, Kent State 68
COLORADO STATE 69, Utep 57
COLUMBIA 71, Colgate 58
Duke 81, Davidson 68
EAST CAROLINA 80, Campbell 66
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 79, Florida A&M 65
Florida State 71, AUBURN 61
FORT WAYNE 63, Navy 55
GEORGIA TECH 72, Chattanooga 52
KENTUCKY 77, Eastern Michigan 46
LAFAYETTE 77, Njit 65
MARSHALL 77, Delaware State 60
Massachusetts 76, MIAMI (OHIO) 71
MIAMI (FLA.) 71, La Salle 66
NORTH CAROLINA A&T 70, Radford 65
RICHMOND 69, Air Force 65
SAN DIEGO STATE 78, CSU Bakersfield 54
TULSA 69, Buffalo 64
UAB 73, Georgia Southern 60
UCF 60, South Florida 58
USC UPSTATE 71, Hampton 55
VANDERBILT 69, William & Mary 54
Vcu 75, EAST TENNESSEE STATE 54
WESTERN ILLINOIS 53, Savannah State 43
WINTHROP 60, North Carolina Central 58
Wyoming 59, SMU 51
Xavier 67, WAKE FOREST 65Comment
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