1-6-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA WASHINGTON at MIAMI

Play Under - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, on Sunday games-
110-60 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.7% 44.0 units )
7-6 this year. ( 53.8% 0.4 units )

NBA CHARLOTTE at DETROIT

Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (DETROIT) an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (<=-7 PPG differential)
248-59 over the last 5 seasons. ( 80.8% 88.2 units )
22-6 this year. ( 78.6% 3.6 units )

NBA OKLAHOMA CITY at TORONTO

Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, on Sunday games.
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% 32.9 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB MANHATTAN at IONA

Play On - Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (MANHATTAN) off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, playing their 2nd game in 3 days.
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )

CBB SIENA at RIDER

Play Against - Any team (RIDER) a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after a loss by 6 points or less.
167-91 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.7% 57.2 units )
6-7 this year. ( 46.2% -2.2 units )

CBB MANHATTAN at IONA

Play On - Underdogs of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (MANHATTAN) off a road win against a conference rival, playing their 2nd game in 3 days.
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso


50 Units
Kent State (+3½) over Arkansas State
Go Daddy.Com Bowl
Played at Ladd Peebles Stadium (40,646), Artificial Turf, in Mobile, Alabama
Kent State (11-2) +3 ½ over Arkansas State (9-3)
Prediction: Kent State by 6-7

Comments: This game matches two outstanding mid-majors, each with blue-chip game-breaking players, some of which are certain to play at the next level. While the teams are evenly matched and grade out with a 50-50 chance to win straight up, Kent is the choice, first because we are getting the 3 ½ and then because the Golden Flashes have a ground game should give them the ability to control the pace of the game and keep the ball away from Arkansas State senior quarterback Ryan Aplin, a 3-time All-Sun Belt Conference signal caller, who owns almost all the Red Wolves’ all-time passing records and this season threw for 3,129 yards, completing 67.8% of his passes, with 23 touchdowns and just four interceptions. Kent’s rushing attack is led by All-American Dri Archer, a 5-8, 175-pound junior, who led the nation with 2,460 all-purpose yards and set a single-season school record for touchdowns with 23. He is supported by fellow junior running back who rushed for 1,248 yards this season. The two combined to give Kent State the 17th-ranked rushing attack in college football and in their last nine games, the Golden Flashes averaged 253.5 yards on the ground. Kent recorded a signature win at Rutgers, 35-23, this season while its two losses came at the hands of Kentucky, 47-14, in the second game of the season, before the latter fell apart because of injuries, and in the championship game of the MAC, losing to Northern Illinois, 44-37. Arkansas State comes into this game riding a 7-game win streak. It suffered its three losses early, in the first game of the season, at Oregon, 57-34 (Oregon did not play its starters in the second half), in its third game at Nebraska, 42-13, and two games later at home against Western Kentucky, 26-13. The bottom line: Kent State is better than its record and its ability to control the pace of the game with a knockout ground game should put the Golden Flashes in the winner’s circle in their first bowl game in more than 40 years. Arkansas State played in the Go Daddy Bowl last season and as a 1 ½-point favorite lost to Northern Illinois, 38-20.

Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 5-10 m.p.h. (Ladd-Peebles Stadium, Mobile, AL) Game-time temperature: Near 50.


15 Units

Temple (+14½) over Kansas
Temple (10-2) +14 ½ over KANSAS (11-1)
Prediction: Kansas by 7-8
Played at Allen Fieldhouse (16,300) in Lawrence, Kansas
Starting Time: 4:35
TV: CBS

Comments: This is another game in which the betting line makes little sense, with my figures saying the host Jayhawks should be a 7-8-point favorite. Temple is a well-coached talented team that probably is better than its record, a fact reflected by its neutral-floor win, 83-79, over Syracuse two games ago. Kansas has the home court bias working for it but is going to have to contend with a Temple team that has built a game-plan around keeping the Jayhawks from getting on one of its famous 15-0 runs—and the Owls have the talent and discipline to run it. I hold no illusion about Temple winning the game straight up, but it certainly can keep it close.



5 Units
Oregon (-1) over Oregon State

Oregon (11-2) -1 over OREGON STATE (10-3)
Prediction: Oregon by 6-7
Played at Gill Coliseum (10,480) in Corvallis, Oregon
Starting Time: 10:05
TV: Fox Sports Network

Comments: For the record, this is the 338th meeting of these two teams, making it the most-contested rivalry in college basketball. Now, to the game. I just have the feeling Oregon is something special, despite the lack of recognition in the national polls and today is ready to play its best game of the season. The Ducks are 1-1 on the road this, with the win coming at nationally-ranked UNLV, 83-79, and with the loss coming at Texas-El Paso, 91-84 on a night they were ice-cold from the field, 3-point range and at the free-throw line. Oregon State is 7-1 at home this season against what is a very week slate of opponents—Texas-Pan American, Towson State, San Diego, Howard, Chicago State, Grambling, Montana State, New Mexico State and Niagara—and will find the going quite a bit tougher tonight.



AFC Wild Card Game
10 Units
Ravens (-7) over Colts

BALTIMORE RAVENS (10-6) -7 over Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
Prediction: Ravens by 10-13
Starting Time: 1:05
TV: CBS

Comments: I originally intended to release this game as a 25-unit play but after hours of analysis decided the risk vs. reward factor was too out of whack to do that. While Baltimore has what it takes to win and cover it is difficult to overlook the fact Indianapolis continued to improve all season, closed out 2-0, with wins against Houston, 28-16, and at Kansas City, 20-13, and went 9-2 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in its last 11 games. Still, Baltimore has post-season experience (28 of the Colts players have never competed in a playoff game) and one of the strongest home field bias figures in the NFL (the Ravens are 6-2 at home this season and 21-3 in their last 24 home games), and should grind out the win.

Mostly sunny. Winds blowing from the Southwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 45.



50 Units

Seahawks (-3) over Redskins

Seattle Seahawks (11-5) -3 over WASHINGTON REDSKINS (10-6)
Prediction: Seattle by 13-14
Starting Time: 4:35
TV: FOX

Comments: I had originally intended to release this game at the 25-unit level but upgraded it to 50 units after the figures revealed just how dominating the Seattle defense can be. The Seahawks have been recognized this season for their all-at-once high-octane offense that emerged the last month of the regular season (they have scored at average of 42.5 points in their last four games) and the outstanding play of rookie quarterback Russell Wilson, but it is their defense that has been the difference-maker. Seattle has the 4th-ranked defense in the NFL, is ranked 1st against the score, giving up just 15.3 points per game, and opposing quarterbacks had a league low passing efficiency rating of 67.6 Washington closed out the regular season with seven straight wins while the Seahawks closed with five consecutive wins and went 7-1 in their last eight games. The bottom line: both teams have outstanding offenses but Seattle has the dramatically better defense and I do believe that one single element will get the win and a rather easy cover for the Seahawks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CFB ARKANSAS ST at KENT ST.

Play Over - All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 in a game involving two average defensive teams (21-28 PPG), after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games.
29-8 over the last 10 seasons. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% -0.3 units )

CFB ARKANSAS ST at KENT ST.

Play On - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (ARKANSAS ST) an excellent offensive team (>=34 PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 24 or more points at the half.
40-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 72.7% 23.5 units )
1-4 this year. ( 20.0% -3.4 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapping Kings

JIMMY

8:00PM Colorado vs Arizona State
[829] Colorado -2.5 -110

9:00PM Arkansas State vs Kent State
(BOWL GAME)

[267] Arkansas State -3 -110

4:30PM Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Redskins
[107] OVER 46 -107

GOODFELLAS

4:30PM Wisconsin vs Nebraska
[816] (CIGAR GAME)Nebraska +8.5 -110

6:05PM Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat
[803] Washington Wizards +14 -110

1:00PM Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens
[105] UNDER 47 -107

PERRY

ITALY
US PALERMO/FC PARMA OVER 2.5 +100 (9AM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Regular Service Selections for Sunday, Janaury 6th

2013 NFL Wildcard Sunday Totals Parlay of the Year!!!!!
Indianapolis/Baltimore under 46 1/2
Seattle/Washignton under 46

2013 Go-Daddy Bowl Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Arkansas State/Kent State over 62 1/2

NBA Best Bets

Oklahoma City/Toronto under 197
Washington/Miami over 190 1/2
Charlotte/Detroit over 193

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Platinum Plays.
500K Wildcard Lock/Year
the Indianapolis Colts +7 over
the Baltimore Ravens
Best Bets


the Seattle Seahawks -3 over
the Washington Redskins
the Indianapolis/Washington Game UNDER
the Total Of 47 Points
the Kansas Jayhawks -13½ over
the Temple Owls
the Nebraska Cornhuskers +9½ over
the Wisconsin Badgers
500K Bowl Mismatch
the Arkansas St Red Wolves -3½ over
the Kent St Golden Flashes

Best Bets

the Kent St/Arkansas St Game OVER
the Total Of 62½ Points
the Detroit Pistons -8½ over
the Charlotte Bobcats
the Tulsa Golden Hurricane +5 over
the SMU Mustangs
the Oregon Ducks Pk over
the Oregon St Beavers


PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK the Seattle/Washington Game OVER
the Total Of 46½ Points
the Denver Nuggets +3 Over
the LA Lakers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Kent State +3.5

100* Over 46 Seahawks/Redskins

100* Michigan -13.5

50* North Carolina +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Playbook Marc Lawrence

BALTIMORE over Indianapolis by 10
In a twist of irony that even Edgar Allen Poe would fi nd amusing, Baltimore
fans will show up for only the Ravens’ second home playoff game since
2006 to fi nd themselves pulling against the franchise that called their city
home for 31 years. That won’t be a problem, though: residents of Maryland’s
largest city STILL despise the current incarnation of the Colts and former
owner Bob Irsay, the villain who moved the team to Indianapolis after the
1983 season. And it’s no surprise to see the Ravens playing today as they’re
the only team in NFL to make the playoffs each of the last fi ve years, all with
head coach John Harbaugh and QB Joe Flacco. Although the Colts were led
by a rookie QB in Andrew Luck (76.5 QB rating, No. 26 in the league), and
forced to deal with the absence of head coach Chuck Pagano for treatment
of leukemia, Indy still managed the second biggest turnaround by an NFL
team this year. However, despite the Colts’ recent series dominance – 8-1
SUATS including covers in the last eight meetings – we look for the visitors’
magical run to come to a screeching halt today. When the horseshoes tee
it up for Game One of the postseason off back-to-back wins, they’ve gone
0-4 SUATS. And in their last six playoff openers on the road, the Colts are
a dismal 1-5 SUATS. More bad news: as we mentioned earlier, NFL dome
teams are a frigid 7-26 SU and 9-24 ATS outdoors in the playoffs. Toss in
the fact that Indianapolis has been outstatted in its last four games and
suddenly the touchdown spread doesn’t look so imposing. With 8 of its last
9 playoff appearances on the road, look for a rabid bunch of Ravens fans to
make themselves heard in this rare home appearance by Baltimore. Colts
run out of luck and throw a shoe in B’more.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise

ARKANSAS STATE (9-3) vs KENT STATE (11-2)
To say that this is a highly anticipated match, would be an overstatement of the
first degree, except, of course, if you are a dedicated fan of either the Golden
Flashes of KentSt, or the Red Wolves of ArkansasSt. For Kent, this season
has been sort of a dream come true. We say "sort of", because it ended on a
less than glorious note, with a narrow loss to NoIllinois, in the MAC title game,
thereby denying the Flashes a possible BCS bowl. Anyway, since Kent had
not been to a bowl since the '72 Tangerine (40 years!), there was little hope for
improvement, despite returning 17 starters from a team which wound up LY on
a 4-1 (SU & ATS) run. They stood at 1-1, after a 47-14 pounding at the hands
of eventual 2-10 Kentucky. Thus, an extension of their annual failures seemed
a given. Not so fast: 10 straight wins (9-1 ATS) followed that embarrassing
loss, behind the Archer/Durham combo, who've run for 2,600 yds & 29 TDs.
QB Keith (55%, 12/9) is simply adequate. However, in that showdown loss to
NIU, Kent was outrushed 312-70. As you can see from the above stats, the
Flashes also excel in the takeaway (38), ranking 2nd in the nation (KansasSt)
in TO ratio. This makes 2 straight bowls for ArkySt, which entered LY's GoDaddy
with a 10-2 slate, only be taken apart, by the aforementioned NoIllinois, 38-20,
thanks in no small part to a 5-1 TO deficit (mere 20-yd deficit). Similar to Kent,
ArkSt finished LY with on rush: 9 straight wins (6-2 ATS). But just 10 returning
starters hardly boded well, with 2-3 start (14-pt cover at Oregon) apparently
bearing it out. But a 7-0 windup (6-1 ATS), behind a balanced "O", led by the
marvelous QB Aplin (68%, 3,129 yds, 23/4) has Wolves smoking. We lay it.
RATING: 2: ARKANSAS STATE 38 - Kent State 27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
Indianapolis Colts +7 over Baltimore Ravens
(SystemRecord: 46-5, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 46-56-4

Basketball Crusher
Detroit Pistons + Charlotte Bobcats OVER 193
(System Record: 36-3, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 36-27-0



Soccer Crusher
Swansea City + Arsenal UNDER 3
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 337-14, won last game)
Overall Record: 337-294-40

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Reporter

SUNDAY, JANUARY 6
BALTIMORE over INDIANAPOLIS by 13
This is like Mad Magazine’s Spy vs. Spy. First-season Indianapolis head coach Chuck Pagano is the former secondary coach and defensive coordinator of Baltimore from 2008-11. Newly minted Baltimore offensive coordinator Jim Caldwell – who had been the first-season quarterbacks coach until he was promoted three weeks ago – is the former quarterbacks coach, assistant head coach and head coach of Indianapolis spanning the 2002 through 2011 seasons. But the Colts have more ex-Ravens coaches than just Pagano. The Indy braintrust includes safeties coach Roy Anderson, a seven-year ex-Ravens’ assistant (in the secondary, mostly); special teams coordinator Marwan aalouf, assistant special teams coach for Baltimore from 2008-11.
Toss in Colts’ offensive coordinator Bruce Arians, who, as offensive coordinator of the
Pittsburgh Steelers from 2007-2011, game-planned twice a year against the Ravens.
Therefore, the Colts would appear to have the “insider edge” that is usually naccounted for in a pointspread. The kind of edge that forces the other side away from its strengths and more towards its weaknesses. But do the Colts have the on-field talent and chemes to apply that edge? The Colts can try to play rope-a-dope on defense – absorb lots of Ray Rice runs by Baltimore for something close to the 5.1 yards per carry the Indy defense has allowed this season – if they can stiffen in the red zone. The Colts’ Red-Zone TD percentage on defense this season is 50.9%, not bad, ninth-best in the NFL. But they played some seriously lousy offensive foes, and the unit got only 13 takeaways all season. Meanwhile, the Red-Zone TD percentage of the Ravens is the NFL’s second-best at 43.4%. Colts’ rookie QB Andrew Luck has thrown 18 interceptions this season (Ed Reed lurks in the Ravens’ secondary!). That’s the same number of picks thrown by Mark Sanchez of the Jets. Luck has been sacked 40 times, and will be throwing into a defense that surrendered the fewest TD passes (15) in the AFC.
The Colts’ rushing attack isn’t as consistent as Baltimore’s, so it’s looking like the Ravens would have the better chance to stay “on schedule” offensively, and avoid the arrowing third-and-longs that help create interceptions, sacks, strip-sack fumbles and all those ugly things that can turn a game in one team’s favor instantly. Also, with offensive coordinator Cam Cameron canned three weeks ago, Caldwell is an X-factor in terms of what he’ll call in different situations. It was a rare, late-season move by a coach (John Harbaugh) considered as a sharpie, not a clown, so we’ll have to consider it as a potential positive factor (until Caldwell dials up goofball plays that implode, and proves otherwise).
BALTIMORE, 33-20.

*WASHINGTON over SEATTLE by 1
Well, at least nobody can say, go against that team, because they have a rookie quarterback! Eliminate that “handicapping angle,” with Seattle’s Russell Wilson and Washington’s Robert Griffin III leading the respective offenses here. Washington is off a
hard-fought win against a division rival in what was essentially a playoff game. But Seattle, away from home? That’s a negative, too. Seattle on the road is like the abominable Snow Monster without his teeth. That stadium, and the noise it generates, really hinders an opposing offenses and creates the kind of flow that can lead to… an 8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS home season for the Seahawks in 2012. But the last two times we picked
the Seahawks to win away from home, they lost at Detroit and at Miami. They’ve won
in Buffalo since (actually, in Toronto), but Buffalo is a horrible team whose coaching
staff was just blown up because the team was so bad. The Seahawks generally do a
good job stopping the run, but they, like many other opponents, have to be considered
as susceptible to the ol’ zone-read run game that other opposing defenses have been
against the Redskins this season. RGIII has been able to outrun some of the quickest
defensive ends in the NFL once those ends fall for the trap that the Redskins set. The
Seahawks’ defensive ends are bigger than most NFL defensive ends, and they don’t
play a 3-4 where some linebacker could help string the guy out of bounds. However, it
must be noted that the Seahawks’ defense really did a great job shutting down Carolina’s zone-read offense and quarterback Cam Newton back in early October. Note that other than Pittsburgh – who played against Denver’s zone-read in the post-season a year ago -- the teams that did the best job of shutting down Washington’s offense this season were Atlanta – who has played against Cam Newton and the Carolina offense for two seasons – and Carolina. The Redskins scored only 13 vs. Carolina, and 17 vs. Atlanta. Carolina scored only 12 against the Seahawks. Griffin is quicker than Newton, but you still have to respect what Seattle did. Newton certainly did: “When you know what guys are doing and you still can’t beat them, they’re just good at what they do,” he said afterwards.
WASHINGTON, 17-16.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Points

*Baltimore over Indianapolis by 11 (Sunday)
The Colts are a heart-warming story, making the playoffs after going 2-14 last year
and with their new head coach, Chuck Pagano, missing 12 games while battling
leukemia. But their season can’t continue. Playing such a weak schedule can cover
up a lot of weaknesses and inexperience. But it catches up sooner or later.
Baltimore has been laying back after clinching the AFC North Division early, losing four of its last five games. The Ravens should prove much better now when a
game finally means something for them, especially playing at M&T Bank
Stadium, where they’ve won 17 of the past 19 times. The Ravens are experienced
in pressure games. The Colts are led by rookie quarterback Andrew Luck and with
36 of 53 newcomers on their roster. They are not the playoff-tested team of the
Peyton Manning era. Joe Flacco plays much better at home, Ray Rice can take off
against the Colts’ 29th-ranked run defense and Baltimore’s defensive studs could
all show up healthy, including Ray Lewis. The Colts scored an emotional victory
at home last week against Houston. That game marked the return of Pagano, who
was the Ravens’ defensive coordinator before taking the Indy job. The Colts have
a real knack for surviving and winning close games. But they don’t do anything
particularly well. They rank 26th in total defense, struggle to run the ball with
pedestrian backs, are average on special teams and have a minus 12 turnover ratio
compared to Baltimore’s plus 9 in takeaways/giveaways. Despite a fancy 11-5
record, the Colts have been outscored by 30 points on the season. Andrew Luck
has lived up to the considerable hype of being the No. 1 overall draft pick. He’s a
franchise-type quarterback, but his numbers aren’t impressive. His quarterback rating is 76.5, which ranks 26th. Pathetic Blaine Gabbert finished 25th by comparison. Luck has thrown 23 touchdown passes and been picked off 18 times. His
touchdown-to-interception ratio on the road is 11-to-13. Whenever the Colts
have faced upper tier competition away from their indoor Lucas Oil Stadium
dome they’ve been slapped down getting blown out by the Bears, Patriots and
Texans. Of their last 11 opponents the Colts have played, only two had winning
records. The Ravens are a tough team when not beating themselves. That shouldn’t be the case here. Baltimore has the experience, better defense and huge home
field advantage. The Colts haven’t beaten a good team on the road all season. The
evidence just doesn’t support the Colts doing it for the first time in this tough road
venue. Fairy tales are nice. But the playoffs deal in reality.
BALTIMORE 28-17.

*Washington over Seattle by 4 (Sunday)
Maybe the Robert Griffin III magic wears off come playoff time, but it’s simply
too unsettling to lay points with Seattle on the road. It’s even more unsettling to
do it when the Seahawks are going against a red-hot team. Washington has won
and covered in its last seven games. Yet the Seahawks opened the favorite. The
Redskins covered seven of the nine times they’ve been underdogs this season. Not
only do the Seahawks have a long trip to make – going far west to east coast into
three time zones – but they will be facing an eager crowd that hasn’t seen the
Redskins host a playoff game since 1999. Seattle gets a taste of its own medicine
since they have the loudest outdoor crowd support in the league. Now it’s reversed.
Seattle is 3-5 SU on the road. The Seahawks have lost to some mediocre-to-bad
teams, too, away from home – the Cardinals, Rams, Lions and Dolphins. Griffin
III has been absolutely brilliant with a 20-to-5 touchdown-to-interception ratio
with more than 4,000 combined passing and rushing yards. Griffin’s 102.4 quarterback rating placed him third behind Aaron Rodgers and Peyton Manning. This
will be Griffin’s third game back since injuring his knee. So his health is improving. Griffin gives the Redskins a confidence and charisma boost that is a huge
intangible. Russell Wilson has been brilliant, too, as a rookie. Wilson, however, has
played much better at home where his touchdown-to-interception ratio is 17-to-2
compared to 9-to-8 on the road. Marshawn Lynch is a huge key to Seattle’s
offense. Washington’s unheralded rookie runner, Alfred Morris, actually outgained
Lynch finishing as the league’s No. 2 rusher with 1,610 yards. The Redskins are
the No. 1 running team in the league averaging 169.1 yards on the ground per
game. Seattle’s run defense has slipped during the second half. It did rank in the
top five, but now rates 10th. The return of Pierre Garcon from a foot injury has
bolstered Washington’s passing attack. What also makes Griffin so great is he doesn’t turn the ball over. The Redskins had a franchise-low 14 turnovers. It’s not just
Griffin. The Redskins started 3-6. They looked dead losing their best pass rushers
to injury. But defensive coordinator Jim Haslett got things turned around in perhaps his finest coaching performance. The Redskins have held six of their past
eight opponents to 21 points or less, while scoring at least 27 points in all but one
of their last seven games. The Seahawks received a gift win against the Packers in
what was the worst call of the year if not the century. Without that lucky victory
they may not have even made the playoffs.
WASHINGTON 24-20.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday

2* = "OVER" on RAVENS/COLTS
2* = ARKANSAS STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

The Colts are having a heck of a year and Luck is going to be a superstar, but this team is mediocre on the road and one think that I can’t get over is the lack on experience as a unit this team has. Every single guy on the offensive line was not here last year except for Reitz who is inactive today. The same can be said about the lack of game experience as a unit together on defense. The playoffs are a brand new season and I am a big believer in teams having to take their lumps in the playoffs in order to advance. Winning a playoff game is no easy task. This Baltimore team was a dropped pass away from betting New England last year and going to the Super Bowl. The Ravens are getting healthy and I think this game is just going to be too big for Luck and company on the road. Take the Ravens.


Two very similar and flashy offenses get together today in what should be a thriller. Other than the Wilson at QB this team is the very same unit as last year and like I said in the other write-up I am a firm believer at earning your playoff stripes before you make a run. Seattle has a huge size advantage today and this should be a case of Washington getting bullied at home. Seattle is probably the most physical team in the league. The Seahawks have a better defense and I like their special teams a lot better. Its tough for a rookie to go on the road and win a playoff game, but its easier when his opponent is also another rookie. Wilson will be playing in the shadow of Luck and RG3 until he can win a big game like this today. I just don’t think the Skins are as good as their number one ranking in the rushing game suggests and again this team has not been together for playoff action which to me is a very important factor. Take the Seahawks.

2-1 Yesterday