2-3-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andy Iskoe

As to a prediction it’s easy to make a case for each team.

The Ravens, under HC John Harbaugh and QB Joe Flacco, have made the playoffs in each of their five seasons, going 8-4 both SU and ATS in a dozen playoff games, including 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS on the road. San Francisco was favored by many prior to the season to win the NFC and they did just that.

The full season statistics do support San Francisco as being the better team. Interestingly, not only did both teams have identical plus 9 turnover margin they did so in the same way, losing just 16 turnovers apiece while forcing 25 off opponents.

Back in September the prediction in this column had San Francisco defeating Pittsburgh 23-17. Injuries prevented the Steelers from making the playoffs but the 49ers are where they were expected to be.

At a FG or more, taking the points with the Baltimore Ravens is an attractive option as is a play on the UNDER if the total rises to 49 or higher.

In a rare Super Bowl in which the points matter, the forecast is for San Francisco to capture its sixth Super Bowl trophy. Niners win 24-23. The cover goes to RAVENS +3½.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Denny the Dog @ Gaming Today

Super Bowl XLVII Sunday, Feb. 3 At New Orleans

49ers -3½ vs. Ravens: Has there ever been a QB in a Super Bowl with more athleticism than CK? I would argue the answer is no. We’ve seen how dangerous he can be in the read option. Defenses are simply forced to commit a man to cover the tattooed terror. He’s probably the fastest QB in the NFL. If he doesn’t run the ball and decides to throw it, the defense has to consider that option.

Nobody is tossing the football faster and more accurately. Kaepernick can turn into the tattooed rocket in a second’s notice. When you think he might run, there’s a bullet over the middle or down the sideline with some defender left holding his jock strap.

Everyone was shocked when Jim Harbaugh made the change from Alex Smith to CK. Harbaugh must have been chuckling to himself when all the cries of foul went up over his incredible decision. After all, what QB in the NFL loses their starting job to an injury? Not to mention the fact Alex took the Niners to the NFC title game a year ago.

Harbaugh drafted a guy who appears to be RG III on steroids. After seeing a dozen throws Smith couldn’t make and maybe one blazing 56-yard scamper down the sideline to the end zone, it didn’t take long to pull the trigger on the QB switch. I can hear Jim right now. This is a no-brainer!

Kaepernick isn’t the only reason I like the Niners. Harbaugh Jim will be able to design a game plan that takes advantage of an aging Ray Lewis. Ray is fine defending the run, but he’s lost a step in coverage. Shame on the 49ers if they can’t figure out a way to pick on Lewis.

San Francisco should be able to move the ball on the Baltimore defense. However, by no means do I think this is going to be a cakewalk. Baltimore has shocked me with its sudden turnaround. They are indeed lucky to be here after tying Denver on a Hail Mary. That said, they played much better than I anticipated after firing Cam Cameron. When they changed offensive coordinators so late in the season I thought they were finished.

After a couple of shaky games, Jim Caldwell has this offense humming. It didn’t hurt the Ravens chances when Aqib Talib went down at New England. Anquan Boldin was dominating after that injury. We’ll see if he can do it again against the Niners corners. They have been suspect on more than one occasion. I really believe you’ll see the 49ers put some pressure on Flacco. That’s something no team has yet been able to do in the playoffs. They will figure out a way to put Joe on his back or at the very least, on his heels.

I love the way the betting line is moving down. The first numbers I saw were mostly 4 and at least one 4½. Later that same week the lines at most of the sports books had it 3½. The move makes sense. The Ravens have had the toughest path to the Super Bowl. They hosted the Colts, but then had to go on the road and beat the two best teams in the AFC.

The public, including myself, has been smitten with the athletic ability of Kaepernick. The Ravens, driven in large part by the inspiration of Ray Lewis, have played their tails off over the last month. The Niners don’t deserve to be any more than a 3½ point favorite.

These two teams are physical to the umpteenth degree. The Ravens out hit and beat up a finesse Patriots club. I would argue the Ravens were up against a fairly soft defense. Baltimore’s chances weren’t diminished facing an aging Tom Brady, who was dealing with mediocre receivers. The Ravens beat the tar out of the Patriots, fair and square.

The Niners aren’t going to take any gruff. They can hit every bit as hard as Baltimore and have some incredibly athletic linebackers that will make one heck of a difference in this game. You could make a case for either team and it’s not unlike any other game on the sports book board at any time of the year.

If the bookies hang the right number, you can make a case for either side. Well, they’ve hung a good number on this year’s Super Bowl. It has all the makings of a knockdown-drag ’em out bitter fight until the clock runs out. What makes the Super Bowl extra special this year is the added drama of brothers coaching against each other in the postseason for the first time in the NFL history.

This may never happen again in our lifetime. The Harbaughs may never get another chance to coach a team in the Super Bowl. There are no guarantees.

I admire and respect both. Bottom line is the game will be won or lost between the lines by the players. I happen to like the guy playing QB for the 49ers better than the one with the Ravens. 49ERS, 31-24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

nover

3* super bowl total

over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Root

ravens

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PREDICTION MACHINE

Against the Spread Picks

Rot Time (ET) - ATS Pick - Opp - Line - MarginWin% ATS

102 6:30 PM • SF - BAL -3.5 • 7.3 • 59.7% • PP • Top ATS Play of the Day

Straight-Up Picks

Rot Time (ET) - Favorite - Opp - Points For - Points AgainstWin%

102 6:30 PM • SF - BAL 28.6 • 21.3 • 66.9%

Over/Under Picks

Home Rot Time (ET) - Matchup - Line - Total Points - Pick%

102 6:30 PM • BAL vs SF47.5 • 49.9 • Over 53.7%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PREDICTION MACHINE

Props Package Picks

Baltimore Quarterback

Player Stat Line Proj. Pick Calc
Joe Flacco Pass Yds 250 (-110/-110) 215.7 UNDER (58.4%)
Joe Flacco Comp. 20.5 (-110/-110) 20.9 UNDER (51.7%)
Joe Flacco Att. 34.5 (-110/-110) 35.3 OVER (50.7%)

Joe Flacco TDs Thrown 1.5 (-130/EVEN) 1.3 UNDER (53.8%)
Joe Flacco TDs Thrown 0 (+300) 1.3 0, (18.9%)
Joe Flacco TDs Thrown 1 (+175) 1.3 1, (35.9%)
Joe Flacco TDs Thrown 2 (+250) 1.3 2, (25.5%)
Joe Flacco TDs Thrown 3 (+450) 1.3 3, (12.6%)
Joe Flacco TDs Thrown 4+ (+400) 1.3 4+, (7.1%)

Joe Flacco INT 0.5 (-165/+135) 0.8 UNDER (47.2%)
Joe Flacco Rushes 2.0 (-110/-110) 2.0 UNDER (50.2%)
Joe Flacco Rush Yards 2.5 (-110/-110) 0.7 UNDER (58.8%)
Joe Flacco 4th QTR TD Yes (+125)/No (-155) 0.5 NO, 63.0%

San Francisco Quarterback

Player Stat Line Proj. Pick Calc
Colin Kaepernick Pass Yds 232.5 (-110/-110) 231.6 UNDER (50.3%)
Colin Kaepernick Comp. 17.5 (-110/-110) 17.2 UNDER (50.6%)
Colin Kaepernick Att. 27.5 (-110/-110) 28.8 UNDER (52.7%)

Colin Kaepernick TDs Thrown 1.5 (+110/-140) 1.6 OVER (53.0%)
Colin Kaepernick TDs Thrown 0 (+200) 1.6 0, (18.1%)
Colin Kaepernick TDs Thrown 1 (+180) 1.6 1, (30.5%)
Colin Kaepernick TDs Thrown 2 (+275) 1.6 2, (26.5%)
Colin Kaepernick TDs Thrown 3 (+600) 1.6 3, (13.8%)
Colin Kaepernick TDs Thrown 4+ (+1000) 1.6 4+, (11.1%)

Colin Kaepernick INT 0.5 (-140/+110) 0.8 OVER (55.4%)
Colin Kaepernick Rushes 7.5 (-110/-110) 5.7 UNDER (62.8%)
Colin Kaepernick Rush Yards 50.5 (-110/-110) 38 UNDER (62.0%)
Colin Kaepernick Rush TD Yes (+110)/No (-140) 0.5 NO, 61.8%

Baltimore Running Backs

Player Stat Line Proj. Pick Calc
Ray Rice Rush Yds 69.5 (-110/-110) 64.2 UNDER (55.9%)
Ray Rice Rushes 18.5 (-110/-110) 17.6 UNDER (54.1%)

Ray Rice Rec Yds 30.5 (-110/-110) 25.9 UNDER (58.8%)
Ray Rice Recs 3.5 (-110/-110) 3.9 OVER (55.3%)
Ray Rice TDs 0.5 (+110/-140) 0.8 OVER (49.1%)

Bernard Pierce Rush Yds 32.5 (-110/-110) 33.8 OVER (50.5%)
Bernard Pierce Receptions 0.5 (-110/-110) 0.2 UNDER (59.6%)
Bernard Pierce TDs 0.5 (+400/-600) 0.1 UNDER (86.5%)

San Francisco Running Backs

Player Stat Line Proj. Pick Calc
Frank Gore Rush Yds 82.5 (-110/-110) 89.2 OVER (53.5%)
Frank Gore Rushes 20.5 (-110/-110) 18.8 UNDER (51.8%)

Frank Gore Rec Yds 17.5 (-110/-110) 13.1 UNDER (56.8%)
Frank Gore Recs 1.5 (-110/-110) 1.6 UNDER (50.6%)
Frank Gore TDs 0.5 (-140/+110) 0.9 OVER (60.6%)

LaMichael James Rush Yds 25.5 (-110/-110) 30.4 OVER (58.1%)
LaMichael James Rec. Yds 9.5 (-110/-110) 9.1 UNDER (53.2%)
LaMichael James TDs 0.5 (+300/-400) 0.3 OVER (25.7%)

Baltimore Receivers/Tight Ends

Player Stat Line Proj. Pick Calc
Anquan Boldin Rec Yds 67.5 (-110/-110) 58.9 UNDER (59.0%)
Anquan Boldin Recs 4.5 (-150/+120) 4.4 UNDER (49.1%)
Anquan Boldin TDs 0.5 (+135/-165) 0.3 UNDER (67.2%)

Torrey Smith Rec Yds 65.5 (-110/-110) 55.8 UNDER (59.4%)
Torrey Smith Recs 3.5 (-140/+110) 4.1 OVER (54.4%)
Torrey Smith TDs 0.5 (+135/-165) 0.4 OVER (42.6%)

Dennis Pitta Rec Yds 45.5 (-110/-110) 38.4 UNDER (56.6%)
Dennis Pitta Recs 4 (-110/-110) 4.1 OVER (55.5%)
Dennis Pitta TDs 0.5 (+175/-215) 0.4 OVER (38.3%)

San Francisco Receivers/Tight Ends

Player Stat Line Proj. Pick Calc
Michael Crabtree Rec Yds 77.5 (-110/-110) 77.3 OVER (50.1%)
Michael Crabtree Recs 6 (-110/-110) 5.8 OVER (51.2%)
Michael Crabtree TDs 0.5 (-115/-115) 0.7 UNDER (54.7%)

Randy Moss Rec Yds 35.5 (-110/-110) 28.8 UNDER (61.7%)
Randy Moss Recs 2.5 (-110/-110) 1.7 UNDER (60.6%)
Randy Moss TDs 0.5 (+240/-300) 0.2 UNDER (77.6%)

Vernon Davis Rec Yds 50.5 (-110/-110) 46.3 UNDER (53.1%)
Vernon Davis Recs 3.5 (-140/+110) 3.2 UNDER (52.4%)
Vernon Davis TDs 0.5 (+110/-140) 0.4 UNDER (65.0%)

Delanie Walker Rec Yds 20.5 (-110/-110) 37.4 OVER (64.3%)
Delanie Walker Recs 1.5 (-110/-110) 2.2 OVER (56.4%)

Kickers

Player Stat Line Proj. Pick Calc
David Akers Points 7.5 (-110/-110) 8.9 OVER (60.2%)
David Akers FGM 1.5 (-110/-110) 2.1 OVER (62.2%)

Justin Tucker Points 7.5 (Even/-120) 7.1 UNDER (53.8%)
Justin Tucker FGM 1.5 (-110/-110) 1.6 OVER (51.9%)

Misc. Game Props

Type Line Proj. Pick/Calc
Longest FGM (Yds) 44.5 (-110/-110) 43.2 UNDER (53.3%)
Longest FGM (Team) BAL (-130) BAL (59.7%) BAL (59.7%)

Longest TD (Yds) 46.5 Yds (-115/-115) 45.9 Yds UNDER (51.8%)
Longest TD (Team) SF (-130) SF (57.5%) SF (57.5%)

Shortest TD 1.5 Yds (-110/-110) 1.9 Yds OVER (53.4%)
Scores 1st SF (-130) 55.2% SF (55.2%)

Team Scores 1st Wins No (+150) 48.0% NO (48.0%)
Safety No (-1000) 91.3% NO 91.3%
OT NO (-1000) 92.4% NO 92.4%
3 Unanswered Scores Yes (-180) 62.6% YES 62.6%
Total Sacks UNDER 4.5 (-110) 55.8% UNDER 55.8%

Average Points by Quarter

Team • 1st Qtr • 2nd Qtr • 3rd Qtr • 4th Qtr/OT

San Francisco • 4.7 • 8.4 • 6.4 • 9.1

Baltimore • 4.7 • 4.7 • 5.6 • 6.3

Entertainment Props

Type Line Proj. Pick/Calc

National Anthem 2:15 2:06 UNDER (57.2%)

Coin Flip Even 50.0% (25,001 Tails) Tails(50.0%)

Beyonce Top Gold (+275) Gold (33.3%) Gold (33.3%)

Beyonce Hair Curly (Even) Curly (55.0%) CURLY (55.0%)

Jay-Z Shown 0.5 (-120/-120) 0.7 OVER (58.2%)

Postgame Handshake 7.5 (-120/-120) 5.8 UNDER (61.5%)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EA Sports

FORECASTER

Baltimore Ravens - 27

SF 49ers -24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NC Prop Single Play on Bowman from 49ers over 8.5 tackles

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Langs 200 dime play is Baltimore

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns BEST OF THE BEST! ~ 13-3 IN SBs

Baltimore

Burns' *10* SB BLUE CHIP! ~ 13-3 FOR CAREER!

UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Fezik- 3 Units *Baltimore +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast Super Bowl Props
Friday Props. Buttons 5&6

Marquee Triple: Vernon Davis over 3' Receptions -115
Marquee Triple: Ray Rice over 65' rushing yards -120
Marquee Double: Frank Gore will score a TD in the 1st half +125
Marquee Singe: Randy Moss over 2' Receptions -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

3-Unit Play. Take #101 Baltimore (+4) over San Francisco (6:30 p.m., Sunday, Feb. 3)

This line is moving so I would not wait to play this game. All of the sharp action and all of the pros that I have talked to are getting on Baltimore. The Ravens are meant to win this game and I think that they will. They were able to beat Denver on the road and beat New England on the road and I think that they are the hot team right now just like the Giants were last year. San Francisco was very fortunate to come from behind in both of their playoff games and very fortunate to hold on in Atlanta last week. They are a little younger team and I think that a lot of them are just happy to be here. Baltimore is a team that has had a lot of playoff success and has played in a lot of big playoff games like this. The Ravens are a little older. And they have more motivation to get a championship here because this is their last chance with guys like Lewis and Reed. But this could be a close game and the Ravens lose. And I think it will be a good game regardless. So having this many points and being on a key NFL number like this is all the value I need. I have my money down on the Ravens. I think they are going to win. But I am going to take the points and be happy to collect.

PROP BETS -

1-Unit Play. Will Kaepernick Throw An INT = YES (-135)

1-Unit Play. Kaepernick Rushing Attempts = 'UNDER' 7.5 (-130)

1-Unit Play. Will Kaepernick Score a Rush TD = NO (-145)

I am betting on Baltimore because I don't think that Colin Kaepernick will have as strong of a game this Sunday. I think the Ravens will key in on him and I think they will shut him down. Kaepernick has only been a starter for nine games and I don't think that he is ready for this big stage. I think the Ravens will key on him in the read-option. I think he will be playing from behind most of the game and that means that he won't have as many opportunities to run as the 49ers will be forced to throw more playing from behind.

Thank you to everyone for another great year. That is now 16 of 19 winning NFL years. I hope you will keep me in mind for next fall when I come back with more NFL 411 System plays and another winning year.

I am also doing great in the NBA right now (+5500 over L2 months) and I am going to go on another great college basketball run. I am as consistent and steady as they come and I hope you will join me in a partnership in profit in those other sport.

Allen Eastman

[Can'tPickAWinner]

docs sports

4 Unit Play. #101 Take Baltimore Ravens +4 over San Francisco 49ers (Super Bowl 47, Sunday, 6:30 pm CBS) These are very similar teams, but I just believe that the Ravens have the edge in experience at a couple of key positions and that will allow them to emerge victorious in Super Bowl 47. QB Joe Flacco has played outstanding during the playoffs, and playing in a dome will help him a great deal with the deep ball. Atlanta did not have many issues throwing the football against the 49ers, as their pass rush has all but vanished of late. But, unlike Atlanta, Baltimore is a mentally tough team that will not fold when adversity hits. The Ravens are old on defense, but I expect Ray Lewis to have them fired up for his swan song as a professional football player. Baltimore has covered 4 straight playoff games. Expect the Ravens to keep QB Colin Kaepernick in the pocket and make him beat them with his arm and not his legs. He may be up to the challenge, but like most gun-slingers, he will give the Ravens a couple of chances to make big plays on defense. We just have to hope that Baltimore makes those plays, and if they do they will win this game straight up.

Baltimore by 6

3 Unit Play. #102 Take Under 49 in Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers (Super Bowl 47, Sunday, 6:30 pm CBS) The NFL Playoffs have been setting records for scoring points on a weekly basis, but we now have a matchup of two teams known for their strong defense and their desire to run the football. That sets up for a battle that should keep the scoring in check. The Ravens have gone under the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games. Expect both of the Harbaughs to play this close to the vest and not try and embarrass one another by running up the score late in the game. That should set up for a strong play with the under.

Play the Under

Prop Bets -

1 Unit Play. (Alternative Point Spread). Take Baltimore -7 (+400) over San Francisco
1 Unit Play. (Alternative Point Spread). Take Baltimore -3 (+240) over San Francisco
1 Unit Play. Team to Make Longest Field Goal. Take San Francisco (+120)
1 Unit Play. Team to Record the First Turnover in the Game. Take San Francisco -115 to commit the first turnover

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo
5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 47.5 Baltimore vs. San Francisco (6:30 p.m., Sunday, Feb. 3)
2-Unit Play. FIRST QUARTER: Take 'Under' 10.0 Baltimore vs. San Francisco (6:30 p.m., Sunday, Feb. 3)