2-5-13

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Study group: Tuesday's Top 25 NCB betting notes

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on all of Tuesday’s ranked college basketball games:

Boston College at (11) Miami-Florida (-14.5)

March is still several weeks away, but the Miami Hurricanes' season is taking on a bit of a storybook feel. After another memorable win, the Hurricanes will look to stay unbeaten in Atlantic Coast Conference play when they host last-place Boston College. The Hurricanes, who have held league opponents to an average of 58.3 points, have done some pretty special things at BankUnited Center. Their last game here was a 24-point rout of Florida State and the one before that resulted in a 27-point drubbing of then-No. 1 Duke. Miami has taken the last five meetings with Boston College and is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games.

(2) Florida at Arkansas (+10.5)

The Gators visit Arkansas aiming for their fifth straight SEC road win in a single season for the first time in program history. Florida is playing suffocating defense, having held three opponents to 40 or fewer points and 11 opponents to 50 or fewer. The Gators rank second nationally in points allowed (51) and lead the nation with a plus-23 scoring margin. The Razorbacks are 4-0 at home and 0-4 on the road in SEC play. Arkansas has scored 73 or more points in 13 of 14 home games, the exception being a 56-33 win over Vanderbilt. The Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.

(15) Kansas State at Texas Tech (+11)

K-State was able to keep pace in the Big 12 title race with its 52-50 win at Oklahoma on Saturday, which gave the Wildcats a season sweep of the Sooners for the first time since 1993. K-State has been solid on the road of late, winning seven of its last eight road contests, including six of its last seven Big 12 road tilts. Texas Tech has lost six of its last seven games since opening Big 12 play with a 62-53 win at TCU on Jan. 5. The Wildcats have won six of the last seven meetings, including five in a row (5-0 ATS).

(22) Wichita State at Southern Illinois (+10.5)

The Salukis haven't created a harrowing road atmosphere at SIU Arena this season. Southern Illinois plays .500 ball at home, but lately it hasn't matter where it plays. The Salukis have lost their past six games, and even playing a slumping Shocker squad doesn't feel ripe for an upset. Wichita State will be trying to avoid losing three straight games for the first time since Jan. 14, 2009. Southern Illinois hasn’t scored over 56 points in its past five games, going 0-5 ATS during that stretch.

(10) Ohio State at (3) Michigan (-7.5)

Just over three weeks ago, Ohio State handed Michigan its first loss of the season and denied the Wolverines a chance to claim the No. 1 national ranking for the first time in 20 years. Michigan matched the 1985-86 team for the best start in school history and was the nation’s last unbeaten team before the Buckeyes ended both runs with a 56-53 victory in Columbus on Jan. 13. The Wolverines rebounded with four straight wins before Saturday’s 81-73 loss at No. 1 Indiana. Ohio State defeated Nebraska 63-56 Saturday for its fourth straight victory and has defeated Michigan in eight of the last nine meetings. The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last five Tuesday games.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Syracuse (-9) Monday.

Tuesday it’s Northern Iowa. The deficit is 25 sirignanos.

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Cappers Access

Depaul +3
Michigan st -7.5
Bucks +7

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Pucking the Trends: This Week's Best NHL Bets

Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in the National Hockey League.

For the week of Jan. 27-Feb. 2. All stats are prior to Sunday's action.

HOT TEAM

San Jose Sharks (3-0-0-1 SU)

The Sharks are undefeated in regulation in their first eight games, suffering their only loss in a shootout to Nashville Saturday. San Jose has skated to a 5-3 mark on the puckline during that stretch. Patrick Marleau and Joe Thornton are among the league leaders with 14 points each and Antii Niemi has a league-best six wins and a miniscule 1.80 GAA. The Sharks visit the Ducks Monday before hosting the Blackhawks and Coyotes later in the week.

COLD TEAM

New Jersey Devils (0-4 SU)

Everyone expected the Devils to take a step back after the departure of Zach Parise and they haven’t disappointed bettors on the moneyline. Four of New Jersey’s last five games have gone to either overtime or a shootout and the Devils have come out on the losing end in four of those contests. New Jersey visits the New York Islanders Sunday before hosting the Rangers, Lightning and Penguins later in the week.

BEST OVER PLAY

Montreal Canadiens (4-0 over/under)

The Habs have been one of the surprise teams of the young NHL season so far. The return of stud defenseman P.K. Subban didn’t disrupt any of the team’s chemistry in their most recent 6-1 triumph over Buffalo. Montreal has scored four goals or more in five of its first seven games, leading to an impressive 4-0 O/U mark last week. The Canadiens host the Senators Sunday afternoon and then get a nice break before hosting the Bruins Wednesday night.

BEST UNDER PLAY

Chicago Blackhawks (0-4 over/under)

Goaltending has been an issue for the Blackhawks over the past few seasons, but it certainly hasn’t been a hindrance thus far. The goaltending duo of Corey Crawford and Ray Emery have been impressive early on, holding opponents to 1.7 goals per game during Chicago’s seven-game under streak. The Blackhawks have three games remaining on their current road trip with stops in San Jose, Phoenix and Nashville this week.

Surveying the Schedule:

-The Carolina Hurricanes continue their season-long six-game road trip Monday in Toronto. The Hurricanes fell 5-3 Saturday to Philadelphia in the first contest of the road swing and have allowed a generous 3.3 goals per game so far (24th in the league).

-The Tampa Bay Lightning have skated to an impressive 6-2 start to the campaign but have only played two road games. The Lightning play four tough road games this week, including a tough back-to-back in Boston and New York (Rangers).

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NHL

Hot teams
-- Penguins won last three games, outscoring foes 14-4.
-- Rangers won three of last four games.
-- Lightning won five of last six games.
-- Red Wings won their last three home games, scoring 14 goals.
-- Panthers won last two games, but lost three of four on road.
-- St Louis won four of its last five games. Nashville won last two games, both 2-1 in SO; this is their 7th straight road game.
-- San Jose won seven of first nine games. Blackhawks also won seven of first nine games, with last four going OT/SO.

Cold teams
-- Islanders lost two of their three home games.
-- Devils lost four of last five games.
-- Kings lost five of their first seven games. Columbus lost six of its last eight.
-- Washington lost seven of its first nine games. Maple Leafs lost three of last four games but are 3-1 on road.
-- Flyers lost three of their last four games.
-- Sabres lost six of their last seven games. Ottawa lost four of last six, but they're 3-1 at home this season.
-- Flames lost five of their first six games.
-- Winnipeg lost its last three games, allowing 18 goals.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Islander games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Ranger games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Columbus games.
-- Six of last seven Washington games stayed under total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Tampa Bay games. .
-- Last four Buffalo games went over the total.
-- Over is 4-1 in Calgary's last five visits to Detroit.
-- Last four Florida games went over the total.
-- Last six Nashville games stayed under the total.
-- Last five San Jose games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Islanders won their last three games against Pittsburgh.
-- Devils won last three games vs Rangers; they won 4-2 in playoff series LY.
-- Kings won five of last seven games vs Columbus.
-- Maple Leafs lost three of last four games against Washington.
-- Lightning won seven of last nine games vs Philly.
-- Senators won three of last four games vs Buffalo.
-- Red Wings won seven of last nine games vs Calgary.
-- Panthers won four of last six games against Winnipeg.
-- Blues won last four games vs Nashville, allowing five goals.
-- Home side is 9-1 in last 10 Chicago-San Jose games; Blackhawks lost last four visits to the Shark Tank.

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Pacers won their last 14 home games (9-5 last 14 HF).
-- Lakers won five of last six games (2-8 vs spread last 10 on road). Nets won nine of last ten home games (8-5-1 H points with PJ).
-- Golden State won four in row, seven of last nine games (10-6-2 AU). Rockets won four of last five games (8-1 last nine HF).
-- Grizzlies won six of last nine games (13-9-1 HF).
-- Denver won its last six games (14-8 HF). Bucks won six of last nine games (10-6 AU).

Cold Teams
-- Hawks lost seven of last eight road games (5-6 AU).
-- Suns lost four of their last five games (2-5-1 last eight AU).


Totals
-- Four of last five Pacer games went over the total.
-- Four of last six Laker games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Houston games stayed under total; five of Warriors' last six games went over.
-- Four of last five Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Milwaukee games, nine of last ten Denver games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Indiana is 6-6 vs spread if it played night before, 3-1 at home.

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CBB

-- Wake Forest upset NC State, then lost next three games, by 20-5-16 points; Deacons are 2-7 in last nine games vs UNC, losing last three by 9-14-15 points- they lost three of last four visits here, losing by 37-16-14 points. Tar Heels won last three home games, by 10-16-12 points. Wake is 0-5 on ACC road, with four losses by 16+ points. ACC double digit home favorites are 7-3 against the spread.
-- Purdue (-11) held Penn State to 26% from floor in 60-42 home win on Jan 13, Boilers' 12th win in last 14 series games; they split last two trips here, winning by 4-15. Purdue lost three of last four games; they're 1-3 on Big Dozen road, with only win by 9 at Nebraska. Lions are 0-9 so far in league, losing home games by 23-16-9-4-14 points. Big Dozen home underdogs are 8-13 against the spread.
-- Villanova lost five of last seven games, with four of last five decided by 5 or less points; Wildcats lost last three road games, including 69-66 loss at Providence, a bad loss. Villanova won last five games vs DePaul, winning by 2-2 points in last two visits here. Big East home underdogs of 6 or less points are 2-7 vs spread. DePaul is 1-7 in Big East, losing four games by 4 or less points or in OT (lost twice in OT last week).
-- Youngstown outscored Cleveland State 21-5 from foul line, forced 18 turnovers (+8) in 73-59 (-8) home win 10 days ago, just third win in last 12 series games for Penguins, who are 2-3 on Horizon road, with wins by 2-3 points. YSU is 5-1 vs teams ranked outside the top 200. Vikings are 2-1 at home in Horizon, with win over Detroit. Horizon home dogs of 5 or less points are 6-5 against the spread.

-- Miami (-6) won 60-59 at Boston College Jan 16; in game trailed by 7 with 7:49 left; 'canes won last five games vs BC, winning last two here by 1-21 points. Miami is 8-0 in ACC with five road wins, three by 9+ points. Eagles lost five of last six games, losing last three on road, by 3-5-14 points. ACC double digit home favorites are 7-3 vs spread. Miami is 17-3, scoring 55 or less points in all three losses.
-- Florida won last five games vs Arkansas, crushing Hogs by 30 here in LY's meeting; four of those five wins were by 15+ points. Gators won all eight SEC by 14+ points (7-1 vs spread); they're 4-0 on SEC road, winning by 22-21-17-35 points. SEC home underdogs of 9+ points are 2-5 vs spread. Home side is 8-0 SU in Arkansas' SEC contestss, with Razorbacks 4-0 at home, including double OT win over Auburn.
-- Evansville (-7.5) beat Bradley 66-56 Jan 23, making 61% inside arc; it was 4th win in last five series games for Aces, who ended 9-game skid in Peoria with 92-62 win here LY. Aces lost last four road games, with last three games overall decided by 5 or less points, or in OT. Bradley won its last three home games, by 3-3-6 points. MVC home teams are 14-4 vs spread if number was 5 or less points.
-- Wichita State (-15) rallied back from down 9 at half to beat Southern Illinois 82-76 Jan 9, its sixth win in last seven series games, winning last three, by 10-43-6 points. Shockers won last three visits here, by 1-10-10 points. SIU lost last six games, with four of last five losses by 13+- they lost last game by 36. Wichita lost last two games, is 3-2 on MVC road, with wins by 12-6-10 points. MVC home dogs are 13-6 vs spread.
-- Four of last five Missouri State-Northern Iowa games were decided by one point; Panthers are 6-2 in last eight series games, winning 4 of last 5 visits here, winning by 15-14-1-8 points. Bears are 1-4 on Valley road, losing by 3-8-3-14 points, with only win at Drake. MVC double digit home favorites are 6-10 vs spread. UNI won last four home games, by 31-30-13-5 points; their last three games were decided by 5 or less.

-- Kansas State has revenge game with Iowa State on deck Saturday, had best not look past Texas Tech team they've beaten five games in a row, winning by 19-22 points in last two visits here. Big X home underdogs are 3-5 vs spread. Wildcats are 3-1 on Big X road, with wins by 1-13-2 points; five of their eight Big X games were decided by 6 or less points. Tech is 1-3 at home in league, with losses by 34-14-16 points.
-- Florida State lost four of last six games, losing last two road games by 20-24 points; Seminoles won last seven games vs Georgia Tech, beating Jackets by 2-7-9 points in last three visits here. ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-8 vs spread. Tech won two of its last three games after 0-5 start, allowing 61.7 ppg, winning last two games. Four of six ACC losses for Tech came by 13+ points.
-- Ohio State (-2.5) beat Michigan 56-53 at home Jan 13, racing out to a 29-8 lead, then holding on; Buckeyes are now 17-3 in last 20 series tilts, with losses by 9-5 points in last three visits here. Michigan is 4-0 in its league home games, with all four wins by 15+ points. OSU won last four games, allowing 54.8 ppg; their league losses are at Illinois/Michigan State. Big Dozen home favorites of 7 or less points are 8-5 vs spread.
-- South Carolina is 2-6 in SEC play, turning ball over 22.5% of time in league games; Gamecocks are 1-3 in SEC home games, losing by 3-7-11 points- they've lost last five games with Kentucky, losing by 9-34 last two times Wildcats came here. Kentucky won five of last six, is 4-1 on SEC road, with only loss by 4 at Alabama. UK won last game in OT at Texas A&M. SEC home favorites of 13+ points are 5-6 vs spread.

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Florida State at Georgia Tech

The Seminoles look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games at Georgia Tech. Florida State is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+3). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 5 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 511-512: Wake Forest at North Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 55.320; North Carolina 71.338 Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 16; 143 Vegas Line: North Carolina by 12; 147 1/2 Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-12); Under

Game 513-514: Purdue at Penn State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 60.116; Penn State 58.146 Dunkel Line: Purdue by 2; 129 Vegas Line: Purdue by 2 1/2; 125 Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+2 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Villanova at DePaul (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 63.585; DePaul 58.426 Dunkel Line: Villanova by 5; 142 Vegas Line: Villanova by 3; 145 Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-3); Under

Game 517-518: Youngstown State at Cleveland State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 55.796; Cleveland State 49.733 Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 6 Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 2 Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (-2)

Game 519-520: Central Michigan at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 43.526; Akron 67.724 Dunkel Line: Akron by 24 Vegas Line: Akron by 19 Dunkel Pick: Akron (-19)

Game 521-522: Boston College at Miami (FL) (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 59.200; Miami (FL) 76.991 Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 18 Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 13 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-13 1/2)

Game 523-524: Florida at Arkansas (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida 76.738; Arkansas 67.379 Dunkel Line: Florida by 9 1/2; 142 Vegas Line: Florida by 11 1/2; 137 Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+11 1/2);

Game 525-526: Evansville at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 57.085; Bradley 59.305 Dunkel Line: Bradley by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Bradley by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-1 1/2)

Game 527-528: Wichita State at Southern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 63.435; Southern Illinois 50.596 Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 13 Vegas Line: Wichita State by 10 Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-10)

Game 529-530: Missouri State at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 54.910; Northern Iowa 68.362 Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 12 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-12 1/2)

Game 531-532: Illinois-Chicago at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 52.587; Valparaiso 61.927 Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 12 Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+12)

Game 533-534: Kansas State at Texas Tech (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 66.145; Texas Tech 56.281 Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 10 Vegas Line: Kansas State by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+11 1/2)

Game 535-536: Florida State at Georgia Tech (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 61.477; Georgia Tech 61.704 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 3 Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+3)

Game 537-538: Ohio State at Michigan (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 71.563; Michigan 80.805 Dunkel Line: Michigan by 9; 129 Vegas Line: Michigan by 7 1/2; 133 Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-7 1/2); Under

Game 539-540: South Carolina at Kentucky (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 59.300; Kentucky 72.026 Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 12 1/2; 144 Vegas Line: Kentucky by 17 1/2; 139 1/2 Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+17 1/2); Over

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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

02/05/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 2624-859 (.753)
ATS: 1155-1197 (.491)
ATS Vary Units: 3548-3789 (.484)
Over/Under: 316-300 (.513)
Over/Under Vary Units: 341-369 (.480)

America East Conference
BOSTON U. 72, Maine 60

Atlantic Coast Conference
GEORGIA TECH 64, Florida State 60
MIAMI (FLA.) 75, Boston College 55
NORTH CAROLINA 82, Wake Forest 67

Big 12 Conference
Kansas State 70, TEXAS TECH 54

Big East Conference
Villanova 76, DePAUL 69

Big South Conference
LIBERTY 69, Radford 65

Big Ten Conference
MICHIGAN 68, Ohio State 60
Purdue 66, PENN STATE 60

Horizon League
VALPARAISO 67, Uic 53
Youngstown State 69, CLEVELAND STATE 66

Mid-American Conference
AKRON 82, Central Michigan 56

Missouri Valley Conference
Evansville vs. BRADLEY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
NORTHERN IOWA 66, Missouri State 54
Wichita State 69, SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 55

Southeastern Conference
Florida 74, ARKANSAS 61
KENTUCKY 80, South Carolina 56

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

02/05/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 460-227 (.670)
ATS: 356-346 (.507)
ATS Vary Units: 1004-911 (.524)
Over/Under: 370-334 (.526)
Over/Under Vary Units: 541-480 (.530)

INDIANA 96, Atlanta 88
BROOKLYN 101, L.A. Lakers 98
MEMPHIS 99, Phoenix 88
HOUSTON 108, Golden State 105
DENVER 109, Milwaukee 100

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DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

02/05/13 Predictions

Season: 47-28 (.627)

NEW JERSEY 3, N.Y. Rangers 2
Pittsburgh 4, N.Y. ISLANDERS 3
WASHINGTON 3, Toronto 2
Los Angeles 3, COLUMBUS 2
OTTAWA 3, Buffalo 2
PHILADELPHIA 4, Tampa Bay 3
DETROIT 3, Calgary 2
Florida vs. WINNIPEG: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
ST. LOUIS 3, Nashville 2
Chicago vs. SAN JOSE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 976- 728 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner TUES Under 183 total Phoe/Memphis NBA

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Tuesday

Penguins -140

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Today's NBA Picks

Atlanta at Indiana

The Hawks look to bounce back from their 93-76 loss to Chicago and build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Atlanta is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+5). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 5 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Atlanta at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.175; Indiana 119.564 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 2 1/2; 185 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 180 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+5); Over

Game 503-504: LA Lakers at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 118.931; Brooklyn 120.675 Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 1 1/2; 182 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 505-506: Golden State at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 117.730; Houston 125.654 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 8; 212 Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 2 1/2; 217 Dunkel Pick: Houston (-2 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: Phoenix at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 114.327; Memphis 125.886 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 11 1/2; 187 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 8 1/2; 183 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-8 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Milwaukee at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.600; Denver 127.747 Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 11; 210 Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 6 1/2; 214 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6 1/2); Under