2-5-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Pittsburgh Penguins + New York Islanders OVER 5.5
(System Record: 9-0, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 9-5

Basketball Crusher
DePaul +3 over Villanova
(System Record: 57-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 57-35-1

Soccer Crusher
Leyton Orient + Southend UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 350-14, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 350-308-42

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler CBB Sides - Tuesday, Feb 5 2013 7:00PM

514 Penn St. +2.5 (-110) - vs - Purdue double-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

$MASH THE BOOK
TUESDAY
***TOP PLAYS***
NCAAB
10* 515 Villanova -3 -110
10* 517 Youngstown St -2 -110
7* 511 Wake Forest +12 -110
7* 513 Purdue -2.5 -110
3* 512 Purdue Under 125 -110

NBA
3* 501 Atlanta +5 -110
3* 506 Houston UNDER 217 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB S CAROLINA at KENTUCKY

Play Over - Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (<=32%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO) after 15+ games.
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

CBB YOUNGSTOWN ST at CLEVELAND ST.

Play On - A road team vs. the money line (YOUNGSTOWN ST) a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team, on Tuesday nights.
67-36 since 1997. ( 65.0% 32.8 units )
0-4 this year. ( 0.0% -8.5 units )

CBB FLORIDA at ARKANSAS

Play Under - Road teams against the total after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season.
282-175 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.7% 89.5 units )
25-8 this year. ( 75.8% 16.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Investment Group

MILWAUKEE BUCKS @ DENVER NUGGETS – OVER 215

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JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Under 218 Houston and Golden State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitch Wilson

Wichita St. -9.5

Golden State +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Chicago at San Jose

The Blackhawks look to build on their 7-2 record in their last 9 road games. Chicago is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 5 Time Posted 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Pittsburgh at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.564; NY Islanders 10.971 Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-140); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-140); Under

Game 53-54: NY Rangers at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.486; New Jersey 12.053 Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-115); 5 Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-105); Over

Game 55-56: Los Angeles at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.041; Columbus 11.117 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-135); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-135); Under

Game 57-58: Toronto at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.325; Washington 11.470 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-150); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Over

Game 59-60: Tampa Bay at Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.996; Philadelphia 11.355 Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7 Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-120); 6 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+100); Over

Game 61-62: Buffalo at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.230; Ottawa 11.650 Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-145); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-145); Under

Game 63-64: Calgary at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 9.797; Detroit 11.427 Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-165); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-165); Under

Game 65-66: Florida at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.591; Winnipeg 10.249 Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-160); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-160); Over

Game 67-68: Nashville at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.929; St. Louis 12.954 Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-170); 5 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-170); Under

Game 69-70: Chicago at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.698; San Jose 11.923 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-135); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+115); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA GOLDEN STATE at HOUSTON

Play On - Road teams (GOLDEN STATE) off a home win by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%)
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% -1.2 units )

NBA GOLDEN STATE at HOUSTON

Play On - Home favorites vs. the money line (HOUSTON) after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights.
96-23 since 1997. ( 80.7% 47.3 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.9 units )

NBA ATLANTA at INDIANA

Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games.
124-68 since 1997. ( 64.6% 49.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lakers at Nets: What Bettors Need to Know

Los Angeles Lakers at Brooklyn Nets (-3.5, 196)

The Los Angeles Lakers have developed a habit of jumping out to big leads only to sweat out the final few minutes. They will be looking to keep their defensive intensity up for 48 minutes when they visit the Brooklyn Nets on Tuesday. The Lakers have found some success recently with Kobe Bryant entering more of a distribution mode but have been operating against non-playoff teams over the last four contests. That will change with Brooklyn.

The Nets have won two of their last three and are particularly tough at home, where they have taken nine of their last 10. Recently-named All-Star Brook Lopez is shooting 62.2 percent over the last three games and might not have to deal with Lakers All-Star center Dwight Howard, who has missed the last two games with shoulder pain. Howard has reportedly ruled out surgery on his shoulder and will return to the lineup when he is pain-free.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, Time Warner Cable SportsNet (Los Angeles), YES (Brooklyn), NBATV

ABOUT THE LAKERS (22-26): Los Angeles led in the fourth quarter before falling to the Phoenix Suns last week, and let leads of 29 and 18 points get trimmed to one or two possessions in tight wins over the Minnesota Timberwolves and Detroit Pistons. Pau Gasol has picked up his numbers in Howard’s absence with 22.5 points and 11 rebounds in the last two contests. Bryant has failed to reach 20 points in four straight games while shooting 38.7 percent. To make up for the lack of scoring, Bryant has become more of a facilitator for the likes of Gasol, Steve Nash and Metta World Peace. The Lakers are still in 10th place in the Western Conference and will have to visit Boston and Miami before the end of the current seven-game road trip.

ABOUT THE NETS (28-19): Brooklyn has been off since earning a 93-89 win over the Chicago Bulls on Friday and will pay for that break with six games in nine days leading up to the All-Star break. The Nets are hoping some of the momentum from that Bulls game will carry over to Tuesday. The bench was particularly impressive in that victory, scoring the first 20 points of the fourth quarter to put Brooklyn on top. Nets point guard Deron Williams has been dealing with an ankle sprain but expects to play on Tuesday. Williams has struggled to 8-of-21 shooting with nearly as many turnovers (nine) as assists (11) in the last two contests. Joe Johnson has had some trouble finding his stroke as well, shooting 38.1 percent and failing to top 16 points in the last five.

TRENDS:

* Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
* Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Lakers are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Under is 6-0 in the last six meetings in Brooklyn.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Lakers earned a 95-90 home victory over the Nets on Nov. 20. Bryant led Los Angeles with 25 points while Lopez had 23 for Brooklyn.

2. Gasol is averaging 23.3 points in three games as a starter and 13.1 in seven as a reserve since returning to the lineup on Jan. 17.

3. Williams has averaged 18.8 points and eight assists in 21 career games against the Lakers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RickJ's Handicapping Picks Tuesday College Hoops:


1/2 Unit Play


538 Michigan U133

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Dave Essler Tuesday Cliff Notes

Ohio State(537) at Michigan (538): Is this where the Wolverines start to wear down as one of the youngest teams, or is this where they return the favor for an earlier defeat in Columbus. That earlier game was as close as the score indicated, with the only real difference in the box score being that Ohio State shot nearly 50% from the floor. You'd expect that not to happen again, but in that game OSU got out to a 24-6 lead and allowed the Wolverines to make a game of it. That should give Michigan the confidence to win this one, given that they've only lost one home game in a season-and-a-half. Buckeyes do not have a good road win, and have Indiana next. Both teams tied with Michigan State for second the Conference. Now these teams are looking at potentially bigger prize, which would be a number one seed. However, the opening number at BetOnline I see is -6, and that I am not inclined to lay. Ohio State is simply not going to go quietly. OSU has picked up their defense lately, having the #1 in terms of efficiency in Conference play, but they have been a bit sloppy with the ball. I expect another low scoring game.

Villanova (515) at DePaul (516): In spite of the Blue Demons 1-7 Conference record, their home losses have been relatively close. And 'Nova is in a tough spot after beating Syracuse and L'ville and being on top of the world. The glaring thing in this game is that Villanova has simply been a turnover machine, while DePaul's speed has caused plenty of them. What's very interesting about the Wildcats is they they are one of THE worst teams in the nation in FG% but they score THE highest percentage in the nation from the line, and shoot well over 72%. Because the Blue Demons offense is sub-par and the 'Cats DEFENSE is excellent, I'd almost look for this to stay under what I would expect to be an inflated total, as most DePaul games are. Even with two OT losses I would think DePauls' mental state would be better that Villanova's, but I do trust Wright and do not trust DePaul's interior defense.

Florida State (535) at G-Tech (536): This is a rivalry that extends well beyond the basketball court. Point being that often times it does not matter what is happening NOW. Tech plays pretty well at home, and with their aggressive defense you'd think they'd win this game, given that FSU turns the ball over. However, laying points in what might be a late/close game is tough for me with a team that shoots as poorly from the line as Tech does. And they don't get their very often, meaning I may look hard at this under as well. FSU will shoot an inordinate amount of three's which almost always baffles me given their size advantage over almost everyone. And they simply have not been a great rebounding team, meaning it'd be tough to back them, either. Under perhaps the best play here.

Florida (523)at Arkansas (524): OK, what's the huge number THIS time and do we have the stones to take the points. I am always amazed at in spite of Florida's pace they win by so many points game after game, then again I did pick them as a Final Four team, but certainly didn't expect this ATS run. Arkansas certainly doesn't have the horses to compete here, and it's tough for me to make a case for them with the points, although that's all I would ever do. Not laying those points on the road. Arkansas should simply not get second chance points, as Florida is the number one defensive rebounding team in the SEC. Hogs HAVE created turnovers, and they'll need to, because Florida is just freakish from deep. I suppose IF they create enough and IF Florida misses a few FT's (they have dipped since Conference play started) then it's POSSIBLE.

Purdue (513) at Penn State (514): I know that the Lions are 0-9 in Conference play, but it's tough for me to imagine a 4-5 team being a road favorite here. Especially one who's only road win was at Nebraska. Purdue does have the number one FG % defense in the Big Ten since Conference play started, but they're the worst perimeter defending team and they're young. However, Penn State has played the second toughest Conference SOS while Purdue has played the worst, so with some adjustments for that and some regression, I can see the Lions getting a win here.

Youngstown (517) at Cleveland State (518): Youngstown's stock is pretty high right now but this is a rematch of a recent game where Youngstown beat up on CSU from start to finish. CS just turned the ball over all night long, but they held their own everywhere else. That would lead me to believe that at home they protect the ball better, seeing as how creating steal is not typically a strength of the Youngstown defense. The Penguins, I believe they are, will want to up-tempo this game, but at home CS should be able to dictate policy, one would think. CS is super-young so perhaps coming around a bit here, and with revenge, and this IS a team that beat Detroit outright, I'd have to think the short home dog is the play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner:
1000* NBA Over 183 Suns/Grizzlies
100* CBB Florida -11
50* CBB Kansas State -11.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES
College Basketball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-
NCAA-B | Feb 05 '13 (5:00p)
Ohio State vs Michigan Michigan
-6-110 at BetOnline
20* Ohio State/Michigan ESPN Tuesday No-Brainer on Michigan -6

The Wolverines have a lot of reason to be motivated heading into this one. They are coming off just their second loss of the season Saturday with a 73-81 setback at current No. 1 Indiana. They want to make that loss a distant memory real quick, and the only way to do that is to beat Ohio State at home Tuesday night.

They also want revenge from a 53-56 loss at Ohio State in the first meeting between these teams on January 13th. They dug themselves an early hole, falling behind 22-34 at halftime before fighting their way back only to fall short by 3. I look for the Wolverines to dominate from start to finish at home this time around.

Michigan is a perfect 12-0 at home this season. It is scoring 78.5 points per game while allowing 55.7 points per game. As you can see, it is outscoring opponents by a whopping 22.8 points per game at home this year. Ohio State is just 3-3 in true road games this season.

The Wolverines are 43-21-2 against the spread in their last 66 games overall. Michigan is 38-17-1 against the spread in its last 56 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Wolverines are 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Michigan is 37-17 against the spread in its last 54 games following a S.U. loss. Bet Michigan Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES
College Basketball Premium Picks

NCAA-B | Feb 05 '13 (8:00p)
MISSOURI ST vs NORTHERN IOWA MISSOURI ST
+12½-110 at BetOnline
15* Missouri Valley GAME OF THE NIGHT on Missouri State +12.5