Paul Leiner
100* Missouri -3
50* Washington +8.5
100* Missouri -3
50* Washington +8.5
NCAA-B | Feb 07 '13 (7:00p) INDIANA U vs Illinois |
Illinois +8-110 at SIA |
15* Indiana/Illinois ESPN No-Brainer on Illinois +8 The Illini realize they need to get things turned around in a hurry if they want to make the NCAA Tournament. Remember, this is the same team that started 12-0 with double-digit wins over Butler (78-61), Gonzaga (85-74) and Ohio State (74-55), so they have proven they can beat some of the best teams in the country. Indiana is clearly in a letdown spot after its huge win over No. 1 Michigan on Saturday. College Gameday was there, so the stage really doesn̢۪t get any bigger than that. After getting patted on the back all week leading up to this game, the Hoosiers will come out flat tonight, and they won't be able to run away with this game because of it. The home team has won four straight meetings in this series. Illinois has won five of its last seven meetings with Indiana. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Indiana is 9-24 ATS in road games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite since 1997. Tom Crean is 3-13 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games as the coach of Indiana. Crean is 2-11 ATS in road games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better in all games he has coached. The Hoosiers are simply overvalued here. Take Illinois Thursday. |
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NCAA-B | Feb 07 '13 (9:30p) California vs ARIZONA STATE |
ARIZONA STATE -3-114 at 5dimes |
15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Arizona State -3 The Arizona State Sun Devils are showing excellent value Thursday as a small home favorite over the Cal Bears. I look for them to roll to a blowout home victory tonight while easily covering this generous number. Arizona State is one of the most underrated teams in the country at 17-5 SU & 11-6 ATS in all games. It has been absolutely dominant at home, going 13-2 SU while outscoring opponents by 9.3 points/game. At 13-8 SU & 7-12 ATS on the season, Cal is one of the most overrated teams in the land. It is coming off back-to-back home wins over Oregon State and Oregon by a combined 7 points, setting it up for a big letdown spot here tonight as it hits the road. The Bears are just 3-4 SU in true road games this season. The Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Cal is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. The Sun Devils are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. ASU is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games, while Cal is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 road games. Roll with Arizona State Thursday. |
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NBA | Feb 07 '13 (8:05p) Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics |
Total 196 un-105 at 5dimes |
20* Lakers/Celtics TNT Total ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 196 The Los Angeles Lakers and Boston Celtics will take part in a defensive battle. This is one of the most storied rivalries in sports, and the defensive intensity is always at its highest level when these teams get together. One look at the recent meetings between these teams and it's easy to see that the books have set the bar too high tonight. Eight of the last nine meetings in this series have seen 191 or less combined points. In fact, the Lakers and Celtics have combined to average 178.3 points/game in those nine games. That's roughly 18 points less than tonight's posted total. Pau Gasol being out certainly hurts the Lakers' offense more than it hurts their defense. Also, defensive stopper Metta World Peace returns from suspension tonight to help shut down Paul Pierce. I will be on this UNDER no matter whether or not Dwight Howard (shoulder, questionable) plays. The UNDER is 11-4 in Lakers last 15 games overall. The UNDER is 49-20-2 in Lakers last 71 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The UNDER is 34-15-2 in Lakers last 51 Thursday games. The UNDER is 34-15-3 in Celtics last 52 Thursday games. The UNDER is 7-0 in Celtics last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The UNDER is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The UNDER is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston. These three trends combine for a perfect 17-0 system backing the UNDER. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday. |
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