3-9-13

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VegasWinningCrew

100 Dime Play : Kansas -3.5

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The Sharp Circle

3 Units 507 Charlotte +11.0

2 Units 713 VA Military +9.0

3 Units 557 Nebraska +13.0

2 Units 653 Under 132.0 - WI-Grn Bay at Valparaiso

2 Units 549 Over 127.5 - Marquette at St Johns

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Betting line moves

730 lafayette pk
633. texas state +2 1/2

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Burns -14.5 UNLV

I'm playing on UNLV. While the margin of defeat at Air Force was a little bigger, a 64-55 loss at Fresno State on 2/6 was arguably the low point of the Rebels' season. It marked the only time all season that the Rebels lost two games in row and was their biggest upset loss. (They were favored by 3.5 when they lost at AF but but 8.5 when they lost at Fresno.)

Off five straight victories, the Rebels are now playing much better than they were for last month's meeting with the Bulldogs. I expect them to avenge that loss in convincing fashion.

The Bulldogs may have beaten the Rebels earlier and they are coming off a win in their home finale, however they're still the worst team in the Mountain West. The fact that they've covered some games recently has worked in out favor, in helping to keep this line more reasonable than it would have been otherwise.

Bottom line. The Rebels are a much stronger and more complete team. Last month's embarrassing result and the fact that this is their regular season home finale should ensure that they keep the pedal to the metal the entire way. 10*

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Betting line moves
582 colorado -8 1/2
732 bucknell -11

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LEGIT PICKS

Saturday 3/9/13 Plays...

3* OKLAHOMA -11.5 (2PM PST)

---LEGIT PICK'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success--

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Executive 450 on the butler

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Root:
Mill - N Carolina
NL - Alabama

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Stephen Nover | NBA Sides - Saturday, Mar 9 2013 8:05PM
505 NOH 8.0(-110) Hilton vs 506 MEM double-dime bet

Stephen Nover | NBA Sides - Saturday, Mar 9 2013 9:05PM
511 MIN 15.5(-110) BetOnline vs 512 DEN single-dime bet

Stephen Nover | CBB Sides - Saturday, Mar 9 2013 6:00PM
598 Air Force 4.0(-110) Bookmaker.com vs 597 New Mexico double-dime bet

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DAVID BANKS

Utah Jazz vs. New York Knicks
The New York Knicks (37-22, 29-28-2 ATS) were very game without Carmelo
Anthony while losing by one point to the Thunder Thursday, and they host
another West team in the Utah Jazz (32-29, 29-31-1 ATS) at Madison Square Garden
Saturday at 7:35 ET on NBA TV. The Knicks started Kurt Thomas in Anthony's
absence, but it was J.R. Smith who came off the bench to pour in 36 points,
and he may get the starting nod here if Carmelo still cannot go again due to
fluid build-up behind his right knee. This certainly looks like an easier
matchup than Oklahoma City was given Utah's home vs. away disparity.

The Knicks are 10th in the NBA in scoring at 99.8 points per game and they
rely heavily on the three-point shot. New York is eighth in the league in
three-point percentage at 36.9 percent, but that does not tell the entire
story as the Knicks jack up 29.2 three-point attempts per game, so that shooting
percentage translates to a very good 10.8 makes per game. That takes on
added significance here with the Jazz ranking just 24th in the league in
three-point defense. The Knicks did not really miss a beat in the three-point
department without Anthony, as they still made 10 treys vs. the Thunder, thanks
to Smith going a blazing 6-for-13 beyond the arc. The Knicks are also ninth
in the league defensively in points allowed at 96.0 per contest, and that
defense turned the game around after Oklahoma City had scored 59 points by
halftime, as it held Kevin Durant & Co. to just 16 points in the third quarter
and to 36 points in the entire second half.

The Jazz almost always have severe home/away splits from year to year and
this season has been no exception. Utah's overall averages make it look like
the run-of-the-mill team that it is while going three games over .500 as it
is ranked 11th in the NBA in scoring and 17th in points against. However,
consider that when the Jazz are home, they are 22-8 straight up and 18-12 ATS
while averaging 100.6 points and allowing 95.5 for an average winning margin
of +5.2 points. Those numbers almost do a uncanny total flip-flop though
when the Jazz are on the road like they are here, where they are 10-21
straight up and 11-19-1 ATS while averaging only 96.8 points while allowing 102.0
for a point differential of -5.2 points. Unbelievably though, Utah has been
unable to solve the Knicks from a betting perceptive over the last seven
years regardless of the venue, as the Knicks are an amazing 14-0 ATS in all the
head-to-head meetings during that time!

The Jazz are not alone as the Knicks are 24-8-2 ATS in their last 34 games
vs. the Northwest Division. The Jazz are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road
games vs. teams with winning home records, as well as 7-20-1 ATS in their last
28 road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage greater than .600.

PICK: NY KNICKS-6.5

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Gametimesports

BiG 5* east carolina

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RickJ's Handicapping Picks Saturday NHL Play
1/2 Unit
St Louis +110

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RTG Sports

Valparaiso -8

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steviey

Rider +1.5
St Mary u134.5

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LEGIT PICKS

Saturday 3/9/13 Plays...

4* ALBANY -9.5 (5PM PST)

---LEGIT PICK'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success--