3-23-13

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1004-745 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free winner Sat Evansville -4

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

Boston Bruins -150

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Jack Jones

20* Gonzaga -6
20*Michigan -2.5

Harvard +10

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NCAA Basketball Picks

VCU vs. Michigan

The Wolverines look to take advantage of a VCU team that is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games versus teams with a winning record. Michigan is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wolverines favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, MARCH 23 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 515-516: Butler vs. Marquette (7:45 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Butler 67.652; Marquette 66.537 Dunkel Line: Butler by 1; 129 Vegas Line: Marquette by 2; 125 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Butler (+2); Over

Game 517-518: Colorado State vs. Louisville (5:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 64.212; Louisville 78.407 Dunkel Line: Louisville by 14; 132 Vegas Line: Louisville by 10 1/2; 134 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-10 1/2); Under

Game 519-520: Memphis vs. Michigan State (2:45 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 68.525; Michigan State 72.498 Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 4; 138 Vegas Line: Michigan State by 6; 131 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+6); Over

Game 521-522: VCU vs. Michigan (12:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: VCU 67.852; Michigan 73.313 Dunkel Line: Michigan by 5 1/2; 139 Vegas Line: Michigan by 3 1/2; 143 Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-3 1/2); Under

Game 523-524: Wichita State vs. Gonzaga (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 67.345; Gonzaga 71.285 Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 4; 132 Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 6 1/2; 128 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (+6 1/2); Over

Game 525-526: Harvard vs. Arizona (6:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 58.400; Arizona 65.486 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 7; 130 Vegas Line: Arizona by 10; 132 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Harvard (+10); Under

Game 527-528: Oregon vs. St. Louis (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 68.413; St. Louis 70.924 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 129 Vegas Line: St. Louis by 4; 124 Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+4); Over

Game 529-530: California vs. Syracuse (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: California 62.529; Syracuse 72.131 Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 9 1/2; 122 Vegas Line: Syracuse by 7; 125 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-7); Under

Game 531-532: Stanford at Alabama (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 67.438; Alabama 68.737 Dunkel Line: Alabama by 1 1/2; 132 Vegas Line: Alabama by 4; 128 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+4); Over

Game 537-538: Rider at East Carolina (7:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rider 55.864; East Carolina 59.233 Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 3 1/2; 138 Vegas Line: East Carolina by 4 1/2; 143 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Rider (+4 1/2); Under

Game 539-540: Eastern Kentucky at Evansville (1:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 59.388; Evansville 62.027 Dunkel Line: Evansville by 2 1/2; 149 Vegas Line: Evansville by 5; 143 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+5); Over

Game 541-542: Tulane at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 55.865; Bradley 56.977 Dunkel Line: Bradley by 1; 141 Vegas Line: Bradley by 2 1/2; 145 Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+2 1/2); Under

Game 543-544: Illinois-Chicago at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 53.118; Northern Iowa 63.399 Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 10 1/2; 133 Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 13; 129 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+13); Over

Game 545-546: Canisius at Youngstown State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 52.995; Youngstown State 56.322 Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 3 1/2; 147 Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 2; 152 Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (-2); Under

Game 547-548: Air Force at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 57.702; Weber State 66.715 Dunkel Line: Weber State by 9; 133 Vegas Line: Weber State by 8; 138 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-8); Under

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Where the Action is: Pac-12 Success is Big for Reno Books

Saturday’s schedule kicks off the Round of 32 with eight games on the betting board. Action has already started to pour in on those matchups, forcing books to juggle their odds. We talk to oddsmakers online and in Nevada about the most notable adjustments:

VCU Rams vs. Michigan Wolverines – Open: -2.5, Move: -3.5, Move: -3, Move: -3.5

Sharp bettors jumped on Michigan at -2.5 and pushed the spread all the way to -3.5 before bettors came back and bought VCU, settling the line at -3. Now, the public is having its say and has moved the spread back to -3.5. The No. 5 Rams were impressive in their beating of No. 12 Akron, forcing 21 turnovers. But now, VCU takes on the No. 4 Wolverines, who take care of the basketball and are loaded with star power.

“VCU is going to garner a lot of action because of their previous tournament success and Shaka Smart’s great ATS record in this event (8-1 ATS),” Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker for CarbonSports.ag, told Covers. “But Michigan is a very battled-tested team from the Big Ten, by far the best conference in the nation and they’ll generate a lot of action as well.”

California Golden Bears vs. Syracuse Orange – Open: -7.5, Move: -8

Cal pretty much gets a home game against the No. 4 Orange, playing this Round of 32 matchup in San Jose. The Bears have been a popular bet with sportsbooks in Nevada, especially in Reno, due to the closeness of the Golden State.

Steve Mikkelson, sportsbook manager at the Atlantis Casino in Reno, told Covers that the proximity of California made for a huge handle for No. 12 Cal’s upset over No. 5 UNLV Thursday and that he expects the Syracuse game to be the deciding factor Saturday, with the majority of bets and parlays going into that 9:40 p.m. ET tipoff. The Orange have jumped half a point to -8 at most markets.

“With the closeness to California, a lot of our guests are fans of Cal, and UCLA and those Pac-12 teams,” says Mikkelson. “The further they go in the tournament the better. If those teams were to be the Cinderellas, along with all those big-name schools advancing, that would be ideal.”

Butler Bulldogs vs. Marquette Golden Eagles – Open: -2, Mover: -1.5, Move: -2.5

CarbonSports.ag took a big sharp play on Butler as soon as betting opened on this Round of 32 game, dropping the spread a full point. But after a thrilling comeback win Thursday, public money is convinced Marquette has another Sweet 16 run in it. It's been nothing but Golden Eagles action since the move but oddsmakers expect that to change come gameday.

“I believe we’re going to see a lot of public support for Butler as they’ve been ‘tournament darlings’ they past few years and are fan favorites,” says Stewart. “I see this line closing at the opening number of Marquette -2.”

Oregon Ducks vs. Saint Louis Billikens – Open: -3.5, Move: -4, Move: -3.5

This line has bounced between -3.5 and -4 with early action taking the No. 4 Billikens and sharp money pouncing on the No. 12 Ducks when it moved up. Since coming back to -3.5, books are getting good two-way action.

“Saint Louis has been hot with our guests and they’ve been riding them through the conference and NCAA tournaments,” says Mikkelson. “The public, for the first time all season, has really gotten on them.”

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A-10 Schools Pleasing Bettors Early in NCAA Tourney

The Atlantic 10 Conference improved to an impressive 6-0 straight up and against the spread in the NCAA tourney with La Salle’s 63-61 upset of Kansas State Friday afternoon.

The Explorers also impressed bettors with a win and cover in their play-in game vs. Boise State.

Butler, Saint Louis, Temple, and VCU round out the A-10 teams advancing to the third round of the tournament.

CarbonSports set conference props odds prior to the second round, setting the O/U at 2.5 for the A-10.

Here are the third round matchups and odds for the remaining five A-10 schools:

VCU vs. Michigan (-3.5, 142.5)
Oregon vs. Saint Louis (-3.5, 123.5)
Butler vs. Marquette (-2.5, 125)
Indiana vs. Temple (+11, 148)
La Salle vs. Ole Miss (-3.5, 144)

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Canucks at Kings: What Bettors Need to Know

Vancouver Canucks at Los Angeles Kings (-137, 5)

The Los Angeles Kings wrap up a five-game homestand on Saturday when they host the Vancouver Canucks. The Kings saw their five-game home winning streak come to an end on Thursday when they were blanked 2-0 by Dallas, but are 12-3-1 at Staples Center. Vancouver visited on Jan. 28 and lost 3-2 in a shootout for Los Angeles’ first home victory. The Canucks beat the Kings 5-2 in Vancouver on March 2, which was the beginning of a rough month for Los Angeles goaltender Jonathan Quick, who has allowed four or more goals in three of his last eight starts.

As a result, Jonathan Bernier has seen more time in the Kings’ net, winning two of the four starts during the homestand. Cory Schneider has started the last two games for the Canucks, allowing three goals on 68 shots in two straight victories. Roberto Luongo, who started the previous four, is 2-4-0 in his last six starts and allowed 12 goals over his last three. The Canucks have allowed a power-play goal in three of their last four games, while the Kings have been hot with the man advantage of late, scoring eight times in their last 25 opportunities.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, Fox Sports West, Sportsnet Pacific

ABOUT THE CANUCKS (15-9-6): Defenseman Alexander Edler is suspended for two games after running into Phoenix goaltender Mike Smith in Thursday’s 2-1 victory. Vancouver cannot afford to lose a valuable player like Edler, who has 17 points, when its roster is already decimated with injuries to Ryan Kesler (broken foot), David Booth (ankle) and Zack Kassian (back). Chris Higgins missed Thursday’s game with a sore back.

ABOUT THE KINGS (17-11-2): After another poor performance on Thursday, head coach Darryl Sutter called out his top line of captain Dustin Brown, Anze Kopitar and Justin Williams, which was on for both Dallas goals. “They’ve struggled for two or three games that line, probably three in a row now,” Sutter told reporters after the game. Brown has been held without a point in the last three games, while Williams and Kopitar have two assists combined in the last two. Rookie defenseman Jake Muzzin has four goals and 10 points this month and is seeing an increase in power-play time.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0-3 in the last seven meetings in Los Angeles.
* Over is 6-0-1 in Kings’ last seven Saturday games.
* Kings are 6-1 in their last seven vs. Northwest foes.
* Over is 4-1 in Canucks’ last five games following a win.

OVERTIME

1. Prior to Thursday’s loss, the Kings had not been shut out at home in over a year. Their last blanking came on Feb. 18, 2012, against Calgary.

2. Edler has 11 points in 18 career games against Los Angeles.

3. If the playoffs were to start tomorrow, Los Angeles and Vancouver - seeded fourth and fifth - would face each other in the first round. These teams have met in the opening round in two of the last three post-seasons, with Vancouver winning in six games in 2009-10 and Los Angeles winning in five in 2011-12.

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Today's NBA Picks

Detroit at Charlotte

The Pistons look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 road games versus teams with a losing home record. Detroit is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Pistons favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, MARCH 23 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Detroit at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 108.140; Charlotte 107.427 Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 1 1/2; 198 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+1 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Toronto at New York (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 112.262; New York 121.195 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 9; 190 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6; 192 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New York (-6); Under

Game 505-506: Indiana at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 124.443; Chicago 120.520 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 4; 185 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 180 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Boston at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 117.293; Memphis 128.422 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 11; 174 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 8; 178 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-8); Under

Game 509-510: Sacramento at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 114.512; Denver 132.427 Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 18; 193 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 511-512: Washington at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 116.876; Golden State 122.580 Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 5 1/2; 198 Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 8 1/2; 194 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+8 1/2); Over

Game 513-514: Brooklyn at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 121.694; LA Clippers 127.173 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 199 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 193 Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+8 1/2); Over

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Cappers Access

Michigan

Alabama

Memphis

Cal

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BookiesHunter

55-34 run

Tennis plays:

3* GOM Giraldo/Cilic Over 9.5 games first set

2* Verdasco over Falla
2* Parlay: Kohlschreiber&Dimitrov

1* Dodig over Isner
1* Bedene over Seppi first set

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Basketball Crusher
Harvard +10 over Arizona
(System Record: 76-4, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 76-57-4

Soccer Crusher
Quissama + Olaria UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 375-14, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 375-322-44

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Don Best Consensus

Toronto Raptors AT New York Knicks
Pick: New York Knicks

Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play New York

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB IL-CHICAGO at N IOWA

Play Over - All teams where the total is 129.5 or less in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%)
260-162 since 1997. ( 61.6% 81.8 units )
6-14 this year. ( 30.0% -9.4 units )

CBB E KENTUCKY at EVANSVILLE

Play On - Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (EVANSVILLE) in a game involving two good defensive teams (63-67 PPG), after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games
161-39 over the last 5 seasons. ( 80.5% 64.8 units )
36-15 this year. ( 70.6% -2.5 units )

CBB HARVARD at ARIZONA

Play Against - Favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (ARIZONA) after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in March games
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% 1.8 units )

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA TORONTO at NEW YORK

Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less
39-14 since 1997. ( 73.6% 23.6 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

NBA DETROIT at CHARLOTTE

Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CHARLOTTE) horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games
26-8 since 1997. ( 76.5% 18.9 units )

NBA INDIANA at CHICAGO

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points off a home win by 10 points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% -0.3 units )

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HANDICAPPING KINGS

JIMMY

1* - [539] Eastern Kentucky OVER 144 -105 vs Evansville
1* - [528] Saint Louis -4 -103 vs Oregon
1* - [547] Air Force OVER 138.5 -107 vs Weber State
1* - [511] Washington Wizards OVER 194 -110 vs Golden State Warriors