3-24-13

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JACK JONES

College Basketball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-

NCAA-B Mar 24 '13 (8:40p)
Illinois vs MIAMI FLORIDA
MIAMI FLORIDA
20* Sunday Round of 32 No-Doubt Rout on Miami -6.5

The Miami Hurricanes have been one of the most underrated teams in the country all season. That's evident by the fact that they are 28-6 SU and an incredible 21-7 ATS in all games this year.

Even after winning the ACC regular season and tournament titles, the Hurricanes still aren't getting the respect they deserve from oddsmakers. They should have been a 20-plus point favorite against Pacific in the Round of 64 as they cruised to a 78-49 victory as a 12-point favorite.

Now, they should be laying double-digits against an overrated Illinois team that is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers. The Illini are one of the most inconsistent teams left in the NCAA Tournament. They rely way too heavily on the 3-point shot.

Illinois attempts 24 3-pointers per game, making just 32.3% of them. That's why they are so inconsistent. They'll be up against a solid defense in Miami that allows just 60.3 points/game and 39.7% shooting, including 32.7% from the 3-point stripe.

Miami is 14-1 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season. The Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Illinois is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games following a win. The Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. These four tends combine for a 26-1 system backing the Hurricanes. Bet Miami Sunday.

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Winning Points Matchups For Sunday

Miami over Illinois by 9
Ohio State over Iowa State by 10
Indiana over Temple by 15
Kansas over North Carolina by 15
Florida over Minnesota by 5
San Diego State over Fla Gulf Coast by 7
Mississippi over LaSalle by 5
Creighton over Duke by 1

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RickJ's Handicapping Picks Sunday College Hoops
1/2 Unit
738 Loy MD O141

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Burns NBA 10*
Charlotte and Miami over the total

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Illinois vs. Miami (FL)

The Hurricanes look to take advantage of an Illinois team that is coming off a 57-49 win over Colorado and is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Miami (FL) is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hurricanes favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY. MARCH 24 Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 717-718: Creighton vs. Duke (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 66.232; Duke 73.305 Dunkel Line: Duke by 7; 142 Vegas Line: Duke by 5; 145 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Duke (-5); Under

Game 719-720: Florida Gulf Coast vs. San Diego State (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida Gulf Coast 61.766; San Diego State 66,049 Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 4 1/2; 138 Vegas Line: San Diego State by 7; 133 Dunkel Pick: Florida Gulf Coast (+7); Over

Game 721-722: Temple vs. Indiana (2:45 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Temple 63.229; Indiana 76.656 Dunkel Line: Indiana by 13 1/2; 144 Vegas Line: Indiana by 11 1/2; 147 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-11 1/2); Under

Game 723-724: Iowa State vs. Ohio State (12:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 69.505; Ohio State 74.522 Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 5; 148 Vegas Line: Ohio State by 7 1/2; 142 Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+7 1/2); Over

Game 725-726: LaSalle vs. Mississippi (7:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 65.380; Mississippi 70.518 Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 5; 140 Vegas Line: Mississippi by 3 1/2; 143 Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-3 1/2); Under

Game 727-728: North Carolina vs. Kansas (5:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 67.801; Kansas 75.622 Dunkel Line: Kansas by 8; 148 Vegas Line: Kansas by 6; 143 Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-6); Over

Game 729-730: Illinois vs. Miami (FL) (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 64.966; Miami (FL) 73.955 Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 9; 124 Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 7 1/2; 128 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-7 1/2); Under

Game 731-732: Minnesota vs. Florida (6:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 66.918; Florida 73.298 Dunkel Line: Florida by 6 1/2; 127 Vegas Line: Florida by 8 1/2; 123 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+8 1/2); Over

Game 733-734: St. John's at Virginia (11:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 60.461; Virginia 68.915 Dunkel Line: Virginia by 8 1/2; 128 Vegas Line: Virginia by 11; 123 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+11); Over

Game 737-738: Kent State at Loyola-MD (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 55.425; Loyola-MD 60.884 Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 5 1/2; 137 Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 4; 141 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-4); Under

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Today's NBA Picks

Portland at Oklahoma City

The Thunder look to build on their 10-2 ATS record in their last 12 home games versus teams with a losing road record. Oklahoma City is the pick (-11 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-11 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MARCH 24 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Atlanta at Milwaukee (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 118.992; Milwaukee 118.017 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 200 Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 3; 203 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3); Under

Game 703-704: Charlotte at Miami (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 109.385; Miami 124.645 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 15 1/2; 205 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 16 1/2; 199 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+16 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Chicago at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 117.976; Minnesota 119.409 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 188 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 185 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1); Over

Game 707-708: San Antonio at Houston (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 123.426; Houston 119.861 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 210 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 213 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-1); Under

Game 709-710: Portland at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland 117.274; Oklahoma City 130.111 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 13; 201 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11 1/2; 205 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-11 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Utah at Dallas (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 114.696; Dallas 123.826 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 9; 206 Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 6; 200 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-6); Over

Game 713-714: Philadelphia at Sacramento (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 115.066; Sacramento 123.451 Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 8 1/2; 200 Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 2 1/2; 205 Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-2 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Brooklyn at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 115.310; Phoenix 115.183 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 210 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

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Today's NHL Picks

Tampa Bay at Winnipeg

The Lightning look to build on their 11-2 record in their last 13 games versus Southeast Division opponents. Tampa Bay is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+140). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MARCH 24 Time Posted 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Florida at NY Islanders (5:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida 9.903; NY Islanders 12.042 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-170); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-170); Under

Game 3-4: Washington at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.962; NY Rangers 11.096 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-165); 5 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+145); Over

Game 5-6: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.408; Pittsburgh 13.419 Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 3; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-200); 6 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-200); Under

Game 7-8: Tampa Bay at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.271; Winnipeg 10.738 Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7 Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-160); 6 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+140); Over

Game 9-10: St. Louis at Calgary (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.964; Calgary 10.941 Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-125); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); Under

Game 11-12: Detroit at Anaheim (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.893; Anaheim 11.793 Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-155); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+135); Over

Game 13-14: Vancouver at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.363; Colorado 10.637 Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-130); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-130); Under

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB N CAROLINA at KANSAS

Play Under - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games
154-88 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.6% 57.2 units )
16-14 this year. ( 53.3% 0.6 units )

CBB FLA GULF COAST at SAN DIEGO ST.

Play On - Neutral court teams (FLA GULF COAST) after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game, with all five starters returning from last season
202-135 since 1997. ( 59.9% 63.7 units )
14-14 this year. ( 50.0% -1.1 units )

CBB MINNESOTA at FLORIDA

Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 55.5 to 60.5 in a game involving 2 slow-down teams (<=55 shots/game), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games
89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
15-8 this year. ( 65.2% 6.2 units )

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA BROOKLYN at PHOENIX

Play On - Any team (PHOENIX) off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

NBA PORTLAND at OKLAHOMA CITY

Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team
137-29 over the last 5 seasons. ( 82.5% 61.3 units )
16-5 this year. ( 76.2% 3.8 units )

NBA BROOKLYN at PHOENIX

Play On - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (PHOENIX) an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

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Fullcourt Press: Sunday's NBA Betting Notes

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Sunday’s NBA games:

Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks (-3, 203.5)

Atlanta fell at home to the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday and dropped two of three on its just-completed homestand. The lone win in that span came against the Bucks 98-90 on Wednesday. Milwaukee had its worst offensive performance of the season in a 120-78 loss at the Pacers on Friday and is hoping to return to the form that posted 108.5 points in its last two home games - both wins. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.

Charlotte Bobcats at Miami Heat (-16.5, 199.5)

No lead - or opponent - has been too much to overcome for the Miami Heat, who will go for their 26th consecutive victory when they host the league-worst Charlotte Bobcats. LeBron James and the Heat erased a double-digit deficit for the third time in as many games in beating the Detroit Pistons 103-89 on Friday, moving them within eight victories of tying the 1971-72 Los Angeles Lakers for the longest winning streak in NBA history. Miami has also won 16 straight home games and own 10 consecutive victories over Charlotte, including a pair this season. The Bobcats are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games.

San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets (+1.5, 213.5)

The San Antonio Spurs attempt to complete a four-game sweep of Houston Sunday. San Antonio enters with a four-game winning streak and has averaged 123.3 points in winning the first three meetings with Houston. The Spurs have taken the last four meetings and are 6-0 ATS in their last six Sunday contests.

Portland Trail Blazers at Oklahoma City Thunder (-11.5, 205.5)

Oklahoma City has had a difficult time scoring over the last two games but turned to its defense to avoid a three-game slide on Friday. The Thunder have been held under 100 points in two straight games and needed a big fourth quarter from Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook to pull out Friday’s 97-89 win at the lowly Magic. Oklahoma City has taken five straight and eight of the last 10 in the series. The favorite is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings.

Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves (+1, 185.5)

The Chicago Bulls likely will play without star center Joakim Noah once again when they visit the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday night. If they play the way they did Saturday night at home, it might not be an issue. Without Noah in the lineup due to plantar fasciitis, Chicago topped Indiana 87-84 to keep their slim Central Division crown hopes alive. The win pulled the Bulls within five games of the Pacers with 14 to play. Chicago is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.

Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks (-6, 200.5)

The visiting Jazz will look to halt a three-game losing streak when they visit Dallas on Sunday. Utah is sitting in ninth place in the Western Conference, 1 1/2 games behind the Los Angeles Lakers for the final playoff slot and one game in front of the Mavericks. Dallas had won four straight earlier in the month to move into playoff contention but has been unable to build on that momentum, failing to win two straight and going 3-3 in its last six games. The Mavs have lost three straight to the Jazz, including two in Utah this season, but have won the last four matchups at home. The over is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Dallas.

Brooklyn Nets at Phoenix Suns (+1.5, 188.5)

The Suns have lost six of seven games and suffered a humiliating 117-86 home loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Phoenix has lost by 30 or more points in two of their last six games. Brooklyn is 2-1 on an eight-game road excursion after falling 101-95 to the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday. The Nets routed the Suns 99-79 in Brooklyn on Jan. 11 for only their third win in the last 12 meetings. Brooklyn has played over the total in its last six games overall.

Philadelphia 76ers at Sacramento Kings (-2.5, 205)

Philadelphia has lost 15 straight on the road, last winning on New Year's Day. The road losing streak is its longest since a franchise-record 20-game skid in 1987-88. However, the Sixers have won eight of the last nine meetings (8-1 ATS), including an 89-80 victory in Philadelphia on Feb. 1.

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Don Best Consensus

Creighton at Duke
Pick: Creighton

Creighton (19-13-1 ATS) is 27-6 ATS in its last 33 Sunday Games. Creighton is also 6-0 both SU and ATS in its last 6 games. Duke (17-16 ATS) is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games. Play Creighton.

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Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Ohio State -7 over Iowa State: Allot of the Cyclones offense revolves around the 3-ball and I know that I need some threes to drop to get the over as well and while I do expect the Cyclones to hit some threes I don't expect enough of them to drop to keep this one close. The Buckeye defense is tough as they have allowed 58.3 ppg on the year and they rank 7th in the nation in defensive efficiency. The Buckeyes are not all about defense as they are 15th in the nation in off eff, while the Cyclone defense is 114th in defensive efficiency. Ohio State also has scored 79.5 ppg in non-conf games and after the Iona game they stated how much they really relish in playing an uptempo game. That is more there style. The Cyclones, in their uptempo style, don't play allot of defense, especially on the road where they allow 76.2 ppg and I see the Buckeyes notching 80+ in this one. This game should be an easy one for the Buckeyes as their offense has a field day vs a Cyclone defense that struggles away from home. The Buckeyes will give up some but not enough for the Cyclones to keep it close. Ohio State 80-66.

2 UNIT PLAY

Ohio State/ Iowa State Over 141.5: Don't normally do writeups for my lesser plays, but I did this one for a Google News Article I did. The Buckeyes [played allot of knockdown dragout kind of basketball but they really liked the wide open game they were able to play vs Iona and they will be able to play the same kind of game in this one. Iowa State is 33rd in the nation in pace and they have hit at l;east 80 points 20 times this year. They scored 76 points on a tough Notre Dame defense and have now scored 78.4 ppg in their last 5 games. The Buckeyes have a strong defense, but they did just allow 70 points to an uptempo Iona squad and I can see the Cyclones getting 70+ in this one. The Buckeyes are an average offensive team, but they still have averaged 70.1 ppg on the year, including 79.5 ppg vs non-conference teams. This team really does like to get out and run and ISU will let them. ISU held ND to 58 points, but that is not normal for this team as they have allowed 76.2 ppg away from home and 73.4 ppg in neutral site games. Look for 75+ again from Ohio State, as both teams push tempo and we get about 150 points scored in this one.

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JOE GAVAZZI

Minnesota vs Florida (-8-) 6:10 PM EST Austin, TX
4* Florida (-8-)
The Gophers entered the NCAA at an underground 5-11 SU, 2-10 ATS with no success on the road for the previous 2months. UCLA must have clearly missed second-leading scorer Adams in bowing to the Gophers 83-63 Friday night. In recording the victory, Minnesota held UCLA to 32% from the field, 18% from the arc, they were efficient on the offensive end with a 19/11 assist-turnover margin. The Hollins boys combined for 44 and Mbakwe went for 9/12. That was the last time they will see a soft defense like that this season. For now they must face a Florida team who has plenty in their tank after their light scrimmage against Northwestern St that resulted in a 79-47 victory, that erased the bitter taste of their CCT Final loss and restored their confidence. In Friday’s win, Florida allowed just 36% from the field, 19% from the arc, was +19 on the boards, had only 8 turnovers, and listed 4 starters with 11 or more points. When facing the top-rated defenses of the Big 10, the Minnesota offense was virtually nonexistent on the road in the last 2 months of the season. Prior to the UCLA win, they had not recorded a victory away from home since January 9 versus Illinois (0-9 SU); they covered just once in that time frame (losing by 1 as 3-point dog at Wisconsin). Included in their February and March 0-6 SU ATS record, are losses by 11 at Michigan St, 21 at Iowa, 26 at Ohio St, and 16 at Purdue. Before Friday’s win, since January 12, they scored more than 51 points away from home only once. With the Gator defense allowing 54/38/30, do not expect an offensive outburst from Minnesota like Friday night, as the Gophers return to their underground ways on the road.

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GAMEDAYINSIDERS / TJ Pemberton

Sunday's Action: 4* Duke -5
Creighton takes on Duke in the Sunday Night Match-up. The Bluejays are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games. Ryan Kelly is back in full force & with Plumlee playing great back this Duke team will go further in the tournament than everyone though. Duke rolls! The Blue Devils are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.

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BookiesHunter

Tennis plays:

2* Parlay: Melzer & Blake

1* Tipsarevic over Anderson
1* Dolgopolov over Haas