3-29-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

3*(CBB) Kansas +2
3*(CBB) Duke -2

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JACK JONES


College Basketball Premium Picks
-= TOP PLAY =-


NCAA-B Mar 29 '13 (7:35p)
Michigan vs Kansas Michigan
+2-106 at 5dimes
25* NCAA Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on Michigan +2


The Michigan Wolverines represent my strongest release of the entire 2013 NCAA Tournament Friday when they take on the Kansas Jayhawks in the Sweet 16. It's easy to see that the Big Ten is the best conference in the country, and it should not be an underdog to Kansas because of it.


In fact, the Big Ten has sent four teams to the Sweet 16 compared to just one for the Big 12. Kansas even had to escape with a 64-57 win over Western Kentucky as a 21-point favorite in the opening round, and erase a 9-point first half deficit against UNC, just to get here.


The Jayhawks were even gifted home-court advantage in the first two rounds as they had to only travel 40 miles from campus over to Kansas City. With home-court advantage gone, and playing a much tougher opponent, Kansas' luck runs out tonight.


Michigan came into the NCAA Tournament undervalued due to a rough stretch to close out the season. They have proven that with a 71-56 victory over South Dakota State as a 12-point favorite, and a 78-73 blowout of VCU as a 3.5-point favorite.


Once again, the Wolverines are undervalued tonight as an underdog when they are clearly the superior team. Michigan is 7-1 ATS in all tournament games this season. The Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12 opponents. The Jayhawks are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 vs. Big Ten. Take Michigan Friday.






NCAA-B Mar 29 '13 (9:45p)
MICHIGAN STATE vs DUKE DUKE
-2-106 at 5dimes
15* Michigan State/Duke Sweet 16 Friday No-Brainer on Duke -2


The Duke Blue Devils are the superior team in this match-up with the Michigan State Wolverines. This is a very evenly-matched game coaching-wise with Coach K and Tom Izzo going at it, but Coach K clearly will have the better talent on the floor, and that will show Friday night.


The key factor here is the health of Ryan Kelly, who has been the key to the Blue Devils' success this season. In fact, Duke is a sensational 20-1 in all games that Kelly has played in this year. He is clearly the motor that makes this team run.


One look at the history between these teams and it's easy to see that Coach K has not only out-coached Izzo, but he's also had the better talent. In fact, Duke is 6-1 in its last 7 meetings with Michigan State dating back to 1998. All six of those victories have come by 5 points or more.


Duke is 7-0 ATS in road games after a non-conference game this season. The Spartans are 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. The Blue Devils are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Roll with Duke

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todays Best Bets

(5 UNITS) Kansas -1.5

(5 UNITS) Michigan State +2

(3 UNITS) Oregon +10

(4 UNITS) Fla Gulf Coast +13

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Spartan

Triple Dime Bet
I am strongly suggesting you take Louisville
and lay the ten points against Oregon.

Dana Altman has had a very solid
run with his club this year and I still think he is one of the more underrated
coaches in the business. But I predict it all ends here. Cardinals pull away and
clear the number guys. No, it's not a lock. My clients know I don't play that
game. But it is a valid Triple Star, take Pitino's Cardinals guys.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LA Syndicate

CBB Tourney Total of the Year - Over 129 Oregon/Louisville (Posted on Thursday)

Top - Florida -12.5, Nuggets -6

Reg - Louisville -10, Over 136 Kansas, Grizzlies -5

Chicago Syndicate

Top - Louisville -10, Michigan +2, Over 203 Thunder

Reg - Duke -130 (ML), Over 130 Louisville, Under 195.5 Celtics, Under 193.5 Cavs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Wizards won six of their last nine games (2-6 last eight on road).
-- 76ers are 5-4 in last nine games (2-2 AF).
-- Hawks won six of last nine games (4-0 last four on road).
-- Bobcats are 3-2 in their last five games (0-8 last eight AU). New York won its last six games, covered last seven (3-0 last three HF).
-- Thunder won last three games, by 8-23-20 points (3-7 last ten AF).
-- Miami had its 27-game win streak snapped Wednesday (10-4 last 14 AF). Hornets won three of last four games (4-2 last six HU).
-- Rockets won five of last seven games (6-2 last eight AU).
-- Clippers won three of last four games (7-4 AU). San Antonio won five of its last six games (2-5 last seven HF).
-- Nets won four of their last five games (4-0 last four AU). Denver won its last seventeen home games (7-2 last nine HF).
-- Jazz won its last two games, covered its last five (3-0 last three AU).

Cold Teams
-- Magic lost their last eight games (1-4 vs spread last five).
-- Cavaliers lost their last six games (11-15 last 26 HU).
-- Celtics lost five of their last six games (4-1 last five HF).
-- Raptors lost their last five games (1-2 AF). Detroit lost 11 of its last 12 games (1-6 last seven HU).
-- Minnesota lost 14 of last 19 games (4-2 last six HU).
-- Memphis lost three of last four games, but won last ten home games (2-6 last eight HF).
-- Portland lost four of its last six games (5-1 last six HF).


Totals
-- Five of last seven Orlando games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Last five Toronto games went over the total.
-- Four of last five New York games went over the total.
-- Last four Oklahoma City games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Hornet games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last ten Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Clipper games went over the total.
-- Last eight Brooklyn games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Portland games.

Back-to-backs
-- None.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CBB

Friday's NCAA games
Underdogs are 14-6 vs spread in regional semis last 2+ years.

Louisville is 12-0 since losing in five OTs to Notre Dame Feb 9, winning last seven games by 12+ points each; Pitino is 4-0 in this round with the Cardinals (4-0 vs spread) winning by 14-19-39-13 points. Louisville is #2 in country at forcing turnovers (28.2% of time). Oregon turns ball over 21.5% of time (#264 in country); they lost by 11 to Cincinnati on neutral floor in only game vs Big East foe; they've won last five games, allowing 57-55 points in two tourney wins. Since 2001, #1 seeds are 8-2 vs spread in this round when facing someone other than a 4-5 seed (15-18 vs 4-5 seeds). Teams that won Pac-12 tourney are 3-2 in this round, 1-4 vs spread, 0-2 as underdogs, losing by 13-14 points.

Since 2005, Duke is 1-4 in this round, despite being favored in all five of the games, losing as favorites of 5-5-2-4 points. Since 1987, Duke is 8-3 vs Big Dozen teams in NCAAs; they're 2-1 vs Michigan State, winning 85-74 (-5) in '94, 68-62 (-12) in '99, losing in '05 78-68 (-5). Blue Devils beat Minnesota by 18, Ohio State by 5 in two tilts vs Big Dozen teams this year. Spartans are 14-2 outside Big Dozen play, but one of losses was 67-59 at Miami, its only game vs ACC team. Since '01, underdogs are 10-7 vs spread when 2-seed faces a 3-seed in this round. Spartans are holding teams to 29.8% from arc; Duke makes 40.3% behind arc, 5th in country. Appling hurt his shoulder last week, is expected to play here.

Bill Self is 5-1 (3-3 vs spread) in Sweet 16 games at Kansas, winning by 15-3-15-20-3 points, losing only to Michigan State (-2.5) in '09- they've won 12 of last 13 games (lost at Baylor), winning first two tourney tilts by 7-12, allowing 57.5 ppg. Michigan beat K-State by 14, West Virginia by 15 in its two games vs Big X teams; Wolverines won first two games in NCAAs by 15-25 points after going 6-6 in last 12 regular season tilts. #1 seeds are 15-19 vs spread in this round when facing a 4-5 seed (8-2 vs others). Michigan is young (#339 in experience), doesn't sub much (#325 in bench minutes) but their 54.6 eFG% is #11 in country. Jayhawk foes shoot just 38.7% inside arc; Michigan better make some 3-pointers.

Florida Gulf Coast is first 15-seed to get this far; they beat pair of teams last week (Hoyas/Aztecs) that struggle on offense, now Florida (28-1 in games decided by 10+ points, 0-6 in games decided by less than 10) are presenting a different problem- Gators shoot 38.3% from arc, 55.1% on 2-pointers are #28 in experience. FGCU has five losses to teams ranked outside top 200, but not now; this confident, athletic team has only two seniors in its rotation, but Comer is superior PG who has Eagles running and playing with swagger. Florida won its last five Sweet 16 games (4-1 vs spread) winning by 9-4-8-9-10 points. Hard to go against the Eagles here, but when Cinderella goes down, it often goes down by a big score.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Minnesota won its last seven games, scoring 30 runs.
-- Blackhawks won ten of last twelve home games.


Cold teams
-- Devils lost seven of their last eight road games. Tampa Bay lost three of four overall.
-- Dallas Stars are 4-7 in their last eleven home games.
-- Anaheim lost its last four games, outscored 16-5.
-- Flames lost four of their last five games. Columbus lost six of last seven on road.

Totals
-- Last six Devil-Lightning games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Dallas games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Anaheim-Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Calgary games went over the total.

Series records
-- Devils won seven of last ten games with Tampa Bay.
-- Minnesota is 2-0 vs Dallas this season, winning 1-0/7-4.
-- Ducks won their last three games against Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

03/29/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 3897-1359 (.741)
ATS: 1894-1919 (.497)
ATS Vary Units: 5255-5572 (.485)
Over/Under: 626-592 (.514)
Over/Under Vary Units: 722-721 (.500)

NCAA Tournament
Midwest Regional Semifinals at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Louisville 71, Oregon 58
Duke vs. Michigan State: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

South Regional Semifinals at Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
Kansas 72, Michigan 66
Florida 73, Florida Gulf Coast 60

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

03/29/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 697-334 (.676)
ATS: 562-496 (.531)
ATS Vary Units: 1408-1229 (.534)
Over/Under: 540-518 (.510)
Over/Under Vary Units: 717-659 (.521)

Washington 98, ORLANDO 95
BOSTON 97, Atlanta 94
NEW YORK 106, Charlotte 88
DETROIT 99, Toronto 96
CLEVELAND 98, Philadelphia 96
MEMPHIS 101, Houston 96
Miami 101, NEW ORLEANS 92
Oklahoma City 108, MINNESOTA 97
SAN ANTONIO 104, L.A. Clippers 98
DENVER 108, Brooklyn 98
PORTLAND 102, Utah 99

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

03/29/13 Predictions

Season: 188-125 (.601)

New Jersey vs. TAMPA BAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CHICAGO 3, Anaheim 2
Minnesota vs. DALLAS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Columbus vs. CALGARY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Miami, Fla. (-5 1/2) Thursday.

Friday it’s Louisville. The deficit is 130 sirignanos.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1008-747 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free winner 7-2 run FRI Florida -13

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Friday

Wild -115