3-29-13

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RTG Sports

Kansas -2

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Stump The Spread
3-1 last night

Oregon +10
Duke -2
Florida -13
NJ Devils +105

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Team Del Genio

*10* Louisville

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Dave Essler

3* Duke/Mich St Over

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Stephen Nover | CBB Total - Friday, Mar 29 2013 9:45PM
875 Michigan St. / 876 Duke UNDER 134.0 Hilton double-dime bet

Stephen Nover | NBA Sides - Friday, Mar 29 2013 9:05PM
870 DEN -6.5(-110) Hilton vs 869 Brooklyn double-dime bet

Friday Free Pick: Thunder minus 7 1/2 at Timberwolves

Oklahoma City has dominated Minnesota winning 14 of the last 15 in the series. The Timberwolves don't have the offense to keep up with the Thunder, nor the defense to keep Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook in check.

It's a bad matchp for Minnesota both player-wise and on a situational level. This marks the Timberwolves' sixth game in nine days. The Timberwolves lack the depth with all of their injuries to keep pace with Oklahoma City when fatigue is a major factor.

The Thunder can't afford to let down in this game playing such a lowly opponent. I don't see that happening as the Timberwolves cau ºght the Thunder's attention by nearly beating the Lakers at home this past Wednesday and that the Thunder is just 1 1/2 games behind San Antonio for the Western Conference lead and knowing the Spurs have an upcoming game against the Heat.

Oklahoma City not only leads the NBA in scoring, but also has been playing outstanding defense holding four straight opponents to 90 points or fewer. Oklahoma City has had no problem exploiting the Timberwolves' porous defense averaging 115.2 points during the past 11 meetings between the two teams.

The Thunder know how to beat up the bad teams covering 10 of the last 12 times when facing a sub-.500 foe. Minnesota also is at its worst against strong opponents going 5-15-2 ATS versus
above .500 teams.

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Marc Lawrence LTS:
3* Louisville-10.5

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Goldsheet LTS

FRIDAY, MARCH 29

COLLEGE HOOPS

TOP CHOICE 1 1/2 units "OVER" 131 points OREGON vs. LOUISVILLE 4:15 PM PDT (Game #873-74)

KANSAS (-2) over Michigan 4:35 PM PDT (Game #878)

FLORIDA GULF COAST (+13) over Florida 6:55 PM PDT (Game #879)

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goodfella

3* mich

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shaker

3* fgcu/fla over

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Ed meyer


double-dime bet 872 POR -3.0 (-110) 5dimes vs 871 UTA
Analysis:
The Jazz haven’t won a road game since February 13th and we don’t think they are going to break this streak here. The Jazz have covered five straight and they are off a 103-88 win over the Suns in which they shot 51.8% from the field. This has ben a dead spot for the Jazz, as they are 0-10 ATS (-7.0 ppg) on the road after a win in which they shot at least 50% from the field. In addition, Utah is 0-10 ATS (-9.5 ppg) with rest after a home win in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line and 0-6 ATS (-10.6 ppg) on the road after two wins in which Paul Millsap played fewer than 30 minutes in each.
The Blazers are off a home loss to the Nets and the stats from that one are positive indicators here. Portland is 6-0 ATS (+9.7 ppg) after a loss at home in which Nicolas Batum played fewer than 30 minutes and 5-0 ATS (+11.4 ppg) at home after a loss at home in which Wesley Matthews had more turnovers than assists.
Utah has a four game homestand starting TOMORROW against the Nets and then they have the Blazers again. Utah has focused primarily on the home gams all season and the Blazers are in need of a win. Lay the small number.
MTi’s FORECAST: PORTLAND 98 Utah 89

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Kelso

100 unit Michigan State
25 unit Kasas

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JOHN RYAN

30* GOY Florida
Michigan
Michigan Over

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SCOTT RICKENBACH NHL Home Cookin

won last 3

Tampa Bay

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bronco sports 18-13
kansas
louisville under 132

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Andre Gomes | NBA Total Fri, 03/29/13 - 7:05 PM Žˆ
dime bet 851 WAS / 852 ORL Over 196.5 Bookmaker.com Analysis: NBA - 851 Washington Wizards @ 852 Orlando Magic

Projected Line: 200 points

This game is another one that fits in the "lowly teams that won't show any defensive effort" category. Despite being shorthanded, Orlando has been able to score quite well due to their good ball movement, something that isn't common on lowly teams like them. Their 33/10 A/TO ratio on their last game in Charlotte was quite impressive, while at the same time their young players are trying hard to establish themselves in the league. Washington is still considered as an elite defensive team, but I believe they won't show a lot of defensive effort tonight. While facing the Magic right now, a team needs to stop their pick and roll game run by Jameer Nelson and be careful with the cuts from their perimeter players. The problem is that these two areas are exactly the ones where the Wizards have stopped defending lately. John Wall is so focused on offense that he has been lazy on defense and therefore, the Wizards are allowing an incredibly bad 1.04 PPP on pick and roll ball handler plays over their last 10 games and 1.34 PPP on cuts during the same span! This is why I won't be surprised if Orlando manages to have another great offensive game tonight after scoring 108 points against the Bobcats on their last game.


On the other side, Washington will also be very shorthanded. It appears that Martell Webster, Bradley Beal and A.J. Price are out for tonight's game, while Nene Hilario and Trevor Ariza are questionable. However, John Wall with torch the Magic's defense on his own tonight. Wall crushed Memphis's defense by scoring 47 points on a 13-22 FG and 19-24 FT shooting night, while having also 8 assists. The problem for Wall was that he played 45 minutes in that game and with just 1 day off to rest until his team's following game at Oklahoma City, he ended up struggling against the Thunder with 3-18 FG, on a revenge game for Oklahoma City, who had lost at Washington DC earlier on the season. However, Wall should be able to bounce back very well tonight against a Magic defense that has been horrible lately against pick and roll ball handler plays and transitions, the two areas where Wall's game excels. If Kemba Walker was able to torch Orlando on their last game with 13-23 FG, 34 points and 9 assists, John Wall should be able to have at least a similar performance tonight. Therefore, I see this game being a very high scoring contest and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 851/852 Over 196,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker


Pick Made: Mar 29 2013 8:40AM PST

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Andre Gomes | NBA Total Fri, 03/29/13 - 7:35 PM Žˆ
dime bet 853 PHI / 854 CLE Over 194.0 Bookmaker.com Analysis:

NBA - 853 Philadelphia 76ers @ 854 Cleveland Cavaliers

Projected Line: 198 points

Cleveland is absolutely on tank mode right now. They are playing without their two most talented players in Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters, but they keep showing no defensive effort, while the pace of their games has been increased in an incredible way. Their season pace is 91.3, while they have been average a pace factor of 93.0 on their last 10 games and 93.3 on their last 5 games! Defensively, the Cavaliers continue to be horrible down low. They are allowing their opponents to shoot 67% FG at the rim, while their perimeter defense isn't being any better. For today's game, I don't expect any of this to change, so Cleveland will play on a fast tempo and defend terribly. Therefore, the question in here will be to know if they will be able to be efficient on offense or not.




I believe that will happen as Philadelphia is on a similar path. The Sixers are coming from a nice home win against Milwaukee, where they showed how much they have improved on offense lately, with a healthy Jrue Holiday and Thaddeus Young leading the way. Philadelphia pounded Milwaukee with 60 points in the paint and 20 fast break points, while showing a good ball movement with 28 assists. Defensively, Milwaukee was held to just 41.6% FG, but in my opinion there was more demerit from the Bucks's offense in that than merit from Philadelphia's defense, as Milwaukee just couldn't hit an outside shot to save their lives: 3-15 FG from 10-15 feet, 5-19 FG from 16-23 feet and 6-24 3pts!




The first two games between these two teams were low scoring contests played in November. Things will be much different today, as both teams won't have tonight the defensive focus that they had at the start of the season and so, this will quickly turn into a high scoring affair. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 853/854 Over 194 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker


©2010 Pregame.com - All rights reserved. Unauthorized distribution, transmission or republication strictly prohibited.
Andre Gomes | NBA Total Fri, 03/29/13 - 9:05 PM Žˆ
dime bet 869 Brooklyn / 870 DEN Under 204.0 Bookmaker.com Analysis:

NBA - 869 Brooklyn Nets @ 870 Denver Nuggets

Projected Line: 200 points | Denver by 3 points

Since Denver managed to get a big win at Oklahoma City last week, they haven't been showing their normal levels of intensity in both ends of the floor. They are being still competitive and they could have won their last game at San Antonio, but they aren't even dominating the lowly teams anymore. This has been visible with their 1-point and 6-points home wins over Philadelphia and Sacramento respectively and especially, on their huge blowout loss at New Orleans who was missing Greivis Vasquez in that game. There are several reasons for the Nuggets to be struggling right now. Perhaps the biggest one is the fact that their perimeter shooting has been declining, as when a team shoots 30% FG from 16-23 feet and 28% 3pts on their last five games, it's hard for them to dominate their opponents like they used to do in early-March!




For this specific matchup against the Nets, Denver would be in theory a very tough matchup for Brooklyn, as the Nets's defense struggles against great transition teams due to their slow footed backcourt. This is why the Nuggets were able to be competitive at Brooklyn earlier on the season, even though they were on a terrible spot at the time, as they were playing their final game of a road trip and they were also shorthanded. The Nets just couldn't stop Ty Lawson due to his speed and he ended that game with 8-11 FG and 9 assists. The problem for Denver is that Ty Lawson will be out of tonight's game and so, the Nuggets loÒse most of their transition skills without their quickest player on court. This will put Andre Miller as the team's starting PG and he lacks the speed to pound Deron Williams on defense. On the other hand, Danilo Gallinari is also banged up and he is currently struggling in both ends of the floor because of that.




As if that wasn't enough for the Nuggets, Brooklyn is also playing some great basketball lately. Their frontcourt is so physical that I don't expect to see Denver's frontline having their usual dominance at the rim and I wouldn't be surprised at all if Brooklyn is actually able to dominate the boards battle on this contest. Kostas Koufos is just an average defender and so, I expect Brook Lopez to own him tonight with his post up moves. JaVale McGee should also have problems to stop Lopez due to his lack of discipline. Kenneth Faried will also have a tough time against Reggie Evans, who is simply dominating the boards with some insane rebounding numbers!

Denver may be a machine at home, but I believe they will happy tonight if they just managed to win tonight's game. Brooklyn seems to be in much better form right now than them and the Nets should also have a good number of matchup edges tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking Brooklyn tonight. As I expect to see Denver to struggle on offense, I don't expect this game to be a high scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here as well.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 869/870 Under 204 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 869 Brooklyn Nets (+6,5) @ -105 / 1.95 on Bovada


Pick Made: Mar 29 2013 8:41AM PST

©2010 Pregame.com - All rights reserved. Unauthorized distribution, transmission or republication strictly prohibited.
Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Fri, 03/29/13 - 9:05 PM Žˆ
dime bet 869 Brooklyn 6.5 (-105) Bodog vs 870 DEN Analysis:

NBA - 869 Brooklyn Nets @ 870 Denver Nuggets

Projected Line: 200 points | Denver by 3 points

Since Denver managed to get a big win at Oklahoma City last week, they haven't been showing their normal levels of intensity in both ends of the floor. They are being still competitive and they could have won their last game at San Antonio, but they aren't even dominating the lowly teams anymore. This has been visible with their 1-point and 6-points home wins over Philadelphia and Sacramento respectively and especially, on their huge blowout loss at New Orleans who was missing Greivis Vasquez in that game. There are several reasons for the Nuggets to be struggling right now. Perhaps theÒ biggest one is the fact that their perimeter shooting has been declining, as when a team shoots 30% FG from 16-23 feet and 28% 3pts on their last five games, it's hard for them to dominate their opponents like they used to do in early-March!




For this specific matchup against the Nets, Denver would be in theory a very tough matchup for Brooklyn, as the Nets's defense struggles against great transition teams due to their slow footed backcourt. This is why the Nuggets were able to be competitive at Brooklyn earlier on the season, even though they were on a terrible spot at the time, as they were playing their final game of a road trip and they were also shorthanded. The Nets just couldn't stop Ty Lawson due to his speed and he ended that game with 8-11 FG and 9 assists. The problem for Denver is that Ty Lawson will be out of tonight's game and so, the Nuggets lose most of their transition skills without their quickest player on court. This will put Andre Miller as the team's starting PG and he lacks the speed to pound Deron Williams on defense. On the other hand, Danilo Gallinari is also banged up and he is currently struggling in both ends of the floor because of that.




As if that wasn't enough for the Nuggets, Brooklyn is also playing some great basketball lately. Their frontcourt is so physical that I don't expect to see Denver's frontline having their usual dominance at the rim and I wouldn't be surprised at all if Brooklyn is actually able to dominate the boards battle on this contest. Kostas Koufos is just an average defender and so, I expect Brook Lopez to own him tonight with his post up moves. JaVale McGee should also have problems to stop Lopez due to his lack of discipline. Kenneth Faried will also have a tough time against Reggie Evans, who is simply dominating the boards with some insane rebounding numbers!

Denver may be a machine at home, but I believe they will happy tonight if they just managed to win tonight's game. Brooklyn seems to be in much better form right now than them and the Nets should also have a good number of matchup edges tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking Brooklyn tonight. As I expect to see Denver to struggle on offense, I don't expect this game to be a high scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here as well.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 869/870 Under 204 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 869 Brooklyn Nets (+6,5) @ -105 / 1.95 on Bovada


Pick Made: Mar 29 2013 8:42AM PST

©2010 Pregame.com - All rights reserved. Unauthorized distribution, transmission or republication strictly prohibited.
Andre Gomes | NBA Total Fri, 03/29/13 - 8:05 PM Žˆ
dime bet 861 OKL / 862 MIN Over 202.0 Bookmaker.com Analysis:

NBA - 861 Oklahoma City Thunder @ 862 Minnesota Timberwolves




Projected Line: 206 points




There are no doubts that Minnesota's offense is currently on their best run of the season and even though they have been playing without Kevin Love, the Wolves had offensive ratings of 119.96, 108.23, 120.83 and 112.64 on their last four games! You can see that they are playing great offense by just looking at their recent assists numbers: 28, 27, 27, 26 and 23 assists on their last five games! This offensive improvement is the result of their guards being in great form right now, especially Ricky Rubio. Also with Nikola Pekovic and Andrei Kirilenko back from injuries, the Wolves have now some inside scoring punch as well. The Wolves are playing at a faster tempo than they were earlier on the season, they are gambling on the defensive end in order to create turnovers and then pound their opponents with quick transition plays. This is why the Wolves are averaging 13.6 fast break points per game over their last 10 games, while their season average is just 11.9!




Minnesota will be a tough test for Thunder's defense that has been amazing on their last four games with an average defensive rating of 91.0! That's some awesome numbers, but I believe they are overrated if we look at Oklahoma City's recent opponents and their spots, while I don't believe that the Thunder's mindset for tonight will be to try to perform a defensive shutdown to the Wolves. In those four games, Oklahoma City faced Memphis in a pure half court battle, in a typical grind out contest involving the Grizzlies. Also note that Oklahoma City was on a back to back spot at the time, after having had another tough battle against Denver in the night before. Then, the Thunder had to travel to face a depleted Magic team that had no talent to score against them. Finally, on their last two games, they played Portland, who was playing their last game of a road trip, while they were also playing their fifth game in seven days, and Washington who was also in a bad spot and had John Wall super tired after playing 45 minutes against Memphis on his team's previous game. The Wolves are rested for tonight's game, they will play at home, so the Thunder will be finally facing an opponent that isn't dead tired or shorthanded!




On the other side, as good as the Wolves's offense has been playing, their defense is juÑst flat terrible right now! They are constantly using undersized lineups and their perimeter players can't stop their opposing guards to dribble past them! Therefore, I expect a big game from Russell Westbrook tonight. Minnesota has been able to stop poor offensive teams like Phoenix or Detroit, but when they face decent offensive teams, their defensive struggles are quickly exposed. This is why the Lakers scored 120 points against them, while Chicago, Sacramento, Houston and Indiana also had recently good offensive performances against them with 104, 101, 108 and 107 points scored. On the last game between these two teams, played in Oklahoma City, the game ended with 238 points scored, in a battle where both teams scored more than 20 fast break points each! I expect something similar to happen in tonight's game and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.



Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 861/862 Over 202 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker