3-30-13

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1008-748 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free winner 7-3 run Sat Over the total Marg/Syr 127

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Saturday

Twolves +4.5

Bruins -135

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Bryan Rosica

100 dimes - Syracuse

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JACK JONES
College Basketball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =

NCAA-B Mar 30 '13 (4:30p)
SYRACUSE vs MARQUETTE

SYRACUSE
-4-110 at sia

20* Syracuse/Marquette Elite 8 No-Brainer on Syracuse -4

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB SYRACUSE at MARQUETTE

Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SYRACUSE) revenging a same season loss vs opponent, playing their 2nd road game in 3 days
79-41 since 1997. ( 65.8% 33.9 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% 1.6 units )

CBB EVANSVILLE at E CAROLINA

Play On - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (E CAROLINA) off 3 or more consecutive home wins, with four starters returning from last season
30-9 since 1997. ( 76.9% 20.2 units )

CBB WEBER ST at N IOWA

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 slow-down team averaging 53 or less shots/game on the season, good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game
112-60 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.1% 46.0 units )
16-7 this year. ( 69.6% 8.3 units )

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA CHICAGO at DALLAS

Play Against - Any team (DALLAS) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 80 points
54-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.1% 28.7 units )
3-4 this year. ( 42.9% -1.4 units )

NBA LA CLIPPERS at HOUSTON

Play Against - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (HOUSTON) good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game)
38-16 since 1997. ( 70.4% 22.9 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.3 units )

NBA BROOKLYN at UTAH

Play On - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (UTAH) average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
81-40 since 1997. ( 66.9% 37.0 units )
7-4 this year. ( 63.6% 2.6 units )

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Marc Lawrence

5* tourney goy Syracuse

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HANDICAPPING KINGS

JIMMY

1* - [7] Nashville Predators -105 vs Colorado Avalanche
1* - [527] Weber State OVER 137 -105 vs Northern Iowa
1* - [505] Charlotte Bobcats +10.5 -110 vs Philadelphia 76ers
1* - [19] Vancouver Canucks UNDER 5 +105 vs Edmonton Oilers

PERRY (SOCCER)

ENGLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE

TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR/SWANSEA CITY over 2.5 -120 (11am)

NORWICH CITY/WIGAN ATHLETIC over 2.5 -120 (11am)

GERMANY - BUNDESLIGA

TSG 1899 HOFFENHEIM/FC SCHALKE 04 under 2.5 +115 (1030am)

ITALY - SERIE A

JUVENTUS TURIN/INTER MILAN under 2.5 -130 (10am)

SPAIN - LA LIGA

FC BARCELONA/RC CELTA DE VIGO over 3 -130 (1pm)

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Dave Essler

3* ohio st over 129

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SPORTS WAGERS


Washington +107 over BUFFALO
OT included. The Sabres are one of the least appealing favorites in the league. They’re coming off back-to-back losses in Florida to the Bolts and Panthers and losing to that pair in successive games is not easy to do. Against the Panthers, they allowed 40 shots on net. Against Tampa Bay, Buffalo managed a measly 14 shots. Tomas Vanek has carried this team practically the entire season and now he’s out with an upper-body injury. To make matters worse, Buffalo has the Bruins in tomorrow and could be looking ahead to that one. Buffalo remains one of the more beatable teams in the NHL and there’s very little chance of them outworking the Capitals in this one.

Washington has lost just three of its past eight games. Two of those losses were against Pittsburgh and Boston. They rank higher than Buffalo in every key category including power-play percentage, penalty killing and goals for and against. This is a focused and determined guest that has improved every week since the start of the season under the strict guidance of Adam Oates. Washington is also getting great goaltending from Braden Holtby. We’re on the better team here that has a good system in place that requires every skater to pay attention to details and never stop skating. The Sabres pay attention to nothing. The Caps have already defeated the Sabres twice in two tries this year and there’s no reason whatsoever they can’t do it again.

Toronto +120 over OTTAWA
OT included. There were a lot of folks wagering against the Senators in Ottawa’s last game at home against the Rangers. Once again, Ottawa hurt some bankrolls just like they’ve been doing the entire year. That game was in Ottawa, just as this one is but the difference is that game against the Blue Shirts was a pick-em. How can the Sens be a pick-em against the Rangers and the very next game be a -130 over the Maple Leafs? Is that based on one win or based on accumulative wins by Ottawa that has oddsmakers and bettors both finally conceding that this host is extremely tough to beat? Whatever the case may be, it has created an overlay here. The Maple Leafs are in much better from than the Rangers and they’re getting a much bigger take-back in the exact same situation. That is value.

The Maple Leafs continue to do things they haven’t done in years. The Leafs are finishing off teams when they have them down. They’re winning games when they’re not at their best. They’re scoring timely goals and they’re getting strong goaltending when the game is on the line. Toronto is improving and they’re becoming more dangerous and confident with each win. Leafs fans may be expecting the bubble to burst, as they are used to disappointment year after year after year but this edition of the Maple Leafs is different. Toronto has its sights set on the playoffs and nothing is going to stop them from getting there this season. They are a focused group that has been tough on the road all year and they’ll be tough again tonight. Incidentally, in four career starts at Ottawa, James Reimer is 4-0-0 with a 1.00 GAA and a .971 save percentage. Value my friends, value.

Los Angeles -102 over MINNESOTA
Regulation only. The Wild’s impressive seven-game winning streak came to an end last night in Dallas. When a winning streak is broken, we often see a second consecutive loss, as the intensity level drops off a bit now that “it’s over”. That may not apply as much here with the champs in town but what does apply is the Wild will play their third game in four days, their fifth game in seven days and the tail end of back-to-backs. Tired and coming off its most impressive run in years, this is not the perfect time for Minnesota to face the relentless Kings.

Los Angeles’s record isn’t as good as some of the other elite teams in this league but its play on the ice has been second to none. Rarely do the Kings get outplayed. L.A. has won five of its past seven games with only losses over that span occurring against Vancouver and Dallas. Against the Canucks they allowed 13 shots on net. Versus Dallas, the Kings outshot them 40-21. When they lose it’s almost always because they run into a hot goaltender. The Kings last two wins have come in St. Louis and Chicago. They dominated play in both those games, especially in St. Louis where the entire game seemed to have been played in the Blue Notes’ end. L.A has scored nine goals in its past two games. They come in here the more rested and superior squad and they’re about to serve notice to the playoff-bound Wild that “we’re still the team to beat”.

SAN JOSE -½ +108 over Phoenix
Regulation only. After a seven game losing streak that saw the Coyotes score seven times in those seven losses, Phoenix responded by picking up three out of a possible four points in Minnesota and Nashville. They will now play their third game in succession on the road before returning home to face the Kings on Tuesday. Truth is, the Coyotes were fortunate to pick up a tie in Minnesota after they rallied from a 2-0 deficit with a couple of soft goals allowed by Niklas Backstrom. Against Nashville, the Coyotes scored six times in the first period on nine shots against back-up Chris Mason. That first period outburst was one goal shy of the number they had in the entirety of their skid. The ‘Yotes have four wins in 16 road games and they’re still relying on career back-up Jason LaBarbera. LaBarbera has allowed 11 goals in his last three starts and gave up four in Phoenix's only other game against San Jose this season, a 5-3 loss on Jan. 24. The back-up is 0-5-1 in his last six versus the Sharks and now must face them when San Jose is heating up.

It may surprise you to learn that the Sharks have one regulation loss in 15 games at home this year. They’re coming off back-to-back shutout wins at The Tank against Detroit and Anaheim. This is a Sharks’ team that is carrying a label of being soft when it counts most. They know it and they want to shake off that reputation. These are the games that will help to do that. They catch the Coyotes in a difficult spot and they have a great chance to bury them. There are no excuses for losing this one. Antti Niemi, Joe Pavelski and Brent Burns are all at the top of their games. San Jose has won three in a row and four of its last five. Two of those wins came against the Ducks in which they outscored Anaheim 9-3. The Sharks three regulation wins in a row equals their regulation wins over their previous 25 games. San Jose is in a playoff race. It is in jeopardy of missing the playoffs should they suffer another setback. This is one of those games in which a loss will set them back and if the Sharks truly are ready to take their game to the next level and be considered among the elite, they will prove so here. We’re on board for that.

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Paul Leiner

100* Grizzlies/Twolves Over 186

100* Syracuse -4.5

50* East Carolina +1.5

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Major1 Sports
Jerry Major

4*(521) Syracuse -4.5

3* (525) Evansville -1.5

(523-524) 3* Over 131.5 OSU, Wichita State

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SPORTS WAGERS

Marquette +4½ over Syracuse

Fading a squad the next game after they just knocked off a #1 seed has been one of the strongest angles in this tournament over the years and it applies here with the Orange. Syracuse just defeated the top-seeded Hoosiers and they did it in very impressive fashion, burying them by 11 with the outcome never being in doubt. The thinking is if Indiana couldn’t score on Syracuse’s tough zone defense, how the hell are the Golden Eagles going to rack up points? That thinking is a little skewed because it just doesn’t work that way. The truth is, Indiana missed their shots. They had the same open shots they’ve had all year but nothing was falling and that happens on occasion in a one and done scenario. An off-shooting night and it’s game over. Give the Orange credit, plenty of credit but as the chalk after knocking off a #1 seed, the price to play them here is too high.

Unlike the Hoosiers, Marquette has seen this zone defense once before this year and it defeated the Orangemen 74-71 on February 25 back in Wisconsin. We also like that the Golden Eagles are getting better with each performance. Getting 5½ points against the Hurricanes on Thursday, Marquette played its best game of the event en route to a convincing 10-point win. Marquette also plays great defense and they’re strong on the boards. As mentioned, the Golden Eagles have already defeated the Orange once this year and while this is a different setting and different situation, we’d much rather have the team that has proved it can beat the other team before, especially if getting points. Expect this one to be close right down to the final buzzer.

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Xpertpicks

ncaab
Marquette +4.5 over Syracuse
Wichita State +4.5 over Ohio State
Evansville -1.5 over East Carolina
Weber State +4 over Northern Iowa

nhl
Montreal -155 over NY Rangers
Pittsburgh -230 over NY Islanders

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Uncle Harry

Marquette +4.5
Wichita State +4.5
Evansville -1.5
Weber State +4