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980 PHI / 979 KAN OVER 8 5dimesAnalysis: Good dynamics for an OVER with KC getting out of their slump on Friday hitting and scoring even without Butler who will be playing today. Two historically poor April starters and Lannan off a very poor spring, plus a Philly Pen that is not performing well help my number up to 9.1 for this contest. The open here was 9 so the drop makes this a 1% play..
972 TEX (-118) BetOnline vs 971 ANAAnalysis:The price is cheap enough to fade Tommy Hanson with the superior Rangers and pitcher Matt Harrison.
Hanson held a lot of promise when he first came up with the Braves posting a 2.89 ERA as a rookie. But arm problems have greatly hindered his development. The switch to the American League is only going to make things worse for him, especially pitching a day game here in Arlington. Hanson's ERA has gone up every year. He had a 4.48 ERA in last year's injury-plagued season.
Hanson was at his worst at the end of the year. He is a fly ball pitcher and the wind is going to be blowing out today in Arlington at 25-30 mph. Harrison, by contrast, is a ground ball pitcher. Harrison is helped by having one start already this season. The Rangers have won eight of the last 10 times Harrison has been a home favorite.
Hanson last pitched on March 30. It was his first appearance since suffering an injury on March 20. So Hanson figures to be rusty.
10 Unit Top Side Play · [816] Syracuse Orange
Gamblin' Gator Sat Apr 6th, 2013 8:45pm EDT
7 Unit Total Play · Under [975] Cleveland Indians vs. [976] Tampa Bay Rays
Tom Law's Longball Sports Sat Apr 6th, 2013 7:10pm EDT
this is his TOP play of the day, has 3 other 5 unit plays
2 UNIT = Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves - UNDER 8 RUNS (-112)
Listed Pitchers: Villanueva vs Teheran
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.79 units)
Since sending this out last night the total seems to have dropped to 7.5 runs. The Braves took the first game last night by a score of 4-1. There were only 11 hits in the game combined form both teams. The Cubs have dropped to 2-2 on the season, and so far they’ve scored just 7 runs over 4 games (1.75 runs per game). The Braves are 3-1 now and scored 16 runs in their first two games, but just 5 runs over their past two. The Cubs will be sending Carlos Villanueva to the mound to make his Chicago debut. The ex Blue Jay went 7-7 last year in 38 appearances (16 starts) with a 4.16 ERA. He had a great first 11 or so starts before falling off in September. In Spring Training he had a 3.57 ERA over 22.2 innings pitched. The Braves will go with Julio Teheran as their 5th starter tonight, and there are high hopes for him after a terrific spring training. Teheran went 3-1 with a 1.04 ERA, .082 OBA, and 0.62 WHIP in 26 innings of work. Although it is just spring training allowing just 3 earned runs over 26 innings of work and striking out 35 batters is very impressive. He has had limited big league action, but in AAA in 2011 he went 15-3 with a 2.55 ERA. He followed that up last year with a very rough season going 7-9 with a 5.08 ERA. He has shown potential but it will be interesting to see how he does this year. With his first start coming at home vs a Cubs team that hasn’t had much success offensively after the spring he had I think we will see him get off to a good start. The UNDER is 4-0 for the Cubs this season, and dating back to last season the UNDER is 42-20-2 in the Braves last 64 overall. The UNDER is also 8-3 in these two teams last 11 meetings. I’m on the UNDER 8 here tonight.
[965] Boston Red Sox +129 vs Toronto Blue Jays
[951] Washington Nationals +112 vs Cincinnati Reds
[953] Miami Marlins +157 vs New York Mets
[967] Seattle Mariners -141 vs Chicago White Sox
[972] Texas Rangers -127 vs Los Angeles Angels
[818] Louisville -10 -105 vs Wichita State
[976] Tampa Bay Rays -152 vs Cleveland Indians
[973] Minnesota Twins +139 vs Baltimore Orioles
[980] Philadelphia Phillies -119 vs Kansas City Royals
[960] Milwaukee Brewers -107 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
[977] Oakland Athletics -120 vs Houston Astros
[962] Colorado Rockies -135 vs San Diego Padres
[815] Michigan -2 -101 vs Syracuse
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