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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358391

    #31
    Lee tries to add to Reds losing skid Monday

    First pitch: Sunday, 8:05 p.m. ET
    Line: Philadelphia -125, Cincinnati +115, Total: 9

    Red-hot Philadelphia looks to move above .500 for the first time this season when it begins a three-game set at slumping Cincinnati during Monday's league-wide Jackie Robinson Day celebration.

    The Phillies have won four of their past five games, outscoring opponents 21 to 10 over this stretch and posting a miniscule 1.79 team ERA. Roy Halladay allowed just one run and five hits in eight strong innings in Sunday's 2-1 win over Miami. Meanwhile, the Reds dropped their final five contests of a six-game road trip on Sunday, as they blew a 5-0 lead in the seventh inning in Pittsburgh and lost 10-7. It might not get any easier playing a Phillies team that has won 18 of its past 22 meetings with Cincinnati (including playoffs). This includes a 7-1 record in the past eight games at Great American Ball Park, where Philly has outscored the Reds 34-12. The Phillies also have the decided pitching advantage on Monday with former Cy Young Award winner Cliff Lee opposing Cincinnati veteran right-hander Bronson Arroyo.

    The Philadelphia offense has been very average this season, ranking 17th in the majors in runs (48), 15th in batting (.258), 16th in on-base percentage (.314) and 15th in slugging (.406). The bats have been especially quiet on the road with a mere 10 runs (one homer) in the past five away games. 3B Michael Young (.357 BA) is the only regular hitting above .300 and 2B Chase Utley (10 RBI) is the only player with more than 6 RBI in the first 12 games of the season. Although the pitching is finally coming together, the Phils bullpen has struggled in 2013, posting a 4.64 ERA and 1.45 WHIP due to 17 walks in 33 innings.

    Cliff Lee (2-0, 1.08 ERA, 0.60 WHIP) has been the team's best pitcher by a wide margin, allowing just two earned runs in 16.2 innings to start the season. He has struck out 14 batters and walked none in these two starts, holding opponents to a .167 BA and .267 slugging percentage. Lee has also been supported with 10 runs over his first two starts, something he didn't get much of last season when he threw 21 quality starts, but won just six games. The Phillies ended up with a 12-18 record (40%) in Lee's 30 starts in 2012. One of those outings was against the Reds, where he allowed just two earned runs with nine strikeouts over 6.2 innings despite Cincy banging out nine hits. Despite a 6-2 career record versus the Reds, he carries a below-standard 3.91 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in these 11 starts in the series. Two Cincinnati players have had great success versus Lee in their careers, as 1B Joey Votto has a .385 BA and .692 SLG in 13 at-bats, while 2B Brandon Phillips has hit .308 with three doubles, 1 HR, 4 RBI and just one strikeout in 27 plate appearances. Lee has dominated OF Jay Bruce though, holding him to a .188 BA (3-for-16) with six strikeouts.

    The Reds offense has been pretty potent so far in 2013 with 65 runs (5th in MLB) and a .342 on-base percentage (6th in majors). The offensive numbers have been off the charts in the past four games at Great American Ball Park, where they've scored 32 runs with 10 homers, a .325 BA, .373 OBP and .591 slugging. OF Shin-Soo Choo is loving his new club, leading them in both average (.354 BA) and runs (11), but veteran 2B Brandon Phillips has been the Reds' best hitter at .327 BA, 4 HR, 14 RBI and 10 runs. 3B Todd Frazier (.318 BA, 3 HR, 10 RBI) is also on fire to start the season, and although star 1B Joey Votto is stuck on one home run, he's batting .289 with a league-best .542 OBP, thanks to 20 walks, which are nine more than any other player in the majors. Cincinnati's pitching has been problematic though, carrying a 4.54 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in the first 12 games this season. This includes subpar bullpen numbers of 4.82 ERA and 1.42 WHIP, as Reds relievers have served up seven homers in 37.1 innings.

    Bronson Arroyo (1-1, 5.25 ERA, 1.25 WHIP) hasn't pitched his best, but he has kept his team in both of his starts, allowing three runs in six innings in the opener, then giving up four runs in six innings in his most recent outing in St. Louis. The Reds had an 18-14 record (56%) with Arroyo on the mound last season, including 9-5 (64%) at home, where Arroyo had a pedestrian 3.98 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. However, the right-hander's career numbers versus Philly are downright awful over 11 career games (10 starts), as he carries a 2-7 record with a 6.55 ERA and 1.51 WHIP against Monday's opponent. Arroyo was able to end an 11-year win drought versus this club last year though, when he allowed just two runs on three hits over eight strong innings, striking out four and walking nobody in that victory. All four of Philly's regular players with more than 10 career at-bats against Arroyo have posted strong numbers against the right-hander. SS Jimmy Rollins is 6-for-18 with 2 HR and 5 RBI, 2B Chase Utley and 3B Michael Young are both batting .313 (5-for-16), and 1B Ryan Howard is 4-for-14 (.286 BA) with two doubles and a homer off Arroyo.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358391

      #32
      PAUL LEINER

      100* Phillies -125

      50* Rays +115
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358391

        #33
        Sports Pickin

        MLB

        Los Angeles (A) ML

        NHL

        Dallas/Chicago Under 5 Goals
        Minnesota ML
        San Jose/Phoenix Under 5 Goals

        NBA

        Chicago -3.5
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358391

          #34
          Hoopsgooroo 4/15

          [911] Tampa Bay Rays +127 vs Boston Red Sox
          [914] Toronto Blue Jays -130 vs Chicago White Sox
          [901] St Louis Cardinals -112 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
          [904] Cincinnati Reds +110 vs Philadelphia Phillies
          [915] Los Angeles Angels -110 vs Minnesota Twins
          [907] New York Mets +116 vs Colorado Rockies
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358391

            #35
            "Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

            Ben lee won on Sunday with the Royals -$110/Blue Jays.

            For Monday "Mr Chalk" likes the Dodgers -$180/Padres.

            "Mr Chalk" is 11-3 + $692 for the 2013 MLB Regular Season.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358391

              #36
              Today's NBA Picks

              Memphis at Dallas

              The Grizzlies look to take advantage of a Dallas team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games against teams with a winning road record. Memphis is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-4). Here are all of today's picks.
              MONDAY, APRIL 15
              Time Posted: 9:30 a.m. EST
              Game 501-502: Chicago at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 113.743; Orlando 113.391
              Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 188
              Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 192 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+3); Under
              Game 503-504: Miami at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Miami 123.827; Cleveland 113.862
              Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 10; 206
              Vegas Line & Total: No Line
              Dunkel Pick: N/A
              Game 505-506: New York at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: New York 125.187; Charlotte 112.726
              Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 12 1/2; 207
              Vegas Line & Total: No Line
              Dunkel Pick: N/A
              Game 507-508: Washington at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Washington 112.580; Brooklyn 123.575
              Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 11; 183
              Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 6; 189 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-6); Under
              Game 509-510: Philadelphia at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 114.752; Detroit 117.943
              Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 3; 199
              Vegas Line & Total: No Line
              Dunkel Pick: N/A
              Game 511-512: Memphis at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 122.225; Dallas 114.734
              Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 7 1/2; 181
              Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 4; 186
              Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-4); Under
              Game 513-514: Utah at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Utah 120.785; Minnesota 119.434
              Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 1 1/2; 181
              Vegas Line & Total: No Line
              Dunkel Pick: N/A
              Game 515-516: Sacramento at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 116.844; Oklahoma City 130.970
              Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 14; 220
              Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 16; 214
              Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+16); Over
              Game 517-518: Denver at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Denver 124.657; Milwaukee 115.595
              Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 9; 212
              Vegas Line & Total: No Line
              Dunkel Pick: N/A
              Game 519-520: Houston at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Houston 121.427; Phoenix 115.969
              Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 5 1/2; 205
              Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 7; 210
              Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+7); Under
              Game 521-522: San Antonio at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 119.914; Golden State 122.735
              Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 3; 206
              Vegas Line & Total: No Line
              Dunkel Pick: N/A
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358391

                #37
                Scott Delaney
                40 Dime
                Padres
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358391

                  #38
                  Kevin
                  MLBPredictions

                  2 UNIT = San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers - PADRES TO WIN (+170)
                  Listed Pitchers: Stults vs Billingsly
                  (Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.40 units)

                  These two teams meet for the first time since the "Grienke Brawl" that put the Dodgers ace out for a number of weeks and got Carlos Quentin suspended for eight games. With that said I don't see much happening tonight. The Padres are just 2-10 on the season and 1-5 on the road as they've lost 5 straight games heading into tonight. The Dodgers are 7-5 on the year and 4-2 at home, but lost their weekend series in Arizona being shutout twice. Although the Dodgers have a better team batting average and OBP than the Padres they have only scored 34 runs in 12 games played, while the Padres have scored 39 in the same number of games. The Dodgers are 28th in runs scored so far in this young season. San Diego will send Eric Stults to the mound. He is 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA so far this year. He gave up 0 earned runs in New York striking out 7 and walking 2 and then gave up 8 hits and 4 earned runs striking out 4 and walking none against the Dodgers. In 2012 he had a solid 2.91 ERA and he was 4-2 with a 2.54 ERA, .237 OBA, and 1.11 WHIP on the road. Dodgers starter will be Chad Billingsley who has just one start this year and it was in San Diego. He went 6 innings giving up 5 hits and 1 run with 3 strikeouts and 3 walks. Last season he pitched to a 3.55 ERA but was just 3-4 at home with a 4.32 ERA, .288 OBA, and 1.52 WHIP. Take note that these two starting pitchers faced off on the 10th of April with the Dodgers winning 4-3. The Dodgers did win 2 of the 3 games, but both wins were by 1 run and the Padres outscored the Dodgers 14-10 in the series. Take note that the Dodgers are 5-1 in Stults' last 6 road starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as an underdog of +151 to +200. They are also 7-2 in his last 9 starts overall. From last season the Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Los Angeles and tonight with Stults on the mound I think they have a good shot at getting the first game victory. At +170 I'll go with the San Diego tonight.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358391

                    #39
                    5Lines
                    Total Line for 04/15/2013
                    (Lost last game)
                    Today's Winning Team is:
                    MLB - Oakland Athletics : u7

                    Cost: -110
                    Run Line for 04/15/2013
                    (Won last game)
                    Today's Winning Team is:
                    MLB - Miami Marlins : +1.5

                    Cost: -101
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358391

                      #40
                      Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

                      Game: Philadelphia at Montreal (7:30 PM Eastern)
                      Pick: Game Total UNDER 5.5 -115

                      It has been quite a season so far for Montreal who has a chance to go deep in the playoffs. They have held 24 opponents on the season to two goals or less and, over their last ten, they have limited six of those opponents to one or less. They should contain a Flyers attack which has been non-existent over their last four games. Philly has found the net just three times in the four contests, losing them all. The Flyers have also played four straight to the UNDER after a day of rest, while the Canadiens have sparkled in front of the net at home where they have now played seven straight to the UNDER. Make the play on the UNDER in this one.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358391

                        #41
                        JACK JONES

                        NBA Basketball Premium Picks

                        NBA | Apr 15 '13 (3:05p)
                        New York Knicks vs Charlotte Bobcats
                        Charlotte Bobcats
                        -1-110
                        at BMaker
                        15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Charlotte Bobcats -1

                        The Charlotte Bobcats are showing solid value at home against the New York Knicks tonight. The Knicks are in a huge letdown spot in this one, and I don't even expect them to show up as a result.

                        New York is surely going to rest several of its key players after clinching the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference with a 90-80 home victory over the Indiana Pacers Sunday. Now, it will be playing the second of a back-to-back and its 4th game in 5 days short-handed.

                        Carmelo Anthony is expected to rest. New York - still without big men Tyson Chandler, Kenyon Martin, Amare Stoudemire, Rasheed Wallace and Marcus Camby - is ready to get some rest.

                        The Bobcats have lost 14 straight and 21 of 22 on the road, but they're playing well at home toward season's end. Charlotte beat Milwaukee 95-85 on Saturday for its sixth win in eight games at Time Warner Cable Arena. The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic opponents. Bet Charlotte Monday.
                        -= TOP PLAY =-
                        NBA | Apr 15 '13 (7:35p)
                        Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets
                        Washington Wizards
                        +6-105
                        at 5dimes
                        20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington Wizards +6

                        The Washington Wizards get the nod Monday as a road underdog to the Brooklyn Nets in a game I fully expect them to win outright. I'm only taking the points for some added insurance in this one folks.

                        The Wizards have been one of the most underrated teams in the league all season. That's evident by the fact that they are 45-34-1 ATS in all games this year. Off four straight losses with three coming against playoff contenders, the Wizards will be hungry for a win tonight.

                        Brooklyn has no reason to even be motivated to play this game Monday. That's because it has already wrapped up the No. 4 seed and home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. It is locked into the No. 4 seed as it cannot move up or down.

                        Making sure they're fresh for the playoffs is a much bigger priority. Deron Williams is one of several players who could be rested tonight against the Wizards, so I have no doubt that the Wizards will be putting the more talented team on the floor.

                        Plus, Washington will be the much fresher team as it will be playing on two days' rest having last played on Friday in a loss to Philadelphia. Brooklyn will be playing the second of a back-to-back and its 5th game in 7 days following an 87-93 loss at Toronto Sunday.

                        The Wizards are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Nets are 17-35-2 ATS in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Brooklyn is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 home games. Take the Wizards Monday.
                        NBA | Apr 15 '13 (7:35p)
                        Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons
                        Detroit Pistons
                        -3-105
                        at 5dimes
                        15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Pistons -3

                        The Detroit Pistons will run away with a victory tonight at home over the Philadelphia 76ers. I like how the Pistons are playing down the stretch as they clearly are not packing it in just yet. They are playing out their season.

                        That's evident by the fact that the Pistons are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They have also won three straight coming in with victories over the Bulls, Cavs and Bobcats by a combined 41 points.

                        Detroit comes in well-rested on two days' rest having last played on Friday in a 113-93 home victory over the Charlotte Bobcats. Philadelphia is a tired team as it will be playing the second of a back-to-back and its 5th game in 7 days after a 91-77 home win over the Cleveland Cavaliers last night.

                        The 76ers are 8-24 ATS in their last 32 games playing on 0 days rest. Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The Pistons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Roll with Detroit Monday.
                        NBA | Apr 15 '13 (10:05p)
                        Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns
                        Phoenix Suns
                        +7-103
                        at 5dimes
                        15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Phoenix Suns +7

                        The Phoenix Suns want revenge from a 98-101 road loss as a 14.5-point underdog to the Houston Rockets on April 9th less than a week ago. Jermaine O'Neal was called for goaltending at the buzzer on a questionable call.

                        Houston has little to play for right now as it is guaranteed to be either the No. 6 or No. 7 seed in the Western Conference. I have a hard time seeing the Rockets being motivated enough to beat a team they just beat less than a week ago by more than 7 points tonight.

                        Phoenix comes in the fresher team as well. The Suns will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, while the Rockets will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after beating the Sacramento Kings at home last night.

                        The Rockets are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The Rockets are 9-19 ATS in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Suns Monday.
                        [ back to top ]
                        MLB Baseball Premium Picks

                        MLB | Apr 15 '13 (7:10p)
                        Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds
                        Philadelphia Phillies
                        -118
                        at 5dimes
                        15* MLB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -118

                        The Philadelphia Phillies are showing excellent value as a small road favorite over the Cincinnati Reds Monday. They should be a much heavier favorite considering the edge they have on the mound in this one.

                        Cliff Lee remains one of the best starters in baseball, and he's proving it once again in 2013. Lee is 2-0 with a 1.08 ERA and 0.600 WHIP through two starts this season. He has allowed just two earned runs and 10 base runners over 16 2/3 innings in wins over the Braves and Mets.

                        Bronson Arroyo is not off to the best start this year, going 1-1 with a 5.25 ERA while allowing seven earned runs over 12 innings. This is one team he hates facing as Arroyo is 2-7 with a 6.33 ERA in 11 career starts against Philadelphia. Lee has allowed two earned runs over 15 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Cincinnati.

                        The Phillies are 35-17 in their last 52 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Phillies are 14-5 in Lee's last 19 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 overall. Cincinnati is 5-11 in its last 16 games as a home underdog. Philadelphia is 38-15 in the last 53 meetings, including 20-8 in its last 28 meetings in Cincinnati. Take the Phillies Monday.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358391

                          #42
                          Brandon Lang

                          50 dime play on Mavs +3.5
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358391

                            #43
                            Bob Balfe

                            Bulls -3.5 over Magic

                            The Bulls have not been playing their best basketball with all of the injuries they have suffered this year, but at the end of the season its important to close out well going into the playoffs. There is nothing about this Orlando team that impresses me. The Bulls need tot tighten up their defense over the past few games and Orlando is a perfect team to do so on. Take Chicago.

                            Bobcats -1.5 over Knicks
                            The Knicks big winning streak is over and they will be resting players tonight in Charlotte. The NBA is a business. This game means nothing to the Knicks, but the Bobcats would like to get out of the teens in wins and selling tickets is a business. You have to put fans in the seats. This would be a nice win for Charlotte ending the season. There is a reason why Vegas made them the favorite. Take the Bobcats.

                            Mavs +3.5 over Grizzles
                            Dallas has all the talent in the world and just did not put it together this season so they will be sitting home during the playoffs. This team has character and they all made a pact not to shave their beards until they hit .500. They did so the other day and all are fresh shaved. I think this is a big game for them tonight as they are feeling fresh and at home are still going to treat this like a meaningful game. Take Dallas

                            Phillies -120 over Reds
                            Lee/Arroyo
                            The Reds were brutal over the weekend. Their bullpen stinks and their starter Arroyo has not been pitching well either. The problem with the Phillies is the runs they have given up off the walk. Cliff Lee is their one bright spot this year and he has yet to walk anybody this season. The Reds are starting to feel the pressure and this is not a good pitcher to face when you are in a slump. Take the Phillies.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358391

                              #44
                              John Ryan 25* MLB Titan

                              Lost last 2

                              Philadelphia
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358391

                                #45
                                Fezzik Focus

                                Washington +6
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