4-21-13

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NASCAR Heads to Kansas on Sunday

NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
STP 400

Sunday, April 21 – 1:00 p.m. EDT
Kansas Speedway – Kansas City, KS

The NASCAR field makes its first of two appearances at Kansas Speedway on Sunday. This will be only the 15th NASCAR race all-time at Kansas, but there have already been five drivers with multiple victories at this track -- Jeff Gordon, Tony Stewart, Greg Biffle, Jimmie Johnson and Denny Hamlin, who won this STP 400 race last spring.

Kansas Speedway is an intermediate track, completed in 2001, that measures exactly 1.5 miles. Built as a D-shaped oval, this track features 15° banking on the turns, 10.4° banking on the 2,685-foot frontstretch and a much flatter 5° banking on the 2,207-foot backstretch.

Drivers to Watch

Martin Truex Jr. (15/1) - He's beyond due to snap his nearly six-year-long win drought, especially at this track, where he finished runner-up in both Kansas races last year. Truex Jr. was also the runner-up last week in Fort Worth, marking his third straight top-8 finish on a 1.5-mile track (6th at Homestead 2012, 8th at Las Vegas 2013). At 15-to-1, he's the best driver to wager this weekend as our pick to win the STP 400.

Jimmie Johnson (6/1) - Of all the chalk this week, Johnson stands out amongst the crowd. He should always be considered a favorite on an intermediate track, and by the way Johnson has been driving so far this season with two wins and top-6's in five of seven races, he's worthy of action even with this low number to play on. Johnson has dominated the field in his past eight races in Kansas, winning twice (2008 and 2011), while finishing no worse than 9th in the other six starts (2nd, 3rd, 3rd, 7th, 9th and 9th) at this track.

Tony Stewart (20/1) - These favorable odds are quite surprising, especially considering Stewart was one of the two race favorites (along with Jimmie Johnson) last spring in Kansas with 6-to-1 odds. Sure Stewart has had a rough start to the 2013 season with an average finish of 21.6, including 22.8 in the past four races, but he has really thrived at Kansas Speedway. In 14 career starts at this track, he has nine top-8 finishes, which includes five top-4's and two victories. At 20-to-1, pounce on "Smoke" before he heats up and his odds start coming back down to earth.

Brad Keselowski (8/1) - Of the eight drivers with single-digit odds this week, Keselowski provides the best value at 8-to-1. He's finished 2nd, 15th, 3rd and 9th in the past four races on 1.5-mile tracks, and has placed 1st, 3rd, 11th and 8th in his past four starts at Kansas. Add in the fact that he's had only one finish outside the top-10 all season (23rd at Fontana) and factor in the chip on his shoulder he'll be racing with after being penalized 25 points by NASCAR for bad inspections last week in Texas, and odds are strong that Keselowski will race near the front of the pack on Sunday.

Mark Martin (40/1) - If you’re looking for a longshot, put a one-unit wager on the elder statesman. Martin won in Kansas in 2005 and has an average finish of 15.8 in the nine Kansas races since that victory. He’s also placed better than 15th in four of his six starts this season, including his 3rd-place finish at Daytona. Of all the drivers with longer than 25-to-1 odds, Martin is clearly the best wager of the bunch.

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Cappers Access

Spurs -7.5
Brewers(RL) -1.5(+146)
Phillies +115

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ScLiveDogs Sunday MLB Write-Up of the Day

Why we like the Diamondbacks on Sunday at +125...this WILL be the game that the Rockies snap their eight game winning streak and there are many reasons to fade them on Sunday. Lets first take a look at the starting pitchers in this game with Brandon McCarthy and Juan Nicasio. McCarthy comes into this game with a combined 7.47 era where he has allowed a total of 1 HR on the season. McCarthy's three starts this season have come against the above average offenses of the Yankees, Pirates and Cardinals. Nicasio comes into this game with a combined 5.62 era where he has allowed a total of 3 HRs on the season. Nicasio's three starts have come against the below average offenses of the Mets, Giants and Brewers. Nicasio's most recent start is also his only start on the season thus far AT Coors Field where he allowed 4 runs through 5 innings on 2 HRs. With this game having a day time start, we can't help but to look at both of these pitchers numbers during the day. Since 2011 Brandon McCarthy has a 7-2 record with a 2.87 era during the day where he allowed a combined 7 HRs through 76 innings which should translate well for him on Sunday at Coors Field. On the other side, Juan Nicasio since 2011 has an 0-3 record with a 5.47 era during the day where he allowed a combined 6 HRs through 45 innings. Those numbers did not include Nicasio's only day start of the 2013 season where he allowed 2 HRs through 5 innings in his most recent start. This Diamondbacks team saw Nicasio twice last season, both being at Coors Field, where he allowed a combined 7 runs through 6 innings on 10 BBs and 10 Ks. From a bullpen standpoint, the only noteworthy key for this game is the fact that the Rockies pen may be showing a bit of regression after almost taking the L on Saturday with a blown 9th inning. Look for the Diamondbacks to come out on Sunday with a bit of revenge in mind after feeling as if they gave the game away on Saturday.

Play on the Diamondbacks at +125.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Nuggets (-7 1/2) Saturday.

Sunday it’s the Spurs. The deficit is 457 sirignanos.

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Zimmerman is 3-0, 2.45 in three starts this season.
-- Bailey is 1-0, 0.00 (14 IP) in two home starts this season. Sanabia is 2-1, 4.24 in three starts this season.
-- Medlen is 1-1, 2.37 in three starts this season.
-- Nicasio is 2-0, 5.63 in three starts; Colorado scored 21 runs in three games.
-- Westbrook is 1-1, 2.55 in three starts this year; he was rained out of his last start, down 4-2 in third inning. Kendrick is 1-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.

-- Billingsley is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts this season. Orioles are 3-0 in Arrieta starts (1-0, 5.40), scoring 22 runs.

-- Santana is 1-0, 1.69 in his last two starts. Guthrie is 2-0, 3.20 in three starts this year. Red Sox won first two Doubront starts (1-0, 4.50) scoring 13 runs.
-- Milone is 3-0, 3.86 in three starts this season.
-- Fister is 3-0, 2.61 in three starts this season. Wilson is 1-0, 4.50 in three starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Gee is 0-3, 9.00 so far this season.
-- JSanchez is 0-2, 11.81 in three starts this season.
-- Feldman is 0-2, 10.00 in two starts this season. Peralta is 0-1, 7.31 in three starts this season.
-- McCarthy is 0-2, 8.62 in his first three Arizona starts.
-- Stults is 1-1, 5.73 in his last couple starts. Zito allowed nine runs in 2.1 IP his last start, after throwing 14 scoreless IP in his first two.

-- Nova is 1-1, 5.59 in two starts this season. JJohnson is 0-1, 7.54 in three starts this season.
-- Dempster is 0-1, 3.71 in his first three Boston starts.
-- RHernandez is 0-3, 7.23 in three starts this season.
-- Floyd is 0-3, 6.89 in three starts this season. Diamond is 1-4, 5.14 in his last six starts.
-- Harang is 1-4, 3.89 in his last eight starts. Grimm is 1-1, 9.00 in his last three starts.
-- Bedard is 0-1, 12.46 in two starts this season. Jimenez allowed 14 runs in 6.1 IP in losing his last two starts.

Totals
-- Three of last four Pittsburgh games stayed under total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Philly games.
-- Six of last nine Miami games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last twelve Washington games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Arizona games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Stults starts.

-- Five of last seven Dodger games went over the total.

-- Seven of last eight Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Boston games went over the total.
-- 14 of last 17 Oakland games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-0-1 in last ten Texas games.
-- Eight of last eleven Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Last six White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Ten of last twelve Angel games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Pirates won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last ten games.
-- Reds won five of their last six games.
-- Brewers won their last six games, scoring 35 runs.
-- Colorado won its last eight games, scoring 53 runs.
-- Giants won their last five home games.

-- Orioles won their last three games, scoring 23 runs.

-- Bronx won nine of its last eleven games.
-- Red Sox won their last seven games, allowing 13 runs.
-- Rays won three of their last four games. Oakland won 12 of its last 16 games, but lost last two, scoring three runs.
-- Rangers won five of their last six home games.
-- Angels outscored Detroit 18-1 in first two games of series.

Cold teams
-- Braves lost three of their last four games.
-- Phillies lost five of their last six games.
-- Marlins lost 14 of their first 18 games.
-- Nationals lost five of their last eight games. Mets lost four of their last five games.
-- Cubs lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Arizona is 4-7 in its last eleven games.
-- Padres lost seven of their last ten games.

-- Dodgers lost last six games, outscored 33-13.

-- Blue Jays lost four of their last five games.
-- Royals lost four of their last six games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last eleven games- they didn't score in their last two games.
-- Astros lost five of their last six games. Cleveland lost its last five games, allowing 25 runs.
-- Minnesota lost six of its last eight games. White Sox lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Detroit lost its last three games, outscored 20-1.

Umpires
-- Mia-Cin-- Underdogs are 19-11 in Johnson's last 30 games.
-- Wsh-NY-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Carlson games.
-- StL-Phil-- Last four Gibson games stayed under the total.
-- Atl-Pitt-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Nauert games.
-- Chi-Mil-- Six of last eight Cuzzi games stayed under total.
-- Az-Col-- Over is 4-1-1 last six Reyburn games.
-- SD-SF-- Six of last nine Davidson games stayed under the total.

-- LA-Balt-- Favorites won six of last eight TWelke games.

-- NY-Tor-- Underdogs are 7-4 in last eleven Timmons games.
-- KC-Bos-- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Vanover games. Five of last seven Randazzo games went over the total.
-- A's-TB-- Underdogs won nine of last thirteen Nelson games.
-- Min-Chi-- Last four Tichenor games stayed under the total.
-- Cle-Hst-- Six of last seven Bellino games stayed under total.
-- Sea-Tex-- Last five Hernandez games went over the total.
-- Det-LA-- Last three Dreckman games stayed under the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Rangers won four of their last five games. Devils won last two games, 3-0/6-2, after losing previous ten games.
-- Flames won five of their last seven games.
-- Blues won three in row, nine of their last eleven games.
-- Blue Jackets won five of their last six games. Sharks won four of last five.
-- Dallas Stars won six of their last eight games. Kings won three of last four.

Cold teams
-- Florida lost its last seven games, outscored 32-13. Bruins lost their last four games, scoring seven goals.
-- Minnesota lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Hurricanes lost 17 of their last 19 games. Tampa Bay lost seven of last eight.
-- Avalanche lost 16 of their last 20 games.
-- Anaheim lost its last four games, scoring five goals. Oilers lost six of last seven.

Totals
-- Four of last five Florida games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine New Jersey games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Calgary games.
-- Five of last seven Carolina games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-0-1 in last nine St Louis games.
-- 13 of last 17 Columbus-San Jose games stayed under total.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last dozen Anaheim games.
-- Over is 12-5-1 in last eighteen Dallas games.

Series records
-- Bruins won eight of last ten games with Florida.
-- New Jersey won four of last five games with the Rangers.
-- Minnesota won four of last five games with Calgary.
-- Lightning won nine of last twelve games with Carolina.
-- Blues lost ten of last thirteen games with Colorado.
-- Blue Jackets won last three games with San Jose, outscoring them 16-5.
-- Ducks won 12 of last 14 games against Edmonton.
-- Kings lost six of their last eight games with Dallas.

Back-to-backs
-- Panthers are 1-5 if they played the day/night before. Boston is 2-4.
-- Devils are 3-6 if they played the day/night before.
-- Carolina is 4-1 on road if it played the night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

04/21/13 Predictions

Eastern Conference Quarterfinals
Game #1
MIAMI 109, Milwaukee 93
INDIANA 99, Atlanta 92
Western Conference Quarterfinals
Game #1
OKLAHOMA CITY 113, Houston 101
SAN ANTONIO 107, L.A. Lakers 101

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DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

04/21/13 Predictions

Season: 260-160 (.619)

N.Y. RANGERS 3, New Jersey 2
BOSTON 4, Florida 2
St. Louis 3, COLORADO 2
TAMPA BAY 4, Carolina 3
MINNESOTA 3, Calgary 2
Anaheim vs. EDMONTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SAN JOSE 3, Columbus 2
LOS ANGELES 3, Dallas 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Milwaukee at Miami

The Heat look to open up the playoff series and build on their 9-0 ATS record in their last 9 games against teams with a losing SU record. Miami is the pick (-13) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-13). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, APRIL 21 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 709-710: Atlanta at Indiana (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 114.929; Indiana 123.227 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 181 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 185 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-6 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: LA Lakers at San Antonio (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 120.531; San Antonio 119.550 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1; 192 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 189 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+8 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Milwaukee at Miami (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 111.595; Miami 127.827 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 16; 204 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 13; 199 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-13); Over

Game 715-716: Houston at Oklahoma City (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.932; Oklahoma City 127.556 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8 1/2; 209 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10; 213 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+10); Under

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1021-755 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free winner 10-4 run Sun A's -110

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Atlanta -1.5 -106

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Hondo

MLB WASHINGTON

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Joe Wiz

Won last 4

Sunday Free Play San Diego/San Francisco Under 8

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Today's MLB Picks

Detroit at LA Angels

The Tigers look to salvage a game in the series and build on their 9-1 record in Doug Fister's last 10 starts against teams with a losing record. Detroit is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, APRIL 21 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Washington at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 14.809; NY Mets (Gee) 15.312 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+130); Over

Game 903-904: Miami at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Sanabia) 14.653; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.189 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-240); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+200); Under

Game 905-906: Atlanta at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Medlen) 17.008; Pittsburgh (Sanchez) 15.669 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-185); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-185); Under

Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Feldman) 14.514; Milwaukee (Peralta) 16.429 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); Over

Game 909-910: San Diego at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 15.354; San Francisco (Zito) 16.112 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 9 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 8 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Over

Game 911-912: Arizona at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (McCarthy) 16.522; Colorado (Nicasio) 16.268 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Colorado (-145); 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+125); Under

Game 913-914: St. Louis at Philadelphia (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 15.044; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.598 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-105); Under

Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 15.987; Toronto (Johnson) 14.507 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+120); Over

Game 917-918: Kansas City at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Santana) 15.603; Boston (Dempster) 16.832 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Under

Game 919-920: Oakland at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 16.392; Tampa Bay (Hernandez) 15.407 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-110); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110); Over

Game 921-922: Cleveland at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 14.420; Houston (Bedard) 13.759 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 9 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-110); Over

Game 923-924: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Diamond) 15.991; White Sox (Floyd) 15.265 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-155); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+135); Under

Game 925-926: Seattle at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Harang) 13.954; Texas (Grimm) 15.938 Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Texas (-175); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-175); Under

Game 927-928: Detroit at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 15.269; LA Angels (Wilson) 14.744 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 8 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100); Over

Game 929-930: LA Dodgers at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 13.423; Baltimore (Arrieta) 16.338 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 3; 8 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-105); Under

Game 931-932: Kansas City at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 15.783; Boston (Webster) 15.209 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

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Today's NHL Picks

Columbus at San Jose

The Blue Jackets look to take advantage of a San Jose team that is 3-10 in its last 13 games when playing with 2 days rest. Columbus is the pick (+150) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jackets favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+150). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, APRIL 21 Time Posted 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Florida at Boston (12:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida 9.540; Boston 11.188 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-280); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-280); Under

Game 3-4: New Jersey at NY Rangers (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.872; NY Rangers 11.663 Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-185); 5 Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+165); Over

Game 5-6: Calgary at Minnesota (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.444; Minnesota 11.129 Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-230); 5 Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+190); Under

Game 7-8: Carolina at Tampa Bay (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 9.988; Tampa Bay 10.678 Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7 Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-160); 6 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-160); Over

Game 9-10: St. Louis at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.944; Colorado 10.607 Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-160); 5 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-160); Under

Game 11-12: Columbus at San Jose (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 12.003; San Jose 11.626 Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-170); 5 Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+150); Over

Game 13-14: Anaheim at Edmonton (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 10.268; Edmonton 11.632 Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-120); 5 Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+100); Over

Game 15-16: Dallas at Los Angeles (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.859; Los Angeles 12.017 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-200); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-200); Under