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Champions League Semis
Second Leg Betting Notes
Since the 2003-04 Champions League season, 12 teams have won the first leg by three or more goals, as Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund did last week. Those teams are 8-1-3 in the second leg (67 percent).
The chances of either Barcelona or Real Madrid overturning the deficit is even more remote. In the 138 knockout ties since 2003-04, the only club to advance after losing the first leg by three or more goals is Deportivo La Coruna in 2004. It lost the first leg 4-1 to AC Milan, and won 4-0 at home in the second leg to win the tie 5-4.
Here's the odds and notes for the second leg of the Champions League semifinals:
Real Madrid v Borussia Dortmund -175 +375 +450
* Real Madrid will advance to the final if it wins 3-0. If Real Madrid leads 4-1 on the night after 90 minutes, then the tie will go into extra time, if no goal is scored in extra time, the tie will be decided by penalties. If Dortmund scores twice, Madrid has to score six.
* Dortmund hasn't lost in its last nine matches (8-1-0) in all competitions.
* Dortmund has lost only one match by more than three goals this season, 4-1 to Hamburg in the Bundesliga on Februrary 9.
* Real Madrid has won 17 matches in all competitions by at least three goals, including three Champions League games.
* Dortmund striker Robert Lewandowski, who scored all four goals for Dortmund in the first leg, has scored 21 goals in his last 20 appearances for the club.
* Real Madrid forward Cristiano Ronaldo is fit to play after missing Saturday's 2-1 win against Atletico Madrid with a thigh problem.
Barcelona v Bayern Munich -120 +320 +320
* Barcelona has to beat Bayern Munich by five goals to qualify for the final. A 4-0 Barcelona win after 90 minutes will take the tie to extra time, and if no goal is scored in extra time, the tie will be decided by penalties. If Bayern scores once, Barcelona has to score six goals.
* Barcelona midfielder Sergio Busquetes is in a fitness race to play on Wednesday. He missed Saturday's La Liga game against Athletic Bilbao with a groin problem and did not train on Sunday.
* Bayern Munich has won 10 games in a row and 21 of its last 22 matches in all competitions.
* Barcelona fullback Jordi Alba is suspended for the second leg and defender Javier Mascherano is also expected to miss out. Marc Bartra, who struggled in the first leg, is expected to partner Gerard Pique in the center of defense.
* Barcelona has won 10 games this year in all competitions by four goals.
* Bayern Munich hasn't lost a game in any competition by four goals or more since April 8, 2009. (Barcelona 4 Bayern Munich 0)
Second Leg Betting Notes
Since the 2003-04 Champions League season, 12 teams have won the first leg by three or more goals, as Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund did last week. Those teams are 8-1-3 in the second leg (67 percent).
The chances of either Barcelona or Real Madrid overturning the deficit is even more remote. In the 138 knockout ties since 2003-04, the only club to advance after losing the first leg by three or more goals is Deportivo La Coruna in 2004. It lost the first leg 4-1 to AC Milan, and won 4-0 at home in the second leg to win the tie 5-4.
Here's the odds and notes for the second leg of the Champions League semifinals:
Real Madrid v Borussia Dortmund -175 +375 +450
* Real Madrid will advance to the final if it wins 3-0. If Real Madrid leads 4-1 on the night after 90 minutes, then the tie will go into extra time, if no goal is scored in extra time, the tie will be decided by penalties. If Dortmund scores twice, Madrid has to score six.
* Dortmund hasn't lost in its last nine matches (8-1-0) in all competitions.
* Dortmund has lost only one match by more than three goals this season, 4-1 to Hamburg in the Bundesliga on Februrary 9.
* Real Madrid has won 17 matches in all competitions by at least three goals, including three Champions League games.
* Dortmund striker Robert Lewandowski, who scored all four goals for Dortmund in the first leg, has scored 21 goals in his last 20 appearances for the club.
* Real Madrid forward Cristiano Ronaldo is fit to play after missing Saturday's 2-1 win against Atletico Madrid with a thigh problem.
Barcelona v Bayern Munich -120 +320 +320
* Barcelona has to beat Bayern Munich by five goals to qualify for the final. A 4-0 Barcelona win after 90 minutes will take the tie to extra time, and if no goal is scored in extra time, the tie will be decided by penalties. If Bayern scores once, Barcelona has to score six goals.
* Barcelona midfielder Sergio Busquetes is in a fitness race to play on Wednesday. He missed Saturday's La Liga game against Athletic Bilbao with a groin problem and did not train on Sunday.
* Bayern Munich has won 10 games in a row and 21 of its last 22 matches in all competitions.
* Barcelona fullback Jordi Alba is suspended for the second leg and defender Javier Mascherano is also expected to miss out. Marc Bartra, who struggled in the first leg, is expected to partner Gerard Pique in the center of defense.
* Barcelona has won 10 games this year in all competitions by four goals.
* Bayern Munich hasn't lost a game in any competition by four goals or more since April 8, 2009. (Barcelona 4 Bayern Munich 0)
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