4-30-13

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Stephen Nover | MLB ML - Tuesday, Apr 30 2013 8:10PM
ML 958 MIL (-137) 5Dimes vs 957 PIT double-dime bet

Stephen Nover | NBA Sides - Tuesday, Apr 30 2013 10:35PM
529 MEM 5.0(-110) Hilton vs 530 LAC double-dime bet

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Jimmy Boyd 4/30

3* (MLB) Toronto Bluejays ML +115
3* (MLB) Washington Nationals ML +101
3* (NBA) Denver Nuggets -7.5

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Ats hockey lock club

4 units blues-kings under 5

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Kyle Hunter 3* LAD & Phillies

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PAUL LEINER

1000* Memphis/LA Over 180

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Tampa Bay at Kansas City (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay +115 (moneyline)

The Tampa Bay Rays will get to face their former teammate James Shields for the first time. They will have a pretty good one of their own on the hill with Alex Cobb, who is off of 8.1 innings vs. the Yankees, allowing no runs, and retired 19 of 20 at one point in that game. Cobb has allowed 3 runs or less in 18 of his last 19 starts, dating back to last year. The Royals have faced a soft schedule, but that changes starting tonight, as they enter a stretch of 29 of their next 32 games vs. teams that were over .500 last year. The Rays are 8-2 in Cobb's last 10 starts vs. a winning team, and 7-0 when he takes the ball if they scored 5+ in their previous game. Make the play on Tampa Bay.

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Kevin
MLBPredictions W/writeup

2 UNIT = Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays - RED SOX TO WIN (-127)
Listed Pitchers: Lester vs Morrow
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.57 units)

The Red Sox are 18-7 on the year and 7-2 on the road, while the Blue Jays are 9-17 on the year and 5-8 at home. These two teams met three times in Toronto early in April and the Red Sox won 2 of 3 including the game that Lester started 13-0. Lester is a solid 4-0 on the year with a 2.27 ERA, .214 OBA and 1.11 WHIP. Brandon Morrow will take the mound for Toronto and he is 0-2 on the season through 5 starts with a 5.27 ERA, .292 OBA and 1.54 WHIP. Morrow doesn't look like the pitcher he was last year when he went 10-7 with a 2.96 ERA. In his last start Morrow went 6.1 innings giving up 3 hits and 3 earned runs with 4 strikeouts and 3 walks. As a Toronto fan they have been hard to watch as they sit 28th in the Majors with a .229 batting average and 27th with a team .291 OBP. The Red Sox are 3rd in the MLB with a team batting average of .272 and 2nd with a .347 team OBP. Toronto enters this game losers of 4 straight and 6 of their last 7, while the Red Sox have won 5 straight and 6 of 7. Boston is a perfect 5-0 in Lester's 5 starts, and 7-3 in his last 10 road starts. Toronto is just 1-4 in Morrow's 5 starts, and 7-20 in their last 27 games vs AL East opponents dating back to last season. Take Boston tonight.

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Larry Ness

10* 1st Round G.O.Y. (8-0 NBA run s/Apr 24!)

Los Angeles Clippers

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UEFA Champions league and Europa league semifinal 2. legs.

April 30 Real Madrid -220
May 2 Lissabon Benfica -233
May 2 Chelsea -233

Parlay +197

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The Philly Godfather

MLB Dodgers $100: -132

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Sports Money Profit System

The following is one of our 3 baseball picks tonight.

Take Boston Red Sox on the Money Line (-118) against Toronto Blue Jays risking 3% (Lester and Morrow must start)
The Boston Red Sox missed the playoffs the past two seasons but have come back with a vengeance this year and are right now technically the "best" team in the league so far. The Red Sox own a league best 18-7 record and have won 5 consecutive games! They are 7-3 in their last 10 games, 7-2 on the road this season and they currently have a 3 game lead in the AL East. As a team the Red Sox are hitting .272 with David Ortiz hitting .516, Dustin Pedroia hitting .330, Daniel Nava hitting .310, and Shane Victorino is hitting .292. There isn't a spot in this batting order that isn't capable of producing hits and getting men on base. The Red Sox this season are turning into the Yankees of old as they make teams pay for allowing players on base. Each and every Red Sox batter is a threat to hit it out of the park and the fact that they have already hit 23 home runs as a team supports that.
The Red Sox opponents are hitting just .221 and the Boston pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.39. In seasons past it has been the pitching that has truly let the Red Sox down. Both Clay Buchholz and Jon Lester struggled to find any kind of rhythm last season. This season however, those two have been the stars of the Red Sox pitching rotation. For game one in Toronto the Red Sox start Jon Lester who has been on fire thus far this year. For the season Lester has allowed 25 hits and 8 earned runs while striking out 28 over 31.2 innings for a 2.27 ERA! Tonight Lester will look to join both Buchholz and Tampa's Matt Moore as April's only 5-0 pitchers.
The Blue Jays are a team with a good squad that has struggled to start the season. The Jays have lost four in a row and are just 2-8 in their last 10 games! As a team the Blue Jays are hitting .229 with Melky Cabrera hitting .250, J.P Arencibia hitting .242, and Edwin Encarnacion hitting .227. The Blue Jays opponents are hitting .263 and the Toronto pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.46. Brandon Morrow gets the start for the Jays tonight and Morrow is still looking for his first win of the season. Morrow has allowed 33 hits and 16 earned runs while striking out 19 over 27.1 innings of work for a 0-2 record and a 5.27 ERA so far this season.
Toronto is 7-20 in their last 27 games against the AL East and only 6-18 in their last 24 games as an underdog. Boston on the other hand is 4-0 in their last four road games, 13-3 in their last 16 games overall, and 7-3 in Lester’s last 10 road starts. There is good value backing the Red Sox tonight who I feel are the better team and have the better pitcher.

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Brandon Lang

My 50 Dime seleceion is on the Grizzlies and Clippers Under the total. The current line on this game is 179 1/2 in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best price available.

My 25 Dime selection is on the Warriors over the Nuggets. The current line on the game is +7 1/2 in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best line available

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Gavazzi/PPP

Tuesday, April 30th

MLB

Pittsburgh (McDonald) at Milwaukee (Estrada) (-140) 8:10 PM ET

3% Milwaukee (Estrada) (-140)

Losing streaks are made up of bad handicapping, bad game selection management, bad luck and close losses. We had all of those in abundance in a losing day on Monday which dropped our combined record in MLB and NBA to 85-59 (59%). All selections on this App will be FREE today as I author the huge Bounce Back day using the same type of winning analysis that has been so successful this month.

In this matchup today, we feature a Milwaukee team who has won 7 consecutive home games and has dominated their opponent more than any other on their home field. The Brewers enter tonight with a record of 45-7 on this field vs. the Pirates including 5-0 recently. In fact, they have won 8 consecutive games from the Pirates scoring 59 runs in the process. Pittsburgh is one of the most improved teams in MLB and is on the verge of snapping their 20 year sub .500 record. In no small part, we must credit a bullpen who has a 173 relief index, the best in MLB. They have converted 92% of their save opportunities and have an 81% strand rate. Tonight they send McDonald to the hill, who since reviewing his strike out reel he has pitched 2 of his better games of the year. That includes allowing just 3 runs in a 6-4 victory vs. the Phillies in his last outing. But from this mound, like many other Pirates, he has been a disaster with a 1-3 record and 8.75 ERA in 5 outings at this site. Compare that to Milwaukee starter Estrada who, against the Pirates, is 3-0 with a 1.43 ERA including a 40/3 KBB in 37 2/3 IP. Estrada has pitched well this season including his most recent outing in which he allowed 1 earned run on 5 hits in 6 1/3 IP vs. San Diego. Out of respect for the huge edge the Pirates have in the bullpen, I advise you to make this a 5 inning play.



Boston (Lester) (-120) at Toronto (Morrow) 7:00 PM ET
3% Boston (Lester) (-120)

The Red Sox have the best record in Baseball at 18-7 and are playing that way. They enter tonight on a 5 game win streak and 13-3 recently in which they have averaged 5.1 RPG with a pitching staff that has authored a .221 BAA. Compare that to a Toronto team who returns from a 1-6 road trip in which they were swept by NYY in a 4 game series this weekend. That drops the Toronto record to 9-17 including 5-8 at home. For the season, they have a .229 BA. Morrow will not be the answer tonight. He stands 0-2 for the season with a 5.27 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.28 lifetime ERA vs. Boston. Far prefer the slants of the red hot Lester who is 4-0 with a 2.27 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 28/10 KBB and a record of 6-2 at this site with a 2.13 ERA.


NBA

Golden State at Denver (-8) 8:00 PM ET TNT

2% Golden State +8

Denver entered the Playoffs on a 23-3 regular season run. They had won 24 consecutive home games and now have a record of 39-4 on their home court. But after an Andres Miller layup at the buzzer allowed the Nuggets to emerge with a 97-95 victory in Game #1, it has been all Golden State. Oddly enough that coincides with the loss of one of their best players, Lee. In fact, in the previous 3 years, the Warriors were 3-18 SU without Lee in the starting lineup. But Jarrett Jack and the ability of HC Jackson to mix and match his rotation has made Golden State unstoppable. They have scored 356 points or 118 per game in victories of 14, 2 and 14 points. Curry and Company have been on fire from behind the arc and Bogut has been a beast in the interior. Now it’s up to Denver HC Karl to make the necessary adjustments on a strong home court following 3 consecutive Ls. No doubt that could happen but the percentage side is clearly with Golden State playing the best offensive basketball of anyone in the Playoffs.
Memphis at the LA Clippers (-5-) 10:30 PM ET TNT

2% LA Clippers -5-

3% UNDER 180

We need to go no further than the rebounding numbers to corroborate the fact that the home team is now 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS in this series. The Clippers won the 1st 2 games of the series on this court by outrebounding Memphis 87-61. But when the series switched to Memphis, the Grizzlies owned the boards by a combined count of 91-62. Now the series turns to LA where the Clippers stand 25-13 ATS as home favorite of 4 or more points. The zig-zag is clearly on their side. That’s home teams following exactly 2 losses of double digits, the last being the 20 point loss, are a strong situational play. But this series now looks like it is going to evolve into a half court defensive war. I limit the rating due to the Memphis record of 96-66 ATS as underdog with HC Hollins and recommend a stronger play on the UNDER 180.

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Craig Davis

50 Dime
Memphis/ Clippers OVER

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marc lawrence

3* phillies