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[980] Cleveland Indians -101 vs Philadelphia Phillies
[969] Boston Red Sox -119 vs Toronto Blue Jays
[953] Washington Nationals +101 vs Atlanta Braves
[956] Chicago Cubs -127 vs San Diego Padres
[958] Milwaukee Brewers -143 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
[973] Tampa Bay Rays +121 vs Kansas City Royals
[960] St Louis Cardinals -135 vs Cincinnati Reds
[975] Los Angeles Angels -105 vs Oakland Athletics
[978] Seattle Mariners -103 vs Baltimore Orioles
BIG AL's RARE 5* NBA WINNER - 100%, 11-0 ATS ANGLE!
Game Date/Time: 4/30/13 10:35 pm
Our Selection: Clippers Opponent: Grizzlies Line: -5.5 Rating: 5*
Analysis: At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Memphis. We've had a lot of success in this series, as we've won all three of our plays (Clippers Game 1, Grizzlies Game 2, the 'under' in Game 3). For Game 5, we will take the homestanding Los Angeles Clippers. Memphis swept the two games at "The Grindhouse" with wins by 94-82 and 104-83 scores. That evened up the series at 2 games apiece, and both teams also come into Game 5 with identical 58-28 season records. And one of the things I love to do is play AGAINST .671 (or better) underdogs off 20 point (or greater) home wins, if they also won two games back. These underdogs are a miserable 0-11 SU/ATS since 1991 in the Playoffs! Even more remarkable: all 11 losses were by Double-Digits! This has been a very competitive series the past two seasons in the Playoffs. And in the three games where one of the teams had lost its two previous games, it bounced back to win -- each time by double digits. Further, the Clippers are a super 70% the past two seasons when playing with double revenge from two losses in that season, while the Grizzlies are a poor 38% when going into double revenge the past two years. This year, the Grizzlies have been terrific when priced from -4.5 to +2.5 points (75% ATS), but dreadful when priced from +3 to +5.5 points (33% ATS (and 38% in that situation two years ago)). The Clippers, this season, have played markedly better at home than on the road. But it's also important to filter out Los Angeles' 14-game stretch from January 14 to February 6 when Chris Paul was injured and missed 12 of their 14 games. If one just looks at LA's season when he was healthy, one finds that the Clippers are 51-21 SU, and have a point differential on par with the other top teams in the league (Spurs, Thunder, Heat). The Grizzlies weren't in that class this season. And, when those games are filtered out, one finds that the Clippers were 15-2 SU and 14-3 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -6.5 points, as well as 24-15-1 ATS at home this season. Take the Clippers to blow out Memphis.
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