7-31-13

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GoodFella

Wednesday Afternoon MLB

(2*) SAN DIEGO PADRES RL +1.5
(Stults & Bailey)
Must Start

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STAT PICKS

MLB (totals)

giants/phillies - under 8.5

angels/rangers - over 10.5

WNBA (totals)

liberty/mystics - under 146.5

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Todays Best Bets

(5 UNITS) Pit/Stl - UNDER 7
Betting $565 to win $500

(5 UNITS) Reds
Betting $640 to win $500

(4 UNITS)Sea/Bos - UNDER 8.5
Betting $420 to win $400

(3 UNITS) Rays -1.5
Betting $300 to win $378

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Bankroll Sports

White Sox @ Indians - Over 7.5

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INDIAN COWBOY

WNBA
4* Under 146.5 - New York vs. Washington (7:05pm)

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Hondo

Hondo: Go with Gonzo!

Hondo followed up Monday’s ultra-painful split by getting slammed with Strasburg and the Nats last night in Detroit, which pushed the accounts payable into four figures at 1,065 larys.

Today, Mr. Aitch will tune into Nat Gio and try a 20-unit play on Washington over Kate Upton’s ex. Tonight, he is banking on Bedard and Kuroda to torment their former teams — 20 units apiece on the Astros and Yankees.

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INTPICKS

Wednesday, July 31, 2013

All 1 unit

MLB

7:05 PM ET

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh

Take Pittsburgh Money Line +105

7:05 PM ET

San Francisco @ Philadelphia

Take Philadelphia Money Line -120

*Parlay Alert: Pittsburgh ML & Philadelphia ML (pays +303)

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Cleveland Insider

MLB
2.5* Reds (-130) 325/250

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Goodfella
3* GOM pitt

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William Cross Sports
San Diego under 7

Vip Action
SD over 7

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Joe Gavazzi

MLB

Cincinnati (Bailey) (-120) at San Diego (Stults) 3:40 ET

4% San Diego (Stults) (+110)

The Reds are in an offensive funk losing 5 consecutive games in which they have tallied 5 total runs. They are recently just 3-9 on the road. Bailey is well acquainted with the Reds lack of run support. In fact in his last 8 starts, Bailey is 1-6 with a 4.25 ERA receiving just 1.9 RPG in support. And that includes his no hitter. A poor performance on the road by Bailey would be no surprise. The Reds are 2-9 in road starts by Bailey where he has a 4.52 ERA. That is sharply in contrast to the home performance of Stults. San Diego has won 11/12 recent home starts by Stults including the last 8. For the season from this mound, Stults has a 2.45 ERA with 0.88 WHIP. San Diego is good enough to have a 34-21 run on their resume but bad enough to have losing streaks of 5-15 and 4-18. With 4 consecutive victories, we will ride another positive streak by San Diego on a field where they are 29-23.



Toronto (Dickey) at Oakland (Colon) (-150) 3:35 ET

4% Oakland (Colon) (-150)

Oakland was our only loser last night as they fell to the hot hand of Buehrle. Don’t expect that type of performance from reigning Cy Young winner Dickey. For the season, Dickey is 8-11 with a 4.86 ERA. But in his last 4 starts, Dickey has worked 19 IP with 18 runs allowed and only an 8/6 KBB. In 8 starts against Oakland, Dickey has a 5.65 ERA. Far prefer the Oakland side on this field where the As remain 34-17 and 24-7 recently. A 43-22 run up has been responsible for a 5 game lead on Texas. One of the biggest surprises of the season is the performance of Colon who has reportedly avoided suspension in the Bio Genesis fiasco. Oakland has won 12/13 recent starts by Colon who has YTD numbers of 14-3 with a 2.54 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 77/18 KBB. From this mound this season, the As have won 9/11 Colon starts in which he has a 2.54 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.



Chicago White Sox (Axelrod) at Cleveland (Kluber) (-160) 7:05 ET

4% Cleveland (Kluber) (-160)

Not about to surrender my stance playing on and against the respective momentum of these two teams. The fire sale continues for the Pale Hose who is on a negative run of 16-40 and 1-8. On consecutive nights, Cleveland has come back to win late pushing their recent records to 9-0 on this field, 6-0 in this series and 6-0 overall of late. CWS has dropped the last 6 starts by Axelrod over which span he has worked 27 IP allowing 24 runs. In 10 road starts, CWS is 3-7 behind Axelrod where he has a 5.94 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. Far prefer the resume of Kluber. Cleveland has won 7/9 of his recent starts. In his most recent 3 starts, Kluber has allowed just 4 runs in 18 2/3 IP with a 28/9 KBB in his last 4 outings. From this mound, Kluber has a 2.64 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Ride the momentum of Cleveland.



LA Angels (Williams) at Texas (Perez) (-140) 8:05 ET

3% Texas (Perez) (-140)

The Rangers currently trail Oakland by 5 games for the Division lead after a 16 game span in which they hit just .234 and averaged just 2.50 RPG. But consecutive come-back victories the last 2 nights including a 14 run outburst on Tuesday night signal a buy sign on the Rangers. Well aware that Perez has gone 0-2 his L3 starts with a 9.00 ERA. But Perez has done, by far, his best work from this mound where in 3 starts he has gone 2-1 with a 1.96 ERA. We have been fading Williams with regularity with great results. In his last 5 starts, Williams has allowed a whopping 28 runs in 18 IP with an 11/11 KBB failing to make it to the 6th inning. You can stick a fork in the Angels who are now 14 games back of Oakland courtesy of their most recent 5 game losing streak.



Arizona (Miley) at Tampa Bay (Hellickson) (-170, -1 ½ +125) 7:10 ET

3% Tampa Bay (Hellickson) (-170, -1 ½ +125)

If the Rays could win 5-2 last night following their week away at Boston and NYY behind a complete game for Hernandez, then you know we are going to keep riding this momentum. Tampa Bay has ascended to the best record in the American League holding a ½ game lead on Boston. That is a result of a long term run of 50-25 and July surge that has seen the Rays go 23-4 outscoring foes 137-66. Last night’s win made it 9 straight vs. National League foes. A major reason for the streak has been the fact that Tampa Bay has won 7 consecutive Hellickson starts over which time they have given him an average of 8.0 RPG support. But Hellickson has done his part in going 6-0 with a 2.09 ERA. Only the hot recent pitching of Miley, in which he has recorded a 1.89 ERA his last 5 starts, prevents this from being a higher percentage of bankroll risk. Run line players take note: 49/64 Tampa Bay wins have been by 2 or more runs. Consider part of your action on the run line.

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J.R Stevens/SMOOTH44

ALL ARE TOP-RATED (5-STAR OR 5-UNIT)

(951) CINCINNATI -125/RL -1.5 +135
(963) TORONTO +150/RRL -1.5 +215***ADD***
(975) WASHINGTON +125/RRL -1.5 +200

*Play side and runline/reverse runline equally
"RRL" means "Reverse Runline" or "Alternate Runline

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Chance Lockwood Plays and Daily Chance

Premium Selection(s):

Take Oakland Athletics -152 vs. Toronto Blue Jays ( Double Down Play) 3:35pm start


Take Kansas City Royals -108 vs. Minnesota Twins


"Daily Chance" Card:

Cincinnati -128

Pirates +111

Philadelphia -120

Atlanta -171

Miami -110

Milwaukee +117

Oakland -152

Cleveland -160
Baltimore Run Line -110

Boston -150

Texas -146

Kansas City -108

Detroit -131

Tampa Bay -172

Yankees +168

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Dr. Ed Meyer MLB Money Line Wed, 07/31/13 - 3:40 PM

double-dime bet - 952 SDP (+125) vs 951 CIN

MTi's FORECAST: SAN DIEGO 5 Cincinnati 2

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Sports Pick Online

3:40 pm
25 Units SD PADRES +119ML