8-5-13

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For Canadian Football
6-Unit Play. #424. Take British Columbia -11 over Winnipeg (Monday @ 7:05pm est).


British Columbia has a proud tradition of winning. So, to see them get hammered by a score of 12-38, one of their worst losses in recent franchise history, is shocking to say the least. I like British Columbia to bounce-back after that terrible loss at the hands of Toronto on the road, as prior to that lost, they had covered 3 straight contests, winning 31-21 and 17-3 on a home and home against Edmonton (which is really tough to do, to not only win but to cover in home and homes). Winnipeg has heart but I think they just run into a bad spot against an angry British Columbia team here on Monday Night. Note, that Winnipeg does have a decent offense but they have struggled of late in winning and covering contests. After all, they lost to Calgary 24-37 losing as 5.5 underdogs, losing to Toronto 19-35 as 3.5 point underdogs, and losing to Hamilton 20-25 as 5.5 underdogs (though they did cover that contest). I like British Columbia to get out their anger and frustration here today against a Winnipeg team that might just be running into a difficult storm today. The BC Lions are 5-0 ATS coming off a straight up loss and 4-0 to their credit when facing a team with a straight up losing record.

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Blue Bombers at Lions: What bettors need to know

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at B.C. Lions (-11, 49.5)

A week after naming Justin Goltz their starting quarterback for the remainder of the season, the Winnipeg Blue Bombers face yet more questions under center. Goltz was hurt in his first career start and might not be available as the Blue Bombers try to snap a three-game skid when they visit the BC Lions on Monday. Goltz replaced struggling veteran pivot Buck Pierce, who is suffering from an abdominal injury, meaning that third-string quarterback Max Hall may get a chance to helm Winnipeg’s lacklustre offense.

The Lions' defense had trouble with a backup quarterback last week in a 38-12 road loss to Zach Collaros and the Toronto Argonauts. BC could not contain Toronto’s shifty offense, while quarterback Travis Lulay couldn't manage a touchdown on four separate trips to the red zone as the Lions failed to execute plays on both sides of the ball and saw their three-game winning streak come to an end. The Blue Bombers should not be as difficult for BC to defend, but Lulay will need to regain the form that saw him complete seven touchdown passes in the first four weeks.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (1-4): Winnipeg’s defensive line is no longer as fearsome as it appeared to start the season. Only defensive end Alex Hall and defensive tackle Zach Anderson have sacks in the last two weeks after the team recorded 18 over the first three. Hall leads the team with six sacks. Cornerback Jovon Johnson and defensive back Demond Washington are questionable for Monday’s game, while cornerback Jeremy McGee and defensive back Desia Dunn are expected to return from injury.

ABOUT THE LIONS (3-2): Linebacker Adam Bighill finished with two sacks in his return after missing two weeks with an ankle injury, but missed numerous other opportunities against the mobile Collaros. Running back Andrew Harris has 403 yards and is on pace for a career highs in yardage and touchdowns, while Lulay has added 180 yards on the ground. Slotback Nick Moore has 357 receiving yards - 42 shy of the mark he set last year in his sophomore season.

TRENDS:

* Lions are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
* Blue Bombers are 4-0 ATS in their last four Monday games.
* Under is 6-1 in Lions last seven games in August.
* Under is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in BC.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Max Hall, who started three games at quarterback for the NFL’s Arizona Cardinals in 2010, has yet to run a play in a CFL game.

2. BC has given up five touchdowns in each of its two losses while allowing three total in its three victories.

3. The Lions are 2-0 at home.

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Today's CFL Picks

MONDAY, AUGUST 5
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (8/2)

Game 423-424: Winnipeg at BC (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 106.242; BC 120.398
Dunkel Line: BC by 14; 52
Vegas Line: BC by 11; 48
Dunkel Pick: BC (-11); Over

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Monday's American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's American League games:

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians (+106, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers starter Anibal Sanchez is 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA in his previous two outings.

Cold batting stat: Tigers slugger Prince Fielder is 2-for-12 (.167) in his career versus Indians starter Corey Kluber. One of Fielder's hits has been a home run, however.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of showers in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the high-60s and wind will blow out to left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The Indians are 6-0 in Kluber's last six home starts.


Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros (+180, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Astros lefty Brett Oberholtzer fared quite well in his debut start on July 31. The southpaw tossed seven innings of three-hit ball en route to an 11-0 victory over the Baltimore Orioles.

Cold batting stat: Sox 1B Dustin Pedroia had a rough time at the plate over the weekend. He went 2-for-12 in the three-game set versus the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 5-0 in Lackey's last five road starts.


New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox (+105, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Sox starter Jose Quintana finished July with very respectable numbers. The lefty was 2-1 with a 2.79 ERA in his six July starts.

Hot batting stat: Sox slugger Paul Konerko is 13-for-35 (.371) with two doubles, two homers and 11 RBIs in his career versus Yankees starter Andy Pettitte.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-70s with wind blowing in from right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The White Sox are 7-1 in their last eight home games versus a left-handed starter.


Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals (-167, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Royals starter Jeremy Guthrie is 3-0 with a 3.60 ERA in his last three outings.

Cold batting stat: Royals OF Alex Gordon is 2-for-9 (.222) in his career versus Twins starter Kevin Correia.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the low-90s and wind will blow from right field to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Royals are 15-2 in Guthrie's last 17 home starts.


Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels (-103, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Angels starter Jerome Williams had an atrocious July. The righty finished the month 0-4 with a 9.12 ERA in his six July starts.

Hot batting stat: To say Nelson Cruz has Williams' number would be an understatement. The Rangers' slugger is 11-for-18 (.611) with four homers and 10 RBIs in his career versus the Angels hurler.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny and clear skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Angels are 2-9 in Williams' last 11 home starts.


Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners (-119, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Mariners starter Hisashi Iwakuma went seven innings, giving up five hits and one earned run in an 8-1 victory over the Jays on May 4.

Cold batting stat: Jays 3B Brett Lawrie and OF Colby Rasmus are both 0-for-8 in their careers versus Iwakuma.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Blue Jays are 2-7 in the last nine meetings.


Click here for the National League cheat sheet.

* Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com

** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 7:30 p.m. ET Sunday.

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Monday's National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's National League games:

Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals (OFF, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Pretty solid July numbers for scheduled Dodgers starter Zack Greinke. The righty went 3-1 with a 2.63 ERA in his six July outings. The Dodgers were 5-1 in the games he started.

Cold batting stat: Dodgers 1B Adrian Gonzalez is 3-for-14 (.214) with five strikeouts in his career versus Cards starter Adam Wainwright.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-80s with wind blowing from right field to left field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The Dodgers are 10-1 in their last 11 during Game 1 of a series.


Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals (-132, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Nats starter Stephen Strasburg is coming off a rough outing versus the Detroit Tigers on July 30. The Nats righty last seven innings but gave up five runs on six hits, including one homer, in a 5-1 loss.

Hot batting stat: Braves 2B Dan Uggla has fared well versus Strasburg. Uggla is 11-for-24 (.458) with two doubles, two homers and eight RBIs versus the Nats ace. The Braves roster hits a collective .313 versus Strasburg.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Braves are 8-3 in starter Mike Minor's last 11 road starts.


Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants (-157, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Brewers pitcher Tyler Thornburg is coming off a strong outing in his first start of 2013. The young righty went six innings giving up four hits and no runs in a 3-2 win over the Cubs on July 30.

Cold batting stat: It hasn't been a productive August for Pablo Sandoval. The Giants 3B is 1-for-13 (.077) to start the month.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: The Giants are 3-13 in their last 16 home games.


Click here for the American League cheat sheet.

* Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com

** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 7:36 p.m. ET Sunday.

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bookiemonsters
124-80 run

32-23 run last 55 plays

pod tigers game over 7.5

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MLB Report

August 5

Hot pitchers
-- Minor is 3-1, 1.78 in his last five starts.
-- Greinke is 5-1, 2.73 in his last eight starts.
-- Gaudin is 3-1, 2.38 in his last six starts. Thornburg blanked the Cubs for six innings in his first '13 start; he was 0-9, 5.79 in 15 AAA starts before that.

-- Indians won Kluber's last five home starts (3-0, 2.61). Sanchez is 2-1, 0.95 in his last three starts.
-- Oberholtzer blanked Baltimore for seven innings in his first '13 start.
-- Guthrie is 3-0, 4.00 in his last three starts.
-- Quintana is 2-1, 2.79 in his last six starts.
-- Iwakuma is 3-0, 2.10 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Strasburg is 0-3, 5.63 in his last four starts.
-- Wainwright is 1-1, 4.50 in his last four starts.

-- Lackey is 0-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Correia is 0-3, 7.11 in his last four road starts.
-- Pettitte is 0-3, 4.60 in his last five road starts.
-- Perez is 0-2, 7.25 in his last four starts. Williams is 0-5, 8.29 in his last eight.
-- Dickey is 0-3, 5.81 in his last five starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........

-- Minor 7-22; Strasburg 5-21
-- Greinke 5-17; Wainwright 6-23
-- Thornburg 0-1; Gaudin 3-9 (3 of last 4)

-- Sanchez 5-18 (3 of last 4); Kluber 3-18

-- Lackey 8-19 (6 of last 10); Oberholtzer 0-1
-- Correia 6-21 (0 of last 7); Guthrie 6-22 (1 of last 7)
-- Pettitte 8-19 (6 of last 6); Quintana 8-22
-- Perez 4-9; Williams 5-15
-- Dickey 6-23 (1 of last 11); Iwakuma 5-23 (0 of last 7)

Totals
-- Six of the last seven Atlanta games went over the total; nine of the last twelve Washington road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in the last nine Dodger games.
-- Four of the last five Milwaukee games stayed under the total.

-- Four of the last five Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Five of the last six Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Kansas City's last twelve games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Bronx road games.
-- Nine of the last twelve Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of the last ten Toronto road games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Braves won their last ten games, scoring 66 runs. Washington won four of its last five home games.
-- Dodgers are 31-7 in their last 38 games; they've won 14 in row on road. St Louis won three of last four games, scoring 44 runs.

-- Detroit won 12 of its last 13 games. Indians won ten of their last eleven.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last nine games.
-- Royals won 11 of their last 12 games. Minnesota won its last three games, by a total of four runs.
-- Rangers won six of their last seven games. Angels won three of their last four.
-- Mariners won 12 of their last 19 games.

Cold teams
-- Brewers lost three of their last four games. San Francisco lost 10 of its last 14 games, scoring four runs in the last two games.

-- Houston lost nine of its last eleven games.
-- White Sox lost their last ten games, scoring 19 runs. Bronx lost 11 of their last 17 games.
-- Toronto lost 14 of its last 21 games.

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Tigers-115
Rangers-115

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Today's MLB Picks

LA Dodgers at St. Louis

The Cardinals look to build on their 10-1 record in their last 11 games as a home favorite. St. Louis is the pick (-155) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-155). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, AUGUST 5 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Atlanta at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 16.981; Washington (Strasburg) 14.872 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 8 Vegas Line: Washington (-135); 7 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+115); Over

Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 16.275; St. Louis (Wainwright) 17.772 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-155); 7 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-155); Under

Game 905-906: Milwaukee at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Thornburg) 14.351; San Francisco (Gaudin) 15.770 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-160); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-160); Over

Game 907-908: Detroit at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 16.391; Cleveland (Kluber) 17.464 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-105); Under

Game 909-910: Boston at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 16.167; Houston (Oberholtzer) 13.874 Dunkel Line: Boston by 2 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Boston (-200); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-200); Over

Game 911-912: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 15.913; Kansas City (Guthrie) 15.583 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-175); 9 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+155); Under

Game 913-914: NY Yankees at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.539; White Sox (Quintana) 16.421 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 7 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 8 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+100); Under

Game 915-916: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Perez) 16.585; LA Angels (Williams) 15.147 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 9 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-120); Over

Game 917-918: Toronto at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 15.468; Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.391 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 6 Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 7 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+110); Under

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1074-805 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Mon Yankees -120

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Monday

Seattle -130

BC -11 (CFL)

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Joe Wiz

Free Play Monday Boston/Houston Under 9

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Pirates Sunday.

Monday it's the Cardinals.The deficit is 1308 sirignanos.

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CFL

Week 6

Winnipeg (1-4) @ BCLions (3-2)-- Road team covered all five Bomber games; Winnipeg is 2-0 as road dogs, winning SU at Montreal, losing 25-20 at Hamilton for TiCats' only win. Bombers allowed 38-25-35-37 points in their four losses, 16 in their win. Lions has short week after losing 38-12 in Toronto Tuesday; they're 2-0 as home favorites, winning 24-16 over Toronto, 31-21 vs Edmonton- all three of their wins are by 8+ points. Under is 13-3 in last 16 series games, including last eight played here. Lions won last three series games by 11-17-3 points, streak that started with 34-23 BC win in '11 Grey Cup.