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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369690

    #31
    WINNING POINTS

    MLB
    BEGINNING THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 5
    Boston at N.Y.Yankees (4) 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th
    This is shaping up as a critical series for the Yankees, though overtaking Boston for the AL East crown is unlikely.The team looks more representative now as they pursue a wild-card berth, with key veterans finally back in the lineup. They’ve been very profitable vs. lefthanders in 2013 (+$835 so far) and they’re expected to face both
    Felix Doubront & Jon Lester in the Bronx this weekend.The Red Sox are reasonably comfortable atop the division standings,so there’s less urgency for them to prevail here.
    BEST BET: Yankees vs. lefthanders.

    Chicago W. Sox at Baltimore (4) 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th
    The Orioles averted an ugly sweep in New York last weekend, and they remain very viable in the AL wildcard hunt. They’ve been an offensive juggernaut here at Camden Yards, particularly against righthanders (5.2 runs per game) with a nice overall profit vs. righties in 2013 (+$940). The White Sox enjoyed a decent run in late August, but they’ve resumed their losing ways, suffering a sweep at Fenway Park this past weekend.They’ve been a huge money-burner overall, and their numbers outside of US Cellular are horrendous (only 24-45, -$1605).
    BEST BET: Orioles vs. righthanders.

    Houston at Oakland (4) 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th
    The Astros rank dead last in the AL in both pitching (4.82 ERA) and hitting (.239 team BA) and they are only 3-12 vs. the Athletics in head to head play (+$455). But they’ve come up with a pair of exciting young righthanders in Brett Oberholtzer (+$780, 1.98 ERA in six starts) and Jarred Cosart (+$215, 1.59 in eight starts) who have scored huge profits when posted as heavy underdogs. Both are slated to see action at Oakland this weekend, with the Athletics no doubt posted as prohibitive favorites.
    BEST BET: Oberholtzer/Cosart.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369690

      #32
      PLAYBOOK / MARC LAWRENCE

      NFL
      DENVER over Baltimore by 6
      Here we go again. The kickoff of the 2013 season rematches last season’s
      AFC Division playoff bout, a game in which the Ravens stunned the
      heavily favored Broncos, 38-35 in double overtime, on this fi eld in a
      game that seemed like it was destined to never end. It was setup when
      Baltimore QB Joe Flacco hit Jacoby Jones with a 70-yard strike with
      31-seconds remaining in regulation. The Flacco fl ing forced OT and the
      rest is history, culminating in a Super Bowl win by the Ravens. It was a
      football game that, according to Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh,
      “did football proud.” It also set the table for this lid-lifter. As a result,
      revenge will be fi rst and foremost on the minds of QB Peyton Manning
      and his teammates. The question that begs to be answered is – at what
      price? In a tale of the tape, perhaps herein lie some of the answers. The
      last thirteen defending Super Bowl cham2pions are 12-1 SU and 8-3-2
      ATS in season openers, while the Ravens stand 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in this
      series this century. Furthermore, defending champs are 11-2 ATS as dogs
      of more than 5 points since 1996, including 6-0 ATS the last six (yes, pride
      does play a big factor). On the quarterback front, Manning is 9-3 SU and
      8-4 ATS against the Black Birds. He was riding a 8-0 SUATS win skein in
      Raven rumbles until the playoff faux pas. Manning is also 10-4 SU and 8-5-
      1 ATS in season openers, and 3-1 SUATS in head-to-head contests against
      Flacco. Super Bowl Joe enters 5-0 SUATS in his career in season-opening
      frays and 3-1 SUATS against the Broncos. Flacco is also 2-0 SUATS as a dog
      of 8 or more points, with both victories coming in last year’s playoffs. The
      bottom line is this… when push comes to shove, quality teams taking
      more than a touchdown are an automatic. Denver gets its win. We ring
      the register. Cha-ching!

      CFB
      EAST CAROLINA over Fla Atlantic by 27
      ECU opened the season with a 52-38 win over FBS newbie Old Dominion
      for Captain Ruffi n McNeill but there’s no denying the ol’ Pirate ship
      sprung some serious leaks before game’s end. McNeill was rightly
      concerned that his defense got torpedoed for a whopping 460 total yards
      but even more troublesome was the fact that the hosts gained a mere 41
      rushing yards on 19 carries. Fortunately, ECU QB Shane Carder was dead
      on target throughout the contest, connecting on 46 of 54 passes for 5
      TDs, 447 aerial yards and zero interceptions. The Pirates’ offensive line
      will have a chance to redeem themselves versus a Florida Atlantic rush ‘D’
      that had its doors blown off by Miami Florida last week (Canes rushed for
      303 yards and averaged 8 YPR). In terms of relative team experience, East
      Carolina is defi nitely fi nah. Not only do the Greenville Bucs return the
      2nd-highest number of returning starts for FBS teams this season (355) –
      including 215 from last season – 25 seniors and 24 juniors (50.5% upper
      classmen) dominate the roster of this veteran squad. FAU actually gets
      the better of this matchup in the ATS department: the Owls are 4-1 SUATS
      versus Conference-USA foes, 4-0 ATS away off a road game under HC Carl
      Pelini and 6-1 ATS in their last seven weekday games (compare that to the
      sea bandits’ weak 2-7 SU and 2-6-1 ATS record in Thursday tilts). However,
      despite FAU’s better pointspread numbers, the feeling here is that ECU is
      a team on the come while the Owls may have came and went after their
      clash with big brother UM. And while one would think a possible lookahead
      to a bigger game with Virginia Tech might be a concern, note that
      the Pirates are 6-0 ATS of late in lined games before Hokie hookups. Owls
      get fricasseed for a second straight week.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369690

        #33
        Chicago Syndicate

        Top Plays

        NFL - Ravens

        MLB
        Cardinals/Reds Over 8
        Royals
        Red Sox
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369690

          #34
          LA Syndicate

          Top Plays

          NFL - Ravens

          MLB
          Giants
          Royals
          Rays
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369690

            #35
            KING CREOLE from pregame


            double-dime bet
            451 BAL / 452 DEN OVER 48.0 5dimesAnalysis:
            8:30pm ET - 5:30pm PT / #451-452 / BALTIMORE RAVENS @ DENVER BRONCOS
            2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

            The OU line for Game One of the 2013 NFL season opened at 47 points. As of Tuesday, it was up to 48 to 48.5 points. You'll want to get your play in ASAP as this line figures to RISE by the time they kick it off on Thursday night. And the weather forecast looks great for a Game One SHOOTOUT.

            Game One ‘BLAST OFF’! We’ll be going OVER the Total in the very first game of the season, as the mighty Broncos look for some Playoff revenge against the defending Super Bowl champions. Last year’s game between these two teams totaled a whopping 73 points. And this BALTIMORE / DENVER series has gone 3-0 O/U in the last 3 meetings (57.3 ppg). Denver is laying a sizable amount of points in this game (in addition to the€ high OU Line). At last look, Denver was -7 to -8 points.
            5-0 O/U L4Y: All GAME ONE home favs of -7 > pts (DEN) with an OU line of > 44 points.

            In fact, this combo of a Big spread and Big OU line has led to 89% Overs in every game (not just Week One).
            8-1 O/U s’2007: ALL non-div conference BIG home favs of -7 > pts w/ an OU line of 48 > pts.

            NFL teams who won a LOT of games the previous year have come out BLAZIN’ in their first game.
            10-2 O/U L2Y: All GAME ONE home teams who won 10 > games last season (DEN).

            Next up, we query our NFL database for any OU patterns that might apply for this particular Day of the Week.
            6-1 O/U last 3 years: All THURSDAY non-division games (BAL @ DEN) with an OU line of > 46 points (avg PPG: 61.3!).

            The host Broncos are in the AFC West Division while the Ravens are in the AFC North Division. A HIGH-scoring result is usually the case in these games depending on the site.
            10-2 O/U since 2006: All AFC WEST home favs (DEN) versus any AFC NORTH opponent (BALT).

            From a team-trend perspective:
            The RAVENS went 5-1 O/U last year in ‘expected’ HIGH-scoring games with an OU line of > 47 pts (58.2 ppg). In addition, BALTIMORE is 6-1-1 O/U when priced as BIG dogs of +6 >pts... 4-0-1 O/U away bef BB HG... and 4-1 O/U before playing the Browns.

            DENVER is a perfect 8-0 O/U vs the AFC North... 4-0 O/U as non-div favs of 7 > pts... and 4-1-1 O/U in their first home game of the year.

            Your Game One ‘Mile HIGH’ final score: 34 to 27.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369690

              #36
              Fezzik
              451 balt @ 9; lean ov 48
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369690

                #37
                RTG Sports - Denver Broncos -7.5
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369690

                  #38
                  LA Syndicate Adds NFL Regular Play - Ravens/Broncos Over 48
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369690

                    #39
                    MLB

                    Hot pitchers
                    -- Cingrani is 3-2, 2.41 in his last six starts.
                    -- Cahill is 2-0, 3.22 in his last four outings.

                    -- Guthrie is 1-0, 1.50 in his last couple starts.
                    -- Peavy is 2-1, 1.95 in his last four starts. Nova is 4-0, 2.08 in his last six.
                    -- White Sox won last three Quintana starts (1-0, 3.38).
                    -- Price is 5-1, 2.80 in his last nine starts.
                    -- Gray is 2-0, 0.83 in his three home starts.

                    Cold pitchers
                    -- Lynn is 0-4, 7.45 in his last five starts.
                    -- Vogelsong is 1-0, 2.14 in his last three starts.

                    -- Saunders is 1-3, 7.80 in his last five starts.
                    -- Gonzalez is 0-4, 8.71 in his last six starts.
                    -- Williams is 0-3, 5.53 in his last five starts.
                    -- Peacock is 2-4, 6.34 in his last seven starts.

                    Starting Pitchers/First Inning
                    You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
                    -- Lynn 7-28; Cingrani 4-16
                    -- Cahill 4-20 (0 of last 8); Vogelsong 6-14

                    -- Saunders 9-28; Guthrie 7-28 (1 of last 8)
                    -- Peavy 2-19 (0 of 6 with Bos); Nova 5-15 (1 of last 7)
                    -- Quintana 9-27; Gonzalez 5-26 (1 of last 10)
                    -- Price 6-21 (1 of last 8); Williams 6-20 (1 of last 6)
                    -- Peacock 3-10 (0 of last 4); Gray 2-5

                    Totals
                    -- Seven of last eight St Louis road games went over the total.
                    -- Five of last seven Arizona games stayed under the total.

                    -- Five of last six Seattle games stayed under the total.
                    -- Five of last six Bronx games went over the total.
                    -- Last four White Sox games went over the total.
                    -- Under is 9-4-1 in last fourteen Angel games.
                    -- Seven of last ten Houston games stayed under the total.

                    Hot teams
                    -- Royals won seven of their last nine games.
                    -- Bronx won eleven of its last sixteen games. Red Sox won eight of their last ten games.
                    -- Angels won eight of their last eleven games.
                    -- A's won nine of their last eleven games.

                    Cold teams
                    -- St Louis lost four of its last six games. Reds are 3-6 in their last nine.
                    -- Giants lost ten of their last sixteen games. Arizona lost four of its last six.

                    -- Mariners lost eight of their last twelve games.
                    -- White Sox lost their last four games. Baltimore lost six of last nine.
                    -- Tampa Bay lost eight of its last ten games.
                    -- Houston lost seven of its last ten games.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369690

                      #40
                      bookiemonsters

                      141-93 run

                      17-10-1 run last 28 plays

                      pod white sox game over 8.5
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369690

                        #41
                        Baseball Crusher
                        Boston Red Sox -105 over NY Yanks
                        (System Record: 73-7, lost last 3 games)
                        Overall Record: 73-79-2

                        Football Crusher
                        Denver -7.5 over Baltimore
                        (System Record: 8-0, lost last game)
                        Overall Record: 8-6

                        Soccer Crusher
                        Sao Paulo + Criciuma OVER 2.5
                        This match is happening in Brazil
                        (System Record: 449-15, lost last game)
                        Overall Record: 449-390-59
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369690

                          #42
                          Today's MLB Picks

                          Boston at NY Yankees

                          The Red Sox look to take advantage of a New York team that is 2-6 in Ivan Nova's last 8 starts as an underdog. Boston is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-115). Here are all of today's picks.
                          THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 5
                          Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
                          Game 951-952: St. Louis at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 16.407; Cincinnati (Cingrani) 15.519
                          Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 9
                          Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 8
                          Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+125); Over
                          Game 953-954: Arizona at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 13.558; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.550
                          Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2; 6
                          Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 7
                          Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115); Under
                          Game 955-956: Seattle at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Saunders) 15.675; Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.547
                          Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 10
                          Vegas Line: Kansas City (-160); 9
                          Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+140); Over
                          Game 957-958: Boston at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Peavy) 17.065; NY Yankees (Nova) 15.509
                          Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 7
                          Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 8 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick: Boston (-115); Under
                          Game 959-960: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 14.981; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 16.387
                          Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
                          Vegas Line: Baltimore (-165); 9
                          Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-165); Under
                          Game 961-962: Tampa Bay at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.362; LA Angels (Williams) 16.359
                          Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
                          Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 7 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+155); Over
                          Game 963-964: Houston at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Peacock) 13.688; Oakland (Gray) 16.049
                          Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 6
                          Vegas Line: Oakland (-260); 7 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-260); Under
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369690

                            #43
                            Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

                            Our Free Plays are 1090-821(57% +)over the last 5 1/2 years !

                            Free winner Thurs Balt -165
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369690

                              #44
                              Gamblers Data

                              Free Play Thursday

                              Reds -145
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369690

                                #45
                                Cappers Access

                                Broncos -7.5
                                Orioles(RL) -1.5(+125)
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