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Big Thursday card has 5* 100% NFL Power System The. MLB Card has Big N.L. West total from 15-1 Totals system and a Triple system play in the Boston at NY Game. NFL is 44 Games over .500 the last 4 seasons combined and MLB Totals cashing 77% the last 2 months. Free MLB Power system Play below.
On Thursday the Free MLB power system play is on the Baltimore Orioles. Game 960 at 7:05 eastern. Baltimore has won 8 of the last 10 here at home and Chicago qualifies in a solid league wide system that has won 11 of 12 times and plays on home favorites at -140 or higher that are off a road dog loss by 2 or more runs and scored 4 or less runs, vs an opponent off a road dog loss and scored 5 or more runs. Baltimore starter Gonazelz is 8-2 at home and Chicago starter Quintana allowed 5 runs in 3+ innings in his lone start here in Baltimore. The Orioles are 6-1 at home off a road loss and scored 4 or less runs and 12-4 on Thursday. Chicago is 7-18 as a road dog from +125 to +150 and have lost 7 of the last 8 on the road off a 1 run road loss. Look for Baltimore to win this one. On Thursday we have a Solid card with a 5* NFL play from a 100% System pertaining to opening games. NFL is 44 games over 500 the last 4 seasons. MLB Totals are cashing 77% the last 2 months and tonight we have a 15-1 NL. West System total as well as a Triple system Winner in the Boston at New York game. Jump on now as we start there NFL Season off big and keep cashing in MLB. For the free play take Baltimore. GC
Pick: Your pick will be graded at WilliamHill @ -7 -120 Denver
Expert: Ben Burns
Evaluation: Sep 5 - 8:30 PM
Reason For Pick:
I'm playing on DENVER. 9* main event
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds
Take: Cincinnati Reds -136
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds will finish off a 4 game series in Cincinnati on Thursday night. The Reds won the first two games of this series before the Cardinals won 5-4 in 16 innings last night. The Reds need this game far more than the Cardinals do, and the matchup is great for them. Tony Cingrani is one of the best young pitchers in baseball, and the Cardinals have struggled all year against left-handed pitching. Lance Lynn started the season well, but he has worn down of late. Lynn has allowed at least 4 runs in each of this last 4 starts. He has a 5.49 ERA on the road this year. The Cardinals are 1-10 in their last 11 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Reds are 10-3 in their last 13 games following a loss. Take Cincinnati here
What a great extra inning game last night won by the Cardinals as a backup player stole the show. The Reds are now in desperation mode and need to win this game with their left hander on the mound. Cingrani is the better pitcher this year and the Cardinals have not hit the ball that great as of late and really struggle against lefties. If the Reds lose this you can stick a fork in them. Take Cincinnati.
Seattle @ KANSAS CITY
Seattle +154 over KANSAS CITY
2:10 PM EST. Joe Saunders goes for the Mariners here and we’re not going to sugarcoat this and say that Saunders has a chance to thrive because he rarely does. Saunders will never be above average as long as he has to face righties because of a staggering OPS split against righties and lefties (.451 vL, .849 vR). Our interest level in Saunders remains tepid at best but this has nothing to do with him.
The day we refuse a take-back of more than 7½-5 against Jeremy Guthrie versus anyone not named Houston or Miami, is the day we quit betting on baseball. No question the Royals can win this one but with Guthrie starting, so can the M’s. In 211 games started in his career, Guthrie has a 68-87 record with a BAA of .265. In other wins, he wins about once every three starts. That career BA against of .265 has been surpassed this season with a BAA of .282. Outside of Guthrie’s 4.08 ERA, his skills and numbers across the board are worse this year than they’ve ever been. So, yeah, Joe Saunders is a stiff but so is Guthrie and Saunders isn’t the one laying a ridiculous price. Overlay.
Our Pick
Seattle +154 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.08)
Arizona @ SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona +100 over SAN FRANCISCO
Trevor Cahill labored through five innings against the Pirates on August 17 but that was his first game back after spending nearly two months on the DL with a hip contusion. While on the mend, Cahill worked on his mechanics with particular focus on the location of his sinker and the results have been outstanding. In three games since his start against the Pirates, Cahill has faced the Philly and Cincinnati on the road and these same Giants back at Chase Field. That’s three games at three hitter’s park and all Cahill did was allow four earned runs in 17 innings for an ERA of 2.08. Was his new sinker working? Cahill already had an elite groundball rate of 55% before he was injured but since his return that GB rate has increased to 64% and in his last start it was 70%. Fresh and in the midst of a Wild Card chase, Cahill definitely offers up more than his counterpart here, Ryan Vogelsong.
Vogelsong has made five starts now after missing a significant amount of time this season with a broken hand. Many will look at his 2.93 ERA and 1.27 WHIP since returning and think he may be rounding into shape, but a quick glance at his 4.44 xERA in that time suggests otherwise. Vogelsong’s batted ball profile of 38%/27%/35% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball since returning reveals some trouble and so does his 80% strand rate over those five starts. Additionally, Vogelsong has had trouble against the Diamondbacks, as current Snakes have 34 hits in 101 career AB’s for a BA of .301 against him. Vogelsong’s numbers since returning are misleading while Trevor Cahill’s are at the other end of that spectrum. That calls for a wager.
Our Pick
Arizona +100 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.00)
St. Louis @ CINCINNATI
St. Louis +125 over CINCINNATI
Tony Cingrani is scheduled to return from the disabled list here after leaving his last start on August 20 with a lower back strain. He returns to face a tough challenge in the Cardinals, who have the best road offense in MLB, where they average 5.0 runs per game. Cingrani only lasted five inning against the Cardinals on August 3 after allowing three runs, walking five and needing 103 pitches to get through those five frames. The helpful combination of a 24% hit rate and 80% strand rate have helped his surface stats look very good but beware of overvaluing him based upon those percentages. Cingrani has a ton of upside but he’s still green and he’s not close to being as good as his 2.76 ERA suggests. Not yet anyway. That said, this one is more about backing Lance Lynn and the Cardinals at a price than it is about fading Cingrani.
Lynn’s 6.83 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in August might leave bad taste in the mouths of most but don't follow suit. Interestingly enough, Lynn did the exact same thing last August when he posted a 6+ ERA and 1.92 ERA in August. Last year, Lynn rebounded with elite September and he figures to repeat that as well. Lynn’s strikeout rate and command trends confirm that there's plenty more growth on the horizon. He continues to be unhittable vs. righties and it's scary to think that Lynn has even more upside than he's currently showing, but it's true. His 50% August strand rate was on the extreme side of unlucky but an elite 61% groundball rate tells us that a ton of groundballs found holes in the infield. Lynn has 162 K’s in 172 innings and he’s not showing signs of fatigue. As a decent priced dog pitching for the always dangerous Cardinals, it’s a combo that is well worth a wager.
Our Pick
St. Louis +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)
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