9-16-13

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB LA ANGELS at OAKLAND

Play Against - Road teams (LA ANGELS) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start
322-190 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.9% 95.4 units )
71-50 this year. ( 58.7% 10.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB LA DODGERS at ARIZONA

ARIZONA is 20-8 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive overs this season.

The average score was: ARIZONA (4.6) , OPPONENT (3.4)

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee lost on Sunday with one of the "Chalkest" games on the board the Braves -$210/Padres.

For Monday "Mr Chalk" is going with the second "Chalkest" game on the board the Tigers -$200/Mariners.

"Mr Chalk" is 96-60 +$272 for the 2013 MLB season.

Ben lee likes Liverpool +$120/Swansea City for $50 also $50 on a Draw +$240.

[golden contender]

GC: MLB Power System Play

Monday night football Total of the Month has 3 Perfect angles that are 23-0 and a 15-1 totals system. I'm MLB we have Never lost totals systems that date to 2004 in the Late A.L. West game. We look to carry a big weekend into the new week. NFL is 35 games over. 500 the last 3+ seasons and CASHED BIG on Sunday. Free MLB System Play below.

On Monday the free MLB System Play is on the K.C Royals. Game 918 at 8:10 eastern. KC fits a nice system direct from the database that has won 10 off times. We want to play on Home favorites in this range that are off a 1 run road dog loss if they scored 2 or less runs and no more than 1 error, and they are playing an opponent that scored 5 or more runs in a road win. The Royals lost a close 3-2 game to Detroit, while Cleveland coasted to a blowout win In Chicago to set this system up. KC has J. Shields going and he has better numbers than Cleveland starter S. Kazmir. This game is a right back rematch for both starters as these 2 hooked up last Tuesday in a 6-2 Royals win. Different venue, same result. Take KC tonight. On Monday night to start the week big as we come another Solid week in Football. Tonight we have a 15-1 totals system its the Monday night NFL Total of the Month, there are 3 prefect Angles that combine to go 23-0 in this game. In MLB we have 2 Never lost MLB Totals systems in the late A.L. West game. MLB Totals are cashing over 75% the last 10 weeks. Mesage me to Jump on now and start it right. For the Free Play take Kansas City. GC

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CHRIS JORDAN

300 D-Backs (action)

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RICH SPORTS

3* 223 Pittsburgh Steelers +7

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Paul Leiner

100* Rays -140

50* Nationals -110

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Fezzik's Focus

NFL

UNDER 41 - Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati

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Hondo

tex (mlb)

pitt (nfl)

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Atlanta at Washington (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Atlanta +101 (moneyline) at 5Dimes

Washington has made a gallant late season run to get within 4.5 games of the final NL wildcard slot, but with just 13 left to play, they are likely out of time, especially with Cincinnati playing Houston now. Dan Haren has been their worst option on the mound all season as he is 9-12 with an ERA over five. Mike Minor has added depth to the Atlanta rotation, and his 13-7 record with a stellar 3.15 ERA has helped keep the Braves on top in the NL East all season long. He has been superb pitching vs. a winning team, where the Braves own a 12-2 record in his last 14 starts against them. The Nats have suffered against the good teams at home where they are a telling 1-9 in their last 10 here vs. a winning club. The Braves are 16-5 in their last 21 here, including seven straight wins. Play on Atlanta.

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Sportswagers
Seattle @ DETROIT

DETROIT -1½ +102 over Seattle


Current Mariners have seven hits in 59 career AB’s against Rick Porcello for a combined BA of .119. Porcello is an adjustment or two away from being one of the premier pitchers in the league because he’s dominating against right-handed bats and he’s dominating with the bases empty. Porcello has one of the best groundball rates in the majors at 56% and against righties that rate goes up to 62%. Everything in Porcello’s profile is trending the right way including an uptick in strikeouts. Seattle has dropped six of its past seven games and has scored two runs or less in five of those. Even if Porcello has an average outing, it’s not going to matter because Joe Saunders is likely to get slaughtered here. Saunders can’t get righties out. He has a staggering OPS split of .462 vL, .901 vR. In his last start against a heavy Houston right-handed batting line-up, Saunders lasted three innings and surrendered 7 hits and six earned runs. Over his last 25 innings, Saunders has been tagged for 43 hits with five of them leaving the yard. It gets worse. On the season, Joe Saunders has a BAA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.63. Both those numbers (WHIP & BAA) are the worst in the majors among starters with at least 50 innings pitched this season. Saunders also has just 95 K’s in 170 innings and he makes Barry Zito look like Clayton Kershaw. What chance does Saunders have against the league’s best offense? Well, current Tigers have 34 hits in 95 career AB’s against Saunders for a BA of .358, a SLG% of .516 and an OPS of .918. Kirk Douglas could match those numbers.

Our Pick
DETROIT -1½ +102 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.04)

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Ats insiders club

Pittsburgh /Cincinnati under 41

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Kevin
MLB prediction

Detroit over Seattle: hendikep -1.5 (2 unit)

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Johnny Serrone

Steelers +7
Braves
Twins

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Northcoast

2* Pitt +6.5
marquee under 41

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NFL odds: Week 3 opening line report

Oddsmakers are spreading it on thick in Week 3 of the NFL season, thanks to some lopsided matchups on schedule.

The NFL’s top two teams – Denver and Seattle – take on two of its worst – Oakland and Jacksonville – forcing oddsmakers to pile on the points. The Broncos opened as high as -16.5 hosting the Raiders Monday night while the Seahawks are as high as -20 welcoming the Jaguars to CenturyLink Field Sunday.

“These numbers are made to keep the games equal,” Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based service The Sports Club, tells Covers. “You treat them just like any other game on the schedule. They just are what they are.”

Double-digit spreads are rare in the parity of the NFL, and two-touchdown chalk is like finding two prizes inside a box of cereal. But getting an NFL spread in the 20-point range is like seeing Big Foot riding a Unicorn through the Lost City of Atlantis. It’s pretty rare.

The 2011 Indianapolis Colts were 20.5-point underdogs visiting the New England Patriots in Week 13 of that season. The Manning-less Colts put up a good fight, losing 31-24 with QB Dan Orlovsky at the helm.

“At this level of points, it will reduce some of the money on this game because people won’t want to get involved,” says Korner, who originally sent out Jacksonville as a suggested 16-point underdog. “I think people will take Jacksonville on a flyer and hope they get a touchdown or two.”

As for the Oakland-Denver matchup, early action has actually taken this spread down a bit, dropping the line from Broncos -16.5 to -14 as of Monday morning. Denver has been impressive in its first two wins, blowing out the Ravens and Giants, while Oakland narrowly lost to the Colts in Week 1 and defeated the Jaguars this past Sunday.

“We’re sending this out trying to overcompensate for the favorite,” says Korner, who sent out a suggested line of Denver 16. “What has Denver done to make us think they won’t play Oakland any different? They’ve done everything right and have clobbered their first two opponents. What’s not to like about Denver.”

“I don’t know how this made it to a Monday Night Football game,” he says. “An old rivalry like this isn’t going to attract people with the way things are going. But having a pointspread on a game like this will attract people. Even if it is this big.”

Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 50)

The return of the Walrus - goo goo g'joob - headlines the Thursday nighter, with new Chiefs coach Andy Reid coming back to Philadelphia.

Korner says that while the Eagles are running a different offense and defense, Reid still knows their players better than any coach in the league. He had his oddsmakers suggesting this spread as low as Philadelphia -1.5 before sending out Eagles -3.

“You have to figure Kansas City has the edge,” he says. “There is an incentive for Kansas City’s players to play for their coach. That’s worth more than the Eagles playing against one man. The Chiefs look strong and have a great shot of winning this game. They're something new and more of a mystery to Philadelphia. I don’t see it going to -3.5.”

Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins (-1, 44)

Oddsmakers are buying into Miami’s 2-0 start to the season, making them home favorites against the Falcons Sunday. The Dolphins knocked off Indianapolis on the road in Week 2 and Korner admits he wasn’t giving Miami much credit to start the season.

“We had it around -2.5 for Miami,” he says. “Atlanta is a capable team but they match up well against each other. You’re basically looking at home-field advantage with this one. (The Dolphins) kind of snuck up on me. My thoughts are much different now.”