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GoSooners 2013 CFB Picks-Week 12 YTD: 34-26 (+3.75 Units)
1 Unit Oklahoma -23.5 (-110)
1 Unit Kansas +7 (-110)
1 Unit Wisconsin/Indiana over 69 (-110)
1 Unit Kentucky +13 (-120)
Oklahoma -23.5
Stoops has a pretty good ATS record coming off a loss. Especially an embarrassing loss. I expect much of the same this week with a very hapless ISU team coming to town who has been seriously depleted by injuries on both sides of the ball, especially offense. They’ll be without their starting QB Richardson this week after getting injured against TCU. He was their one lone QB who was good in the passing game. The problem is that ISU was having trouble scoring even when Richardson was healthy. Mainly because almost their entire OL has been lost due to injuries. Granted OU looked horrible on offense last week. But Baylor’s defense could be the best in the Big 12 behind TCU. ISU doesn’t have that kind of personnel. It’s why before they played an offensive challenged TCU last week that they had given up 41, 58, 71 & 42 in their 4 previous games. An angry OU team should get pretty close to those numbers since they were able to score 38 & 34 against statistically better defenses in their two previous games before Baylor. QB Bell gets back on track and OU covers the number 42-10
Kansas +7
WV on their third road game in the last 4 weeks. And these aren’t normal road games. This team puts in a lot of air miles to get to the far outposts of the Big 12. They are also coming off a very hard fought 60 minute game with Texas in which they had the lead and then lost it in the closing minutes. It’s very tough to come back off emotional come from ahead losses like that and then have to go on the road and cover as favorites. It’s what we used to call a “Rubberband” game because these teams were usually money burners as faves the next week. Especially after they’ve lost their starting QB. Kansas defense has come together better and his has been playing decent of late against the better teams of the Big 12. Weis also might have found his QB with freshman Cozart, who accounted himself pretty well in coming in cold in their game in Stillwater last week against a much better defense than he’ll be facing this week. In fact WV giving up 30+ points a game this season. It’s a difficult task for these kinds of teams to cover over a TD on the road. I like WV much better as dogs. But as faves they are money burners (0-2 ATS this season). Give me the home dog with the little better defense.
Wisky/Indiana over 69
Indiana absolutely horrible on defense on the road. Against two offensively challenged teams MSU and Michigan they’ve given up 42 and 63 points. And even mediocre offenses like Minny and Illinois have put up 42 & 35 on them the last two weeks. Indy leaking oil badly on D. Wisky should score at least up in the high 40′s and probably the 50′s or more in this game. Indy has scored at least 39 against every Big 10 team not named Michigan State (28). This should be a shootout with Wisky doing most of the shooting 56-31
Kentucky +13
My numbers on these two teams are very close. That alone makes me lean to UK. Also Vandy coming off one of their biggest road victories in the history of their program calls for what will probably be at the very least a slight letdown. But I don’t think it will matter either way. Two weeks ago we wouldn’t have seen a 2 TD line between these two teams. Vandy also shouldn’t count on UK handing them 4 turnovers like Florida did, while playing a flawless game themselves. That’s tough to do 2 games in a row. I like UK. Given their track record in their previous two road games this season, I think they are very capable of pulling the outright upset.
1 Unit Oklahoma -23.5 (-110)
1 Unit Kansas +7 (-110)
1 Unit Wisconsin/Indiana over 69 (-110)
1 Unit Kentucky +13 (-120)
Oklahoma -23.5
Stoops has a pretty good ATS record coming off a loss. Especially an embarrassing loss. I expect much of the same this week with a very hapless ISU team coming to town who has been seriously depleted by injuries on both sides of the ball, especially offense. They’ll be without their starting QB Richardson this week after getting injured against TCU. He was their one lone QB who was good in the passing game. The problem is that ISU was having trouble scoring even when Richardson was healthy. Mainly because almost their entire OL has been lost due to injuries. Granted OU looked horrible on offense last week. But Baylor’s defense could be the best in the Big 12 behind TCU. ISU doesn’t have that kind of personnel. It’s why before they played an offensive challenged TCU last week that they had given up 41, 58, 71 & 42 in their 4 previous games. An angry OU team should get pretty close to those numbers since they were able to score 38 & 34 against statistically better defenses in their two previous games before Baylor. QB Bell gets back on track and OU covers the number 42-10
Kansas +7
WV on their third road game in the last 4 weeks. And these aren’t normal road games. This team puts in a lot of air miles to get to the far outposts of the Big 12. They are also coming off a very hard fought 60 minute game with Texas in which they had the lead and then lost it in the closing minutes. It’s very tough to come back off emotional come from ahead losses like that and then have to go on the road and cover as favorites. It’s what we used to call a “Rubberband” game because these teams were usually money burners as faves the next week. Especially after they’ve lost their starting QB. Kansas defense has come together better and his has been playing decent of late against the better teams of the Big 12. Weis also might have found his QB with freshman Cozart, who accounted himself pretty well in coming in cold in their game in Stillwater last week against a much better defense than he’ll be facing this week. In fact WV giving up 30+ points a game this season. It’s a difficult task for these kinds of teams to cover over a TD on the road. I like WV much better as dogs. But as faves they are money burners (0-2 ATS this season). Give me the home dog with the little better defense.
Wisky/Indiana over 69
Indiana absolutely horrible on defense on the road. Against two offensively challenged teams MSU and Michigan they’ve given up 42 and 63 points. And even mediocre offenses like Minny and Illinois have put up 42 & 35 on them the last two weeks. Indy leaking oil badly on D. Wisky should score at least up in the high 40′s and probably the 50′s or more in this game. Indy has scored at least 39 against every Big 10 team not named Michigan State (28). This should be a shootout with Wisky doing most of the shooting 56-31
Kentucky +13
My numbers on these two teams are very close. That alone makes me lean to UK. Also Vandy coming off one of their biggest road victories in the history of their program calls for what will probably be at the very least a slight letdown. But I don’t think it will matter either way. Two weeks ago we wouldn’t have seen a 2 TD line between these two teams. Vandy also shouldn’t count on UK handing them 4 turnovers like Florida did, while playing a flawless game themselves. That’s tough to do 2 games in a row. I like UK. Given their track record in their previous two road games this season, I think they are very capable of pulling the outright upset.
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