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OC Dooley:“1 UNIT” SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SIDE (Broncos -7’ at home versus Chiefs in an 8:30 eastern kickoff): The originally scheduled matchup in NBC’s coveted primetime slot as supposed to be a battle between Aaron Rodgers and Eli Manning. But due in part to major Green Bay injuries along with a slow start for New York, the network for the first time this campaign has exercised its “flexible” scheduling. NBC’s decision to choose tonight’s matchup was easy as Denver superstar Peyton Manning (33 touchdown passes) is an instant ratings grabber and he will attempt to hand undefeated Kansas City their first setback. While the Chiefs have made one of the biggest single-season turnarounds in league history, they have benefitted from a “soft” schedule. Arguably the worst thing that can happen for an undefeated side is to have a Bye-Week which slows momentum. I am aware that Kansas City head coach Andy Reid has been virtually automatic following a bye-week (13-1) but that incredible record was compiled in Philadelphia. In a strange sense the oddsmakers have made a loud statement this evening by casting Peyton Manning and company as more than a touchdown favorite even though they are 5-0 at HOME with an average win margin of 22 points per game. In what is going to be cold conditions Peyton Manning is battling a painful high ankle sprain which has been caused by offensive line difficulties (sacked 8 times in the past three games). This evening a “limited” Manning will be facing a top-rated Chiefs defense that not only excels in the sacks category, they have held every opponent to 17-or-less points. The mark of a “true” championship team is to win games in any setting including a potentially low-scoring affair. The bottom line is that Denver has COVERED the spread at a 9-2 clip the past two years when cast as a HOME favorite. One of those “spot” setbacks came earlier against winless Jacksonville, but the Broncos arguably are not a victim of over-pricing this evening
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