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Ben Burns' EARLY Turkey Day 10* O/U NFL Thursday BLUE CHIP! (75% L4 Years!)
I'm playing on Oakland and Dallas to finish UNDER the total. These teams last met on Thanksgiving Day, back in 2009. That game was low-scoring in nature, the Cowboys winning by a score of 24-9. While many of the faces are now different, I look for this year's contest to also prove lower-scoring than many are expecting. The O/U line is in the high 40s, the highest the Raiders have seen since they faced the Broncos back in September. I believe its generously high. Although Dallas has been involved in some aerial shootouts, I expect to see a fairly large amount of running in this game. That should help to keep the clock moving. McGloin has been respectable and is expected to again get the call. Note that he may again be without Denarius Moore. Either way, the Raiders are still primarily a run-first team though. Their 28.7 rushing attempts per game ranks 12th in the NFL, a couple of extra runs per game than the league average of 26.9. Facing a Dallas defense which has been somewhat vulnerable against the run, I expect a heavy dose of the ground game from the Raiders here. Admittedly, the Cowboys haven't run the ball nearly as often as Oakland - as they rank near the bottom of the league in rushing attempts per game. The ground game got going last week though and the Raiders haven't been very good at stopping opposing backs, when playing away from Oakland. The Cowboys have seen four of their last six games produce 50 or fewer points. The Raiders have seen seven of their last eight games finish with 51 or less, six of those finishing with 44 or less. When its all said and done, I look for this one to also finish at or below that important 44 mark. 10*
I'm playing on Oakland and Dallas to finish UNDER the total. These teams last met on Thanksgiving Day, back in 2009. That game was low-scoring in nature, the Cowboys winning by a score of 24-9. While many of the faces are now different, I look for this year's contest to also prove lower-scoring than many are expecting. The O/U line is in the high 40s, the highest the Raiders have seen since they faced the Broncos back in September. I believe its generously high. Although Dallas has been involved in some aerial shootouts, I expect to see a fairly large amount of running in this game. That should help to keep the clock moving. McGloin has been respectable and is expected to again get the call. Note that he may again be without Denarius Moore. Either way, the Raiders are still primarily a run-first team though. Their 28.7 rushing attempts per game ranks 12th in the NFL, a couple of extra runs per game than the league average of 26.9. Facing a Dallas defense which has been somewhat vulnerable against the run, I expect a heavy dose of the ground game from the Raiders here. Admittedly, the Cowboys haven't run the ball nearly as often as Oakland - as they rank near the bottom of the league in rushing attempts per game. The ground game got going last week though and the Raiders haven't been very good at stopping opposing backs, when playing away from Oakland. The Cowboys have seen four of their last six games produce 50 or fewer points. The Raiders have seen seven of their last eight games finish with 51 or less, six of those finishing with 44 or less. When its all said and done, I look for this one to also finish at or below that important 44 mark. 10*
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