11-28-13

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Diamond Dog Sports

NCAA Basketball 11-18-2 (-5.16u))

#804 Washington St +4.5 -110 (C)
#821 College of Charleston +8.0 -110 (B)


NCAA Football
54 - 41 - 2 (+9.25u)


Under Texas 66.5 -105 (A)


NFL Football
34 - 22 - 3 (+9.20u)


Under Lions 49.0 -110 (B)

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Right Side Value Plays

Baltimore

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Mighty Quinn

Packers +6
Cowboys -9
Pitt + 3

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Football Sack

Packers vs Lions OVER 49.5 ($2,000) TOP PLAY OF THE WEEK

Pittsburgh Steelers +3 ($500) WE MAY MAKE THIS A TOP PLAY AS WELL, WAITING TO SEE WHERE THE LINE TAKES US COME THURSDAY.

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goodfella

2* Baltimore

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Doc Sports

NCAA 2* Butler

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From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET

STATFOX FORECASTER
PITTSBURGH (307) AT BALTIMORE (308)
Latest Line: Baltimore -3.0; Total:40.5

A bitter rivalry resumes Thanksgiving night when the Ravens host the red-hot Steelers. Pittsburgh has won three straight games by double-digits (13.0 PPG margin), producing a +7 turnover margin during the surge. Baltimore has won three straight ATS (2-1 SU), holding the Jets to 220 total yards in last week's 19-3 win. The Steelers kicked a last-second field goal to win 19-16 in their Week 7 meeting, making this series an even 9-9 SU (8-8-2 ATS) in the past 18 matchups. Since 2009, Ravens QB Joe Flacco has 12 TD passes and just 4 INT in this series, while Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger has only 7 TD and 6 INT.
Forecaster: Baltimore 22, Pittsburgh 19


STATFOX FORECASTER
TEXAS TECH (309) AT TEXAS (310)
Latest Line: Texas -4.5; Total:66.0

The slumping Red Raiders come to Austin Thanksgiving night to face a Texas team that's beaten them four times in a row SU and three times in a row ATS. Tech has allowed 50.5 PPG during its four-game losing streak and turned it over 12 times. Both teams had last week off, and Texas is recovering from a 38-13 loss to Oklahoma State at home in its last game. When the teams met last November in Lubbock, Texas won 31-22 behind QB David Ash's three TD passes. Ash (concussion) is still out indefinitely.
Forecaster: Texas 34, Texas Tech 33

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Totals 4 You Regular Service Selections for Thursday, November 28th
2013 Thanksgiving Day NFL Triple Lock Parlay!!!!!
Green Bay/Detroit under 48 1/2
Oakland/Dallas under 47 1/2
Pittsburgh/Baltimore under 41
College Football Best BetsTexas Tech/Texas over 66
Mississippi/Mississippi State over 53 1/2

Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!

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From Platinum Plays.

500K Turkey Day Massacre
the Dallas Cowboys -9½ Over
the Oakland Raiders
Best Bets
the Detroit Lions -6 Over
the Green Bay Packers
the Pittsburgh Steelers +3 Over
the Baltimore Ravens
the Texas Tech Red Raiders +4½ Over
the Texas Longhorns
the Mississippi Rebels -3 Over
the Mississippi St Bulldogs

PREMIER PICK
the Green Bay/Detroit Game OVER
the Total Of 50 Points
Back After 11:00PM Thursday

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Football Crusher
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 over Baltimore
(System Record: 39-3, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 39-37-1

Hockey Crusher
Vancouver Canucks + Ottawa Senators UNDER 5.5
(System Record: 30-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 30-18

Basketball Crusher
Arizona State +1.5 over Creighton
(System Record: 12-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 12-19-1

Here are the rest of his hockey and basketball plays for today...

Hockey
Vancouver Canucks -107 over Ottawa
Nashville -133 over Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers + Nashville UNDER 5.5

Basketball
UCLA -13.5 over Nevada
Siena +18.5 over Memphis
Washington State +3 over Butler

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB UCLA at NEVADA
Play On - Favorites of 10 or more points (UCLA) off 3 or more consecutive home wins, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season
54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% 28.7 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )

CBB MARQUETTE at CS-FULLERTON
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (CS-FULLERTON) good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an excellent defensive team (<=40%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game)
130-65 since 1997. ( 66.7% 58.4 units )

CBB MARQUETTE at CS-FULLERTON
Play On - Any team (CS-FULLERTON) off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a road favorite, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )

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WINNING POINTS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

OLD SPICE CLASSIC (Orlando, FL)
Oklahoma State over Purdue by 14
Anyone looking to gobble up those points with Purdue should beware the serious
guard talent on the OSU side with Markel Brown, Marcus Smart and Phil Forte. Matt
Painter will have to start limiting minutes if he wants to compete here because too
many Purdue players have been getting floor time during a season-opening run against
bums.
OKLAHOMA STATE, 84-70.

Butler over Washington State by 9
Defense, or toughness away from home, has not been a Washington State trait during
most of Mr. Bone’s tenure as head coach.
BUTLER, 70-61.

***BEST BET
Memphis over Siena by 33
First-season head coach of Siena, Jimmy Patsos, has a team that’s probably in over its
head in this particular match-up. Their 5’9”, 165 point guard Evan Hymes turns the
ball over a lot, their guards don’t score much, their best rebounders aren’t very tall.
Memphis has too much length and talent for them to hang in there against, it would
seem. Shaq Goodwin isn’t a great player, but at 6’9”, 245, he is probably good enough
to look good in this particular matchup.
MEMPHIS, 96-63.

St. Joseph’s over LSU by 2
LSU’s scoring depth is kind of shallow. St. Joe’s plays better defense than their A-10
cousins of UMass, who beat LSU 92-90.
ST. JOSEPH’S, 76-74.

BATTLE 4 ATLANTIS (Paradise Island, Bahamas)
***BEST BET
Villanova over USC by 27
Senior guard J.T. Terrell was recently ruled ineligible for USC. Even if they had him,
why USC’s current collection under a first-season head coach? ’Nova had a ‘down’ year
last season but even in a down year, they made the Big Dance and were good enough
to beat NCAA Tourney teams Louisville, Syracuse, Georgetown, Pittsburgh,
Marquette. Playing down to Delaware’s level last week suggests that Jay Wright’s crank was not deployed.
VILLANOVA, 88-61.

Kansas over Wake Forest by 20
Wake has not had a winning season or played in the post-season since 2009-10 – that’s way in the rear-view, isn’t it? If Kansas wants to pace themselves, the Demon Deacons can hang around. If.
KANSAS, 90-70.

Iowa over Xavier by 3
Fran McCaffery’s third season at Iowa is looking promising, since he likes to pressure
and appears to finally have enough depth to implement that style.
IOWA, 79-76.

Tennessee over UTEP by 8
UTEP has good length, but some of their skinny length can hide behind the Vols’ bigs
Jeronne Maymon and Jarnell Stokes.
TENNESSEE, 71-63.

WOODEN LEGACY (Fullerton, CA)
Miami-FL over George Washington by 2
Indiana transfer Maurice Creek is a scoring guard that GW desperately needed, but it’s
still a pretty young group.
MIAMI-FL, 70-68.

Marquette over CS Fullerton* by 4

San Diego State over College of Charleston by 16

Creighton over Arizona State by 8

LAS VEGAS INVITATIONAL (Las Vegas, NV)
UCLA over Nevada by 15
The Bruins were shooting better than 50% from the field very early in the season.
Nevada was getting only 8 assists per game after four games. Uh-oh. Will the Wolfpack
be one of those dreaded “low-assist” sides?
UCLA, 82-67.

Missouri over Northwestern by 17
Northwestern’s leading rebounder is 6’5”, 215 and has had to play 35.5 minutes per
game.
MISSOURI, 85-68.

GREAT ALASKA SHOOTOUT (Anchorage, AK)
Wisconsin-GB over Pepperdine by 2
Put up a zone against Pepperdine and their early-season offensive outbursts, fueled by
a pair of bigs, should fizzle.
WISCONSIN-GB, 69-67.

Harvard over Denver by 4
Ivy Leaguers to Denver: ‘You play the Princeton style of ball? We play against the actual Princeton team, you turkeys!’
HARVARD, 70-66.

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NFLBettingPicks
Kevin

2 UNIT = Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions - LIONS -6 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
Thanksgiving Day kicks off in Detroit with the 5-5-1 Packers taking on the 6-5 Lions. Green Bay is 2-3 on the road, while the Lions are 3-2 at home. Things have been going downhill for Green Bay since Rodgers was injured back at the start of November. Green Bay tied Minnesota >on Sunday, and had lost 3 straight prior to that game. Matt Flynn will be the 4th QB to start a game for Green Bay this year after he was successful completing 21 of 36 passes for 218 yards and a touchdown vs Minnesota in relief. The Lions hope to bounce back after two straight losses as favorites @Pittsburgh and Sunday at home vs Tampa Bay. The short rest should benefit them playing at home, even more so after a home game Sunday (no travel). Green Bay won the first meeting between these two teams 22-9, although Rodgers was starting at QB for the Packers that time around. I expect a much better effort from the Lions offense this time around at home on Prime Time. Note that the Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs NFC North opponents. The Packers are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall with Rodgers out. The Packers have given up 26+ points against in 5 straight games, and I don't think they'll be able to keep pace with the Lions early Thursday. Take Detroit to win by a touchdown or more at -6.

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets.

NFL GREEN BAY at DETROIT
Play On - Any team vs the money line (GREEN BAY) after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse
76-48 since 1997. ( 61.3% 0.0 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% 0.0 units )

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Arthur Ralph Blue Ribbon Play - Baltimore Ravens