11-29-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sports Nostradamus

(CFB)
Ohio U.
East Carolina
Florida Atlantic
Pittsburgh

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Dr Bob

(CFB) 3* Washington

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The Gold Sheet

Key Release

Bowling Green 31 - BUFFALO 20—MAC East showdown, as winner goes to conference championship game. Much respect due to Buffalo in ‘13, but BG has an edge with the 8th-ranked "D" and, on offense, with a pair of talented, productive sophs in QB Matt Johnson (65%, 17-6 TD-int.) and RB Travis Greene (127 ypg rushing & 9 TDs last 8 games). Bull counterparts QB Licata and RB Oliver excellent, but defensive edge tips scales to visitor.

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Asa's 3*'s

Friday College
#313 Iowa +2.5 over @Nebraska, 11am CT
#325 Bowl Green -2 over Buffalo, 12:30pm CT
#338 @Pittsburgh +2.5 over Miami, 2:30pm CT

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Docs

4 Unit Play. #38/#314 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers -2 over Iowa Hawkeyes (Friday noon ABC) These rivals have closed out the Big Ten season the last three years, and it has been all Big Red. Nebraska has won all 4 games against Iowa, winning by an average score of 29-9 in this matchup. Iowa dominated Michigan last week in yardage but still only won the game by 3 points. Neither one of these teams have an explosive offense, but Nebraska has the better running game, and that will be the difference. This will be an ugly game to watch. However, I see Nebraska pulling it out by 7 to 10 points. Both coaches are on the hot seat, but Bo Pelini needs this game more. Iowa is 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following a victory in their previous game. Nebraska is 15-4 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 21 home games against teams with a winning road record.

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King Creole
5* on OVER 64 in East Carolina game

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Prediction Machine
This is 11/29 CFB Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

340	3:30 PM	@ WASH	WASHST	-14	20.7	58.0
330	2:00 PM	@ TROY	TXST	-6	12.7	57.6
315	12:00 PM	TOLEDO	@ AKRON	-7.5	11.6	56.2
341	12:00 PM	SMU	@ HOU	10	-4.2	56.0
325	1:30 PM	BGSU	@ BUFF	-1.5	5.3	55.5
319	2:00 PM	EASTMI	@ CENTMI	19	-14.8	54.3
336	3:30 PM	@ SJSU	FRES	9	-4.7	53.8
313	12:00 PM	IOWA	@ NEB	3	-0.9	53.2
333	8:00 PM	SOFLA	@ UCF	27	-24.9	52.4
338	3:30 PM	@ PITT	MIA-FL	2.5	0.0	52.2
317	1:00 PM	MIA-O	@ BALLST	34.5	-32.5	51.7
343	7:00 PM	OREST	@ OREGON	21.5	-19.9	51.4
322	2:00 PM	@ OHIO	UMASS	-17	17.5	50.7
328	2:30 PM	@ LSU	ARK	-24.5	25.0	50.5
331	3:00 PM	FIU	@ FLAATL	28.5	-28.3	50.2
324	12:00 PM	@ MARSH	ECU	-3	3.0	50.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman
NCAAF - Week 14




BOWLING GREEN -1
TEX -4.5
CLEMSON +5
FRESNO ST -7

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NBA

Hot teams
-- Spurs won 11 of last 12 games, covered six of last nine. Orlando won its last two games, by 11-17 points.
-- Miami won last eight games, covered five of last six.
-- Mavericks won five of their last seven games.
-- Lakers won four of their last five games.
-- Rockets won six of their last seven games.
-- Thunder won last five games, covered five of last six; their last loss was 116-115 in Oakland 15 days ago.
-- Indiana is 14-1 SU, covered seven of last nine games. Wizards won last three games, by 9-5-8 points.
-- Nuggets won four in row, seven of last nine games.
-- Suns won three of their last four games.
-- Clippers won eight of their last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost five of its last seven games. Bucks lost their last ten games (0-7 vs spread last seven).
-- Raptors lost three of their last four home games.
-- Hawks lost their last three games, by 7-17-29 points.
-- Boston lost seven of last nine games, are 2-5 vs spread at home. Cavaliers lost seven of last eight games, are 2-7 vs spread on road.
-- Detroit lost four of its last six home games.
-- Nets lost six of their last seven games.
-- Warriors lost four of their last five games.
-- Pelicans lost last four road games, are 1-5 vs spread on road. 76ers lost six of their last seven games.
-- Knicks lost last seven games (0-7 vs spread).
-- Utah is 2-14 SU but covered six of last eight games.
-- Kings covered once in their eight road games.

Totals
-- Under is 8-0-1 in Bobcats' last nine games.
-- Four of last five San Antonio games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Miami games stayed under the total; six of last eight Toronto games went over.
-- Last four Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Cleveland road games went over the total; five of last seven Boston games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Piston-Laker games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Brooklyn games; four of last five Houston games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Golden State games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Washington road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven New Orleans games went over the total.
-- Five of last six New York games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Clipper games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Bucks lost six of their last seven visits to Charlotte.
-- Spurs won six of last seven games with Orlando.
-- Raptors lost 12 in a row vs Miami (2-6 vs spread last eight).
-- Mavericks won five of last seven games with Atlanta.
-- Cavaliers won three of last five visits to Boston.
-- Lakers won eight of last nine games with Detroit.
-- Rockets won their last nine games with Brooklyn (7-2 vs spread).
-- Warriors lost last eight visits to Oklahoma (0-3 vs spread last three)
-- Wizards lost nine of last ten vs Indiana, but covered five of last seven.
-- Philly lost its last two games with Pelicans by 12-37 points.
-- Knicks lost last four visits to Detroit by 7-3-2-23 points.
-- Suns lost last three visits to Utah by 12-13-15 points.
-- Clippers won seven of last eight games with Sacramento.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FOX SHEETS 3 and 4 or 5 star ratings only..

Play on Road underdogs of 10 or more points (ARK-LITTLE ROCK) - excellent free throw shooting team (>=73%) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's).
(24-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.9%, +20.7 units. Rating = 4*)

- Neutral court teams (TCU) - off a road win, playing their 2nd game in 3 days. (38-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.9%, +28.1 units. Rating = 4*)

- Neutral court teams (TCU) - off a road win, playing their 2nd road game in 3 days. (37-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.4%, +27.1 units. Rating = 4*)

- Neutral court teams (OLE MISS) - an explosive offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG), after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games.
(34-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81%, +25.2 units. Rating = 4*)

CFB
- Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARSHALL) - excellent rushing team (>=4.8 YPR) against an average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR) after 7+ games.
(26-4 over the last 10 seasons.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*
- Any team (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 28 or more points.
(58-18 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.3%, +38.2 units. Rating = 4*)

(84-36 over the last 5 seasons.) (70%, +44.4 units. Rating = 3*)

- Any team (SAN JOSE ST) - after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 28 or more points. (58-18 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.3%, +38.2 units. Rating = 4*) - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (OREGON) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 1 or more yards/play, after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games. (40-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating = 4*) - Home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (OREGON) - with an incredible offense - averaging 6.4 or more yards/play, after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games. (49-13 over the last 10 seasons.) (79%, +34.7 units. Rating = 4*) - Home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (OREGON) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 1 or more yards/play, after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games. (48-15 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.2%, +31.5 units. Rating = 4*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Flyers won their last four home games. Winnipeg won three of its last four road games.
-- Boston won seven of its last ten games. Rangers won three of their last four.
-- Lightning won their last seven home games.
-- Red Wings won three of their last four games.
-- Blues won last five games, outscoring foes 20-5. Sharks won six of last seven.
-- Canadiens won last four games, allowing seven goals.
-- Colorado won eight of its ten road games.
-- Carolina won its last two games, 4-3/4-1.
-- Edmonton won four of its last five games.
-- Chicago won its last four games, allowing seven goals. Dallas won seven of last ten.

Cold teams
-- Penguins lost four of their last five road games.
-- Islanders lost their last four games, outscored 17-9.
-- Flames lost eight of their last ten games. Anaheim lost six of last eight.
-- Washington lost last four games, outscored 15-7.
-- Minnesota lost its last two games, 3-0/3-1.
-- Devils lost their last three games, scoring five goals.
-- Blue Jackets lost six of their last nine games.
-- Maple Leafs lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Philadelphia games.
-- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Ranger games.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Pittsburgh games.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Anaheim-Calgary games stayed under.
-- Last three San Jose-St Louis games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-2-2 in last twelve Montreal-Washington games.
-- Five of last six Minnesota-Colorado games went over total.
-- Under is 11-1-2 in Carolina's home games this season.
-- Three of last four Edmonton road games went over total.
-- Five of last six Toronto games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Chicago games went over the total.

Series records
-- Flyers won four of last five games with Winnipeg.
-- Rangers lost five of last six games with Boston.
-- Penguins won their last seven games with Tampa Bay.
-- Islanders won their last five games with Detroit.
-- Ducks won eight of last eleven games with Calgary.
-- Blues won six of last eight games with San Jose.
-- Canadiens lost eight of last ten games with Washington.
-- Wild won four of last five games with Colorado.
-- Hurricanes won three of last four games with New Jersey.
-- Oilers won seven of last nine games with Columbus.
-- Maple Leafs lost five of last six visits to Buffalo.
-- Blackhawks won their last five games against Dallas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Irish Mike

2X NEB
3X PITT
3X FRESNO

[Can'tPickAWinner]

football king

Washington St. +16.5

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Duke vs. Arizona

The Wildcats play Duke tonight and look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games versus ACC opponents. Arizona is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's early games.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 29 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 527-528: AR-Little Rock at Oklahoma (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 49.106; Oklahoma 64.417 Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 15 1/2 Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 17 Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (+17)

Game 529-530: Northeastern at VCU (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 51.423; VCU 74.380 Dunkel Line: VCU by 23 Vegas Line: VCU by 13 1/2 Dunkel Pick: VCU (-13 1/2)

Game 531-532: Southern Mississippi at Louisville (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 61.856; Louisville 73.644 Dunkel Line: Louisville by 12 Vegas Line: Louisville by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+14 1/2)

Game 533-534: Cornell at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 38.286; Western Michigan 58.967 Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 20 1/2 Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 15 Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-15)

Game 535-536: Florida State at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 61.179; Florida 75.177 Dunkel Line: Florida by 14 Vegas Line: Florida by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Florida (-7 1/2)

Game 537-538: TX-San Antonio at Texas Tech (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 46.360; Texas Tech 58.531 Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 12 Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 17 1/2 Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (+17 1/2)

Game 539-540: TX-Arlington at Texas (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 48.033; Texas 67.266 Dunkel Line: Texas by 19 Vegas Line: Texas by 15 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-15 1/2)

Game 557-558: Pacific vs. Oregon (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 56.502; Oregon 71.240 Dunkel Line: Oregon by 14 1/2 Vegas Line: Oregon by 12 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-12 1/2)

Game 559-560: Cal Poly vs. North Dakota (5:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 50.866; North Dakota 55.169 Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: North Dakota by 3 Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (-3)

Game 561-562: Northern Kentucky vs. SE Missouri State (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Kentucky 50.168; SE Missouri State 50.840 Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 1 Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 8 Dunkel Pick: Northern Kentucky (+8)

Game 585-586: TCU vs. Tulsa (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: TCU 51.279; Tulsa 52.449 Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 1 Vegas Line: Tulsa by 6 Dunkel Pick: TCU (+6)

Game 589-590: Drexel vs. Alabama (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 59.377; Alabama 65.441 Dunkel Line: Alabama by 6 Vegas Line: Alabama by 3 Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-3)

Game 591-592: Duke vs. Arizona (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Duke 71.625; Arizona 76.553 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 5 Vegas Line: Arizona by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-2 1/2)

Game 593-594: Mississippi vs. Georgia Tech (4:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 67.176; Georgia Tech 59.286 Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 8 Vegas Line: Mississippi by 1 Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-1)

Game 595-596: Penn State vs. St. John's (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 58.546; St. John's 62.573 Dunkel Line: St. John's by 4 Vegas Line: St. John's by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-1 1/2)

Game 597-598: The Citadel vs. Towson (5:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 40.159; Towson 55.193 Dunkel Line: Towson by 15 Vegas Line: Towson by 17 1/2 Dunkel Pick: The Citadel (+17 1/2)

Game 601-602: Virginia vs. SMU (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 68.107; SMU 57.645 Dunkel Line: Virginia by 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Virginia by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-6 1/2)

Game 603-604: Missouri State vs. Texas A&M (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 53.584; Texas A&M 60.496 Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 7 Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 5 Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-5)

Game 605-606: Northern Arizona vs. CS-Bakersfield (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 45.007; CS-Bakersfield 52.466 Dunkel Line: CS-Bakersfield by 7 1/2 Vegas Line: CS-Bakersfield by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: CS-Bakersfield (-3 1/2)

Game 607-608: Drake vs. Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Drake 59.928; Fresno State 59.833 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Fresno State by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Drake (+4 1/2)

Game 609-610: Rider vs. Rice (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rider 53.129; Rice 44.334 Dunkel Line: Rider by 9 Vegas Line: Rider by 5 Dunkel Pick: Rider (-5)

Game 613-614: Vermont vs. San Francisco (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Vermont 50.152; San Francisco 53.646 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: San Francisco by 1 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-1)

Game 617-618: Fairfield at Providence (12:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 46.250; Providence 69.031 Dunkel Line: Providence by 19 Vegas Line: Providence by 16 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Providence (-16 1/2)

Game 619-620: Appalachian State at Georgia (5:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 49.491; Georgia 59.509 Dunkel Line: Georgia by 10 Vegas Line: Georgia by 12 Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+12)

Game 621-622: IPFW at Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 53.366; Illinois 71.275 Dunkel Line: Illinois by 18 Vegas Line: Illinois by 15 Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-15)

Game 623-624: Portland State at Boise State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 47.693; Boise State 67.895 Dunkel Line: Boise State by 20 Vegas Line: Boise State by 22 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+22 1/2)

Game 631-632: Mt. St. Mary's at Michigan State (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Mt. St. Mary's 43.658; Michigan State 75.756 Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 32 Vegas Line: Michigan State by 26 Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-26)

Game 633-634: Coppin State at Michigan (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Coppin State 49.515; Michigan 68.779 Dunkel Line: Michigan by 19 Vegas Line: Michigan by 21 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Coppin State (+21 1/2)

Game 635-636: North Florida at Ohio State (5:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Florida 50.922; Ohio State 71.587 Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 20 1/2 Vegas Line: Ohio State by 23 1/2 Dunkel Pick: North Florida (+23 1/2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bookieshunter

50-26 and 11-1 run
5-0 yesterday

CFB

3* Pittsburgh +3

2* Over 42.5 FIU/FAU
2* Under 51.5 BG/BUF
2* Over 62.5 SMU/HOU

1* Ohio -16.5