11-29-13

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INT PICKS

3* [342] Houston -9.5 over SMU
2* [315] Toledo -7 over Akron
2* [335] Fresno St -7 over San Jose St
1* [338] Pittsburgh +3 over Miami
1* [344] Oregon State @ Oregon UNDER 69
1* [323] E Carolina @ Marshall OVER 64.5

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Paul Leiner

100* Over 65.5 - Washington State/Washington
100* Over 203.5 - Thunder/Warriors
100* Duke +2.5
50* St Johns -1.5

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DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS

12-UNIT "ZAXXON-HYDRA"
WASHINGTON -16.5 vs wash st.

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Scott Hall

CFB
OVER 63.5 - SMU vs Houston

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J Clifton

Friday add ons
nebraska - -2 1/2 (A)
fl atlantic -27 1/2 (A)

NCAAB
Florida state +8
Texas-15
Texas tech -17 1/2

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Friday's Betting Notes
By David Schwab

The Thanksgiving Holiday weekend is loaded with action when it comes to college basketball starting with a monster matchup on Friday night in the NIT Tip-Off Tournament Finals from Madison Square Garden in New York.

NIT Tip-Off Final

No. 6 Duke Blue Devils vs. No. 4 Arizona Wildcats

The Blue Devils opened-up an 11-point lead at the half in their semifinal game against Alabama en route to a 74-64 victory to cover as nine-point favorites. They are now 5-1 straight-up on the year and 3-3 against the spread. The total has gone OVER in four of the six games. Freshman sensation Jabari Parker led Duke with 27 points and eight rebounds in the win over the Tide.

Arizona came very close to being a no-show in this much anticipated showdown after falling behind by 19 points in its semifinal matchup against the spirited Drexel Dragons. A furious second-half rally resulted in a tight 66-62 victory as a 12 ½-point favorite. The 6-0 Wildcats are now 4-2 ATS. The big man for Arizona in this game was Nick Johnson with 20 points, five rebounds and four assists.

Duke has covered the spread in nine of its last 13 neutral site games while the Wildcats have gone 4-2 ATS in their last six games played at a neutral site.

Other Games

Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers vs. No. 1 Michigan State Spartans

The Mountaineers head into this mountain-sized challenge with a record of 2-5 SU, but the good news is they have won their last two outings. All five losses have come on the road and none of their first seven games have had a posted line. Julian Norfleet is averaging 18.7 points a game while dishing out 5.4 assists a game and Sam Prescott leads the team in rebounds with 4.4 a game.

The No. 1 team in the nation moved to 6-0 SU with last Saturday’s 87-76 victory over Oklahoma in a game that ended as a PUSH. The Spartans are now just 1-2-2 ATS and the total has gone OVER in four of the five games. The duo of Gary Harris and Adreian Payne have combined for 34.9 of the team’s 83.9 points a game. Harris is shooting 87.5 percent from the foul line and Payne is shooting 51.4 percent from the field.

The total has gone OVER in four of the Mountaineers last five nonconference games and Michigan State is just 2-7-3 ATS in its last 12 games following a SU win.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. No. 9 Louisville Cardinals

The Golden Eagles come into this matchup with a hot hand after going a perfect 6-0 SU (3-1 ATS) to start the year. In their biggest victory of the year they knocked off North Dakota State 70-69 as six-point underdogs on the road. Southern Miss is averaging 74 points a game and shooting 48.2 percent from the field with four different players scoring in double figures.

Last season’s national champs took an early tumble in the rankings with a 93-84 loss to then-No. 24 North Carolina this past Sunday as a 10-point favorite. The 5-1 Cardinals have now failed to cover in three of their last four games. Russ Smith continues to lead the way with 20.2 points and 3.5 assists as part of a team effort that is averaging 84.7 points a game while shooting 45.9 percent from the field.

The last time these two met was in January of 2005 with Louisville cruising to a 107-62 victory as an 11.5-point road favorite.

Florida State Seminoles vs. No. 15 Florida Gators

Florida State come into this heated rivalry with a SU record of 5-1 and it has covered in four of its last five games. The only setback of the season was an 82-80 overtime loss to No. 22 Michigan as a three-point underdog. The Seminoles are shooting 50.7 percent from the field which is ranked 32nd in the nation and averaging 81.2 points a game. Ian Miller has led the way with 15.5 points while hitting 48.2 percent of his shots.

The Gators are also 5-1 SU on the year with a 2-1 record ATS. Their only setback was a 59-53 loss to No. 10 Wisconsin as 5 ½-point road underdogs on Nov. 12. Florida is averaging 74.7 points a game with a field goal percentage of 47.7 percent. Casey Prather has been a force with 19.2 points, six rebounds and 2.7 assists and the team as a whole has six players scoring in double figures.

The Seminoles come into this year’s showdown looking for revenge after getting hammered 72-47 last season as six-point home underdogs. The total stayed UNDER the 136-point closing line.

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Doc

4 Nebraska
2 Ohio St
5 Missouri
2 ND

4 Denver
2 NY Jets

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John Ryan 10* Black Friday Upset Alert

Texas State

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Scott Spreitzer CBB Revenge Wipeout

Western Michigan

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Bryan Leonard

Florida Atlantic -28

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Pick Winners Not Your Nose

Troy
Pittsburgh
Ohio State
Colorado State

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From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER

ALABAMA (387) AT AUBURN (388)
Latest Line: Auburn +10.0; Total: 54.5

Alabama has won the Iron Bowl four of the last five years, the loss being when Cam Newton took over in Tuscaloosa in 2010. The two games since then have been blowouts, 42-14 at Auburn and 49-0 at Bama, the latter covering a 34-point spread. The Tide have won 15 in a row SU, and they've covered in five of their last six. They're also on a 16-game SU winning streak away from home. Auburn has won seven in a row SU and covered in eight straight. The Tigers have averaged 45.0 PPG during the winning streak.
FORECASTER: Alabama 30, Auburn 22

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - FRIDAY

3* = BOWLING GREEN
3* = CENTRAL FLORIDA
2* = EAST CAROLINA

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Paul Leiner:

2000* CFB Fresno State -7.5
100* CFB Over 65.5 Washington/Wash St
100* NBA Over 203.5 Thunder/Warriors
100* CBB Duke +2.5
50* CBB St Johns -1.

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Marc Lawrence's Pick Pack

NCAA Football Friday Picks

Premium Plays

Matchup: Miami (FL) at Pittsburgh Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Fri) Play: Pittsburgh (+3 -120) Line Source: 5dimes Posted on: November 28, 2013 @ 9:54:49 AM EST >Play On: Pittsburgh Panthers (Game 338) Note: The Hurricanes are living largely on name and reputation these days as they've been outgained in four of their last five games, including a 179-yard walloping in their 19-point win over Virginia last week. The main caveat is that a win today clinches 2nd place in the Coastal but the chant “We're No. 2” has never been very meaningful for this once proud program. Meanwhile, the Panthers will be looking to capture a 7th win and possibly a 3rd place finish in the Coastal with a win today, and they are 7-1 ATS as conference home dogs coming off a win versus a team who won last time out. The ACC apparently will have 10 teams in the post-season, and possibly 11 if Syracuse beats Boston College this weekend. However, if it comes down to a choice, the Panthers should be bowling thanks to their marquee win over the Fighting Irish. Defensively, Pitt is led by DT Aaron Donald, playing in his final regular season college game before heading to the NFL. Donald has 28.5 career sacks, including 10 this year, and has 26 tackles-for-loss this season among his 51 tackles (just for perspective, Ndomakong Suh had 20.5 TFL’s and 12 sacks in his entire 14-game senior season in 2009). Miami has moved the football this season, but could have trouble against a tough Pitt defense with RB Duke Johnson and others still out with injuries. The Clincher: UM coach Al Golden is 1-6 ATS as a conference favorite versus a winning opponent coming off a victory, including 0-3 SUATS as a road favorite in this role. We recommend a 3-unit play on Pittsburgh. Thank you and good luck as always. Marc's Famous 5* College Football Game of the Month plays are documented 60-28 on all plays since 1990. This month's 5* Game kicks off Saturday, backed a jaw-dropping 24-0 ATS winning angle inside the game and it's yours - if you act now. You know what to do!

Member Plays

Matchup: Toledo at Akron Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Fri) Play: Akron (+8.5 -110) Line Source: Bet Phoenix Posted on: November 27, 2013 @ 11:11:21 PM EST >Play On: Akron Note: The Rockets had their thrusters ripped apart and scattered across the Exosphere in an ugly 18-point home loss to Northern Illinois last week, destroying their chance at winning the MAC West division title. But we’re not going against the visitors because they choked last week. It’s their fragile psyche, and a wobbly defense that’s allowed 1167 yards the last two games, which has us looking the Rubbermakers’ way here. No, Akron could never be mistaken for a conference powerhouse: the Zips are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and their disturbing 1-12-1 ATS mark in MAC tilts off a win is certainly cause for major concern. However, the Zips are 4-7 after three straight 1-11 finishes, enough of an improvement that 2nd-year HC Terry Bowden was recently awarded a 2-year contract extension through 2018. His team looks to be competitive lately, winning two straight games outright while going 4-0 In The Stats the last four outings. Bowden also owns a 5-3 ATS log as a conference dog off back-to-back wins and should have his team sky-high for Senior day and the season finale. And then there’s this beauty from the mean-machine: greater than .250 college football dogs of 3 or more points in their Last Home Game of the season, playing off win with rest and revenge, are 32-6 ATS since 1980. Zip it, Toledo… Akron gets the cash today. We recommend a 1-unit play on Akron. Thank you and good luck as always.