12-8-13

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Ats insiders club

Pittsburgh -3.5
Indianapolis +7
Tampa Bay -2.5

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Joe Nelson:
Rams 6.5
Dolphins 3.5

guaranteed play:
Saints -3

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Bankroll Sports

10* San Francisco 49ers -2.5 (NFL) - 4:25pm ET
5* Minnesota Vikings +7 (NFL)
5* Panthers @ Saints Over 46.5 (NFL)
4* Buffalo Bills +2.5 (NFL)
2* Dolphins @ Steelers Over 40.5 (NFL)
2* Bills @ Buccaneers Over 42 (NFL)

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Sports Betting Champ
Packers (C)
Jets. (A)
Browns (A)

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NCAAB

Sunday, December 8

Miami is 5-1 in its last six games with Virginia Tech, winning last three by 16-9-18 points, but 'canes are down this year at 5-4, with three wins by 3 or less points. Hokies lost last three visits here by 7-16-18. This is first true road game for Tech- they lost by 1 to Seton Hall in Brooklyn, not even in same state. Hokies are in bottom in country at forcing TOs; they're making 45.5% from arc, #5 in country.

George Mason lost three of last four games, with bad home loss during week to South Florida; Patriots are turning ball over 22.3% of time- they lost by 16-5 points in only two top 100 games. Oklahoma protects ball well, is making 38.1% of 3's; they're 2-1 away from Noroman, with wins by 1-9 points. Big X faves are 4-14 vs spread on road or neutral sites.

VCU won last three games with former CAA rival ODU by 13-4-13, as Rams made 11-21 from arc in LY's 83-70 road win. 7-2 Rams are forcing turnovers 26.8% of time (#3 in US), but aren't shooting well (65.5% on foul line, 33.9% from arc). Monarchs are 0-4 vs teams in top 200, with two losses in OT- they're making only 56.1% from line, 31.4% on arc.

6-1 San Diego St. survived 65-64 scare with crosstown rival San Diego Thursday, in brickfest where both teams shot under 38% inside the arc. Aztecs are 2-1 at home, losing by 9 to Arizona, beating two stiffs- they make 43% from arc, 42.4% inside it. First road game for a Washington team that lost by 18-11 to Indiana/BC when it came east last month.

Maryland is 5-3 despite winning tourney in Virgin Islands; they turn ball over 20.2% of time with PG out hurt, make just 60.5% from line. GW is 7-1, 3-1 away from home; they're making 43.2% from arc (#12 in USA), are 1-1 vs top 50 teams, losing by 16 to Marquette, beating Creighton by 7. ACC neutral court favorites are 13-3; A-13 underdogs are 5-5.

First true roiad game for 7-0 Oregon team that is making 41.3% on arc, 57.4% inside it; Ducks are holding opponents to 26.6% from arc. Ole Miss lost 61-58 at K-State Thursday; Henderson made 2-13 on arc as Rebels lost for first time in three top 100 games- their best win was by 3 over #70 Penn State in NYC. Oregon beat #18 Georgetown in Korea.

Home side won seven of last eight Creighton-Nebraska games; Huskers lost last five visits to Omaha by 7-26-12-6-10 points. Bluejays lost two of three in Fullerton tourney, then won by 17 in Long Beach- this is first home game in 15 days. First true road game for Nebraska that lost two of three in Charleston tourney; they hold teams to 28.7% from the arc.

Boston College is 3-5 with five games decided by 3 or less points or OT; they did beat Pac-12's Washington on neutral floor. Eagles' metrics on defense are awful, but they're making 82.3% from line, #2 in US. USC is playing first game in 8 days after going 1-2 in Atlantis; Trojans are 1-3 vs top 100 teams- they're making only 28.7% from arc. ACC teams are 7-10 vs spread in true road games.

10 of last 11 Seton Hall-Rutgers games were decided by 6 points or less, with Rutgers winning last three by 5-2-5 points; these teams recruit vs one another, were league rivals until this year. Pirates won five of last six visits here; they lost in double OT at Mercer in only true road game so far this year. Rutgers lost its last four games against Division I teams.

Home side won 12 of last 13 Iona-Fairfield games; Gaels are 1-6 in last seven visits here, with only win 71-62 two years ago- they also lost to Stags in MAAC tourney that year. Iona scored 76+ points in its four wins, 69-66 in losses at Cleveland State/Kansas. Fairfield lost seven in a row after winning opener- they're turning ball over 22.9% of the time.

Quinnipiac won first MAAC game Friday night at home; they're 4-0 vs teams outside top 200, with three wins by 5 or less points. Bobcats are top 10 rebounding team in country- they lost at LaSalle, won at Maine in only two road games. Rider lost only home game by 11 to Albany of America East; they're 3rd-worst defensive team in US (eFG% 60.9%).

Niagara lost last seven games, which is what happens when you allow 81+ points in all nine games while shooting 24.5% from arc; Eagles lost MAAC opener by 13 to Siena Friday- they beat Buffalo by 11 in only other home game. St Peter's is 2-5 with both wins vs teams not in top 300; they lost last four games against Niagara, by 12-3-19-17 points.

Siena won 13 of last 15 games with Canisius but lost two of three visits here; Patsos was 4-2 in last six games vs Canisius when he was coaching Loyola. Saints upset Niagara in MAAC opener but they're 1-3 on road, with losses by 8-11-4 points. Canisius is 2-0 at home, winning by 5-15. Home teams are 1-5 vs spread in MAAC league games, 1-3 if favored.

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MTi's 2013 NFL SIDE PLAY OF THE YEAR 5-Star

5-Star NY Giants +3.5 over SAN DIEGO - Both these teams are 5-7, but the Giants are off a road win and the Chargers are off a home loss. This is one situation that strongly favors the road team. The system to play is this:
Regular season road dogs are 49-17-3 ATS since the start of the 2005 season when they are facing a team with the same record and they were on the road last week. That's 74.2% over the past eight-plus seasons. The SDQL text is:

AD and p:A and wins=o:wins and losses=o:losses and season>=2005 and REG

This system is 7-1-1 ATS this season and the Giants qualify.

The Giants themselves are 10-0 ATS (+13.10 ppg) as a road dog versus any team with the same record. after a win, 8-0 ATS (+12.75 ppg) on the road after a win after they were losing at the end of the third quarter and 15-0 ATS on the road the week following a TD-plus win in which a receiver had six-plus receptions and they did not throw two-plus interceptions. The SDQL here is:

team=Giants and A and 6<=max:receptions and p:margin>=7 and NB and date>=20021222 and p:INT<2

Eli Manning was 22-of-28 passing last week against the Redskins and this is a positive sign. In fact, Eli Manning is a CAREER-PERFECT 11-0 ATS the week following a game in which he threw more than ten passes and had less than ten incompletions. See for yourself with this SDQL text:

line>=-7 and NB and Eli Manningasses>10 and Eli Manning:INC<10

San Diego is 0-11 ATS (-11.6 ppg) when hosting a team that has averaged at least 2.25 turnovers per game season-to-date, as long as they are not a favorite of more than three points and 0-9 ATS (-12.22 ppg) as a home favorite when they were a dog in their last game. The Giants have won five of their last six with their lone defeat to the Cowboys on a field goal as time expired. The Chargers are 1-4 their last five with their lone win over the Chiefs when they got Kansas City sandwiched between games with the Broncos. The Giants' smashmouth brand of football will take the will to fight from the Chargers. Grab the points and consider a moneyline play on the Giants.

MTi's FORECAST: NY Giants 20 SAN DIEGO 7

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Baylor (-15 1/2) on Saturday and likes the Lions on Sunday.

The deficit is 1425 sirignanos.

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Marc Lawrence

5* play of the Year: Detroit Lions

3* plays

Minnesota
SF
New Orleans
Chicago

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Hondo

best bets
bengals
chargers
bears

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Wayne Root

Millionaire New Orleans

Upset Club
Washington
Tampa Bay
NY Giants

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TMC Sports Advisors

Bengals -6

Kansas City -3

Baltimore -6

Pittsburgh -3

Green Bay -3



Free Picks

Carolina +3

Buffalo +3

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Brandon Lang

150 DIME
-NFL MAX WAGER-
GAME OF THE YEAR
#6 IN A ROW

Arizona

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Boyd:

5* Chargers -3
4* Bucs -2.5
3* Bengals -6.5
3* Eagles -3
3* Seahawks +2.5
3* Bears P
3* Jets/Raiders <40

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Best Weekend Wagers with Weekend Warrior December 08, 2013 6:00 AM by Mark Mayer

NFL Football

148 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2½: Tampa Bay playing hard for Schiano. Who knows with Buffalo?

153 New York Giants +3½: Giants finds ways to win, Chargers ways to lose.

NBA Basketball

802 New York Knicks -5: NY has found itself, winning last 2 by 30 and 38 points.

805 Indiana Pacers +5: Pacers lost to Portland big, need to prove a point at Oklahoma City.

810 Los Angeles Lakers -5½: Staples Center will be a madhouse for the return of Kobe.

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charlie sports

500
washington +3
browns +10.5
jets over 39.5