12-11-13

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Wednesday's Champions League betting cheat sheet

The final week of the Champions League group stage continues Wednesday with a few spots still up for grabs. Group F remains the most interesting with Arsenal, Dortmund and Napoli all jostling for the top-two spots. It would take a miracle for the Gunners to miss the next round, but nothing is etched in stone yet.

Napoli v Arsenal (+150, +260, +188)

Why bet Napoli: The Partenopei will be playing in front of a sold out, raucous San Paolo Stadium with the home supporters willing the Serie A giants into the next round. They've won their previous two home games in the group stage and a third, paired with a Dortmund loss at Marseille, would see them through. Regardless, Napoli will be playing to win. Bottom line.

Key players out/doubtful: Juan Zuñiga, Giandomenico Mesto, Marek Hamsik, Anthony Réveillere

Why bet Arsenal: The Gunners will try to expose a team that will be lacking in confidence. Napoli has just one win in its previous three Serie A fixtures and will have to rely on Goran Pandev in the central-playmaker role if Hamsik is out. The Gunners lead the group and a draw at the very least ensures their passage to the next round. They handled Napoli in London and will more-than-likely field a first choice XI (except Carl Jenkinson at RB possibly) to do so once again.

Key players out/doubtful: Bacary Sagna, Mathieu Flamini, Lukas Podolski, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain

Reverse fixture result: Arsenal 2, Napoli 0

Key betting note: Arsenal has kept opposing teams off the score sheet in six of its last eight Champions League matches.


Schalke v Basel (-143, +300, +425)

Why bet Schalke: The Bundesliga side is currently third in the group and will look for a full three points to advance. They're just one point behind their opponents and a little banged up, but have won three and drawn one in their last five domestic matches. Also, they took all three points from the meeting in Switzerland in the reverse fixture.

Key players out/doubtful: Jermaine Jones, Klaas-Jan Huntelaar, Dennis Aogo, Marco Höger

Why bet Basel: The Swiss club just need a draw to slip into the next round. They are healthy, they are coming off a 1-0 win over Chelsea in their last Champions League game and haven't lost in the Swiss Super League since August 11. Basel is a certainly more than capable of going into Germany and dashing Schalke's dreams.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

Reverse fixture result: Basel 0, Schalke 1

Wednesday's other matches with odds:

AC Milan v Ajax (-150, +280, +500)
Atletico Madrid v FC Porto (+115, +250, +270)
Barcelona v Celtic (-550, +700, +1800)
Chelsea v Steaua Bucharest (-500, +650, +1600)
FK Austria Vienna v Zenit St. Petersburg (+500, +320, -163)
Marseille v Borussia Dortmund (+650, +400, -225)

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Xavier (-11) on Tuesday and likes Wisconsin on Wednesday.

The deficit is 1590 sirignanos.

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NBA

Hot teams
-- Bobcats won last three home games, by 16-17-4 points.
-- Celtics won three of their last four games.
-- Thunder won 11 of last 12 games, covered last three.
-- Spurs won 14 of their last 17 games, but failed to cover their last three home games.
-- Pistons won their last four road games.
-- Kings won last two games, but are 4-9 vs spread at home.
-- Mavericks won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Magic lost their last six games (2-4 vs spread).
-- Clippers lost three of their last five games; this is Doc Rivers' return to Boston.
-- Grizzlies lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Milwaukee covered twice in its ten home games.
-- Minnesota lost five of its last seven games. 76ers lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Pelicans lost their last three home games.
-- Knicks covered once in their ten home games. Chicago lost eight of its last ten games.
-- Jazz are 0-4 SU/ATS in their last four games.
-- Warriors lost seven of their last eleven games.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Charlotte games stayed under.
-- Nine of 12 Clipper road games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Memphis games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last ten San Antonio games went over total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Detroit games went over the total.
-- Four of last five New York games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Utah games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Dallas-Golden State games stayed under.

Series records
-- Bobcats won their last three games with Orlando.
-- Clippers lost three of last four visits to Boston, losing by 13-6-2.
-- Grizzlies beat Oklahoma City in five games in LY's playoffs.
-- Spurs won six of last seven games with Milwaukee.
-- Minnesota won last three games with Philly by 1-17-7 points.
-- Pistons lost four games at New Orleans by 3-8-19-5 points.
-- Knicks lost eight of last nine games with Chicago.
-- Jazz lost four of last five at Sacramento, losing by 9-7-11-11.
-- Warriors lost ten of last fourteen games with Dallas.

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NHL

Hot teams
-- Kings won last four games, outscoring foes 15-4.
-- Blackhawks won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Ducks won their last three games, scoring 13 goals. Minnesota lost three of last four.

Cold teams
-- Maple Leafs lost six of their last eight games.
-- Flyers lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Toronto games.
-- Last three Philly games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Anaheim games.

Series records
-- Road team won four of last five LA-Toronto games.
-- Flyers won last two games with Chicago, since losing to them in '10 Cup finals.
-- Ducks won their last five games with Minnesota.

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The Sports Nostradamus

CBB
North Dakota State
Colorado State

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LA Syndicate

NBA
Clippers
Over Warriors

CBB
Arizona

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Chicago Syndicate

NBA
Over 76ers
Magic

CBB
Duquesne
Rutgers

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Penn State vs. Duquesne

The Nittany Lions look to build on their 9-1-1 ATS record in their last 11 non-conference games as they take on Duquesne tonight. Penn State is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Nittany Lions favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-6). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 11 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 719-720: Penn State vs. Duquesne (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 62.543; Duquesne 49.427 Dunkel Line: Penn State by 13 Vegas Line: Penn State by 6 Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-6)

Game 721-722: Princeton at Rutgers (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 59.096; Rutgers 53.396 Dunkel Line: Princeton by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Princeton by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-3 1/2)

Game 723-724: WI-Milwaukee at Wisconsin (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 51.000; Wisconsin 75.093 Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 24 Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 18 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-18 1/2)

Game 725-726: North Dakota State at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 55.341; Notre Dame 69.835 Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 14 1/2 Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 8 Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-8)

Game 727-728: Buffalo at Canisius (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 56.476; Canisius 53.296 Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 3 Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1 Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1)

Game 729-730: Davidson vs. Niagara (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 58.103; Niagara 49.089 Dunkel Line: Davidson by 9 Vegas Line: Davidson by 5 Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-5)

Game 733-734: North Dakota at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 49.086; Bowling Green 55.549 Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 4 Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-4)

Game 735-736: Denver at Colorado State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 55.329; Colorado State 66.536 Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 11 Vegas Line: Colorado State by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-7 1/2)

Game 741-742: Bryant at Ohio State (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Bryant 54.694; Ohio State 77.825 Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 23 Vegas Line: Ohio State by 18 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-18 1/2)

Game 743-744: New Mexico State at Arizona (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 61.920; Arizona 74.398 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 12 1/2 Vegas Line: Arizona by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+14 1/2)

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Today's NBA Picks

Orlando at Charlotte

The Bobcats are coming off a 115-111 win over Golden State on Monday and look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games after scoring 100 or more points in the previous game as they host the Magic tonight. Charlotte is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Bobcats favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-6). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 11 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Orlando at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 110.009; Charlotte 120.406 Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 10 1/2; 185 Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 6; 189 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-6); Under

Game 703-704: LA Clippers at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 119.965; Boston 124.680 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 4 1/2; 204 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6; 195 Dunkel Pick: Boston (+6); Over

Game 705-706: San Antonio at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 128.723; Milwaukee 111.792 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 17; 188 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 10; 193 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-10); Under

Game 707-708: Detroit at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 120.260; New Orleans 119.824 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 206 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 709-710: Philadelphia at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 107.818; Minnesota 123.149 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 15 1/2; 203 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 12; 209 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-12); Under

Game 711-712: Chicago at New York (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 119.772; New York 116.479 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 202 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 713-714: Oklahoma City at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 123.050; Memphis 122.392 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 197 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 191 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+6); Over

Game 715-716: Utah at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 112.486; Sacramento 122.660 Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 10; 196 Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 7; 200 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-7); Under

Game 717-718: Dallas at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 119.260; Golden State 120.641 Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1 1/2; 215 Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 6; 209 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+6); Over

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Today's NHL Picks

Los Angeles at Toronto

The Kings look to follow up last night's 6-0 win over Montreal and build on their 4-0 record in their last 4 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. Los Angeles is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-140). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 11 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Los Angeles at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.553; Toronto 9.679 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 3; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-140); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-140); Under

Game 53-54: Philadelphia at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 12.315; Chicago 11.450 Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-220); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+180); Over

Game 55-56: Minnesota at Anaheim (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.735; Anaheim 12.576 Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-145); 5 Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-145); Under

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1138-869 (57%) over the last 5 1/2 years College FB 62-38 this yr,NFL 41-31:

Free winner WED Davidson -4

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Wednesday

Davidson -5

Penn State -6

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Cappers Access

N. Dakota St +8
Warriors -6

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WINNING POINTS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Penn State over Duquesne* by 11 (at Consul Energy Center)
Down a guy! Duquesne’s 6’2” soph guard Micah Mason is out 4-6 weeks with a broken
hand. He played 30 minutes and shot 6-for-8 from the field against West Virginia
recently.
PENN STATE, 82-71.

Princeton over Rutgers* by 9
Another in-state foe comes to the RAC and tries to sway local smart kids to pay their
way to Princeton instead of taking a free ride through Rutgers.
PRINCETON, 69-60.

Wisconsin* over Wisconsin-Milwaukee by 21
Bo’s Badgers have defeated UW-M here by 21 a few years ago, by 21 here last year.
WISCONSIN, 79-58.