12-29-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WINNING POINTS

NBA BASKETBALL

***BEST BET
Atlanta over *Orlando by 12
Orlando has fallen to much worse teams than Atlanta at home, including losing to
the Kings, Jazz and Cavaliers. The Magic have failed to win the first 13 times when
allowing triple digits. Kyle Korver keeps lighting it up from 3-point range as the
Hawks have reached triple digits in nine of their last 10 games through last Sunday.
ATLANTA 107-95.

Golden State over *Cleveland by 3
Golden State has defeated the Cavaliers during the past five times, including the last
three in Cleveland. This marks the Warriors' first of seven consecutive away
matchups.
GOLDEN STATE 106-103.

*San Antonio over Sacramento by 13
The Spurs were just 4-5 ATS when laying six or more points at home through last
Sunday. No coach is more dangerous when extra time to prepare, though, then Gregg
Popovich, whose Spurs last played on Thursday.
SAN ANTONIO 104-91.

*Oklahoma City over Houston by 5
The Thunder was on a 7-2 covering run through last Sunday, but can't get caught
peeking ahead to Tuesday's Northwest Division showdown against Portland.
OKLAHOMA CITY 113-108.

*Los Angeles Lakers over Philadelphia by 5
Let's face it, the Lakers are never going to play good defense under Mike D'Antoni.
LA ranked second to last in points allowed. The 76ers are playing for the second
straight day, but had been idle for a week before last night's game against Phoenix.
LA LAKERS 117-112.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE GOLD SHEET

PRO BASKETBALL
ORLANDO 101 - Atlanta 99—Atlanta played last night at home against
Charlotte, and the Hawks have dropped 3 of 4 spread decisions on the road
when unrested. Orlando broke a 9-game series losing streak to Atlanta with a
convincing 17-point decision at Philips Arena Nov. 26, and Arron Afflalo has
scored 24 ppg & shot 50% against the Hawks this season. Wouldn’t want to lay
any points with Magic side that’s covered just 3 of last 19 as Amway Center
chalk, but Atlanta should be favored. Hawk C Al Horford won’t get many easy
putbacks with Nikola Vucevic (7-0, 250) pulling down 13 rpg in his last 7 games.
13-ATL -6' 104-94 (199), Orl +7' 109-92 (200); 12-ATL -10 81-72 (186), Atl -4'
86-80 (189), Atl -2' 108-76 (199), ATL -12 97-88 (203)

Golden St. 114 - CLEVELAND 95—Cleveland PG Kyrie Irving has scored
23 ppg over his last 10 games, but he hasn’t had a lot of help, especially with
backcourt mate Dion Waiters (15 ppg this season) just returning Thursday after
being out the previous 3 games with a wrist injury. Cavs played last night, and
they are just 13-23 against the number last 4+ seasons at home when unrested.
Golden State not the greatest road favorite, but the Warriors are 2-2 last 4 in that
role and have a rested Steph Curry and three other solid options on offense.
Cleveland “over” 6-1 last 7 overall. 12-GS -5 106-96 (200), Gs -1 108-95 (202)

SAN ANTONIO 121 - Sacramento 112—San Antonio is 18-1 SU last 19
against Sacramento, so have a pretty good idea of which team will win, but
Spurs are just 2-3-1 vs. number last 6 at home against the Kings. The Spurs are
just 12-15 laying more than 9 points at the AT&T Center the last 1+ seasons.
Sacramento is allowing 108 ppg in its last 10 games, but interestingly, San
Antonio has yielded 107 ppg in its last 6 contests. The Kings are “over” 9-2 last
11, and the Spurs are “over” 15-4 last 19. These two have gone “over” 10-4 last
14, so “over” is the stronger recommendation. 12-San -5' 97-86 (199), San -9
108-102 (210), SAN -14' 130-102 (215), SAN -11' 108-101 (207)

OKLAHOMA CITY 109 - Houston 108—First meeting between these two
since last season’s first-round playoff matchup when the Thunder bounced
James Harden and the Rockets out of the postseason in 6 games. OKC brings
intensity almost every night, as their 83-27 SU mark in regular-season games
the last 1+ would attest, but Rockets have proven they can win in tough spots
on the road, winning this season at Portland, Golden State and San Antonio
(twice). Houston played last night at home against New Orleans, but the
Rockets are a perfect 6-0 on the road playing without rest this season. Houston
G Harden scored 29 ppg in the regular season vs. the Thunder last year and 26
ppg in the playoffs, and return of PG Jeremy Lin is important in this game, as his
size and strength will help match up against OKC’s Russell Westbrook. 12-
OKC -10' 120-98 (210), Okc -4' 124-94 (213), HOU +3' 122-119 (220), OKC -10
120-91 (213), OKC -11 105-102 (213), Okc -1 104-101 (207), HOU +1' 105-103
(207), Hou +8' 107-100 (208), Okc -1 103-94 (207) TV—NBA NETWORK

LA LAKERS 104 - Philadelphia 96—Have little interest in backing
Philadelphia side that’s just 2-11 last 13 vs. the number and is coming off a visit
to Phoenix last night. Philadelphia is just 9-20 the last 1+ seasons when
unrested and has given up 115 ppg over its last 10 games through Dec. 27.
Lakers have a better record without Kobe Bryant than with him this season, and
return of PG Jordan Farmar fills a critical need for Mike D’Antoni, with PGs
Steve Nash and Steve Blake on the shelf with injuries. These are different
teams from seasons past, but must note that Philly has covered last 4 visits to
Staples facing the Lakers. 12-La -3' 111-98 (197), Phi +9 103-99 (201)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE GOLD SHEET

COLLEGE BASKETBALL
Georgia St. 81 - EAST CAROLINA 77—Might want take a lead with Ron
Hunter’s GSU squad that Sun Belt sources believe might be putting the pieces
together after a bumpy patch in late November/early December. Last Sunday’s
blowout win at UTSA showcased soph G R.J. Hunter (Ron’s son), who scored
a career-high 41 while canning an astounding 12 triples (!) in the process. Now
that R.J. and Kentucky transfer G Ryan Harrow (19.9 ppg) seem to be on the
same page, the Panthers have the firepower to “steal” one in Greenville against
an ECU side that has done most of its business vs. (far) lesser competition to
date. 12-Ecu +4 62-53

DREXEL over Buffalo by 7 to 10—12-DNP

WRIGHT ST. over Bowling Green by 4 to 6—12-BGU -4 54-41

WEST VIRGINIA over William & Mary by 5 to 7—(at Charleston, WV) 12-DNP

MIAMI-OHIO over Southern Illinois by 1 to 3—12-SIU -8' 74-68 (OT)

STANFORD over Cal Poly SLO by 12 to 15—12-DNP

Night Games

CHARLOTTE over Georgia Tech by 1 to 3—12-DNP

MARYLAND over Tulsa by 12 to 15—12-DNP CABLE TV—ESPNU

Maine vs. Middle Tenn. St.—(at Chattanooga, TN) No Prediction

Grand Canyon vs. CHATTANOOGA—No Prediction

Alcorn St. vs. Western Illinois—(at El Paso, TX) No Prediction

Denver vs. UTEP—No Prediction

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POINTWISE

COLLEGIATE
BASKETBALL PROPHECY

(2:00) EAST CAROLINA 70 - Georgia State 56 _____ _____

(2:00) DREXEL 67 - Buffalo 59 _____ _____

(3:00) WRIGHT STATE 61 - Bowling Green 60 _____ _____

(3:00) W VIRGINIA 76 - Wm & Mary 64 (Charleston, WV) _____ _____

(3:30) MIAMI-OHIO 69 - Southern Illinois 66 _____ _____

(7:00) STANFORD 75 - Cal-Poly Slo 63 _____ _____

(7:00) CHARLOTTE 77 - Georgia Tech 67 (FOX1) _____ _____

(7:00) MARYLAND 84 - Tulsa 75 (ESPNU) _____ _____

BEST BETS
EAST CAROLINA
BOWLING GREEN
CHARLOTTE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POINTWISE

NBA
BASKETBALL

(6:05) ORLANDO MAGIC 109 - Atlanta Hawks 108 _____ _____

(6:05) Golden State Warriors 113 - CLEVELAND 112 _____ _____

(7:05) SAN ANTONIO SPURS 118 - Sacramento Kings 98 _____ _____

(7:05) OKLAHOMA CITY 111 - Houston 100 (NBA) _____ _____

(9:35) LA LAKERS 106 - Philadelphia 76ers 98 _____ _____

BEST BETS
CLEVELAND
SAN ANTONIO (1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA ATLANTA at ORLANDO
Play On - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games
113-61 since 1997. ( 64.9% 45.9 units )
5-5 this year. ( 50.0% -0.5 units )

NBA GOLDEN STATE at CLEVELAND
Play On - Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in December games
118-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 81.9% 55.0 units )
25-12 this year. ( 67.6% -3.8 units )

NBA HOUSTON at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 good defensive team - shooting pct defense of <=43% on the season, averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season
80-40 since 1997. ( 66.7% 36.0 units )
10-8 this year. ( 55.6% 1.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB BUFFALO at DREXEL
Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BUFFALO) a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after a win by 15 points or more
112-60 since 1997. ( 65.1% 46.0 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

CBB BUFFALO at DREXEL
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (BUFFALO) in a non-conference game between two teams from mid-major division 1-A conferences, playing only their 2nd game in 8 days
69-65 over the last 5 seasons. ( 51.5% 43.5 units )
18-18 this year. ( 50.0% 14.7 units )

CBB CAL POLY-SLO at STANFORD
Play Against - Favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (STANFORD) after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%)
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - SUNDAY NFL

4* BEST BET = SEATTLE
3* = OAKLAND
2* = ATLANTA
2* = NEW ORLEANS
2* = "UNDER" on CHIEFS/CHARGERS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

World Class Capper

England Soccer
3* Liverpool vs Chelsea
Over 3 goals @ +126

NBA
3* Warriors -6 point spread @ -110

NFL
3* Panthers vs Falcons
Over 46 points @ -110

3* Redskins vs Giants
Over 45 @ -116

3* 49ers -1 point spread @ -110

3* Eagles vs Cowboys
Under 52.5 points @ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NHL CAROLINA at TORONTO
Play On - Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (CAROLINA) off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
58-40 since 1997. ( 59.2% 41.2 units )
4-0 this year. ( 100.0% 5.6 units )

NHL ST LOUIS at DALLAS
Play On - Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (ST LOUIS) after having won 2 of their last 3 games against opponent after having won 4 of their last 5 games
111-57 since 1997. ( 66.1% 44.3 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% -0.5 units )

NHL MONTREAL at FLORIDA
Play Against - A favorite against the money line (MONTREAL) revenging a home loss versus opponent, well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days
65-44 over the last 5 seasons. ( 59.6% 34.5 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE GOLD SHEET

Key Releases

PITTSBURGH by 20 over Cleveland
NEW ORLEANS by 24 over Tampa Bay
OVER the total in the Detroit-Minnesota game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CKO

11 *SEATTLE over St. LouisLate Score Forecast:
*SEATTLE 31 - St. Louis 10

NINE-RATED GAMES: ARIZONA (+3; est.) over San Francisco —The Cards are 6-1 SU at home; Arizona’s defense bottled up read-option QB Russell Wilson last week in Seattle...

TOTALS: OVER (55; est.) in the Philadelphia-Dallas Game—With the NFC East on the line, we’ll watch with great interest while the injury-thinned Dallas defense stops the red-hot Philly offense; Cowboys “over” 7 of their last 8...

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POINTWISE

NFL KEY RELEASES
NEW ORLEANS over Tampa Bay RATING: 3
MIAMI over New York Jets RATING: 4
PHILADELPHIA over Dallas RATING: 4
MINNESOTA over Detroit RATING: 5
SEATTLE over St Louis RATING: 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Sunday, December 29th
2013 Division Showdowns Totals 3-Teamer of the Year!!!!!
Washington/NY Giants over 45 1/2
Baltimore/Cincinnati under 44 1/2
Jacksonville/Indianapolis under 45 1/2

Early NFL Best Bets
Carolina/Atlanta under 46
Detroit/Minnesota over 51

2013 Pro Football Win & In Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Philadelphia/Dallas over 52 1/2

Late NFL Best Bets
Tampa Bay/New Orleans under 47 1/2
San Francisco/Arizona under 41 1/2
Kansas City/San Diego over 44 1/2
St Louis/Seattle under 43
Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Platinum Plays. 500K AFC Lock/Year
the Pittsburgh Steelers -6½ over
the Cleveland Browns
Best Bets


the Tennessee Titans -7 over
the Houston Texans
the Miami Dolphins -5½ over
the NY Jets
the Detroit/Minnesota Game OVER
the Total Of 51 Points
the NY Jets/Miami Game UNDER
the Total Of 41½ Points
500K NFC East Lock/Year
the Philadelphia Eagles -7 over
the Dallas Cowboys
Best Bets


the Philadelphia/Dallas Game OVER
the Total Of 52½ Points
the Chicago Bears +3 over
the Green Bay Packers
the Kansas City Chiefs +10 over
the San Diego Chargers
the Arizona Cardinals +1 over
the San Francisco 49ers

PREMIER PICKS

the Atlanta Falcons +6 over
the Carolina Panthers
the New England Patriots -7½ over
the Buffalo Bills