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Where the action is: Saturday's Wild Card line moves
The NFL postseason kicks off with Wild Card Weekend. Saturday features a pair of matchups on the board with the Indianapolis Colts hosting the Kansas City Chiefs, while the New Orleans Saints must face the elements as they visit the Philadelphia Eagles.
We talk to Mike Perry, an oddsmaker with Sportsbook.ag, about the action on Saturday's games.
Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts - Open: -1, Move: -2, Move: Pick
Some markets opened the Colts as slight 1-point home favorites while others reacted to the early movement and opened Indianapolis at -2.5. Sharps hit the Colts early on this week, but money has been coming in on the road team over the past 24 hours.
"Sharp play on Friday morning - on KC +2 - so moved them to +1," Perry told Covers. "Another sharp play on the Chiefs this morning, so the line has moved to a pick ‘em. Sixty percent of cash is on Indy."
New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles - Open: -2.5, Move: -3
The Eagles opened as high as 3-point home favorites over the Saints, who have notoriously been two-faced away from New Orleans. There has been little-to-no movement on this line until recently, with sharps backing the home favorites earlier Saturday.
"This morning we got sharp play on Philly so moved game to -3," Perry said. "This was first line move of game. Fifty-two percent of cash backing the Eagles."
3-Unit Play. #547. Take Michigan State -3 over Indiana (Saturday @ 2pm est).
Michigan State will be more than prepared for this contest.. Tim Izzo is back (not like he left for long). But this year he actually has a team that he can "over achieve" something with. This is a squad that is a classic Michigan State team. Defensively tough. It's what Coach Popovich would call "Nasty". This is a top 10 defensive team in the country, but something else to note, they are top 35 this year in total offense. Michigan State has only fallen to North Carolina this year and this team has beat other top 50 teams such as Texas by 14 on the road scoring 92 points winning 92-78. Look for this game to be similar to that contest. Michigan State will likely be involved in a high scoring affair on the road, have revenge from back to back losses to Indiana last year as the Hoosiers were the better team and took it to State, and look for State to not lose their second conference game of the season. This team beat Oklahoma by 11 points as well who is a top 70 team to boot. Oklahoma and Texas are mentioned because Indiana is a top 50 team as well and though this team comes off a loss to Illinois, they have struggled against top flight teams this year. Indiana lost to top 65 program Notre Dame by 7 points, lost to Syracuse on the road by 17 points who is a top 5 power ranking team, lost to UConn by 1 one earlier this year and to note, I don't have them beating a top 100 team this year yet. Indiana's biggest win this year in my book is Washington who is around a top 90-99 team. Now, this team has to face Michigan State at home who is looking for revenge and is as good as Syracuse. Look for State to be in a tight contest and then pull away in the second half as they get their feet wet and likely win this contest by about 8-11 points which is where we have it.
Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball
3-Unit Play. #508. Take Chicago -4.5 over Atlanta (Saturday @ 8:05pm est).
Some teams just know how to play against certain teams. Such is the case with the Bulls against the Hawks. The Bulls are -4.5 favorites today and the public is siding with Atlanta slightly. Atlanta is a solid team and comes off a tough loss against the Warriors though they did cover the contest. Note that Chicago has covered against Atlanta the last 4 of 5 contests and with the Bulls finding their groove winning 5 of their last 7 covers and with Atlanta struggling against defensive teams (such as losing to the Magic on the road), look for Atlanta to struggle against the Bulls here on the road. For as good as Atlanta is, they are 6-10 on the road this year and the Hawks are 0-5 ATS when playing on 0 days rest, the favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings and Atlanta has typically struggled to play well in Chicago as they are 1-4 ATS on the road. Look for Chicago to continue to build off their win over Boston and Atlanta to be a bit hungover from losing to the Warriors at home - a game they very well should have won but coughed up near the end it seemed. The Bulls are favored and rightfully so as the Bulls likely win this contest by 8 to 10 points this evening.
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