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NBA CHICAGO at GOLDEN STATE
Play On - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season
52-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.3% 26.7 units )
6-5 this year. ( 54.5% 0.5 units )
NBA CHICAGO at GOLDEN STATE
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games
41-19 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.3% 24.8 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 3.0 units )
NBA CHICAGO at GOLDEN STATE
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (CHICAGO) after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season
102-54 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.4% 42.6 units )
15-10 this year. ( 60.0% 4.0 units )
NBA
San Antonio Spurs vs. Brooklyn Nets
The San Antonio Spurs (35-13, 23-25 ATS) had a successful start to their
annual Rodeo Road Trip Monday and they will be playing their third game in
four nights when they visit the Brooklyn Nets (21-25, 22-24 ATS) at the
Barclays Center Thursday night at 8:05 ET on TNT. That is just the beginning for
the Spurs though as this will be a nine-game road trip after all is said and
done before retuning home in three weeks after the rodeo leaves the AT&T
Center. The Nets snapped a three-game losing streak Monday, but they did not do
so in impressive fashion while getting by the lowly Philadelphia 76ers
108-102.
Things did not look good for the Spurs to begin their trip as they trailed
the New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points in the fourth quarter before rallying
to win going away 102-95. Thus San Antonio continued its mastery over the
lesser teams in the league as while the Spurs are still 7-11 vs. teams
currently ranked in the Sagarin Top 10, they are now 28-2 vs. the rest of the
league pending their result vs. the Washington Wizards on Wednesday. The good
news for the Spurs on that front here is that the Nets are ranked 20th on
Sagarin. And if there is a team equipped to handle both a long road trip and
playing a condensed week like it is here, it is a San Antonio team that just may
be the deepest team in the league. That depth is being tested right now
with Manu Ginobili and Kawhi Leonard both out for prolonged periods with
injuries. However the Spurs seemingly have someone different stepping up off the
bench nightly, with Marco Belinelli filling that role with 13 points vs. the
Pelicans in support of the usual great performances by Tony Parker (32
points, nine assists) and Tim Duncan (21 points, seven rebounds).
The Nets had a great start to Calendar Year 2004 winning 10 of their first
11 games after New Year's Day, but then the wind came out of the Nets' sails
when the competition got tougher and they lost three straight games to the
Thunder, Raptors and Pacers. Then they did not have the same zip vs. the
76ers that they had before the losing streak, and they in fact were somewhat
lucky to beat the last place team in the Atlantic Division as the Nets shot
44.4 percent from the floor while allowing Philadelphia to shoot 52.1 percent.
Brooklyn may have been overachieving during its hot streak in any event as
the Nets do not grade out especially strong on either end of the court,
ranking 21st in the NBA in points scored at 97.5 per game and 16th in field goal
percentage offensively and 13th in points against at 100.3 per game and
15th in field goal percentage allowed defensively. Also the Nets are 6-10 vs.
Sagarin Top 10 teams this year, and the Spurs are currently ranked third.
The Spurs are 43-19-1 ATS in their last 63 games vs. the Eastern Conference
including 6-2 ATS in their last eight vs. the Atlantic Division. The Nets
are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. teams with a road winning
percentage of greater than .600, 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. the
Southwest Division and 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
PICK: SA SPURS+5
dime bet - 517 Texas-San Antonio 12.0 (-110) vs 518 Old Dominion
7:00pm ET (4:00pm PT) / #517 / Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners @ Old Dominion Monarchs
Play on: TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO ROADRUNNERS plus the points
CBB TEMPLE at SMU
Play Against - Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (SMU) off a home win scoring 85 or more points, in February games
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )
CBB LA-LAFAYETTE at TX-ARLINGTON
Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TX-ARLINGTON) off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team
141-80 since 1997. ( 63.8% 53.6 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% 3.1 units )
CBB TENN-MARTIN at E ILLINOIS
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (TENN-MARTIN) pathetic team - shooting <=42% with a defense of >=45% on the season, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher
78-38 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.2% 36.2 units )
9-5 this year. ( 64.3% 3.5 units )
Game: The Citadel at Appalachian State (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: The Citadel +10.5 (-105) at 5Dimes
These teams have combined to win just a grand total of 10 games this season. When you consider the fact that only three of those came against Division-1 opponents, it certainly looks like the line is over done here for this one. Both of these teams struggle for offense, although you can give a slight edge to the Citadel on the overall shooting numbers. The Citadel's 12 game losing streak, and 0-12 road mark on the season has the line elevated here. However, remember that they are 4-0 ATS in their last four when catching double-digits, and they are now 11-5 ATS following an ATS win in their last 16. The Mountaineers are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13, and the Citadel stands at 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Make the play on the Citadel.
This appears to be Vegas trying to bait everyone into the trap of playing IUPU-FW on the road at South Dakota State. Ft. Wayne comes in leading the league standings, while the Jackrabbits sit at 12-10 on the season. The conference leaders are getting 4.5 points against a team they beat 82-75 just three weeks ago. No thank you, not gonna be us stepping in that trap. We expect SDSU to come out and play really inspired basketball as they have been at the top of the heap the past several years and are now looking up at Ft. Wayne. This is Ft. Wayne's first road game since January 18th, while SDSU is coming back home after two impressive road wins. We think the home team plays great tonight and sends Ft. Wayne back home with a loss, covering the number in the process. The Sharps say...
STEPHEN NOVER- Triple Star Unbeaten CBB Dominator- IPFW +5
Stephen has found another CBB game worthy of a Triple Star Max Unit play. Stick with the Vegas wise guy as he looks to go 5-0 with CBB Triple Stars this season and win his 13th Triple Star out of his last 17. Ride Stephen's CBB unbeaten wave and hot hand - 4-1 on paid plays the last three days - and lock into another huge profit!
Analysis: IPFW is one of those under-the-radar teams that has been a solid money-maker. The Mastodons are leading the Summit League with a 6-1 mark and have covered 12 of their last 16 games. The Mastodons are getting points at South Dakota State, a team they are better than. The Mastodons defeated the Jackrabbits by seven points at home last month. South Dakota State is 12-10. IPFW Fort Wayne is 18-6. The Mastodons have covered 78 percent of their last 29 games. They are 10-4-1 ATS during their last 15 road contests. The JackrabbiÍts outscore their opponents by only one point per game when playing at home. They are 1-7-1 ATS the last nine times when going against an opponent with a winning record. Sometimes dealing with under-the-radar type matchups that look too good often can backfire. That shouldn't be the case here. Sources tell me the Mastodons are much better than South Dakota State. So taking this many points makes sense.
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