2-9-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

We are kicking ourselves now for not releasing this game last night when we saw the line, which opened at 3.5. UMass comes into this game at 18-4 on the season and off a 12-point home win over Lasalle. The Minutemen started the year hot as a firecracker, but have lost three of their last five and really need a win. The A-10 standings are going to be wild headed into the last month of games and UMass cannot afford any missteps along the way. Rhody has been a pleasant surprise in the league and have been very competitive at home, which is why we think this line is so low. They lost by one point to St. Louis and have wins over George Mason and Dayton to their credit. Umass is a good road team, however, going 9-4 away from home, 8-4 against the number. They are also one of the best shooting teams in the A-10 and their superior athleticism gives them a decides edge today. Kellogg will have his UMass team ready to roll today and we think Rhody is going to get their best effort. We like the road favorite here, so the Sharps say...

3 UNITS - UMASS (-4)

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB AKRON at BOWLING GREEN
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOWLING GREEN) in a game involving two good defensive teams (63-67 PPG), after a combined score of 155 points or more
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% 32.9 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

CBB YOUNGSTOWN ST at DETROIT
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the money line (YOUNGSTOWN ST) off a road loss, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team
221-91 since 1997. ( 70.8% 74.0 units )
9-10 this year. ( 47.4% -3.6 units )

CBB CONNECTICUT at UCF
Play On - Underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (UCF) average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an excellent defensive team (<=40%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

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Cleveland Insider (TOTALS)


NBA
1* Pacers/Magic under 189


CBB
1* Illinois/Penn State under 134

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Underdog Hotline

Temple

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STEPHEN NOVER

820 Houston -2.5 (-110) 5dimes vs 819 Temple Analysis: Both of these teams are struggling, but the Cougars' last five losses have been against brutal competition - Louisville, at Memphis, SMU, at Rutgers and at UConn. Now the Cougars step down in class and should get the job done against a Temple squad that lost too much from last season and is 1-10 in its last 11 games. The Owls also are 2-7 ATS the past nine times they've played a foe with a losing mark.

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Sports Cash System

extra pick:

Massachusetts -4 over Rhode Island (Spread Bet) (NCAA College Basketball) - Game Starts at 4:00 PM EST

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA NEW ORLEANS at BROOKLYN
Play Against - Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games
84-42 since 1997. ( 66.7% 37.8 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

NBA NEW YORK at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (NEW YORK) off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record
70-20 since 1997. ( 77.8% 36.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.0 units )

NBA NEW ORLEANS at BROOKLYN
Play On - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (BROOKLYN) in a game involving two poor defensive teams (98-102 PPG), after a loss by 10 points or more
96-50 since 1997. ( 65.8% 41.0 units )
6-2 this year. ( 75.0% 3.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

advanced sports investments

nba releases
marc (4-3 +.70)
1x- new york/oklaoma city - over 200.5 (1pm)

ncaa basketball
jimmy (4-5 -1.50)
1x- rhode island +3.5 -108 umass (4pm)

jeff (4-4 -.40)
1x-youngstown state +2 detroit (2pm)

soccer
perry (6-2-1 +3.78)
spain - la liga
1x- ud levante/real sociedad - over 2.5 -133 (1pm)

turkey - super lig
1x- akhisar belediye gs/trabzonspor - over 2.5 -109 (12pm)

tennis
pj (1-0 +1.00)
fed cup 2014 italy vs usa
1x- c giorgi -115 c mchale (1pm)

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Vegas Insider Investments

1* NBA - (801) New York Knicks +9.5 (-110)

1* CBB - (818) Wisconsin Badgers -3 (-110)

1* SOC - (2525) Tottenham Hotspur - UN 2.5 (-105)

1* TEN - (8062) G Monfils - UN 23.5 (+102)

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DAVID BANKS

NBA
Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics
The Dallas Mavericks (30-21, 29-22 ATS) are trying to hold on to the eighth
and final playoff spot in the loaded Western Conference as they journey
east to visit the Boston Celtics (18-33, 25-25-1 ATS) at TD Garden Sunday
evening at 6:00 ET in a game carried on NBA TV. The Mavericks lead the ninth
seeded Memphis Grizzlies by 2 games in the West, while it has been a difficult
transition season for the Celtics with their core players for many years now
playing mostly in Brooklyn, as Boston is in fourth place in the Atlantic
Division, although rather incredibly the Celtics are only 8 games behind the
first place Raptors.

And the news is not all brutal for Boston under first year NBA Coach Brad
Stevens. The Celtics are showing improvement as they have won three straight
games following a 99-89 win over Sacramento on Friday, and the last holdover
from the recent glory days, point guard Rajon Rondo, is coming ever so
closer to being back in game shape after missing about a year with a torn ACL.
Rondo did not play in the win over the Kings after playing a season-high 32
minutes in Philadelphia on Wednesday, where he registered eight points, 11
assists, nine rebounds and two steals in a stat-filling performance. Rondo
will play in this game on three days of rest and he is averaging 11.8 points,
8.5 assists and 6.3 rebounds over his last four games while averaging about
29 minutes in those games. If he continues to provide that kind of spark to
an otherwise young Boston team, the Celtics do still have time to make a
sneaky playoff run in the watered down Eastern Conference.

The Celtics may also be catching the Mavericks at the perfect time, as
besides this being the beginning of a three-game Eastern trip, as well as the
beginning of a stretch of six road games in seven games with the only home
contest being vs. the Miami Heat, Dallas also suffered a key injury in a 103-81
win over the Utah Jazz Friday when Monta Ellis suffered a hamstring injury
and he is not expected to play here. Thus the Mavs will be without his 19.5
points plus 5.8 assists per game, and remember that Dallas is also trying to
monitor the minutes of Shawn Marion, as the veteran just returned from a
shoulder injury. And the Mavericks need all the offense they can get
considering that the defense is ranked 23rd on the NBA in points against at 102.3 per
game and a distressing 28th out of 30 NBA teams in field goal percentage
allowed at 46.5 percent. Comparatively the Celtics are ninth in points against
at just 98.7 per game, so this is not a good game for the Dallas offense to
be short-handed.

Dallas will almost certainly be a small favorite here and the underdogs are
6-2 in the last eight head-to-head meetings. Also, the Celtics are 5-2 ATS
in their last seven games vs. teams with winning straight up records, while
the Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. the Atlantic
Division.
PICK: BOSTON CELTICS+4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi CBKB


Western Michigan (-4) at Northern Illinois 4:30 ET
3% Western Michigan -4


Enough is enough. I am talking about 3 consecutive underdog wins by this Northern Illinois team. In the last 10 days, the Huskies have upset Miami Ohio, Ball State and Kent State. Prior to that, on this court, there were losses as home dog to Buffalo, Ohio U. and Kent State by 8 or more points. Those 3 losses were to teams very similar to today’s visitor. Home court not normally an ally for Northern Illinois who is just 18-34 SU 3+Y as host. Last year, Western whipped Northern on this court by a count of 71-34. Forewarned by the recent shenanigans of the Huskies, look for another convincing victory by the visiting Broncos.




Clemson at Syracuse (-14) 6:00 ET ESPNU
3% Clemson +14


Syracuse has had 8 days to calm down from their home court victory vs. Duke. Yet this game should look very similar to the 61-55 victory over Notre Dame on Monday. Clemson is the same type of Defensive Dandy who will slow the pace and limit possessions. And the long term record of Boeheim as superior conference home favorite and off a win is under 40%. Cannot make this any stronger, however, with the recollection of the Tigers 19 point loss at North Carolina and 33 point whipping at Pitt.




Creighton (-3) at St. John’s 7:00 ET FS1
3% St. John’s +3


The notable edge in speed and athleticism for St. John’s was apparent in the 1st meeting between these two. St. John’s stormed back from being down double digits to lose by only a 63-60 score. McDermott’s triple at the buzzer was the difference. That narrow loss on January 28th was the only defeat for St. John’s in a recent 5-1 SU, ATS spurt. Look for the Red Men to use that fundamental advantage and the change in venue to flip that result and pull the shocking upset against a Creighton team who formerly has only 3 defeats.




Oregon State at Arizona (-15) 7:00 ET ESPN
4% Oregon State +15


Led by the improvements of Cooke on the perimeter and Mooreland on the interior, this Oregon State team has made steady improvements throughout conference play. In 5 PAC 12 road games, no loss has been by more than 11 points as they have not lost a game the entire season by more than 12 points. Reports from Arizona confirm that the 0-5 ATS downer of the wrong #1 Wildcats will continue. 3rd year HC Miller must remake this team after the key loss of interior court Ashley. Hollis/Jefferson filled in admirably against Oregon Thursday night. York provides excellent perimeter pop to replace the triples of Ashley. But in spite of the solid play of those replacements, the Cats could garner only a 2 point victory against an Oregon team that is 3-8 SU in league play. Again tonight, any victory will sabotage a home team in a role that has seen them go 7-28 ATS (1-4 ATS this year) following a conference home victory.




NBA


NY Knicks at OKC Thunder (-9-) 1:00 ET ABC
3% OKC -9-


All greater than .500 NBA teams are 163-109 ATS (60%) following a defeat this season. No team is better off a loss in the NBA in recent seasons than OKC which is 36-13 ATS including 8-3 ATS this year following a defeat. A shocking 103-102 loss at Orlando Friday Night will ignite the Thunder this afternoon. In the absence of Westbrook, OKC has gone 17-6 SU including recent runs of 12-2 SU and 10-3 ATS. Thunder 11-4 ATS home when not laying double digits. Play the better and more motivated team on their strong home court.




Memphis Grizzlies (-3-) at Cleveland Cavaliers 6:00 ET
3% Memphis -3-


Cleveland is a nonsensical 8-2 ATS as home dog on a court where they are just 11-13 SU, 12-14 ATS. Despite the Cavs victory at Washington Friday night, we want no part of this malfunctioning team who is 5-11 ATS following a victory. Continuing Cleveland’s downturn finds them on negative runs of 1-6 SU, 3-11 ATS. Memphis is off a victory last night at Atlanta to increase their recent record to 17-6 SU, 16-7 ATS that includes a recent run of 12-4 SU since the trade for Lee and the return of Gasol. The Grizz have allowed 87 PPG L12 games. That is far superior to a Cleveland team who allows more than 100 PPG.




Dallas Mavericks (-4) at Boston Celtics 6:00 ET NBC
3% Dallas -4


The recent Boston victories have come vs. weak teams including sub .500 Sacramento on Friday and at Philadelphia on Wednesday. Even with those wins, the Boston decline remains at 8-21 and 5-16 SU along with 11-20 ATS. The Celtics are just 4-9 SU, ATS at home. Far prefer the veteran Mavericks who enter on a 4 game winning streak. They are among the best travelers in the NBA with a long time road record of 44-22 ATS including 17-5 ATS recently. They are far more trustworthy than Boston even with the return of Rondo.




__________________________________________________ _______________________________________________
Michigan State at Wisconsin (-3) 1:00 ET CBS


Payne has returned for Michigan State but they are still without Big Man Dawson while the sprained wrist of Appling continues to cause problems. Michigan State has lost only to North Carolina, Michigan and Georgetown compiling a record of 9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS in Big 10 play. After a 16-0 SU start, the Badgers have lost their way of late with a record of 2-5 SU, ATS to drop to 5-5 SU in Big 10 play, 4 games behind the Spartans. Most shocking has been 3 consecutive losses on their home floor to Michigan, Northwestern and Ohio State. Look for a huge bounceback by the Badgers behind HC Ryan who is 25-10 ATS on this court as a home favorite of 6 or less points. That goes hand in glove for our purposes with an Izzo record of 18-32 ATS as road dog of 6 or less points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Profit System -2% Wisconsin

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CHRIS JORDAN


300* Syracuse

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PresidentialClub High Roller Plays -
Over Wisconsin,
Lakers (ML),
Cavs (ML),
St John's (ML)

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Dave Essler CBB Total Sun, 02/09/14 - 2:00 PM
double-dime bet - 826 S.Miss / 825 Charlotte - UNDER 137.0
Analysis: I'd like to see what direction this total heads, if for no other reason that to make sure
we get the best number, but I like where it is so off we go. Write up a bit later in the morning.