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Diamond Dog Sports
#501/502: Over Pacers: 181.0 -105 (2.5*)
#501/502: Over Pacers: 181.0 -105 (2.5*)
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Jason Sharpe
4* Blue JaysComment
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Indian Cowboy's Picks For WNBA 5/18
6-Unit Play. #604. Take Under 161 Phoenix vs. LA (Sunday @ 9:05pm est)Comment
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SPORTS WAGERS
NHL Playoffs - Game 1
CHICAGO -½ +109 over Los Angeles
Regulation only. We’re not going to ignore what the Rangers did to Montreal yesterday under similar circumstances. Down 3-2 to the Bruins, Montreal stormed back to win the next two games to advance and the emotional and physical toll it took was very evident in the first game of the East final. Well, the Kings went through the exact same thing against one of their biggest rivals by storming back against the Ducks. For Los Angeles however, it was the second time this playoff series that they were pushed to the brink but overcame big odds to advance. The Kings have won five games this playoff year when facing elimination. They were down 3-0 to the Sharks and 3-2 to the Ducks. They’ve played two, seven game series and there is no way that it hasn’t taken a toll. Just one full day off since defeating the Ducks, the Kings figure to suffer an emotional letdown here. In Game 1 of their series against the Ducks after defeating San Jose, Los Angeles was very flat but somehow managed to steal it. That’s unlikely to happen here.
The Blackhawks knocked off an extremely difficult Wild team in six games. They have defeated the Kings five straight in Chicago and they’ve defeated them in 19 of the past 26 meetings overall. Chicago is also 9-1 in their last 10 Conference Finals games and come into this one much more rested and having plenty of time to digest their last series win and prepare for this one. L.A. hasn’t even had time to exhale. Also note that this game goes off at 3:00 PM EST, which for the Kings, is like a noon start and that, too favors the Blackhawks in a big way.Comment
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Stephen Nover
3* Miami Heat MLComment
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SPORTS WAGERS
Milwaukee @ CHICAGO
CHICAGO +127 over Milwaukee
Marco Estrada is 3-1 with an ERA of 3.28 after eight starts. Estrada also has a nifty WHIP of 1.09 and 46 K’s in 49 innings with just 14 walks issued. However, Estrada also has benefitted from an unsustainable 85% strand rate over his last five starts and his groundball/fly-ball split of 40%/40% suggests that there are some disaster starts forthcoming. With the wind blowing out today and being a fly-ball pitcher, Estrada could be in for a short outing.
By contrast, Travis Wood has a 66% strand rate and that is the main reason for his misleading ERA of 4.91. Fact is, Wood has 44 K’s in 48 innings, he has outstanding control and regression in his ERA is around the corner. Also note that Wood has a 2.39 ERA in 26.1 innings at Wrigley. The opposing Brewers have struggled against LHP and against fly-ballers. With a boatload of strikeouts and a solid history against the Crew, Wood has a great chance to defeat them again.
San Diego @ COLORADO
San Diego +136 over COLORADO
The Rockies bats have cooled off with just 12 runs scored over their last five games and three runs scored or fewer in five of their last eight. Now the Rockies will face a pitcher they’ve never seen in Donn Roach. Roach has worked 21 innings out of the pen this season for the Padres but is more comfortable as a starter, as his 44 games started in the minors over the past two years will attest to. The Angels traded Roach to the Padres in the deal that sent Ernesto Frieri to Los Angeles. While Frieri became a mainstay of the Angels’ bullpen, Roach dominated the minors’ most challenging circuit for pitchers. He was a prolific ground-ball artist in the Cal League, racking up a 3.8 groundout/flyout ratio. Roach lives off his devastating sinker, which sits in the low 90s and tops out at 94. He routinely pitches deep into games getting quick outs with his sinker. When he does go deeper in counts, he turns to his tumbling splitter to get swings and misses. Roach does have a third pitch, a downer curveball in the mid-70s. He doesn’t go to the curve much, usually employing it early in counts on his second or third trip through the order. He's a good athlete with a clean delivery and a feel for moving the ball around the strike zone. In his 21 innings in relief, Roach has continued to post an elite groundball/fly-ball rate (66%/16%). At Coors, that’s a huge edge.
San Diego hitters have 25 career hits in 87 AB’s (.287) against Juan Nicasio. The Padres are swinging some hot bats these past few games with 41 runs scored over their past eight games. Nicasio is the type of pitcher that frequently gets into trouble. He’ll escape some jams like any other pitcher but his frequent disastrous starts that have plagued him throughout his stint in the big leagues is a warning sign that makes him too big a risk when he’s a price. Nicasio’s 3.77 ERA is not supported by his skills and so regression is coming. He has a slight groundball lean of 43% against 37% fly-outs. Nicasio has walked 10 and struck out 15 over his last five starts covering 27 frames. His durability has always been an issue and the deeper we get into the season the worse his skills become. The Rockies are almost always tough at Coors but what we have here is an EXTREME groundball pitcher in Donn Roach at an EXTREME hitter’s park taking back a price and that’s a bet we’ll make almost every time.Comment
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Tampasports
ny yankees-m.line -best bet
colorado-m.line
atlanta-m.line
la dodgers/ariz-under totalComment
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Doc
NBA
6* Heat
3* UnderComment
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VEGAS SHARP
6 Units
502 Indiana Pacers +3 over Miami HeatComment
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Power Play Wins
Power Plays Of The Day
-Miami Heat -2.5
-Kansas City Royals -135
-Colorado Rockies -140Comment
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Gambling God
Pacers/Heat
Pick: Over 181.5
Risk:$110 to win $100Comment
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LT LOCK
Indiana Pacers +2.5Comment
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Falcon Sports
San Francisco -1 -105 listing Vogelsong/Turner
LA Dodgers -115 listing Haren/CollmenterComment
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PhillyGodFather
STRAIGHT BET [920] KAN -134 ( U JIMENEZ -R / J SHIELDS -R ) 100:
STRAIGHT BET [907] MIL -116 ( M ESTRADA -R / T WOOD -L ) 100:
NBA [502] IND PACERS +3½--130 (B+1) 100:
STRAIGHT BET [902] TOTAL u7-116 (CIN vrs PHI) ( T CINGRANI -L / C LEE -L ) 200Comment
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Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball 5/18
2-Unit Play. #502. Take Indiana +2.5 over Miami (Sunday @ 3:30pm est) (you can find +3 at sportsbook currently)Comment
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