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Peralta/Correia
The Twins are not a very good baseball team and have been actually overachieving so far this year. The Brewers have been hitting the ball very well and Peralta has been having a pretty good year other than the lack of run support he has gotten in his starts. Take the Brewers.
Kevin's Pick(s):
A good night last night as the Giants win, and the Kyle hit his pick on the OVER in the Jays/Tigers game I was watching live at Comerica. It was a great night for a ball game, and I'm heading back to watch their afternoon game today. No write up for today's play because I did my handicapping from the hotel. Lets get another winner. 2 UNIT = Oakland Athletics @ New York Yankees - YANKEES TO WIN (-135)
Listed Pitchers: Pomeranz vs Tanaka
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.48 units)
Kyle's Pick(s) 2 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Cincinnati Reds - UNDER 7 RUNS (+118)
Listed Pitchers: Bumgarner vs. Leake
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.36 units)
If that didn't hit last night it would have been a bad beat. The Tigers had the bases loaded with no outs but failed to score one run. I stopped how many LOB they had. I thought it was another one of those nights, thankfully though a bases clearing double in the top of the 9th took care of any bad beat in the works.
Early afternoon play here. I think there is value to be had at +118 so this play is worth a look. What we have is a couple solid pitchers that have excelled on the road and at home. First, Mike Leake hasn't gotten much recognition, but he's quietly asserted himself in the Reds' rotation as a reliable pitcher. His ERA is strong with a 2.92 and a 1.06 WHIP. Leake has been shining at home, where his ERA is 2.51 and a 0.94 WHIP. Leake in his last six starts has given up more than 2 runs only once. His last three outings yielded a 2.41 ERA. At home this season he hasn't given up more than 3 runs in four starts. Conversely, Madison Bumgarner has been money away from San Francisco. His ERA is only 1.58 on the road with a 1.08 WHIP and .272 OBP. The most runs Bumgarner has allowed away is 3, which occurred only once against the Rockies, a difficult park for pitchers. The rest of his six starts on the road produced less than 3 runs. He's been solid in his last three starts as well: 1.80 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, .234 OBP. Both pitchers have the potential of getting into a 4-1, 3-1 type game and with the price, I like this bet. I'll take the UNDER 7.
1000* Play Detroit -150 over Toronto (MLB TOP PLAY)
Detroit has won 90 of the last 154 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and they have won 52 of the last 81 games vs. AL East Division Opponents.Detroit has won 86 of the last 154 day games and they have won 114 of the last 177 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher.
10* Play Cincinnati +110 over San Francisco (MLB TOP PLAY) Cincinnati is 86-56 in day games the last three seasons Cincinnati is 51-35 vs. NL West Division Opponents the last three seasons Cincinnati is 96-65 when batting .250 or worse over the last twenty games
10* Play Minnesota +110 over Milwaukee (MLB TOP PLAY) Milwaukee is 10-24 when playing on a Thursday the last three seasons Milwaukee is 33-48 when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs Milwaukee is 5-13 vs. AL Central Division Opponents the last three seasons
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5* Play New York Mets +110 over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY) 5* Play Baltimore +110 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Play New York Mets +110 over Chicago Cubs---Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll) 7:10 PM EST
Travis Wood has lost 22 of the last 34 games when pitching with five or six days of rest and he has lost 11 of the last 14 games when pitching in the month of June. Travis Wood has lost 5 of the last 7 games when pitching on a Thursday and he has an ERA of 5.82 over the last three starts.
Play Baltimore +110 over Texas----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll) 8:10 PM EST
Miguel Gonzalez has won 7 of the last 8 games when pitching on a Thursday and he has won 4 of the last 5 games when pitching in the month of June. Miguel Gonzalez has won 23 of the last 39 night games and he has an ERA of 2.89 over the last three starts.
Play San Antonio -4 over Miami (NBA)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
9:00 PM EST
San Antonio has covered the spread in 20 of the last 31 games after allowing 105 points or more in their last game and they have covered the spread in 33 of the last 54 games coming off an OVER the total in their last game.San Antonio has covered the spread in 71 of the last 117 playoff home games and they are averaging 107 points a game at home this season.
THURSDAY NBA BASKETBALL 1000* Play San Antonio -4 over Miami (TOP NBA PLAY)
San Antonio has won 18 of the last 22 games when playing with three or more days of rest and they have won 23 of the last 27 games when the total posted is between 190 and 199.5 points.San Antonio has won 25 of the last 31 games after allowing 105 points or more in their last game and they are averaging 105 points a game this season.
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