6-12-14

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | ARIZONA at HOUSTON
Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20), cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games
57-29 since 1997. ( 66.3% | 29.6 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | TORONTO at BALTIMORE
TORONTO is 12-3 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in Road games on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.
The average score was: TORONTO (5.4) , OPPONENT (2.8)

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at MIAMI
Play Over - Any team in non-conference games, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite
131-76 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.3% | 47.4 units )
26-20 this year. ( 56.5% | 4.0 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at MIAMI
Play Against - Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games
107-24 since 1997. ( 81.7% | 51.7 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at MIAMI
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points in a playoff game
404-260 since 1997. ( 60.8% | 118.0 units )
20-12 this year. ( 62.5% | 6.8 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | PHOENIX at CONNECTICUT
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at CONNECTICUT
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) poor defensive team (72-76 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=76 PPG), after a win by 10 points or more
38-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.1% | 0.0 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at CONNECTICUT
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 off a road win by 10 points or more
121-66 since 1997. ( 64.7% | 48.4 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

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Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play THURS

Seattle -120

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Thursday

Phillies/Padres under 8.5

Blue Jays -120

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NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, June 12

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SAN ANTONIO (76 - 27) at MIAMI (67 - 33) - 6/12/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 8-7 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-6 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Today's MLB Picks

Toronto at Baltimore

The Blue Jays head to Baltimore tonight and come into the contest with a 6-0 record in Mark Buehrle's last 6 road starts. Toronto is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jays favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JUNE 12 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: LA Dodgers at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 14.651; Cincinnati (Simon) 15.535 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 7 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+125); Over

Game 953-954: San Diego at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 14.638; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 16.288 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Under

Game 955-956: Atlanta at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Santana) 17.132; Colorado (Chacin) 13.567 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 10 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-130); Under

Game 957-958: Washington at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Treinen) 16.543; San Francisco (Hudson) 15.712 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 7 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+130); Over

Game 959-960: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Samardzija) 15.735; Pittsburgh (Volquez) 17.502 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 6 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); Under

Game 961-962: Milwaukee at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 17.271; NY Mets (Niese) 15.920 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-110); 7 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-110); Over

Game 963-964: Toronto at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 16.662; Baltimore (Gausman) 14.629 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2; 7 Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120); Under

Game 965-966: Cleveland at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Tomlin) 14.390; Boston (Lester) 13.228 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+130); Over

Game 967-968: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 15.360; White Sox (Sale) 17.983 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2 1/2; 5 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-120); Under

Game 969-970: NY Yankees at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Whitley) 17.319; Seattle (Elias) 13.293 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 4; 8 Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+100); Over

Game 971-972: Arizona at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 12.842; Houston (Feldman) 15.237 Dunkel Line: Houston by 2 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (-110); Under

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Today's NBA Picks

San Antonio at Miami

The Heat look to bounce back from their 111-92 loss in Game 3 and come into tonight's contest with a 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home. Miami is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-5). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

THURSDAY, JUNE 12 Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 707-708: San Antonio at Miami (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 124.973; Miami 133.974 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 9; 203 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 5; 197 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-5); Over

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WNBA Basketball Picks

Phoenix at Connecticut

The Mercury head to Connecticut tonight where they are 6-0 in their last 6 games versus the Sun. Phoenix is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.

THURSDAY, JUNE 12 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 651-652: Phoenix at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.919; Connecticut 110.593 Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7 1/2; 163 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5 1/2; 156 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-5 1/2); Over

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FantasySportsGametime

THURSDAY
NBA BASKETBALL

1000* Play San Antonio +5 over Miami (TOP NBA PLAY)

San Antonio has won 86 of the last 113 games when the total posted is between 190 and 199.5 points and they have won 70 of the last 99 games when playing six or less games in fourteen days.San Antonio has won 87 of the last 125 games after scoring 105 points or more in their last game and they have won 74 of the last 109 games after having won two of the last three games.

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Atlanta -120 over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)

Colorado has lost 29 of the last 44 games when playing as a home underdog of +100 to +125 and they have lost 41 of the last 64 games when playing in the month of June.Colorado has lost 22 of the last 34 games when playing on a Thursday and they have lost 55 of the last 91 games vs. NL East Division Opponents.

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50* Play New York Yankees +110 over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Los Angeles Dodgers +130 over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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Baseball Crusher
Los Angeles Dodgers -132 over Cincinnati Reds
(System Record: 41-0, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 41-31

Hockey Crusher
New York Rangers -140 over LA Kings - pending
no play
(Playoff Record: system 24-2: overall 24-18-1, lost last 2 games)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 115-92-3

Basketball Crusher
Miami Heat -5 over San Antonio Spurs
(Playoff Record: system 20-1: overall 20-18-3, won last 4 games)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 98-103-8

Soccer Crusher
Brazil + Croatia OVER 2.5
This match is happening in FIFA
(System Record: 588-21, won last game)
Overall Record: 588-491-85

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Milwaukee Brewers -105 over NY Mets
Chicago Cubs +102 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Seattle Mariners -112 over NY Yankees


Hockey
no play


Basketball
Miami Heat + San Antonio Spurs OVER 197

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Indian Cowboy Soccer Futures


3 Unit Play. Take Brazil (+300) to win 2014 World Cup
3 Unit Play. Take Germany (+550) to win 2014 World Cup
2 Unit Play. Take England (+225) to win Group D
3 Unit Play. Take France (-125) to win Group E
2 Unit Play. Take Netherlands (+167) not to qualify for Knockout Round
4 Unit Play. Take Argentina (+110) to reach World Cup Semifinals

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Andre Gomes


This is my First Play of the Tournament:


SOCCER - World Cup Future Play


GROUP E:


(Odds to win the group via @Pinnaclesports)


France -134 | 1.75
Switzerland +266 | 3.66
Ecuador +377 | 4.77
Honduras +2000 | 21.0


I understand that France has been a major disappointment in the last few years, and their performance in South Africa 4 years ago was laughable w/ some bizarre off-the- field stuff, just read this two articles: (World Cup 2010: France revolt leaves Raymond Domenech high and dry | Football | The Guardian & Raymond Domenech criticises France's 2010 World Cup 'imbeciles' | Football | theguardian.com)


However, this is a new team and more importantly, they have a good coach in Didier Deschamps that simply doesn’t allow any sign of indiscipline. In a controversial decision, Deschamps left out Manchester City’s star Samir Nasri because he believes team spirit is key to winning. In the playoffs, France was almost humiliated @Ukraine by losing 0-2, but they bounced back in France and won 3-0 and secured the qualification. Nasri started in the first game and had a terrible performance, while he didn’t play in the second game at home, so the correlation is pretty clear for me.


I was about to send this play earlier and being a Triple Dime Play, but the injury and absence of Franck Ribery was indeed a major blow for them. Nevertheless, I still think that we have some value in them to win the group as my fair line in here is France having 60% of chances to be #1 in the group @ -150 odds.


I really love France’s midfield trio on the center of the field w/ Matuidi, Pogba and Cabaye. These three players can defend and attack with great quality, and they impose a great tempo to the game – something pivotal in today’s preferred style of play. Ribery is gone, but it looks like Benzema “connects” pretty well with Olivier Giroud on the front as both players are great passers despite being strikers.


Regarding their opponents…


Switzerland is a well organized team that will be tough to score against them but they don’t have a plan “B” if things don’t go well for them. Besides Shaqiri, they don’t have the proper talent on the front to create chances to score in “open plays”. I wouldn’t be surprised if they can get a quality outcome vs. France, but I expect them to struggle against Honduras and Ecuador as they will have the “onus” to be the favorite team and is “forced” to win the game– something that doesn’t fit well in their overall mindset and game plan.


Honduras is by far the weakest team in the group, and probably of the whole tournament…


Ecuador is the “wild card” of the group. They have qualified in 3 of the 4 last WC’s, so they have some experience in this superior level. They are a great “home team” that benefits from the fact that they play in altitude to crush their opponents. The good news for them is that the first game of the group against the Swiss’s will be played @Brasilia - Altitude: 1,172m (3,845ft), so they might have some physical edge in that first game. Ecuador plays an exciting style of football using their wingers quite often (their best player Valencia plays in Man Utd), but in my opinion they are vulnerable on the back. In 2014 (all friendly games), they have allowed 3, 1, 3 and 2 goals!


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on France to win Group E @ -128 / 1.79 on Bookmaker

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PowerPlayWins

Today's Power Play of The Day is

Atlanta Braves (-120)

Pitcher: Santana
Game time: 12:00:00 PM (PST)