6-13-14

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Last chance for Mariners' Montero?
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

SEATTLE -- This time last year, Jesus Montero was a rising prospect, a catcher and the one the New York Yankees let get away.

Montero was recalled from Triple-A Tacoma on Thursday to be in the Mariners' dugout against his former team, and he merely hopes to shake the perception that he is a bust.

Montero could get his last chance at being a part of the Mariners' long-term plans as he returns to the team as a platoon designated hitter. Seattle recalled him Thursday to fill a roster spot that came open when outfielder Michael Saunders was placed on the 15-day disabled list. All indications are that Montero will DH against left-handed pitchers. He didn't play Thursday in Seattle's 6-3 loss to New York.

Unlike the last time Montero was in Seattle, the expectations are pretty low this time around. He is basically a cat on his ninth life after enduring a horrific 2013 season that included a demotion, a position change, an injury and a 50-game suspension as part of the Biogenesis investigation.

Montero, 24, further infuriated the organization by showing up for spring training out of shape, at which time general manager Jack Zduriencik essentially said that he was no longer a part of the team's future.

In 59 games for Tacoma this season, Montero hit .270 with a .345 on-base percentage, a .455 slugging percentage, eight homers and 40 RBIs.

Montero is getting another chance to play his way into the Mariners' plans, and this time it might be his final opportunity to prove why he was once considered one of the top hitting prospects in baseball.

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | NY YANKEES at OAKLAND
Play On - Any team (OAKLAND) average offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games
167-98 since 1997. ( 63.0% | 60.6 units )
1-4 this year. ( 20.0% | -3.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | KANSAS CITY at CHI WHITE SOX
KANSAS CITY is 38-17 (+22.8 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: KANSAS CITY (4.7) , OPPONENT (3.4)

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Friday

Mets/Padres under 7.0

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Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play FRI

Phils -125

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Hondo

Hondo endured the dreaded triple-flusher Thursday when he was sent to the sewer by the Dodgers, Blue Jays and Native Americans, which caused his deficit to expand to a season-high 1,245 grbas.

Friday night: Mr. Aitch expects a Zim dandy performance from the Nationals against their Arch enemy — 10 units. Also, he will give Masterson the menial task of outdueling Lackey — 10 units on the Tribe

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River City Sharps

3 UNITS COL/SAN FRAN OVER 7.5 (-105)

The Rockies and lefty Jorge De La Rosa (6-5, 4.04) open up a three-game series tonight in San Francisco as they take on Tim Lincecum (5-4, 4.97) and the Giants. The Rockies offense is back on the attack after scoring 28 runs over the past three games, while the Giants still boast the best record in MLB and are coming off a 7-1 pasting of the Nationals. Both of these pitchers have had their troubles lately keeping runs off the board and we think that may continue tonight as both of these offenses are humming once again. The OVER is 4-1 in the Giants last five games as a home favorite and the 5-1 in the Rockies last six road games. We think you are going to see some runs tonight in the first game of this series and see some serious value with the OVER in this spot.

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MLB

Washington Nationals at St Louis Cardinals

The meeting between Washington Nationals and St Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium Friday night looks to be a one sided affair. Since 2009, the two teams have met 16 times in St Louis with Cards owning a solid 13-3 edge in play. It's easy to overreact to Cardinals home dominance in the series. However, Mike Matheny's troops have not enjoyed home cooking of late, compiling a record of 1-6 before the home audience and are scheduled to start Lance Lynn (6-4, 3.49 ERA) who has been hit hard in June going 0-2 with a 6.48 ERA. Meanwhile, Nationals head into St Louis on a smart 10-3 stretch overall including 5-2 on the road. Nationals have the ace in the hole here as they start right-hander Jordan Zimmermann (5-2, 3.17 ERA) who has been light's out in June winning both starts tossing 17 innings of shutout ball, striking out 16 while walking a single batter. There are other compelling of reasons to back Washington w/Zimmermann. Nats have won 15 of Zimmermann's last 18 June starts, have flourish opening a series with the hurler posting a 12-5 record and enter 14-6 off a loss handing the ball to Zimmerman including 8-3 in road games.

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SPORTSWAGERS

FIFA World Cup

Mexico +138 over Cameroon

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.76)

June 13: 12:00 PM EST. Even Jose Mourinho is raving about the talent of this Mexican squad entering the 2014 FIFA World Cup. In fact, the Mexican team has come a long way since their qualification struggles in CONCACAF play. The 19th ranked football club in the world finished fourth in the final group stage while qualifying for an intercontinental playoff. As a result of the aggregate in their playoff against New Zealand, La Verde was able to transcend and qualify for their sixth World Cup. Nevertheless the Mexican team has forced many football enthusiasts to take a collective gasp. America has been a problem for them, and the Mexicans have not been able to defeat their neighborly rival in any of the last three World Cup fixtures. Furthermore, Honduras has been a perpetual thorn in the side of this traditionally dominant Central American club. A loss to Bosnia-Herzegovnia in a friendly prompted even more alarm from El Tri supporters. However, the Mexicans were able to win a Gold Medal against Brazil, a football empire at the 2012 Olympics. So clearly Mexico has the prowess and capability.

Facing Mexico will be African qualifier Cameroon. Les Liones are an impressive squad, dominating their group en route to their ninth clinching of a World Cup seed in their last eleven attempts. Among the talent on this Cameroon squad is Chelsea striker Samuel Eto’o, a brilliant and tactical goal scorer. Eto’o is a creative and innovative point manufacturer, leading the attack against a Mexican defense that can be permeable on several occasions. Nevertheless, Mexico has been revered for their excellence as a football club historically and this Group A showdown has profound implications for either squad hoping to advance to the round of sixteen. With the host nation Brazil circled as the favorite, a win for either Mexico or Cameroon could be the three points needed to give either squad the required propulsion in to the knockout round. Considering a contest with 18th-ranked Croatia looming for both parties, this game could be a virtual elimination event if either squad were to leave the loser. Place your bets on Mexico to capitalize and make their presence felt early in Group A.


Spain vs Netherlands – Draw +253

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 5.06)

June 13: 3:00 PM EST. This could very well likely be the most anticipated match-up of the Group Stage. A re-match of the 2010 Final featuring the defending champions Spain against the runner-up Netherlands. The Dutch have vengeance fresh in their minds after losing to Spain in an overtime thriller in 2010. The Spanish will return a heralded top squad in the world rankings. The Dutch are formidable, featuring a club ranked fifteen overall in the FIFA Rankings.

The Spanish are a heavy favorite to repeat as champions and certainly are poised to be a shoe-in to win the group stage. However, this fixture has a sense of emotion and passion injected to it, which you may not see in many other matches. This one has the makings of a blockbuster, all over again. The Dutch are a heavy underdog entering this contest and are projected to lose this match outright. However, a draw is the best bet in this scheduled affair.

In the group stage, matches do not go to overtime. In fact, the game will conclude at 90 minutes regardless of the score. In the FIFA 2010 World Cup, Spain defeated the Netherlands by a margin of 1-0 in the final minutes of extra time. Given the defensive posture of the Dutch, it will be hard for Spain to break the backfield of the Netherlands. Consequently, it would be naïve to surmise that Spain would lose this contest. In fact, the overall record between the two squads is 4-4-1 for both sides. Historically, these two are evenly matched foes with a goal difference of three in favor of Spain. The only definitive difference maker will be decided by the play of the Dutch midfielders against a potent Spanish midfield formation. For this reason, the odds favor a draw offering no reconciliation to a determined Orange hoping to avenge their World Cup blues.


Honduras +1032 over France

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 20.64)

June 15, 3:00 PM EST. France and Honduras have never met before on any pitch. This is the inaugural collision between the European dynasty and their up and coming South American counterparts. Astonishingly, betting on Honduras can net any taker a handsome bounty if they dare offer at the massive take-back.

Comparing the FIFA Rankings, France is slotted at number 17 overall. Honduras is ranked 33rd. This by no means implies that France is twice as good as Honduras or does this cast a shadow of impunity in Honduras’ qualification. The presumption is that France will win the match because they are a perennial European power, however not so long ago, the expectation of French superiority greatly diminished. Teams like Belgium and Greece usurped the French in the rankings and were suddenly held in higher distinction. With these notions considered, Greece and Belgium on average are lesser of a favorite against less quality opponents overall. Honduras should by no means be a heavy underdog, as their body of work en route to the World Cup was exquisite.

The Hondurans pummeled fellow qualifier Costa Rica, they defeated America in the aggregate and they were a problem for Mexico. None of the three teams could come up with a win against Honduras. In fact, Honduras outscored these opponents 5-3. America is a 13th ranked football club, Mexico is ranked 19th respectively. Without question, Honduras can compete against top twenty opponents and France is no different. On a neutral pitch, Honduras is very capable of pulling off an upset. With a better than 10-1 incentive to the bold souls willing to place the bet, a victory by Honduras could be a sweet return on an enticing investment. Choosing Honduras with these odds may very well turn out to be the steal of the first week of the FIFA World Cup. Huge overlay.

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Today's MLB Picks

LA Angels at Atlanta

The Braves open up an interleague series tonight against the Angels and come into the contest with a 9-2 record in their last 11 games as a home underdog. Atlanta is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+105) . Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JUNE 13 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Arrieta) 13.735; Philadelphia (Hernandez) 15.147 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-130); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-130); Under

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 15.068; Miami (Eovaldi) 13.840 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Miami (-130); 8 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110); Over

Game 905-906: San Diego at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 17.834; NY Mets (Colon) 15.823 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 8 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-110); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); Over

Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.091; Milwaukee (Garza) 15.964 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 8 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-145); Under

Game 909-910: Washington at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 14.391; St. Louis (Lynn) 15.244 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 6 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-110); 7 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Under

Game 911-912: Arizona at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Anderson) 16.536; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.395 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-220); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+190); Over

Game 913-914: Colorado at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 13.095; San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.723 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 3 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Under

Game 915-915: Toronto at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hutchison) 14.662; Baltimore (Jimenez) 16.629 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2; 10 Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 9 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+105); Over

Game 917-918: Minnesota at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Gibson) 16.958; Detroit (Smyly) 16.045 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Detroit (-165); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+145); Over

Game 919-920: Cleveland at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 13.690; Boston (Lackey) 14.792 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Under

Game 921-922: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 12.647; White Sox (Quintana) 14.983 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-140); Under

Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 15.365; Houston (McHugh) 16.237 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+110); Over

Game 925-926: NY Yankees at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Phelps) 14.319; Oakland (Gray) 18.481 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 4; 6 Vegas Line: Oakland (-185); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-185); Under

Game 927-928: Texas at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tepesch) 17.391; Seattle (Hernandez) 16.293 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Seattle (-210); 7 Dunkel Pick: Texas (+180); Over

Game 929-930: LA Angels at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 15.287; Atlanta (Harang) 17.696 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 7 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+105); Over

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Today's NHL Picks

NY Rangers at Los Angeles

The Rangers head to LA following a 2-1 win in Game 4 and come into tonight's contest with a 9-4 record in their last 13 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. New York is the pick (+160) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+160). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

FRIDAY, JUNE 13 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 59-60: NY Rangers at Los Angeles (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 14.147; Los Angeles 11.932 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-180); 5 Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+160); Under

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Cappers Access

(NHL) Kings -158
(MLB) Blue Jays +105

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ROBER FERRINGO (Soccer World Cup)

1* bet MEX vs CAM – draw (+225)
1* bet MEX vs CAM – Over 2 (+100)
2* bet MEX (+125)

4* bet ESP (-115)

2* bet CHI -1 (-120)

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PERRY’S SOCCER
FIFA – WORLD CUP
1X- CAMEROON +.5 -145 MEXICO (12PM)
1X- SPAIN -120 NETHERLANS (3PM)
1X- CHILE vs AUSTRALIA – OVER 2.5 -105 (6PM)
2X- CHILE vs AUSTRALIA – OVER 2 -200 (You can find this in alternate lines or under props.)

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HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Astros(+110)

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PAUL LEINER

100* Padres -110
50* Giants -140